Opinion polling for the 2029 Indonesian presidential election
This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2029 Indonesian presidential election. Incumbent president Prabowo Subianto is eligible to run for a second term.
Open
National polls
2026
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Other candidates |
Unsure | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Anies Baswedan Independent |
Ganjar Pranowo PDI-P |
Gibran Rakabuming Independent |
Agus Yudhoyono Demokrat |
Basuki Tjahaja Purnama PDI-P |
Dedi Mulyadi Gerindra |
Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa Independent | |||||||
| Indonesian Public Institute[1] | 30 January-5 February 2026 | 1,241 | ±2.78 pp | 22.3 | 8.5 | 9.0 | 12.2 | 1.9 | N/a | 7.9 | 4.9 | 33.3[a] | N/a | Prabowo +10.1 |
| Indekstat[2] | 11-25 January 2026 | 1,200 | ±2.9 pp | 48.9 | 10.1 | 3.4 | 3.7 | 0.9 | 2.3 | 16.9 | 4.4 | 2.0 | 7.4 | Prabowo +32.0 |
| Median[3] | 9-13 January 2026 | 1,000 | N/a | 27.8 | 19.9 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.0 | 17.4 | 4.0 | 2.8[b] | N/a | Prabowo +7.9 |
2025
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Other candidates[c] |
Unsure | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Anies Baswedan Independent |
Ganjar Pranowo PDI-P |
Gibran Rakabuming Independent |
Agus Yudhoyono Demokrat |
Erick Thohir Independent |
Dedi Mulyadi Gerindra |
Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa Independent | |||||||
| Indikator[4] | 20–27 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 46.7 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 4.8 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 18.4 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 7.6 | Prabowo +28.3 |
| Poltracking[5] | 3–10 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 48.5 | 6.3 | 2.0 | 4.9 | 1.8 | 0.1 | 15.7 | N/a | 3.0 | 17.7 | Prabowo +32.8 |
| Index Politica[6] | 1–10 October 2025 | 1,610 | ±1.6 pp | 40.1 | 13.4 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 5.1 | 1.1 | 2.5 | 22.5 | 0.2 | 3.1 | Prabowo +17.6 |
| LSI[7] | 20–28 January 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 69.4 | 8.2 | 2.2 | 6.4 | 3.1 | 0.5 | 1.0 | N/a | 4.9 | 4.3 | Prabowo +61.2 |
| Indikator[8] | 16–21 January 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 68.9 | 8.6 | 5.9 | 3.8 | 3.1 | 1.3 | N/a | N/a | 2.3 | 6.1 | Prabowo +60.3 |
| 2024 election[9] | 14 February 2024 | N/a | N/a | 58.6 | 24.9 | 16.5 | Running as Prabowo's running mate | Did not participate[d] | N/a | Prabowo +33.7 | ||||
Provincial polls
West Java
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Other candidates & unsure | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Anies Baswedan Independent |
Dedi Mulyadi Gerindra | |||||
| Litbang Kompas[10] | 1–5 July 2025 | 400 | ±4.9 pp | 36.9 | 10.1 | 30.3 | 22.7 |
| 2024 election[9] | 14 February 2024 | N/a | N/a | 58.5 | 31.7 | Did not participate | 9.8[e] |
First round before candidate nominations
Prabowo vs. Anies vs. Gibran
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Unsure | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Anies Baswedan Independent |
Gibran Rakabuming Independent | |||||
| Indikator[4] | 20–27 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 68.4 | 14.3 | 9.8 | 7.5 |
| Poltracking[5] | 3–10 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 59.1 | 9.9 | 7.5 | 23.5 |
Second round before candidate nominations
Prabowo vs. Anies
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Unsure | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Anies Baswedan Independent | |||||
| Poltracking[5] | 3–10 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 65.1 | 10.3 | 24.6 |
Prabowo vs. Gibran
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Margin of error | Unsure | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prabowo Subianto Gerindra |
Gibran Rakabuming Independent | |||||
| Poltracking[5] | 3–10 October 2025 | 1,220 | ±2.9 pp | 65.8 | 8.1 | 26.1 |
Government approval polls
| Pollster | Fieldwork date | Link | Approve | Disapprove | Unsure/ Neither |
Margin of error |
Sample size |
Net approval |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indikator | 15–21 January 2026 | [11] | 79.9 | 19.3 | 0.8 | ±2.9 pp | 1,220 | 60.6 |
| Indikator | 20–27 October 2025 | [4] | 77.7 | 20.8 | 1.5 | ±2.9 pp | 1,220 | 56.9 |
| Pusat Riset Indonesia | 10–20 October 2025 | [12] | 82.4 | 14.2 | 3.4 | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 | 68.2 |
| LSI Denny JA | 10–19 October 2025 | [13] | 74.8 | 22.8 | 2.4 | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 | 52.0 |
| Indonesia Political Opinion | 9–17 October 2025 | [14] | 86 | 14 | N/a | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 | 72 |
| Rumah Politik Indonesia | 9–16 October 2025 | [15] | 86.4 | 12.7 | 0.9 | ±3.0 pp | 1,200 | 73.7 |
| Indeks Politica Indonesia | 5–12 October 2025 | [16] | 80.2 | 15.2 | 4.6 | ±3.0 pp | 1,220 | 65.0 |
| Poltracking | 3–10 October 2025 | [5] | 78.1 | 19.3 | 2.6 | ±2.9 pp | 1,220 | 58.8 |
| Celios | 30 September–17 October 2025 | [17] | 22 | 77 | 1 | N/a | 1,458 | 55 |
| Indonesian Social Survey | 11–20 July 2025 | [18] | 78.0 | 16.1 | 5.9 | ±2.5 pp | 2,200 | 61.9 |
| LSI Denny JA | 16–31 May 2025 | [19] | 81.2 | 18.3 | 0.5 | ±2.9 pp | 1,200 | 62.9 |
| KedaiKOPI | 23–29 January 2025 | [20] | 72.5 | 27.5 | N/a | N/a | 1,201 | 45.0 |
| Index Politica | 22–29 January 2025 | [21] | 87.5 | 12.1 | 0.4 | ±3.0 pp | 1,200 | 75.4 |
| LSI | 20–28 January 2025 | [22] | 81.4 | 15.5 | 3.1 | ±2.9 pp | 1,220 | 65.9 |
| Indikator | 16–21 January 2025 | [8] | 79.3 | 16.9 | 3.8 | ±2.9 pp | 1,220 | 62.4 |
| Litbang Kompas | 4–10 January 2025 | [23] | 80.9 | 19.1 | N/a | ±3.1 pp | 1,000 | 61.8 |
Notes
- ^ * Pramono Anung (7.8)
* Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin (7.5)
* Puan Maharani (5.0)
* Sherly Tjoanda (3.8)
* Muzakir Manaf (3.1)
* Sandiaga Uno (3.0)
* Ridwan Kamil (1.6)
* Other candidates (1.5) - ^ * Mahfud MD (1.6)
* Pramono Anung (1.2) - ^ Included Muhaimin Iskandar and Mahfud MD in several polls, who were former running mates for the respective candidates Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.
- ^ Except for Muhaimin Iskandar and Mahfud MD (who included in several polls) who were running mates for the respective candidates Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.
- ^ Ganjar Pranowo's percentage point during 2024 election in West Java.
References
- ^ "Survei IPI: Sjafrie hingga Purbaya masuk bursa bakal capres 2029" (in Indonesian). antaranews.com. 10 February 2026.
- ^ "Survei Indekstat Elektabilitas Capres 2029: Prabowo Dipepet Anies, KDM" (in Indonesian). idntimes.com. 12 February 2026.
- ^ "Survei Median: Prabowo Pimpin Elektabilitas Capres jika Pilpres Digelar Hari Ini" (in Indonesian). sindonews.com. 20 January 2026.
- ^ a b c "RILIS SURVEI NASIONAL EVALUASI PUBLIK ATAS KINERJA SATU TAHUN PEMERINTAHAN PRABOWO - GIBRAN" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Indikator Politik Indonesia. 8 November 2025.
- ^ a b c d e "Rilis Temuan Survei Nasional Tatap Muka Poltracking Indonesia: EVALUASI 1 TAHUN KINERJA PEMERINTAHAN PRABOWO – GIBRAN" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Poltracking Indonesia. 19 October 2025.
- ^ "Telesurvei IndexPolitica: Elektabilitas Purbaya Teratas di Bursa Cawapres 2029" (in Indonesian). Detik. 28 October 2025.
- ^ Lembaga Survei Indonesia [@LSI_Lembaga] (5 February 2025). "Rilis Temuan Survei Nasional, Seratus Hari Pemerintahan Menurut Publik: Kondisi Umum, Kinerja Program, dan Tingkat Kepuasan" (Tweet) (in Indonesian) – via Twitter.
- ^ a b "Rilis Indikator 27 Januari 2025" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Indikator Politik Indonesia. 27 January 2025.
- ^ a b "Berita Acara dan Sertifikat Rekapitulasi Hasil Penghitungan Perolehan Suara Pasangan Calon Presiden dan Wakil Presiden di Tingkat Nasional Pemilihan Umum Tahun 2024" (PDF) (in Indonesian). KPU RI. 24 March 2024. Archived from the original on 26 March 2024. Retrieved 12 July 2025.
{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link) - ^ Suryaningtyas, M Toto (2025-08-24). "Popularitas KDM dan Pergeseran Peta Politik". Kompas.id (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2025-08-28.
- ^ "SURVEI NASIONAL : PERSEPSI PUBLIK TERHADAP KINERJA PRESIDEN, KEPERCAYAAN TERHADAP LEMBAGA NEGARA, DAN PROGRAM MAKAN BERGIZI GRATIS (MBG)" (PDF) (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei PRI: Tingkat Kepuasan Kinerja Prabowo-Gibran 82 Persen" (in Indonesian).
- ^ https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1MHhBsoWaB/
- ^ "Survei IPO: Tingkat Kepuasan Publik ke Prabowo Capai 86 Persen" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei RPI: Mayoritas publik puas dengan satu tahun Prabowo-Gibran" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei IPI: 80 Persen Masyarakat Puas terhadap Kinerja Satu Tahun Pemerintahan Prabowo–Gibran" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Rapor Kinerja 1 Tahun Prabowo–Gibran" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei ISS: Tingkat Kepuasan terhadap Kinerja Pemerintah 78 Persen, Apa Faktornya?" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei LSI Denny JA: Tingkat Kepuasan Publik pada Prabowo-Gibran Capai 81,2 Persen" (in Indonesian).
- ^ "Survei Opini 100 Hari Masa Pemerintahan Prabowo - Gibran" (in Indonesian). KedaiKOPI. 5 February 2025.
- ^ Mohamad, Rizki Nor (1 February 2025). "100 Hari Pemerintahan Prabowo-Gibran, Survei: Tingkat Kepuasan 87,5%". Metro TV (in Indonesian).
- ^ Lembaga Survei Indonesia [@LSI_Lembaga] (5 February 2025). "KINERJA PRESIDEN: Mayoritas merasa puas dengan kerja Presiden Prabowo, 81.4%" (Tweet) (in Indonesian) – via Twitter.
- ^ Chaterine, Rahel Narda (20 January 2025). Rusiana, Dita Angga (ed.). "Survei Litbang Kompas: 80,9 Persen Rakyat Puas dengan Kinerja Prabowo-Gibran" (in Indonesian).