Opinion polling for the 2029 Indonesian presidential election

This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2029 Indonesian presidential election. Incumbent president Prabowo Subianto is eligible to run for a second term.

Open

National polls

2026

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Other
candidates
Unsure Lead
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Anies Baswedan
Independent
Ganjar Pranowo
PDI-P
Gibran Rakabuming
Independent
Agus Yudhoyono
Demokrat
Basuki Tjahaja Purnama
PDI-P
Dedi Mulyadi
Gerindra
Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa
Independent
Indonesian Public Institute[1] 30 January-5 February 2026 1,241 ±2.78 pp 22.3 8.5 9.0 12.2 1.9 N/a 7.9 4.9 33.3[a] N/a Prabowo +10.1
Indekstat[2] 11-25 January 2026 1,200 ±2.9 pp 48.9 10.1 3.4 3.7 0.9 2.3 16.9 4.4 2.0 7.4 Prabowo +32.0
Median[3] 9-13 January 2026 1,000 N/a 27.8 19.9 3.3 2.4 2.9 2.0 17.4 4.0 2.8[b] N/a Prabowo +7.9

2025

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Other
candidates
[c]
Unsure Lead
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Anies Baswedan
Independent
Ganjar Pranowo
PDI-P
Gibran Rakabuming
Independent
Agus Yudhoyono
Demokrat
Erick Thohir
Independent
Dedi Mulyadi
Gerindra
Purbaya Yudhi Sadewa
Independent
Indikator[4] 20–27 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 46.7 9.0 3.7 4.8 3.9 0.4 18.4 1.5 4.0 7.6 Prabowo +28.3
Poltracking[5] 3–10 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 48.5 6.3 2.0 4.9 1.8 0.1 15.7 N/a 3.0 17.7 Prabowo +32.8
Index Politica[6] 1–10 October 2025 1,610 ±1.6 pp 40.1 13.4 7.1 4.8 5.1 1.1 2.5 22.5 0.2 3.1 Prabowo +17.6
LSI[7] 20–28 January 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 69.4 8.2 2.2 6.4 3.1 0.5 1.0 N/a 4.9 4.3 Prabowo +61.2
Indikator[8] 16–21 January 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 68.9 8.6 5.9 3.8 3.1 1.3 N/a N/a 2.3 6.1 Prabowo +60.3
2024 election[9] 14 February 2024 N/a N/a 58.6 24.9 16.5 Running as Prabowo's running mate Did not participate[d] N/a Prabowo +33.7

Provincial polls

West Java

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Other candidates &
unsure
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Anies Baswedan
Independent
Dedi Mulyadi
Gerindra
Litbang Kompas[10] 1–5 July 2025 400 ±4.9 pp 36.9 10.1 30.3 22.7
2024 election[9] 14 February 2024 N/a N/a 58.5 31.7 Did not participate 9.8[e]

First round before candidate nominations

Prabowo vs. Anies vs. Gibran

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Unsure
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Anies Baswedan
Independent
Gibran Rakabuming
Independent
Indikator[4] 20–27 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 68.4 14.3 9.8 7.5
Poltracking[5] 3–10 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 59.1 9.9 7.5 23.5

Second round before candidate nominations

Prabowo vs. Anies

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Unsure
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Anies Baswedan
Independent
Poltracking[5] 3–10 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 65.1 10.3 24.6

Prabowo vs. Gibran

Pollster Fieldwork date Sample size Margin of error Unsure
Prabowo Subianto
Gerindra
Gibran Rakabuming
Independent
Poltracking[5] 3–10 October 2025 1,220 ±2.9 pp 65.8 8.1 26.1

Government approval polls

Pollster Fieldwork date Link Approve Disapprove Unsure/
Neither
Margin
of error
Sample
size
Net
approval
Indikator 15–21 January 2026 [11] 79.9 19.3 0.8 ±2.9 pp 1,220 60.6
Indikator 20–27 October 2025 [4] 77.7 20.8 1.5 ±2.9 pp 1,220 56.9
Pusat Riset Indonesia 10–20 October 2025 [12] 82.4 14.2 3.4 ±2.9 pp 1,200 68.2
LSI Denny JA 10–19 October 2025 [13] 74.8 22.8 2.4 ±2.9 pp 1,200 52.0
Indonesia Political Opinion 9–17 October 2025 [14] 86 14 N/a ±2.9 pp 1,200 72
Rumah Politik Indonesia 9–16 October 2025 [15] 86.4 12.7 0.9 ±3.0 pp 1,200 73.7
Indeks Politica Indonesia 5–12 October 2025 [16] 80.2 15.2 4.6 ±3.0 pp 1,220 65.0
Poltracking 3–10 October 2025 [5] 78.1 19.3 2.6 ±2.9 pp 1,220 58.8
Celios 30 September–17 October 2025 [17] 22 77 1 N/a 1,458 55
Indonesian Social Survey 11–20 July 2025 [18] 78.0 16.1 5.9 ±2.5 pp 2,200 61.9
LSI Denny JA 16–31 May 2025 [19] 81.2 18.3 0.5 ±2.9 pp 1,200 62.9
KedaiKOPI 23–29 January 2025 [20] 72.5 27.5 N/a N/a 1,201 45.0
Index Politica 22–29 January 2025 [21] 87.5 12.1 0.4 ±3.0 pp 1,200 75.4
LSI 20–28 January 2025 [22] 81.4 15.5 3.1 ±2.9 pp 1,220 65.9
Indikator 16–21 January 2025 [8] 79.3 16.9 3.8 ±2.9 pp 1,220 62.4
Litbang Kompas 4–10 January 2025 [23] 80.9 19.1 N/a ±3.1 pp 1,000 61.8

Notes

  1. ^ * Pramono Anung (7.8)
    * Sjafrie Sjamsoeddin (7.5)
    * Puan Maharani (5.0)
    * Sherly Tjoanda (3.8)
    * Muzakir Manaf (3.1)
    * Sandiaga Uno (3.0)
    * Ridwan Kamil (1.6)
    * Other candidates (1.5)
  2. ^ * Mahfud MD (1.6)
    * Pramono Anung (1.2)
  3. ^ Included Muhaimin Iskandar and Mahfud MD in several polls, who were former running mates for the respective candidates Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.
  4. ^ Except for Muhaimin Iskandar and Mahfud MD (who included in several polls) who were running mates for the respective candidates Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.
  5. ^ Ganjar Pranowo's percentage point during 2024 election in West Java.

References

  1. ^ "Survei IPI: Sjafrie hingga Purbaya masuk bursa bakal capres 2029" (in Indonesian). antaranews.com. 10 February 2026.
  2. ^ "Survei Indekstat Elektabilitas Capres 2029: Prabowo Dipepet Anies, KDM" (in Indonesian). idntimes.com. 12 February 2026.
  3. ^ "Survei Median: Prabowo Pimpin Elektabilitas Capres jika Pilpres Digelar Hari Ini" (in Indonesian). sindonews.com. 20 January 2026.
  4. ^ a b c "RILIS SURVEI NASIONAL EVALUASI PUBLIK ATAS KINERJA SATU TAHUN PEMERINTAHAN PRABOWO - GIBRAN" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Indikator Politik Indonesia. 8 November 2025.
  5. ^ a b c d e "Rilis Temuan Survei Nasional Tatap Muka Poltracking Indonesia: EVALUASI 1 TAHUN KINERJA PEMERINTAHAN PRABOWO – GIBRAN" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Poltracking Indonesia. 19 October 2025.
  6. ^ "Telesurvei IndexPolitica: Elektabilitas Purbaya Teratas di Bursa Cawapres 2029" (in Indonesian). Detik. 28 October 2025.
  7. ^ Lembaga Survei Indonesia [@LSI_Lembaga] (5 February 2025). "Rilis Temuan Survei Nasional, Seratus Hari Pemerintahan Menurut Publik: Kondisi Umum, Kinerja Program, dan Tingkat Kepuasan" (Tweet) (in Indonesian) – via Twitter.
  8. ^ a b "Rilis Indikator 27 Januari 2025" (PDF) (in Indonesian). Indikator Politik Indonesia. 27 January 2025.
  9. ^ a b "Berita Acara dan Sertifikat Rekapitulasi Hasil Penghitungan Perolehan Suara Pasangan Calon Presiden dan Wakil Presiden di Tingkat Nasional Pemilihan Umum Tahun 2024" (PDF) (in Indonesian). KPU RI. 24 March 2024. Archived from the original on 26 March 2024. Retrieved 12 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: bot: original URL status unknown (link)
  10. ^ Suryaningtyas, M Toto (2025-08-24). "Popularitas KDM dan Pergeseran Peta Politik". Kompas.id (in Indonesian). Retrieved 2025-08-28.
  11. ^ "SURVEI NASIONAL : PERSEPSI PUBLIK TERHADAP KINERJA PRESIDEN, KEPERCAYAAN TERHADAP LEMBAGA NEGARA, DAN PROGRAM MAKAN BERGIZI GRATIS (MBG)" (PDF) (in Indonesian).
  12. ^ "Survei PRI: Tingkat Kepuasan Kinerja Prabowo-Gibran 82 Persen" (in Indonesian).
  13. ^ https://www.facebook.com/share/p/1MHhBsoWaB/
  14. ^ "Survei IPO: Tingkat Kepuasan Publik ke Prabowo Capai 86 Persen" (in Indonesian).
  15. ^ "Survei RPI: Mayoritas publik puas dengan satu tahun Prabowo-Gibran" (in Indonesian).
  16. ^ "Survei IPI: 80 Persen Masyarakat Puas terhadap Kinerja Satu Tahun Pemerintahan Prabowo–Gibran" (in Indonesian).
  17. ^ "Rapor Kinerja 1 Tahun Prabowo–Gibran" (in Indonesian).
  18. ^ "Survei ISS: Tingkat Kepuasan terhadap Kinerja Pemerintah 78 Persen, Apa Faktornya?" (in Indonesian).
  19. ^ "Survei LSI Denny JA: Tingkat Kepuasan Publik pada Prabowo-Gibran Capai 81,2 Persen" (in Indonesian).
  20. ^ "Survei Opini 100 Hari Masa Pemerintahan Prabowo - Gibran" (in Indonesian). KedaiKOPI. 5 February 2025.
  21. ^ Mohamad, Rizki Nor (1 February 2025). "100 Hari Pemerintahan Prabowo-Gibran, Survei: Tingkat Kepuasan 87,5%". Metro TV (in Indonesian).
  22. ^ Lembaga Survei Indonesia [@LSI_Lembaga] (5 February 2025). "KINERJA PRESIDEN: Mayoritas merasa puas dengan kerja Presiden Prabowo, 81.4%" (Tweet) (in Indonesian) – via Twitter.
  23. ^ Chaterine, Rahel Narda (20 January 2025). Rusiana, Dita Angga (ed.). "Survei Litbang Kompas: 80,9 Persen Rakyat Puas dengan Kinerja Prabowo-Gibran" (in Indonesian).