2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia

← 2008
November 2, 2010 (2010-11-02)
2012 →

All 11 Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 5 seats, 45.51% 6 seats, 53.01%
Seats before 5 6
Seats won 8 3
Seat change Increase 3 Decrease 3
Popular vote 1,183,842 898,832
Percentage 54.16% 41.61%
Swing Increase 8.65% Decrease 11.40%

The 2010 congressional elections in Virginia were held November 2, 2010, to determine who will represent the state of Virginia in the United States House of Representatives. Representatives are elected for two-year terms; those elected served in the 112th Congress from January 2011 until January 2013.

Primary elections were held on June 9, 2010. After a poor showing in 2008, the Republican Party made significant gains and defeated three Democratic incumbents. Republicans would go onto hold a majority of House districts in Virginia until 2018.

Overview

Statewide

Party Candidates Votes Seats
No. % No. +/– %
Republican 11 1,186,098 54.16 8 Increase 3 71.43
Democratic 10 911,116 41.61 3 Decrease 3 28.57
Independents 6 42,002 1.92 0 Steady 0.0
Libertarian 4 23,681 1.08 0 Steady 0.0
Independent Greens 4 21,374 0.98 0 Steady 0.0
Write-in 11 5,570 0.25 0 Steady 0.0
Total 46 2,189,841 100.0 11 Steady 100.0
Popular vote
Republican
54.16%
Democratic
41.61%
Libertarian
1.08%
Independent Greens
0.98%
Other
2.17%
House seats
Republican
72.73%
Democratic
27.27%

By district

Results of the 2010 United States House of Representatives elections in Virginia by district:[1]

District Republican Democratic Others Total Result
Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
District 1 135,564 63.88% 73,824 34.78% 2,848 1.34% 212,236 100.0% Republican hold
District 2 88,340 53.12% 70,591 42.45% 7,358 4.43% 166,289 100.0% Republican gain
District 3 44,553 27.18% 114,754 70.02% 4,593 2.80% 163,900 100.0% Democratic hold
District 4 123,659 62.33% 74,298 37.45% 432 0.22% 198,389 100.0% Republican hold
District 5 119,560 50.81% 110,562 46.99% 5,177 2.20% 235,299 100.0% Republican gain
District 6 127,487 76.27% 0 0.00% 39,667 23.73% 167,154 100.0% Republican hold
District 7 138,209 59.22% 79,616 34.11% 15,577 6.67% 233,402 100.0% Republican hold
District 8 71,145 37.30% 116,404 61.02% 3,199 1.68% 190,748 100.0% Democratic hold
District 9 95,726 51.21% 86,743 46.41% 4,448 2.38% 186,917 100.0% Republican gain
District 10 131,116 62.87% 72,604 34.81% 4,836 2.32% 208,556 100.0% Republican hold
District 11 110,739 48.79% 111,720 49.23% 4,492 1.98% 226,951 100.0% Democratic hold
Total 1,186,098 54.16% 911,116 41.61% 92,627 4.23% 2,189,841 100.0%

District 1

2010 Virginia's 1st congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Rob Wittman Krystal Ball
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 135,564 73,824
Percentage 63.87% 34.78%

County and independent city results
Wittman:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Ball:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rob Wittman
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rob Wittman
Republican

Incumbent Republican Rob Wittman, who had represented the district since 2007, ran for re-election. He was re–elected with 56.6% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+7.[2]

Republican primary

Campaign

In the Republican primary, Wittman was challenged by self-described Tea Party movement member Catherine Crabill. Crabill's candidacy had been controversial due to her statements that the Second Amendment to the U.S. Constitution was intended to help citizens protect themselves from tyranny.[clarification needed][3] and that citizens may have to turn from the ballot box to the bullet box.[4]

In 2009, Wittman and Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell had refused to endorse her for the Virginia House of Delegates.[5] McDonnell spokesman Tucker Martin stated, "It's absolutely wrong for any candidate of any party to refer to the actions of the President of the United States and members of the United States Congress as 'domestic terrorism,' and to threaten to resort to violence if one fails to prevail in elections."[6] Crabill refused to retract her remarks, saying "Those are my convictions."[7] Wittman voted against the Emergency Economic Stabilization Act of 2008 during the financial crisis, against economic stimulus packages, and against the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act of 2010,[8] so had been deemed by some commentators to be difficult to get to the right of, but there was also deemed to be good reason for Wittman to worry about the primary's outcome, given the anti-government mood of the country.[7]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary

Results

Wittman easily defeated Crabill.[9]

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Wittman (incumbent) 28,956 87.96
Republican Catherine Crabill 3,963 12.04
Total votes 32,919 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Independent Greens primary

Candidates

Nominee

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 1st congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rob Wittman (incumbent) 135,564 63.87
Democratic Krystal Ball 73,824 34.78
Independent Greens Gail Parker 2,544 1.19
Write-in 304 0.14
Majority 61,740 29.09
Total votes 212,236 100.0
Republican hold

District 2

2010 Virginia's 2nd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Scott Rigell Glenn Nye
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 88,340 70,591
Percentage 53.1% 42.5%

County and independent city results
Rigell:      40–50%      50–60%
Nye:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Glenn Nye
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Scott Rigell
Republican

Incumbent Democratic Glenn Nye, who had represented the district since 2009, ran for re-election. He was elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2008 and the district had a PVI of R+5.[2]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Ahead of the primary Bert Mizusawa had raised more money than any candidate in the last two periods, and was considered a frontrunner. Businessman Rigell was the other frontrunner, receiving major endorsements from Thelma Drake and Bob McDonnell's daughter.

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Kenny Golden, retired Navy Commodore and former chair of the Virginia Beach Republican Party (running as a Independent)[21]
  • Chuck Smith, attorney and former Marine (endorsed Rigell, later ran in the 3rd district)[22]
Declined

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Rigell 14,396 39.5
Republican Ben Loyola 9,762 26.8
Republican Bert Mizusawa 6,342 17.4
Republican Scott Taylor 2,950 8.1
Republican Jessica Sandlin 1,620 4.4
Republican Ed Maulbeck 1,372 3.8
Total votes 36,442 100.0

Other Candidates

  • Kenny Golden, retired Navy Commodore and former chair of the Virginia Beach Republican Party (Independent)

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 2nd congressional district election, 2010[24][25]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Scott Rigell 88,340 53.1
Democratic Glenn Nye (incumbent) 70,591 42.5
Independent Kenny Golden 7,194 4.3
Write-in 164 0.1
Majority 17,749 10.7
Total votes 166,289 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 3

2010 Virginia's 3rd congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Bobby Scott Chuck Smith
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 114,754 44,553
Percentage 70.0% 27.2%

U.S. Representative before election

Bobby Scott
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Bobby Scott
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Bobby Scott was challenged by Republican nominee former JAG Chuck Smith (campaign site, PVS) of Virginia Beach, Libertarian James Quigley (campaign site, PVS) of Hampton, and Independent John Kelly (campaign site, PVS).[25][26]

Scott has run unopposed in five of the last six elections in what is considered a "safe" Democratic district. The district's current configuration dates to 1993, when the Justice Department ordered Virginia to create a majority-minority district.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe D November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 3rd congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Robert C. Scott (incumbent) 114,754 70.0
Republican Chuck Smith 44,553 27.2
Libertarian James Quigley 2,383 1.5
Independent John D. Kelly 2,039 1.2
Write-in 171 0.1
Majority 70,201 42.8
Total votes 163,900 100.0
Democratic hold

District 4

2010 Virginia's 4th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Randy Forbes Wynne LeGrow
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 123,659 74,298
Percentage 62.3% 37.5%

County and independent city results
Forbes:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
LeGrow:      50–60%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Randy Forbes
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Randy Forbes
Republican

Republican incumbent Randy Forbes was challenged by Democratic nominee Wynne LeGrow of Emporia. Forbes retained his seat by beating his Democratic challenger by earning 62% of votes cast.[27]

Forbes was first elected to the House in 2001 to fill a vacancy caused by the death of ten-term Democratic Congressman Norman Sisisky. Forbes defeated Democratic State Senator Louise Lucas 52-48% that year. He ran unopposed by Democrats in 2002 and 2006.

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 4th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Randy Forbes (incumbent) 123,659 62.3
Democratic Wynne LeGrow 74,298 37.5
Write-in 432 0.2
Majority 49,361 24.9
Total votes 198,389 100.0
Republican hold

District 5

2010 Virginia's 5th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Robert Hurt Tom Perriello
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 119,560 110,562
Percentage 50.8% 47.0%

County and independent city results
Hurt:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Perriello:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Tom Perriello
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Robert Hurt
Republican

Incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello was challenged by Republican Robert Hurt, state Senator from Chatham,[28] and independent Jeffrey A. Clark (campaign site, PVS), a businessman from Danville.[29]

In 2008, Perriello defeated Republican incumbent Virgil Goode. Goode did not seek a rematch in 2010, although he said several Conservative groups asked him to run on a pro-Tea Party ticket, due to their dissatisfaction with the Republicans.[30]

Republican primary

Hurt won the primary election over six other candidates: Republican activist Feda Kidd Morton, private real estate investor Laurence Verga, Albemarle County Supervisor Ken Boyd, businessman Ron Ferrin, Jim McKelvey from Franklin County, and Michael McPadden.[31] Perriello faced no opposition in the Democratic primary.

Declined

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Hurt 17,120 48.4
Republican Jim McKelvey 9,153 25.9
Republican Michael McPadden 3,460 9.8
Republican Ken Boyd 2,608 7.4
Republican Feda Kidd Morton 1,626 4.6
Republican Laurence Verga 802 2.3
Republican Ron Ferrin 583 1.6
Total votes 35,352 100.0

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin of
error
Tom
Perriello (D)
Robert
Hurt (R)
Jeffrey
Clark (I)
Undecided
Survey USA[34][35] September 28, 2010 () ± 35% 58% 4% 3%
Benenson Strategy Group[36] September 21, 2010 () ± 44% 46% 4% 5%
Global Strategy Group[37] September 7, 2010 () ± 42% 44% 6% 7%
Survey USA[38] September 2, 2010 () ± 35% 61% 2% 2%
American Action Forum[39] August 12, 2010 () ± 43% 49% 8%
Survey USA[40] July 20, 2010 () ± 35% 58% 4% 3%
Public Policy Polling[41][42] February 5–10, 2010 924 (V) ±3.2% 44% 44% 13%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Tilt R (flip) November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Tossup October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Lean R (flip) November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Likely R (flip) November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 5th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Robert Hurt 119,560 50.8
Democratic Tom Perriello (incumbent) 110,562 47.0
Independent Jeffrey Clark 4,992 2.1
Write-in 185 0.1
Majority 8,998 3.8
Total votes 235,299 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 6

2010 Virginia's 6th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Bob Goodlatte Jeff Vanke Stuart Bain
Party Republican Independent Libertarian
Popular vote 127,487 21,649 15,309
Percentage 76.3% 13.0% 9.2%

County and independent city results
Goodlatte:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. Representative before election

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Bob Goodlatte
Republican

Incumbent Republican Bob Goodlatte faced no primary opposition, and was re-elected to a 10th term in the general election on November 2, capturing 76% of the vote.[43][44]

Jeff Vanke of Roanoke ran as an Independent,[45] citing endorsements by the Modern Whig Party, American Centrist Party and Independent Green Party of Virginia,[46] and received 13% of the vote.[43][44]

Stuart Bain of Salem ran as a Libertarian[47][48] and received 9% of the vote.[43][44]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 6th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Bob Goodlatte (incumbent) 127,487 76.27
Independent Jeff Vanke 21,649 12.95
Libertarian Stuart Bain 15,309 9.16
Write-in 2,709 1.62
Majority
Total votes 167,154 100
Republican hold

District 7

2010 Virginia's 7th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Eric Cantor Rick Waugh
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 138,209 79,616
Percentage 59.2% 34.1%

County and independent city results
Cantor:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Waugh:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Eric Cantor
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Eric Cantor
Republican

Incumbent Republican Congressman and U.S. House Minority Whip Eric Cantor sought a sixth term and faced no primary opposition. Rick Waugh (campaign site, PVS) was the Democratic nominee, and Floyd C. Bayne (campaign site, PVS) was the Independent Greens of Virginia and Tea Party supported candidate. Tea Party-supported independent candidate Herb Lux (campaign site) had his emergency appeal to the United States Supreme Court turned aside on October 1, 2010, and so did not appear on the ballot.[49]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 7th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Eric Cantor (incumbent) 138,209 59.22
Democratic Rick Waugh 79,616 34.11
Independent Greens Floyd Bayne 15,164 6.50
Write-in 413 0.18
Majority
Total votes 233,402 100
Republican hold

District 8

2010 Virginia's 8th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Jim Moran Jay Patrick Murray
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 116,404 71,145
Percentage 61.0% 37.3%

County and independent city results
Moran:      50–60%      60–70%

U.S. Representative before election

Jim Moran
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Jim Moran
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Jim Moran was challenged by Republican nominee Jay Patrick Murray, a retired United States Army Colonel,[50][51] and Independent Green Party nominee Ron Fisher (campaign site, PVS), a retired U.S. Navy captain.

Democratic primary

Moran ran for re-election for an 11th term, and faced no primary opposition.

Republican primary

Former Republican primary candidates were:

Results

Republican primary results[51]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jay Patrick Murray 7,136 51.7
Republican Matthew Berry 6,654 48.3
Total votes 13,790 100.0

General election

Polling

Source Dates Administered Jim Moran (D) Patrick Murray (R) Undecided/Other
Pollster unavailable, results via The Washington Post[56] October 2010 58% 31% 11%
McLaughlin & Associates[57] September 2010 45% 32% 23%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe D November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe D November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe D October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe D November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 8th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Moran (incumbent) 116,404 61.03
Republican Jay Patrick Murray 71,145 37.30
Independent Greens J. Ron Fisher 2,707 1.42
Write-in 492 0.26
Majority
Total votes 190,748 100.0
Democratic hold

District 9

2010 Virginia's 9th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Morgan Griffith Rick Boucher
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 95,726 86,743
Percentage 51.2% 46.4%

County and independent city results
Griffith:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Boucher:      40–50%      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Rick Boucher
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Morgan Griffith
Republican

Democratic incumbent Rick Boucher was challenged by Republican nominee Morgan Griffith, the Majority Leader of the Virginia House of Delegates, and Independent Jeremiah Heaton (campaign site, PVS), a U.S. Army veteran, farmer and businessman.[58] The 9th District covers much of Southwest Virginia.

Democratic primary

Boucher, who had represented the district since 1983, was unopposed on the Democratic side.

Republican primary

On the Republican side, Griffith was selected by a convention held on May 22, 2010, at Fort Chiswell High School in Max Meadows. Delegates to the convention were selected by 23 local committee mass meetings held between February 25 and April 29.[59][60] Other Republican candidates for the nomination were:

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Tilt D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean D November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Lean D November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Lean D October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Lean D November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Lean D November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 9th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Morgan Griffith 95,726 51.21
Democratic Rick Boucher (incumbent) 86,743 46.41
Independent Jeremiah Heaton 4,282 2.29
Write-in 166 0.09
Majority
Total votes 186,917 100.0
Republican gain from Democratic

District 10

2010 Virginia's 10th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Frank Wolf Jeff Barnett
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 119,560 72,604
Percentage 62.9% 34.8%

County and independent city results
Wolf:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. Representative before election

Frank Wolf
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Frank Wolf
Republican

Republican incumbent Frank Wolf was running for re-election for a 16th term. He was challenged by Democrat Jeff Barnett (campaign site, PVS) and Libertarian William Redpath. The district, located in northern Virginia, includes some Washington, D.C. suburbs, but extends far west and north along the border of Maryland and West Virginia. In most Presidential elections of the past few decades, the district has been won by Republican candidates. The most recent exception is the 2008 election when Democratic then-Senator Barack Obama won the district, and became the first Democrat since Johnson to win Virginia's electoral votes.

Republican primary

Wolf was unopposed on the Republican side.

Democratic primary

Barnett won the Democratic primary election against Richard Anthony[66] and Julien Modica.[67]

Former candidates were:

  • Dennis Findley (D) - McLean resident and architect[68]
  • Jim Trautz (R) - Loudoun County resident and former naval officer[69]

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Safe R November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Safe R November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Safe R November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Safe R November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Safe R October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Safe R November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Safe R November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 10th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Frank Wolf (incumbent) 131,116 62.87
Democratic Jeff Barnett 72,604 34.81
Libertarian Bill Redpath 4,607 2.21
Write-in 229 0.11
Majority
Total votes 208,556 100
Republican hold

District 11

2010 Virginia's 11th congressional district election

← 2008
2012 →
 
Nominee Gerry Connolly Keith Fimian
Party Democratic Republican
Popular vote 111,720 110,739
Percentage 49.2% 48.8%

County and independent city results
Connolly:      50–60%
Fimian:      50–60%

U.S. Representative before election

Gerry Connolly
Democratic

Elected U.S. Representative

Gerry Connolly
Democratic

Democratic incumbent Gerry Connolly faced Republican Keith Fimian, who lost to Connolly in 2008. Also on the ballot were Libertarian David L. Dotson (campaign site, PVS),[70] Independent Green David William Gillis Jr. (campaign site, PVS), and Independent Christopher F. DeCarlo (campaign site, PVS).[25]

Democratic primary

Connolly was unopposed for the Democratic nomination.

Republican primary

Fimian won against Pat Herrity in the Republican primary election,[71][72] beating him 56%-44%, with 35,890 votes cast.[73]

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Keith Fimian 20,075 55.9
Republican Pat Herrity 15,815 44.1
Total votes 35,890 100.0

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[13] Tossup November 1, 2010
Rothenberg[14] Lean D November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean D November 1, 2010
RCP[16] Tossup November 1, 2010
CQ Politics[17] Lean D October 28, 2010
New York Times[18] Tossup November 1, 2010
FiveThirtyEight[18] Lean D November 1, 2010

Results

Virginia's 11th congressional district election, 2010
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Gerry Connolly (incumbent) 111,720 49.23
Republican Keith Fimian 110,739 48.79
Independent Christopher DeCarlo 1,846 0.81
Libertarian David Dotson 1,382 0.61
Independent Greens David Gillis, Jr. 959 0.42
Write-in 171 0.08
Majority
Total votes 226,951 100.0
Democratic hold

Notes

  1. ^ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear

References

  1. ^ Haas, Karen L. (June 3, 2011). "Statistics of the Congressional Election of November 2, 2010". Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives. Retrieved November 12, 2019.
  2. ^ a b "Archived copy" (PDF). www.cookpolitical.com. Archived from the original (PDF) on July 15, 2011. Retrieved January 15, 2022.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  3. ^ Catherine Crabill, archived from the original on December 7, 2010, retrieved September 22, 2010
  4. ^ Fitzgerald, Tom (July 17, 2009). "Who is Catherine Crabill?". WTTG. Washington, D.C.
  5. ^ Vaughan, Steve (June 2, 2010). "Tea Party attempts to topple Wittman". The Virginia Gazette. Williamsburg.[permanent dead link]
  6. ^ VCDL Update 9/2/09
  7. ^ a b "Wittman vs. Crabill". The Free Lance–Star. Fredericksburg. June 4, 2010. Archived from the original on June 7, 2010. Retrieved September 22, 2010.
  8. ^ Davis, Chelyen (June 7, 2010). "1st District voters face GOP primary choice". The Free Lance–Star. Fredericksburg.
  9. ^ Payne, Kimball (June 8, 2010). "Wittman wins easily". Daily Press. Newport News.[permanent dead link]
  10. ^ "Stock Market Trading". Scottrobinsonforcongress.com. Archived from the original on October 4, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  11. ^ "Krystal Ball for Congress". Krystal Ball for Congress. June 24, 2010. Archived from the original on May 15, 2009. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
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