Opinion polling for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election

Since the 2022 Brazilian general election, polling companies have published surveys tracking national voting intention for the 2026 Brazilian general election. The results of these surveys are listed below in reverse chronological order and include candidates who frequently polled above 3% and are registered in a party as well eligible by the Superior Electoral Court of Brazil.

Graphical summary

Aggregate data of voting intention from opinion polling for the presidential election. Each line represents a local regression. Only prospective candidates and individuals who frequently appear in polls are included. The "Undecided", "Blank/Null" and "Absent" groups were calculated out.

First round

Pre-campaign period

2026

First round

Pollster firm Polling

period

Others Blank
Null
Undec. 		Margin of error Sample size Lead Link
Lula

PT

F.
Bolsonaro

PL

Freitas

Repub.

Caiado

PSD

Ratinho

PSD

Zema

Novo

Datafolha 3–5 Mar 2026 39 33 N/a 4 N/a 5 5 15 ±2 pp 2,004 6 [1]
38 32 N/a N/a 7 4 5 14 6
39 N/a 21 N/a 11 5 5 19 18
Real Time Big Data 28 Feb–2 Mar 2026 40 33 N/a 5 N/a 3 4 15 ±2 pp 2,000 7 [2]
39 32 N/a N/a 9 2 4 14 7
Paraná Pesquisas 22–25 Feb 2026 40.5 36.6 N/a 3.7 N/a 4.3 1.9 13 ±2.2 pp 2,080 3.9 [3]
39.6 35.3 N/a N/a 7.6 3.8 2 11.7 4.3
AtlasIntel 19–24 Feb 2026 47.1 33.1 7.4 4.1 N/a 1.5 4.7 2.1 ±1 pp 4,986 14 [4]
43.3 N/a 36.2 5.1 N/a 8.5 3.4 3.5 7.1
45.3 39.1 N/a N/a N/a 5.7 6.5 3.5 6.2
45.1 39.5 N/a N/a 3.8 3.9 4.3 3.4 5.6
45 37.9 N/a 4.9 N/a 3.9 4 4.3 7.1
Quaest 5–9 Feb 2026 38 30 N/a 4 N/a 4 2 22 ±2 pp 2,004 8 [5]
39 32 N/a 4 N/a N/a 3 22 7
35 29 N/a N/a 8 4 2 22 6
37 31 N/a N/a 7 N/a 4 21 6
Real Time Big Data 6–7 Feb 2026 39 30 N/a N/a 10 3 3 15 ±2 pp 2,000 9 [6]
40 32 N/a 6 N/a 4 3 15 8
Futura 3–7 Feb 2026 36.7 34.2 9.8 N/a N/a 4 5 10.2 ±2.2 pp 2,000 2.5 [7]
35.3 35.7 N/a 6.6 N/a 6.5 3.2 12.7 0.2
35.9 37.2 N/a N/a 6.1 4.9 3.1 12.8 1.3
Gerp 28 Jan–2 Feb 2026 39 35 N/a 2 5 2 4 11 ±2.2 pp 2,000 4 [8]
Ideia 30 Jan–2 Feb 2026 39.5 32 N/a N/a 8.8 3 1.2 15.5 ±2.5 pp 1,500 7.5 [9]
39.5 33 N/a 5.1 N/a 6 1.2 15.1 6.5
40 N/a 35 N/a N/a 6.5 1.5 17 5
27 Jan Ronaldo Caiado joins the PSD.[10]
Paraná Pesquisas 25–28 Jan 2026 39.8 33.1 N/a 3.7 6.5 2.8 2.6 11.5 ±2.2 pp 2,080 6.7 [11]
40.7 N/a 27.5 6.6 N/a 4.4 3.4 17.4 13.2
AtlasIntel 15–20 Jan 2026 48.4 28 11 2.9 1.7 1.7 3.9 2.4 ±1 pp 5,418 20.4 [12]
48.8 35 N/a 4.3 2.8 2.8 4.4 1.9 13.8
48.5 N/a 28.4 5 3.9 3.9 4.3 6.1 20.1
48.8 N/a N/a 15.2 9.4 11.4 4.9 10.3 33.6
Futura 15–19 Jan 2026 37 33.3 10.5 3 N/a 2.6 1.7 11.9 ±2.2 pp 2,000 3.7 [13]
35.4 34.3 N/a 3.7 9.1 4.4 2.4 4.4 1.1
Ideia 8–12 Jan 2026 39.7 26.5 N/a 4.2 7 3.6 0.6 18.5 ±2.2 pp 2,000 13.2 [14]
40.2 N/a 32.7 5.5 N/a 5.5 0.9 15.4 7.5
Quaest 8–11 Jan 2026 36 23 9 3 7 2 2 18 ±2 pp 2,004 13 [15]
35 26 N/a 4 9 3 3 20 9
39 N/a 27 5 N/a N/a 7 22 12
40 23 14 N/a N/a N/a 4 19 17
37 28 N/a N/a 11 N/a 4 20 9

Second round

Pollster firm Polling

period

Blank
Null
Undec. 		Margin of error Sample size Lead Link
Lula

PT

F. Bolsonaro

PL

Freitas

Repub.

Caiado

PSD

Ratinho

PSD

Zema

Novo

Datafolha 3–5 Mar 2026 46 43 N/a N/a N/a N/a 11 ±2 pp 2,004 3 [16]
45 N/a 42 N/a N/a N/a 13 3
46 N/a N/a 36 N/a N/a 18 10
45 N/a N/a N/a 41 N/a 15 4
Real Time Big Data 28 Feb–2 Mar 2026 42 41 N/a N/a N/a N/a 17 ±2 pp 2,000 1 [17]
45 N/a N/a 36 N/a N/a 19 9
43 N/a N/a N/a 39 N/a 18 4
44 N/a N/a N/a N/a 35 21 9
Paraná Pesquisas 22–25 Feb 2026 43.8 44.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.9 ±2.2 pp 2,080 0.6 [18]
45.3 N/a N/a 36.2 N/a N/a 18.4 9.1
43.6 N/a N/a N/a 39.7 N/a 16.7 3.9
AtlasIntel 19–24 Feb 2026 46.2 46.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 7.5 ±1 pp 4,986 0.1 [19]
45.9 N/a 47.1 N/a N/a N/a 7 1.2
45.7 N/a N/a 37.6 N/a N/a 16.7 8.1
45.5 N/a N/a N/a 39 N/a 15.5 6.5
46 N/a N/a N/a N/a 41.7 12.3 4.3
Quaest 5–9 Feb 2026 43 38 N/a N/a N/a N/a 19 ±2 pp 2,004 5 [20]
42 N/a N/a 32 N/a N/a 26 10
43 N/a N/a N/a 35 N/a 22 8
43 N/a N/a N/a N/a 32 25 11
Futura 3–7 Feb 2026 42.4 48.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.4 ±2.2 pp 2,000 5.8 [21]
41.4 N/a 47.4 N/a N/a N/a 11.2 6
Gerp 28 Jan–2 Feb 2026 45 45 N/a N/a N/a N/a 10 ±2.2 pp 2,000 Tie [8]
47 N/a N/a 34 N/a N/a 19 2
45 N/a N/a N/a 41 N/a 14 6
47 N/a N/a N/a N/a 36 17 6
Ideia 30 Jan–2 Feb 2026 45.8 41.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a 13.1 ±2.5 pp 1,500 4.7 [9]
44.7 N/a 42.2 N/a N/a N/a 13.1 2.5
45 N/a N/a 34 N/a N/a 21 11
45 N/a N/a N/a 38 N/a 17 7
45 N/a N/a N/a N/a 34.5 20.5 10.5
Paraná Pesquisas 25–28 Jan 2026 44.8 42.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 13 ±2.2 pp 2,080 2.6 [22]
43.9 N/a 42.5 N/a N/a N/a 13.7 1.4
44.7 N/a N/a N/a 38.9 N/a 16.4 5.8
AtlasIntel 15–20 Jan 2026 49 45 N/a N/a N/a N/a 6 ±1 pp 5,418 4 [23]
49 N/a 45 N/a N/a N/a 6 4
49 N/a N/a N/a 39 N/a 12 10
49 N/a N/a N/a N/a 39 12 10
49 N/a N/a 39 N/a N/a 12 10
Futura 15–19 Jan 2026 41.9 48.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a 10 ±2.2 pp 2,000 6.2 [24]
41.3 N/a 46.1 N/a N/a N/a 12.5 4.8
Ideia 8–12 Jan 2026 46.2 36 N/a N/a N/a N/a 17.8 ±2.2 pp 2,000 10.2 [25]
44.4 N/a 42.1 N/a N/a N/a 13.6 2.3
46 N/a N/a N/a 37 N/a 17.1 9
46.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 36.1 17.7 10.2
46.3 N/a N/a 36.5 N/a N/a 17.3 9.8
Quaest 8–11 Jan 2026 45 38 N/a N/a N/a N/a 17 ±2 pp 2,004 7 [26]
44 N/a 39 N/a N/a N/a 17 5
43 N/a N/a N/a 36 N/a 21 7
46 N/a N/a N/a N/a 31 23 15
44 N/a N/a 33 N/a N/a 23 11

2025

First round

Polling firm Polling period Lula
 F. Bolsonaro
 Freitas
 Gomes
 Ratinho
 Zema
 Caiado
 Others
[a] 		Blank
Null
Undec.
[b] 		Margin of error
[c] 		Sample size Lead Link
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 Dec 2025 37.6 27.8 N/a 7.9 9 3.1 N/a 2.7 12 ±2.2 pp 2,038 9.8 [9]
37.8 N/a 26.2 8.7 N/a 3.9 5 3.3 15 11.6
AtlasIntel 10–15 Dec 2025 47.9 21.3 15 N/a 4.1 3 4.4 2.4 2 ±1 pp 18,154 26.6 [27]
48.1 29.3 N/a N/a 3.9 3.8 7.2 4.4 3.3 18.8
48.8 N/a 28.3 N/a 3.4 3.8 5.5 3 7.3 20.5
48.8 N/a N/a N/a 9 11.7 16.3 3.6 10.5 32.5
Quaest 11–14 Dec 2025 41 23 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3 23 ±2 pp 2,004 18 [28]
39 23 N/a N/a 13 N/a N/a 4 21 16
34 21 N/a 8 12 4 2 2 17 13
Gerp 6–10 Dec 2025 34 25 N/a 7 8 4 6 4 12 ±2.2 pp 2,000 9 [29]
5 Dec Flávio Bolsonaro announces his candidacy, stating that he was endorsed by his father, Jair Bolsonaro, during a prison visit.[30]
Ipec 4–8 Dec 2025 38 N/a 17 N/a 9 3 5 N/a 27 ±2 pp 2,000 21 [31]
19 N/a N/a 5 7 N/a 23 19
Datafolha 2–4 Dec 2025 41 N/a 23 N/a 11 3 6 N/a 16 ±2 pp 2,002 18 [32]
18 N/a N/a 12 6 7 N/a 23
AtlasIntel 22–27 Nov 2025 48.4 N/a 32.5 N/a 4.1 2.3 5.7 1.9 5 ±1 pp 5,510 15.9 [33]
47.3 23.1 N/a N/a 7.1 5 10.2 2.4 4.8 24.2
22 Nov Jair Bolsonaro is arrested by the Federal Police and transferred to prison for attempting to escape house arrest.[34]
CNT 19–23 Nov 2025 42 N/a 21.7 N/a 11.8 5.7 N/a N/a 18.8 ±2.2 pp 2,002 20.3 [35]
38 N/a N/a 9.6 6.4 2.7 4 27 11.5 11
Paraná Pesquisas 6–10 Nov 2025 36 N/a 23.2 9.7 9 3.3 4.5 N/a 14.3 ±2.2 pp 2,020 12.8 [36]
36.3 19.7 N/a 9.9 10.5 4.8 5.2 N/a 13.6 16.6
Quaest 6–9 Nov 2025 35 N/a 16 12 N/a 5 4 N/a 28 ±2 pp 2,004 20 [37]
Paraná Pesquisas 21–24 Oct 2025 37.4 N/a 22.3 9 8.1 5.7 4.1 N/a 13.4 ±2.2 pp 2,020 15.1 [38]
37.6 19.2 N/a 8.9 9.6 6.2 4.8 N/a 13.6 18.4
AtlasIntel 15–19 Oct 2025 51.3 N/a 30.4 N/a 3 2.5 6 N/a 6.9 ±1 pp 14,063 20.9 [39]
Quaest 2–5 Oct 2025 39 N/a 18 12 N/a 4 4 N/a 23 ±2 pp 2,004 21 [40]
Gerp 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025 27 N/a 23 7 5 3 3 8 24 ±2 pp 2,000 4 [41]
Quaest 12–14 Sep 2025 35 N/a 17 13 N/a 5 6 N/a 24 ±2 pp 2,004 18 [42]
11 Sep Jair Bolsonaro is sentenced to 27 years in prison for leading a coup plot.[43]
AtlasIntel 10–14 Sep 2025 48.2 N/a 30.4 4.3 2.6 3 3.7 2 5.7 ±1 pp 7,291 17.8 [44]
CNT 3–6 Sep 2025 35.8 N/a 17.1 11.6 10 3.6 4.2 N/a 17.7 ±2 pp 2,002 18.7 [45]
Real Time 28–30 Aug 2025 42 N/a 40 N/a N/a 4 N/a 2 9 ±3 pp 2,500 2 [46]
AtlasIntel 20–25 Aug 2025 44.1 N/a 31.8 3.4 4 4.4 3.2 5 4.2 ±1 pp 6,238 12.3 [47]
Paraná Pesquisas 17–21 Aug 2025 35.1 N/a 24.5 9.9 8.8 N/a 4.6 1.2 15.9 ±2.2 pp 2,020 10.6 [48]
Quaest 13–17 Aug 2025 35 N/a 17 11 N/a 4 6 N/a 27 ±2 pp 12,150 18 [49]
14 N/a 10 9 6 5 N/a 21 21
Datafolha 29–30 Jul 2025 38 N/a 21 N/a 12 6 7 N/a 17 ±2 pp 2,004 17 [50]
40 18 N/a N/a 11 7 8 N/a 16 22
AtlasIntel 25–28 Jul 2025 48.5 N/a 33 2.9 3.6 3.6 3 2.6 2.8 ±1 pp 7,334 15.5 [51]
Quaest 10–14 Jul 2025 32 N/a 15 12 N/a 4 5 N/a 32 ±2 pp 2,004 17 [52]
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jun 2025 44.6 N/a 34 3.5 2.5 4.4 1.7 4.7 4.6 ±2 pp 2,621 10.6 [53]
Neokemp 25–27 Jun 2025 35 N/a 37.5 10.2 N/a N/a 4.9 N/a 12.5 ±2.2 pp 2,020 2.5 [54]
Futura 12–23 Jun 2025 28.2 N/a 26.3 14.4 N/a N/a 6 N/a 25.1 ±2.2 pp 2,000 1.9 [55]
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 Jun 2025 34 N/a 24.3 13.5 6.9 N/a 4.3 N/a 16.1 ±2.2 pp 2,020 9.7 [56]
33.8 20.4 N/a 13.8 9 N/a 5.8 1.1 13.4
CNT 11–15 Jun 2025 30.5 N/a 18.3 14.6 8.1 4 4.1 N/a 20.4 ±2 pp 2,002 12.2 [57]
Datafolha 10–11 Jun 2025 37 N/a 21 N/a 11 6 6 N/a 19 ±2 pp 2,004 16 [58]
38 20 N/a N/a 12 N/a 11 N/a 18
Polling firm Polling period Lula
 Freitas
 Gomes
 Ratinho
 Zema
 Caiado
 Others
[a] 		Blank
Null
Undec.
[b] 		Margin of error
[c] 		Sample size Lead Link
Gerp 28–31 May 2025 24 18 9 7 3 5 9 25 ±2.2 pp 2,000 6 [59]
AtlasIntel 19–23 May 2025 44.1 33.1 3 N/a 1.4 4.7 8.3 5.4 ±1 pp 4,399 11 [60]
Gerp 21–25 Apr 2025 30 19 9 N/a 4 4 7 18 ±2.2 pp 2,000 11 [61]
AtlasIntel 20–24 Apr 2025 42.8 34.3 2.7 N/a 1.6 4.3 6.4 8 ±1 pp 5,419 8.5 [62]
Paraná Pesquisas 16–19 Apr 2025 34 27.3 12.6 N/a N/a 4.8 5.5 15.7 ±2.2 pp 2,020 6.7 [63]
Datafolha 1–3 Apr 2025 35 15 11 N/a 3 2 18 14 ±2 pp 3,054 20 [63]
AtlasIntel 24–27 Feb 2025 41.6 32.3 N/a N/a 4.5 4.5 4.5 12.6 ±1 pp 5,710 9.3 [64]
CNT 19–23 Feb 2025 30.4 14 14.3 N/a 3.9 3.9 13.2 20.2 ±2.2 pp 2,002 16.1 [65]
Quaest 23–26 Jan 2025 30 13 9 N/a 3 3 23 19 ±1 pp 4,500 17 [66]

Second round

Polling firm Polling period Lula
 F. Bolsonaro
 Freitas
 Ratinho
 Zema
 Caiado
 Blank
Null
Undec.
[b] 		Margin of error
[c] 		Sample size Lead Link
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 Dec 2025 44.1 41 N/a N/a N/a N/a 14.9 ±2.2 pp 2,038 3.1 [9]
44 N/a 42.5 N/a N/a N/a 13.5 1.5
43.8 N/a N/a 40.2 N/a N/a 16 3.6
AtlasIntel 10–15 Dec 2025 53 41 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4 ±1 pp 18,154 12 [67]
49 N/a 45 N/a N/a N/a 5 4
49 N/a N/a 39 N/a N/a 12 10
49 N/a N/a N/a 39 N/a 12 10
49 N/a N/a N/a N/a 39 12 10
Quaest 11–14 Dec 2025 46 36 N/a N/a N/a N/a 18 ±2 pp 2,004 10 [28]
45 N/a 35 N/a N/a N/a 20 10
45 N/a N/a 35 N/a N/a 20 10
45 N/a N/a N/a 33 N/a 22 12
44 N/a N/a N/a N/a 33 23 11
Gerp 6–10 Dec 2025 41 42 N/a N/a N/a N/a 17 ±2.2 pp 2,000 1 [29]
41 N/a N/a 39 N/a N/a 20 2
40 N/a N/a N/a 34 N/a 26 6
40 N/a N/a N/a N/a 34 26 6
Veritá 6–7 Dec 2025 40.3 N/a 44.9 N/a N/a N/a 14.8 ±2 pp 2,519 4.6 [68]
39.8 39.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 21 0.6
Datafolha 2–4 Dec 2025 47 N/a 42 N/a N/a N/a 11 ±2 pp 2,002 5 [32]
47 N/a N/a 41 N/a N/a 12 6
51 36 N/a N/a N/a N/a 13 15
AtlasIntel 22–27 Nov 2025 49 N/a 47 N/a N/a N/a 4 ±1 pp 5,510 2 [33]
49 N/a N/a 40 N/a N/a 11 9
49 N/a N/a N/a 41 N/a 10 8
49 N/a N/a N/a N/a 41 10 8
CNT 19–23 Nov 2025 45.7 N/a 39.1 N/a N/a N/a 15.1 ±2.2 pp 2,002 6.6 [35]
45.8 N/a N/a 38.7 N/a N/a 15.5 7.1
47.9 N/a N/a N/a 33.5 N/a 18.6 14.4
46.9 N/a N/a N/a N/a 33.7 19.4 13.2
Paraná Pesquisas 6–10 Nov 2025 43 N/a 41.8 N/a N/a N/a 15.2 ±2.2 pp 2,020 1.2 [36]
45.4 38.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a 16 6.8
Quaest 6–9 Nov 2025 41 N/a 36 N/a N/a N/a 23 ±2 pp 2,004 5 [37]
Paraná Pesquisas 21–24 Oct 2025 44.9 N/a 40.9 N/a N/a N/a 14.2 ±2.2 pp 2,020 4 [38]
46.7 37 N/a N/a N/a N/a 16.3 9.7
AtlasIntel 15–19 Oct 2025 52 N/a 44 N/a N/a N/a 5 ±1 pp 14,063 8 [39]
Quaest 2–5 Oct 2025 45 N/a 33 N/a N/a N/a 22 ±2 pp 2,004 12 [40]
Gerp 29 Sep – 6 Oct 2025 36 N/a 45 N/a N/a N/a 19 ±2.2 pp 2,000 9 [41]
Quaest 12–14 Sep 2025 43 N/a 35 N/a N/a N/a 22 ±2 pp 2,004 8 [42]
AtlasIntel 10–14 Sep 2025 50.6 N/a 45.2 N/a N/a N/a 4.2 ±1 pp 7,291 5.4 [69]
CNT 3–6 Sep 2025 43.9 N/a 37.6 N/a N/a N/a 18.5 ±2 pp 2,002 6.3 [70]
AtlasIntel 20–25 Aug 2025 46.6 N/a 48.4 N/a N/a N/a 5 ±1 pp 6,238 1.8 [47]
Paraná Pesquisas 17–21 Aug 2025 41.9 N/a 41.9 N/a N/a N/a 16.1 ±2.2 pp 2,020 Tie [48]
Quaest 13–17 Aug 2025 43 N/a 35 N/a N/a N/a 22 ±2 pp 12,150 8 [49]
48 32 N/a N/a N/a N/a 20 16
Datafolha 29–30 Jul 2025 45 N/a 41 N/a N/a N/a 14 ±2 pp 2,004 4 [50]
48 37 N/a N/a N/a N/a 11
AtlasIntel 25–28 Jul 2025 50.4 N/a 46.6 N/a N/a N/a 3 ±1 pp 7,334 3.8 [71]
Quaest 10–14 Jul 2025 41 N/a 37 N/a N/a N/a 23 ±2 pp 2,004 4 [52]
AtlasIntel 27–30 Jun 2025 47.6 N/a 46.9 N/a N/a N/a 5.5 ±2 pp 2,621 0.7 [53]
Neokemp 25–27 Jun 2025 41.7 N/a 46.5 N/a N/a N/a 11.9 ±2.2 pp 2,020 4.8 [54]
Futura 12–23 Jun 2025 34.9 N/a 46.5 N/a N/a N/a 18.6 ±2.2 pp 2,000 11.6 [55]
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 Jun 2025 40.1 N/a 43.6 N/a N/a N/a 16.2 ±2.2 pp 2,020 3.5 [72]
42.1 38.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 19.4 3.7
Datafolha 10–11 Jun 2025 43 N/a 42 N/a N/a N/a 15 ±2 pp 2,004 1 [58]
47 38 N/a N/a N/a N/a 9
Futura 2–4 Jun 2025 41.1 N/a 41 N/a N/a N/a 17.9 ±3.1 pp 1,001 0.1 [59]
Quaest 29 May – 1 Jun 2025 41 N/a 40 N/a N/a N/a 19 ±2 pp 2,004 1 [73]
40 N/a N/a 38 N/a N/a 22 2
AtlasIntel 19–23 May 2025 45.3 N/a 48.9 N/a N/a N/a 4.9 ±1 pp 4,399 3.6 [74]
AtlasIntel 20–24 Apr 2025 46.7 N/a 46.7 N/a N/a N/a 6.6 ±1 pp 5,419 Tie [75]
Paraná Pesquisas 16–19 Apr 2025 40.6 N/a 43.4 N/a N/a N/a 16 ±2.2 pp 2,020 2.8 [63]
Datafolha 1–3 Apr 2025 48 N/a 39 N/a N/a N/a 14 ±2 pp 3,054 9 [76]
Quaest 27–31 Mar 2025 43 N/a 37 N/a N/a N/a 20 ±2 pp 2,004 6 [77]
AtlasIntel 20–24 Mar 2025 46 N/a 47 N/a N/a N/a 7 ±1 pp 4,659 1 [78]
Futura 19–22 Mar 2025 37.6 N/a 42.3 N/a N/a N/a 20.1 ±3.1 pp 1,000 4.7 [79]
AtlasIntel 24–27 Feb 2025 47 N/a 49 N/a N/a N/a 4 ±1 pp 5,710 2 [64]
AtlasIntel 27–31 Jan 2025 45.7 N/a 44.7 N/a N/a N/a 9.6 ±2 pp 3,125 1 [80]
47.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 36.5 16.1 10.9
Quaest 23–26 Jan 2025 43 N/a 34 N/a N/a N/a 23 ±1 pp 4,500 9 [81]
45 N/a N/a N/a 28 N/a 27 17
45 N/a N/a N/a N/a 26 29 19

2024

First round

Polling firm Polling period Lula
 Haddad
 Freitas
 J. Bolsonaro[d]
 Marçal[d]
 M. Bolsonaro
 Gomes
 Zema
 Ratinho
 Moro
 Caiado
 Leite
 Barbalho
 Tebet
 Cristina
 Blank
Null
Undec.
[b] 		Margin of error
[c] 		Sample size Lead Link
Paraná Pesquisas 21–25 Nov 2024 33.6 N/a N/a 37.6 N/a N/a 7.9 N/a N/a N/a 3.7 N/a N/a 7.7 N/a 9.6 — 2,014 4 [82]
34.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 27.5 10.2 N/a N/a N/a 6.4 N/a N/a 8.2 N/a 13.5 6.7
34.7 N/a 24.1 N/a N/a N/a 11.5 N/a N/a N/a 5.3 N/a N/a 8.4 N/a 16.1 10.6
34.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.8 N/a 15.3 N/a 8.9 N/a N/a 8.7 N/a 19.9 19.1
34.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 13.4 12.2 N/a N/a 8 N/a N/a 9.5 N/a 22.2 21.3
N/a 14.5 N/a 38.3 N/a N/a 14.2 N/a N/a N/a 4.4 N/a N/a 13 N/a 15.6 23.8
N/a 14.9 N/a N/a N/a 27.6 17 N/a N/a N/a 7.1 N/a N/a 13.5 N/a 19.9 10.6
CNT 7–10 Nov 2024 35.2 N/a N/a 32.2 8.4 N/a 6.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8 N/a 10 ±2.2 pp 2,002 3 [83]
34.1 N/a N/a N/a 14.1 20.5 9.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.2 N/a 12.8 13.6
35.2 N/a 15 N/a 16.9 N/a 9.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.5 N/a 14 18.3
Paraná Pesquisas 18–22 Jul 2024 38.3 N/a N/a 36.9 N/a N/a 7.9 N/a N/a N/a 3 1.9 0.5 N/a N/a 11.6 ±2.2 pp 2,026 1.4 [84]
38.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a 30.3 9.1 N/a N/a N/a 4.5 2.3 0.6 N/a N/a 14.5 8.4
38.9 N/a 24.4 N/a N/a N/a 11.8 N/a N/a N/a 4 2.7 0.6 N/a N/a 17.6 14.5
39 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.4 N/a 14.2 N/a 7.5 3.3 0.7 N/a N/a 22.8 24.8
38.8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 13.3 13.1 N/a N/a 6.7 3.5 0.8 N/a N/a 23.9 25.5
Quaest 2–6 May 2024 46 N/a 40 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 14 ±2.2 pp 2,045 6 [85]
Paraná Pesquisas 27 Apr – 1 May 2024 36 N/a N/a 38.8 N/a N/a 8.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.4 1.0 N/a N/a 12.3 ±2.2 pp 2,020 2.8 [86]
36.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a 33 10.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.8 1.4 N/a N/a 15.0 3.6
36.9 N/a 25.6 N/a N/a N/a 11.8 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.8 1.3 N/a N/a 20.7 11.3
37.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 14.7 N/a N/a N/a 10.9 5.6 1.7 N/a N/a 29.8 22.5
36.9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 6.5 1.9 N/a 15.2 31.0 21.7
36.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 13.8 N/a 17.6 N/a N/a 4.9 1.6 N/a N/a 25.9 18.7
37.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 14.8 14.9 N/a N/a N/a 5.1 1.8 N/a N/a 26.3 22.3
Paraná Pesquisas 24–28 Jan 2024 37.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a 23 9.3 6.5 5.1 N/a 1.9 N/a 0.9 N/a N/a 15.6 ±3.4 pp 2,026 14.6 [87]
37.4 N/a 17.4 N/a N/a N/a 10.3 5.8 6.2 N/a 2.1 N/a 1.1 N/a N/a 19.6 20
36.9 N/a N/a 33.8 N/a N/a 7.8 3.9 3.9 N/a 1.2 N/a 0.8 N/a N/a 11.7 3.1
Paraná Pesquisas 29 Sep – 3 Oct 2023 36.6 N/a 12.7 N/a N/a N/a 6.3 5.7 4.6 6.7 1.2 2.1 N/a 7.4 1.9 14.9 ±2.2 pp 2,020 23.9 [88]
37.6 N/a 18.9 N/a N/a N/a 8.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.7 N/a 9.0 N/a 22.2 18.7
37.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8.8 15.3 N/a N/a N/a 4.0 N/a 8.8 N/a 25.5 22.3
37.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.2 N/a 12.8 N/a N/a 4.1 N/a 8.7 N/a 27.4 24.9

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b Refers to the total for other eligible and ineligible candidates, not registered in a party and that did not frequently polled above 3%.
  2. ^ a b c d Refers to the total, "raw" sample size, including undecided and non-voters.
  3. ^ a b c d In cases when linked poll details distinguish between the margin of error associated with the total sample of respondents (including undecided and non-voters) and that of the subsample of decided/leaning voters, the former is included in the table. Also not included is the margin of error created by rounding to the nearest whole number or any margin of error from methodological sources. Most online polls (because of their opt-in method of recruiting panelists which results in a non-random sample) cannot have a margin of error. In such cases, shown is what the margin of error would be for a survey using a random probability-based sample of equivalent size.
  4. ^ a b Ineligible.

References

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allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Brazilian_presidential_election