Opinion polling for the 2025 Portuguese local elections
In the run up to the 2025 Portuguese local elections, various organisations will carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in several municipalities across Portugal. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous local elections, held on 26 September 2021, to the day the next elections will be held, on 12 October 2025.
Polling
Alcobaça
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD | PS | CH | CDU | IL | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 58.6 5 |
16.6 1 |
13.4 1 |
3.6 0 |
4.1 0 |
3.7 0 |
42.0 | |||||
| IPOM[a] | 2–13 Sep 2025 | 417 | 55.0 | 15.0 | 15.7 | 6.6 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 39.3 | |||||
| IPOM[b] Seat projection |
2–3 Sep 2025 | 387 | 54.8 5 |
15.1 1 |
16.3 1 |
6.1 0 |
7.0 0 |
0.7 0 |
38.5 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 43.2 4 |
30.0 3 |
4.6 0 |
3.5 0 |
3.4 0 |
15.3 0 |
13.2 | |||||
Almada
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | CDU | PSD | CDS | BE L |
CH | PAN | IL | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 29.1 4 |
20.6 3 |
19.4 2 |
0.7 0 |
4.6 0 |
18.2 2 |
1.7 0 |
3.3 0 |
2.4 | 8.5 | |||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 4,122 | 28.4– 32.4 3/5 |
20.7– 24.7 2/4 |
16.8– 20.8 1/3 |
2.6– 6.6 0/1 |
14.5– 18.5 1/3 |
0.0– 3.4 0/1 |
1.3– 5.3 0/1 |
7.7 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 39.9 5 |
29.7 4 |
10.7 1 |
6.8 1 |
5.6 0 |
2.3 0 |
2.0 0 |
3.0 | 10.2 | ||||
Alenquer
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD/CDS/IL PPM/MPT/NC |
CDU | CH | Ind. (TP) |
O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSD | CDS | IL | ||||||||||
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 31.3 3 |
28.5 2 |
6.9 0 |
14.5 1 |
16.9 1 |
1.9 0 |
2.8 | |||
| Multidados[c] | 17 Feb–11 Mar 2025 | 350 | 41.0 | 10.9 | N/a | 0.9 | 2.5 | 12.7 | 23.5 | 8.6[d] | 17.5 | |
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 42.4 5 |
14.6 1 |
6.4 0 |
N/a | 11.5 1 |
7.4 0 |
N/a | 17.7 | 27.8 | |
Aveiro
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS PPM |
PS | BE | CH | CDU | IL | PAN | L | O | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 39.4 4 |
33.7 4 |
2.0 0 |
10.9 1 |
1.5 0 |
5.2 0 |
0.9 0 |
2.2 0 |
4.3 | 6.4 | ||
| GfK | 4–20 Aug 2025[e] | 603 | 31 | 36 | 2 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | ||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 51.3 6 |
26.0 3 |
6.4 0 |
4.0 0 |
3.3 0 |
2.3 0 |
N/a | N/a | 6.7 | 25.3 | ||
Batalha
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Ind. (BTMI) |
PSD | CDS | CH | IL | CDU | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 20.7 2 |
44.2 4 |
16.0 1 |
10.0 0 |
4.3 0 |
1.0 0 |
3.8 0 |
23.5 | |||||
| IPOM[f] Seat projection |
26–29 Sep 2025 | 433 | 24.5 2 |
42.7 4 |
18.9 1 |
9.1 0 |
2.1 0 |
0.8 0 |
1.8 0 |
18.2 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 46.5 4 |
35.5 3 |
4.8 0 |
4.7 0 |
3.1 0 |
1.1 0 |
4.3 0 |
11.0 | |||||
Braga
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS PPM |
PS PAN |
CDU | CH | BE | IL | L | Ind. (RS) |
O | Lead | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 24.5 3 |
24.2 3 |
3.1 0 |
10.4 1 |
0.9 0 |
12.3 1 |
1.6 0 |
20.0 3 |
2.9 0 |
0.3 | |
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 3,259 | 20–24 2/4 |
22–26 2/4 |
2–4 0 |
9–11 1 |
0–1 0 |
13–16 1/2 |
1–2 0 |
19–23 2/3 |
1–4 0 |
2 | |
| Intercampus[g] | 29 Aug–10 Sep 2025 | 801 | 23.6 | 31.3 | 5.4 | 9.1 | 1.8 | 7.1 | 2.4 | 11.9 | 7.3 | 7.7 | |
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 42.9 6 |
30.7 4 |
2.7 0 |
6.7 1 |
4.7 0 |
4.2 0 |
2.9 0 |
0.6 0 |
N/a | 4.6 | 12.2 |
Bragança
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD | PS | CH | CDU | IL | Ind. (SB) |
O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 41.4 3 |
50.3 4 |
2.2 0 |
0.8 0 |
2.5 0 |
0.6 0 |
2.2 0 |
8.9 | |||
| Aximage | 15–29 Sep 2025 | 501 | 35 | 48 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 13 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 57.5 5 |
27.0 2 |
5.9 0 |
2.2 0 |
1.3 0 |
N/a | 6.1 0 |
30.5 | |||
Cascais
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS |
PS | CH | CDU | BE L PAN |
IL | Ind. (JMJ) |
ND NC |
O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 33.8 5 |
16.2 2 |
14.5 2 |
3.9 0 |
4.5 0 |
6.4 0 |
14.8 2 |
3.0 0 |
3.0 0 |
17.6 | |||
| Metris | 15–23 Sep 2025 | 603[h] | 33.2 | 9.4 | 16.2 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 8.3 | 14.6 | 5.4 | 6.1 | 17.0 | |||
| Metris | 26 May–8 Jun 2025 | 805[i] | 43.1 | 9.1 | 13.5 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 11.0 | 12.2 | 3.2 | 2.6 | 29.6 | |||
| 805[j] | 44.0 | N/a | 14.0 | 2.9 | 2.7 | 11.2 | 16.8 | 2.7 | 5.7 | 27.2 | |||||
| 805[k] | 45.8 | N/a | 13.7 | 3.1 | 2.9 | 12.0 | 15.4 | N/a | 5.3 | 30.4 | |||||
| Metris | 15–21 Oct 2024 | 402[l] | 36 | 24 | 18 | 3 | N/a | N/a | 14 | N/a | 5 | 12 | |||
| 402[m] | 32 | 23 | 17 | 3 | N/a | 21 | N/a | 4 | 9 | ||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 52.6 7 |
21.6 3 |
7.4 1 |
5.4 0 |
3.7 0[n] |
4.3 0 |
N/a | N/a | 5.0 | 31.0 | |||
Coimbra
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS IL PPM NC Volt MPT |
PS L PAN |
CDU | CH | BE | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 37.8 5 |
42.1 5 |
4.8 0 |
8.2 1 |
2.9 0 |
4.2 0 |
4.3 | |||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,036 | 35–39 4/5 |
42–46 5/7 |
4–6 0 |
7–10 1 |
2–4 0 |
1–5 0 |
7 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 43.9 6 |
1.7 0 |
32.7 4 |
1.5 0 |
7.5 1 |
2.3 0 |
N/a | 10.4 0 |
11.2 | |
Covilhã
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | CDS IL |
PSD | CDU | CH | Ind. (CM) |
O | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 40.0 4 |
9.2 1 |
18.2 1 |
5.9 0 |
7.5 0 |
15.6 1 |
3.6 | 21.8 | ||
| Aximage[o] | 8–23 Jan 2025 | 500 | 59.5 | 27.0 | 4.1 | 5.4 | N/a | 4.1 | 32.5 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 46.2 4 |
30.4 3 |
9.7 0 |
1.7 0 |
N/a | 11.9 0 |
15.8 | |||
Faro
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS IL PAN MPT |
PS | CDU | CH | BE | L | O | Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 31.6 3 |
39.5 4 |
3.7 0 |
17.3 2 |
1.1 0 |
2.0 0 |
4.9 0 |
7.9 | ||||||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 2,293 | 32–36 3/4 |
39–44 4/5 |
3–4 0 |
13–16 1 |
1–2 0 |
1–3 0 |
3–7 0 |
7–8 | ||||||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 4,326 | 30.9–35.9 3/5 |
36.0– 41.2 3/5 |
2.4– 5.4 0/1 |
14.0– 17.8 1/2 |
1.0– 3.0 0/1 |
0.9– 2.9 0/1 |
5.1– 5.3 | |||||||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 3,498 | 30.7–34.7 2/4 |
36.5– 40.5 3/5 |
2.2– 6.2 0/1 |
14.9– 18.9 1/2 |
0.0– 3.7 0/1 |
0.3– 4.3 0/1 |
1.7– 5.7 |
5.8 | ||||||
| Pitagórica | 25–30 Sep 2025 | 504 | 30.6 | 31.6 | 7.8 | 20.9 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 5.1 | 1.0 | ||||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 23–28 Jul 2025 | 802 | 29 | 31 | 5 | 23 | 5 | N/a | 7 | 2 | ||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 47.8 6[p] |
2.7 0[q] |
30.6 3 |
6.5 0 |
5.1 0 |
4.1 0 |
N/a | 3.3 | 17.2 | |||||
Figueira da Foz
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD/CDS | PS | CDU | BE L PAN |
CH | O | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSL | PSD | CDS | |||||||||||||||
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 58.9 6 |
19.5 2 |
3.3 0 |
3.2 0 |
10.0 1 |
5.1 0 |
39.4 | ||||||||
| Intercampus[r] | 18 Jul–3 Aug 2024 | 601 | 46.1 | 16.9 | 0.5 | 25.2 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 2.7 | 20.9 | ||||||
| Aximage | 27 Feb–10 Mar 2023 | 486 | 66 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 1 | 1 | N/a | 11 | 48 | ||||||
| 2021 local election[1] | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 40.4 4 |
10.8 1 |
1.2 0 |
38.4 4 |
2.7 0 |
2.5 0[n] |
N/a | 4.5 | 2.0 | ||||||
Funchal
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS |
PS | BE | PAN | MPT | ADN | CDU | CH | JPP | IL | PTP | L | O | Lead | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 41.3 6 |
12.8 1 |
1.0 0 |
1.1 0 |
0.3 0 |
0.5 0 |
2.2 0 |
14.8 2 |
19.1 2 |
2.4 0 |
0.6 0 |
0.6 0 |
3.3 0 |
22.2 | ||||||||
| Aximage Seat projection |
28 Sep–2 Oct 2025 | 403 | 46.0 6 |
11.2 1 |
0.5 0 |
1.4 0 |
0.5 0 |
0.8 0 |
1.7 0 |
13.7 2 |
18.4 2 |
3.0 0 |
0.4 0 |
0.5 0 |
2.0[s] 0 |
27.6 | ||||||||
| Intercampus[t] Seat projection |
11–29 Sep 2025 | 403 | 43.9 6 |
20.8 3 |
1.1 0 |
0.7 0 |
0.0 0 |
0.7 0 |
2.1 0 |
10.0 1 |
12.6 1 |
4.0 0 |
0.7 0 |
1.1 0 |
2.3[u] 0 |
23.1 | ||||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 47.0 6 |
39.7 5 |
2.9 0 |
2.6 0 |
1.7 0 |
1.3 0 |
1.1 0 |
0.5 0 |
3.2 0 |
7.3 | ||||||||||||
Gondomar
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | CDS | PSD/IL | CDU | BE | CH | PAN | Ind. (PG) |
O | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSD | IL | |||||||||||||
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 39.3 6 |
1.2 0 |
25.0 3 |
5.9 0 |
1.3 0 |
15.6 2 |
1.5 0 |
2.9 0 |
7.3 0 |
14.3 | ||
| Multidados Seat projection |
29 Sep–2 Oct 2025 | 300 | 49.2 5/7 |
1.1 0 |
17.7 2/3 |
4.4 0 |
1.0 0 |
13.8 1/2 |
1.0 0 |
7.7 0/1 |
4.1 0 |
31.5 | ||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 46.9 7 |
21.6 3 |
2.7 0 |
10.8 1 |
5.8 0 |
4.0 0 |
2.9 0 |
N/a | 5.3 | 25.3 | ||
Leiria
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD | CH | CDS | CDU | BE L PAN |
IL | ADN | O | Lead | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 54.1 7 |
21.8 3 |
11.5 1 |
2.0 0 |
1.5 0 |
1.5 0 |
3.7 0 |
0.5 0 |
3.4 0 |
32.3 | ||
| IPOM[v] Seat projection |
24–26 Sep 2025 | 472 | 53.6 7 |
18.0 2 |
18.9 2 |
2.4 0 |
0.6 0 |
0.6 0 |
1.1 0 |
0.3 0 |
4.5 0 |
34.7 | ||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 52.5 8 |
22.4 3 |
5.7 0 |
4.2 0 |
2.5 0 |
2.4 0[n] |
1.8 0[q] |
0.7 0[w] |
2.4 0 |
N/a | 5.4 0 |
30.1 |
Lisbon
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS IL |
PS L BE PAN |
CDU | CH | ADN | ND | PPM PTP |
O | Lead | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 41.7 8 |
34.0 6 |
10.1 1 |
10.1 2 |
0.4 0 |
0.3 0 |
0.3 0 |
3.1 0 |
7.7 | |||||||||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,658 | 37–42 6/9 |
37–42 6/9 |
8–11 1/2 |
7–10 1/2 |
0–1 0 |
0–1 0 |
0–1 0 |
1–5 0 |
Tie | |||||||||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 9,832 | 36.8–42.0 6/8 |
33.7–38.9 6/8 |
9.0– 12.4 1/3 |
7.7– 11.1 1/2 |
3.1 | |||||||||||||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 8,700 | 37.9–41.9 6/8 |
34.8–38.8 6/8 |
8.9– 12.9 1/3 |
7.0– 11.0 0/2 |
1.4– 5.4 |
3.1 | ||||||||||||
| CESOP–UCP Seat projection |
27–29 Sep 2025 | 1,066 | 35 6/8 |
36 6/8 |
8 1/2 |
12 2 |
1 0 |
1 0 |
2 0 |
5 0 |
1 | |||||||||
| Pitagórica | 23–28 Sep 2025 | 625 | 38.7 | 35.7 | 11.7 | 9.6 | 0.6 | 0.6 | N/a | 3.1 | 3.0 | |||||||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 13–23 Sep 2025 | 807 | 36 | 35 | 6 | 16 | 2 | 1 | N/a | 4 | 1 | |||||||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 14–27 Jul 2025 | 800 | 41 | 36 | 5 | 14 | N/a | N/a | N/a | 4 | 5 | |||||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 34.3 7[x] |
4.2 0[y] |
33.3 7[z] |
6.2 1[n] |
2.7 0[q] |
10.5 2 |
4.4 0 |
0.1 0 |
N/a | N/a | 4.3 0 |
1.0 | ||||||
Loures
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | CDU | PSD CDS |
CH | BE L PAN |
IL | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 43.8 6 |
11.0 1 |
14.9 2 |
20.7 2 |
3.4 0 |
2.5 0 |
3.7 0 |
23.1 | |||||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,732 | 44–48 5/7 |
9–12 1 |
14–17 1 |
17–20 2 |
2–5 0 |
2–4 0 |
1–5 0 |
27– 28 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 31.5 4 |
29.0 4 |
14.0 2 |
1.5 0 |
8.4 1 |
3.9 0 |
3.3 0 |
8.4 0 |
2.5 | ||||
Marinha Grande
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Ind. (MPM) |
PS | CDU | CH | O | Lead | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 24.0 2 |
34.7 3 |
17.5 1 |
18.7 1 |
5.0 | 10.7 | |||||||
| IPOM[aa] Seat projection |
17–18 Sep 2025 | 389 | 26.9 2 |
25.3 2 |
19.7 1 |
25.0 2 |
1.9 0 |
1.6 | |||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 38.3 3 |
6.9 0[ab] |
21.9 2 |
20.5 2 |
3.4 0 |
9.0 0 |
16.4 | ||||||
Nazaré
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD | CDU | BE | CH | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 35.4 3 |
38.6 3 |
10.6 0 |
1.6 0 |
11.0 1 |
2.8 | 3.2 | |||||
| IPOM[ac] | 5–15 Sep 2025 | 395 | 28.3 | 28.9 | 14.5 | 2.9 | 23.6 | 1.9 | 0.6 | |||||
| IPOM[ad] Seat projection |
4–5 Sep 2025 | 357 | 27.5 2 |
29.0 2 |
14.5 1 |
3.2 0 |
24.2 2 |
1.5 0 |
1.5 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 44.9 4 |
28.2 2 |
14.2 1 |
5.1 0 |
N/a | 7.5 0 |
16.7 | |||||
Ourém
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS |
PS | CH | CDU | O | Lead | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 66.6 5 |
11.8 1 |
15.5 1 |
1.9 0 |
4.1 | 51.1 | ||||||
| IPOM[ae] Seat projection |
12–13 Sep 2025 | 377 | 60.2 5 |
16.8 1 |
17.2 1 |
3.8 0 |
2.0 0 |
43.0 | ||||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 62.8 6 |
18.8 1 |
4.9 0 |
2.2 0 |
11.3 0 |
44.0 | ||||||
Penafiel
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD CDS |
PS | CH | CDU | BE | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 53.1 6 |
32.8 3 |
8.1 0 |
1.2 0 |
0.7 0 |
4.1 0 |
20.3 | ||||
| IPOM[af] | 20–27 Jan 2025 | 586 | 49.6 | 27.7 | 11.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 8.5[ag] | 21.9 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 60.5 6 |
30.9 3 |
2.2 0 |
1.9 0 |
1.7 0 |
2.8 | 29.6 | ||||
Pombal
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD | PS | CH | IL | BE | CDU | CDS | Ind. (LC) |
O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 58.2 5 |
13.9 1 |
9.9 1 |
2.0 0 |
1.0 0 |
1.0 0 |
1.4 0 |
8.2 0 |
4.4 | 44.3 | |||
| IPOM[ah] Seat projection |
10–11 Sep 2025 | 430 | 58.7 5 |
15.7 1 |
12.7 1 |
1.9 0 |
0.3 0 |
2.2 0 |
0.3 0 |
5.2 0 |
3.0 | 43.0 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 61.1 5 |
21.0 2 |
3.7 0 |
3.2 0 |
2.9 0 |
1.8 0 |
N/a | N/a | 6.3 | 40.1 | |||
Porto
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Ind. (FA) |
PS | PSD IL CDS |
CDU | BE | CH | L | NC PPM |
O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 5.1 0 |
35.5 6 |
37.4 6 |
3.9 0 |
1.8 0 |
8.2 1 |
3.4 0 |
1.9 0 |
2.8 0 |
1.9 | |||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 6,124 | 4–6 0/1 |
33–37 5/7 |
36–40 5/7 |
4–6 0/1 |
1–3 0 |
6–9 1 |
3–5 0 |
1–3 0 |
2–7 0 |
3 | |||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 7,532 | 3.8–6.8 0/1 |
32.0–37.2 5/7 |
34.2–39.4 5/7 |
2.7–5.5 0/1 |
1.1–3.1 0/1 |
6.8–10.2 0/2 |
1.1–3.1 0/1 |
1.4–3.4 0/1 |
2.2 | ||||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,890 | 3.5–7.5 0/1 |
30.8–34.8 4/6 |
37.0–41.0 6/8 |
2.5–6.5 0/1 |
0.1–4.1 0/1 |
6.2–10.2 0/2 |
1.3–5.3 0/1 |
2.7–6.7 | 6.2 | ||||
| Pitagórica | 29 Sep–4 Oct 2025 | 625 | 7.0 | 32.9 | 33.1 | 3.3 | 2.9 | 10.4 | 3.9 | 3.3 | 3.2 | 0.2 | |||
| CESOP–UCP Seat projection |
27–28 Sep 2025 | 1,163 | 6 0/1 |
29 4/5 |
32 4/6 |
5 0/1 |
3 0 |
10 1/2 |
6 0/1 |
4 0 |
5 0 |
3 | |||
| ICS/ISCTE | 5–16 Sep 2025 | 805 | 3 | 37 | 34 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |||
| ICS/ISCTE | 17 Jun–2 Jul 2025 | 805 | 5 | 36 | 33 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 40.7 6 |
18.0 3 |
17.2 2[ab] |
7.5 1 |
6.3 1 |
3.0 0 |
0.5 0 |
N/a | 6.8 0 |
22.7 | |||
Porto de Mós
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSD | PS | CH | CDU | IL | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 62.8 5 |
13.6 1 |
11.5 1 |
1.4 0 |
6.7 0 |
4.1 | 49.2 | |||||
| IPOM[ai] Seat projection |
16–17 Sep 2025 | 400 | 62.9 5 |
14.5 1 |
19.4 1 |
0.7 0 |
1.1 0 |
1.4 0 |
43.5 | |||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 55.9 4 |
35.9 3 |
3.0 0 |
1.7 0 |
N/a | 3.5 0 |
20.0 | |||||
São João da Madeira
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD CDS |
IL | CDU | BE | CH | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 39.2 3 |
44.0 4 |
2.3 0 |
2.2 0 |
2.1 0 |
7.7 0 |
2.5 | 4.8 | ||||
| IPOM | 2–4 Oct 2025 | 451 | 39.6 | 41.3 | 1.8 | 3.5 | 2.9 | 10.6 | 0.3 | 1.7 | ||||
| Intercampus[aj] | 19–30 Sep 2025 | 405 | 32.1 | 40.1 | 2.7 | 3.0 | 4.3 | 15.9 | 2.0 | 8.0 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 51.6 4 |
32.1 3 |
4.6 0 |
3.9 0 |
2.8 0 |
5.1 0 |
19.5 | |||||
Setúbal
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | CDU | PS | Ind. (MDM) |
CH | BE | IL | PAN | L | ADN | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 11.4 1 |
27.5 4 |
29.9 4 |
18.1 2 |
1.2 0 |
4.5 0 |
0.9 0 |
2.6 0 |
1.3 0 |
2.6 | 2.4 | ||||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 4,215 | 10–13 1 |
27–31 3/5 |
29–34 3/5 |
16–21 1/3 |
1–2 0 |
3–5 0 |
1 0 |
1–2 0 |
1 0 |
1–3 | 2–3 | ||||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 4,419 | 9.2–12.6 1/2 |
25.8–30.6 3/5 |
27.4–32.2 3/5 |
16.2–20.2 1/3 |
0.3–2.3 0/1 |
3.2–6.2 0/1 |
0.3–1.3 0/1 |
0.3–2.3 0/1 |
1.6 | ||||||
| Pitagórica | 9–14 Sep 2025 | 500 | 15.0 | 22.5 | 30.1 | 21.6 | 1.2 | 3.7 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 4.5 | 7.6 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 34.4 5 |
27.7 4 |
16.6 2[ab] |
1.7 0[ak] |
5.9 0 |
4.2 0 |
2.3 0 |
2.3 0 |
N/a | N/a | 4.9 0 |
6.7 | |||
Sintra
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS L |
PSD/IL/PAN | CDS PPM ADN |
CH | CDU | BE | ND | O | Lead | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PAN | IL | PSD | ||||||||||||||
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 31.7 4 |
33.9 4 |
2.1 0 |
23.4 3 |
4.6 0 |
1.6 0 |
0.5 0 |
2.2 | 2.2 | |||||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 4,134 | 32–36 4/5 |
33–37 4/5 |
1–2 0 |
19–22 2/3 |
4–6 0 |
1–2 0 |
0–1 0 |
2–4 | 1 | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,679 | 30.4–35.4 3/5 |
32.1–37.3 3/5 |
1.1–3.1 0/1 |
19.4–23.6 2/4 |
3.6–6.6 0/1 |
1.0–3.0 0 |
1.7 | |||||||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,653 | 30.4–34.4 3/5 |
33.8–37.8 4/6 |
0.0–3.7 0/1 |
19.3–23.3 1/3 |
3.2–7.2 0/1 |
0.0–4.0 0/1 |
0.0–3.6 | 3.4 | ||||||
| Aximage | 17–23 Sep 2025 | 508 | 35.0 | 31.9 | 1.1 | 21.9 | 6.8 | 1.1 | N/a | 2.2 | 3.1 | |||||
| Pitagórica | 13–18 Sep 2025 | 500 | 30.3 | 32.1 | 1.6 | 24.5 | 5.5 | 2.1 | 0.3 | 3.6 | 1.8 | |||||
| ICS/ISCTE | 3–14 Sep 2025 | 803 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | |||||
| Aximage | 11–22 Jul 2025 | 502 | 39.5 | 2.2 | 38.2 | 0.3 | 11.3 | 2.3 | 2.9 | N/a | 3.3 | 1.3 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 35.3 5 |
3.3 0 |
2.7 0 |
27.5 4 |
9.1 1 |
9.0 1 |
5.8 0 |
N/a | 7.3 0 |
7.8 | ||||
Torres Novas
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD CDS |
Ind. (MPNT) |
BE | CDU | CH | O | Lead | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 34.6 3 |
34.2 3 |
4.7 0 |
4.6 0 |
4.8 0 |
13.5 1 |
3.6 | 0.4 | ||||
| Intercampus[al] | 18–28 Nov 2024 | 411 | 62.8 | 10.8 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.1 | 10.8 | 5.6 | 52.0 | ||||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 45.3 5 |
16.9 1 |
16.6 1 |
6.9 0 |
6.0 0 |
3.1 0 |
4.0 | 28.4 | ||||
Vila Nova de Gaia
Exit poll
| Polling firm/Link | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PS | PSD CDS IL |
CDU | BE L |
CH | O | Lead | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 local election | 12 Oct 2025 | N/a | 35.9 5 |
40.7 5 |
3.8 0 |
3.2 0 |
11.0 1 |
5.4 0 |
4.8 | |||
| CESOP–UCP | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,872 | 37–41 4/6 |
39–43 4/6 |
4–6 0 |
2–4 0 |
8–12 0/1 |
1–5 | 2 | |||
| ICS/ISCTE/Pitagórica | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,178 | 30.6–35.6 3/5 |
40.6–46.0 5/7 |
2.5–5.3 0/1 |
2.3–5.1 0/1 |
9.5–12.9 1/2 |
10.0– 10.4 | ||||
| Intercampus | 12 Oct 2025 | 5,490 | 31.5–35.5 3/5 |
40.4–46.4 5/7 |
2.7–6.7 0/1 |
2.3–6.3 0/1 |
7.1–11.1 0/2 |
2.0–6.0 | 8.9– 10.9 | |||
| Pitagórica | 1–7 Sep 2025 | 500 | 33.4 | 41.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 | 12.9 | 5.7 | 8.2 | |||
| 2021 local election | 26 Sep 2021 | N/a | 57.8 9 |
17.6 2[am] |
2.9 0[y] |
4.8 0 |
4.6 0[n] |
0.5 0[w] |
4.2 0 |
7.6 0 |
40.2 | |
Notes
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13.4%; Would not vote: 5.8%; and Doesn't respond: 15.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 36.0%; CHEGA: 10.3%; PS: 9.8%; CDU: 4.6%; IL: 4.3%; Others/Invalid: 0.5%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13.4%; Would not vote: 5.7%; and Doesn't respond: 14.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 36.7%; CHEGA: 10.9%; PS: 10.1%; IL: 4.7%; CDU: 4.1%; Others/Invalid: 0.5%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 21.7% and Would not vote: 10.3% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 27.9%; Independent movements: 16.0%; CHEGA: 8.6%; PSD: 7.4%; CDU: 1.7%; BE:0.6%; IL: 0.6%; Others/Invalid: 5.2%.
- ^ BE: 0.9%; Others: 7.7%.
- ^ Internal PS poll conducted by the party's national leadership that was leaked by the local press.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 14.3%; Would not vote: 2.3%; and Doesn't respond: 17.6% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 28.2%; Independent: 16.2%; CDS: 12.5%; CHEGA: 6.0%; IL: 1.4%; CDU: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.2%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 17.9% . With their inclusion results are: PS/PAN: 25.7%; PSD/CDS/PPM: 19.4%; Ricardo Silva: 9.8%; CHEGA: 7.5%; IL: 5.8%; CDU: 4.4%; L: 2.0%; BE: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 6.0%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 17.9%; Would not vote: 3.5%; and Doesn't respond: 2.7% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25.2%; CH: 12.3%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.3%; PS: 7.1%; IL: 6.3%; ND: 4.1%; BE: 3.0%; CDU: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 6.1%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 3.0%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.6%; CH: 10.2%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 9.2%; IL: 8.3%; PS: 6.9%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.4%; BE: 2.0%; CDU: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 2.6%.
- ^ Scenario of the PS not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.7%; Would not vote: 3.1%; and Doesn't respond: 3.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.0%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 12.6%; CH: 10.5%; IL: 8.4%; CDU: 2.2%; António Pinto Pereira: 2.0%; BE: 2.0%; Others/Invalid: 4.3%.
- ^ Scenario of the PS and António Pinto Pereira not on the ballot. Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.4%; Would not vote: 3.2%; and Doesn't respond: 3.3% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 34.4%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11.6%; CH: 10.3%; IL: 9.0%; CDU: 2.2%; BE: 2.2%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 12%; Would not vote: 8%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 27%; PS: 18%; CHEGA: 14%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ): 11%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 4%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 13%; Would not vote: 5%; and Doesn't respond: 4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 25%; PS: 18%; João Maria Jonet (JMJ) supported by IL: 16%; CHEGA: 13%; CDU: 2%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
- ^ a b c d e Left Bloc result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (26%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 44%; PSD/CDS/IL: 20%; CHEGA: 4%; CDU: 3%; Others/Invalid: 3%.
- ^ PSD/CDS/IL/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
- ^ a b c People Animals Nature result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (10.2%). With their inclusion results are: PSL: 42.1%; PS: 22.6%; PSD: 15.2%; CHEGA: 2.9%; CDU: 2.3%; BE: 1.8%; CDS: 0.4%; Others/Invalid: 2.4%.
- ^ ND: 0.3%; RIR: 0.0%; Blank/Invalid: 1.7%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 25.1% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 32.9%; PS: 15.6%; JPP: 9.4%; CHEGA: 7.5%; IL: 3.0%; CDU: 1.6%; BE: 0.8%; L: 0.8%; PTP: 0.5%; ADN: 0.5%; PAN: 0.5%; MPT: 0.0%; Others/Invalid: 1.8%.
- ^ RIR: 0.4%; ND: 0.4%; Blank/Invalid: 1.2%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.0%; Would not vote: 5.3%; and Doesn't respond: 9.1% . With their inclusion results are: PS: 37.7%; CHEGA: 13.3%; PSD: 12.7%; CDS: 1.7%; IL: 0.8%; BE/L/PAN: 0.4%; CDU: 0.4%; ADN: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 3.2%.
- ^ a b Livre result in 2021.
- ^ PSD/CDS/A/MPT/PPM coalition result in 2021.
- ^ a b Liberal Initiative result in 2021.
- ^ PS/LIVRE coalition result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 18.0%; Would not vote: 9.8%; and Doesn't respond: 20.6% . With their inclusion results are: MPM: 13.9%; PS: 13.1%; CHEGA: 12.9%; CDU: 10.8%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
- ^ a b c Social Democratic Party result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.2%; Would not vote: 17.0%; and Doesn't respond: 15.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 15.2%; PS: 14.9%; CHEGA: 12.4%; CDU: 7.6%; BE: 1.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 16.1%; Would not vote: 16.3%; and Doesn't respond: 15.2% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 15.2%; PS: 14.4%; CHEGA: 12.7%; CDU: 7.6%; BE: 1.7%; Others/Invalid: 0.8%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 15.4%; Would not vote: 4.0%; and Doesn't respond: 14.6% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 39.8%; CHEGA: 11.4%; PS: 11.1%; CDU: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.3%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 29.9% and Would not vote: 2.4% . With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 33.6%; PS: 18.8%; CHEGA: 7.7%; CDU: 1.0%; BE: 0.9%; IL: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 5.3%.
- ^ IL: 0.7%; Others: 7.8%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 14.2%; Would not vote: 6.0%; and Doesn't respond: 16.0% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 37.4%; PS: 10.0%; CHEGA: 8.1%; Independent: 3.3%; CDU: 1.4%; IL: 1.2%; BE: 0.2%; CDS: 0.2%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 10.0%; Would not vote: 0.5%; and Doesn't respond: 18.5% . With their inclusion results are: PSD: 44.8%; CHEGA: 13.8%; PS: 10.3%; IL: 0.8%; CDU: 0.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.0%.
- ^ Results presented here exclude Undecideds: 6.2%. With their inclusion results are: PSD/CDS: 37.6%; PS: 30.1%; CHEGA: 14.9%; BE: 4.0%; CDU: 2.8%; IL: 2.5%; Others/Invalid: 1.9%.
- ^ CDS – People's Party result in 2021.
- ^ Results presented here exclude undecideds (25.0%). With their inclusion results are: PS: 47.1%; PSD/CDS: 8.1%; CHEGA: 8.1%; CDU: 2.3%; MPNT: 3.2%; BE: 2.6%; CDU: 1.6%; Others/Invalid: 4.2%.
- ^ PSD/CDS/PPM coalition result in 2021.
References
- ^ "Mapa oficial dos resultados das eleições gerais para os titulares dos órgãos das autarquias locais de 26 de setembro de 2021" (PDF). Comissão Nacional de Eleições (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-08-18.