Opinion polling for the 2008 Russian presidential election

Opinion polling for the Russian presidential election, 2008
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This is a collection of scientific, public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2008 Russian presidential election.

First round

2004–2006 polls

Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Gryzlov
UR 		Luzhkov
UR 		Shoigu
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Glazyev
IND 		Rogozin
Rodina 		Kasyanov
IND 		Yavlinsky
Yabloko 		Ryzhkov
RPR 		Other Against
all[a] 		Undecided Wouldn't vote
Levada[1][2] 13–16 Aug 2004 N/a 2 N/a N/a N/a 6 9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 46 N/a 23 15
Levada May 2005 N/a N/a 7 9 N/a 11 9 5 7 3 N/a 4 N/a 13 N/a 14
VCIOM 17–18 Sep 2005 N/a 1 4 4 8 6 5 2 3 1 2 N/a 15[b] 9 31 6
Levada 16–19 Sep 2005 N/a N/a 6 10 N/a 10 8 4 5 2 3 2 N/a 16 21 14
Levada[1][2] 14–17 Oct 2005 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 45 N/a 24 12
11–14 Nov 2005 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15 9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47 N/a 23 15
9–12 Dec 2005 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 13 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 47 N/a 23 13
16–19 Dec 2005 N/a 8 N/a N/a N/a 17 9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 37 N/a 21 17
Levada 20–24 Jan 2006 N/a N/a N/a 10 N/a 9 8 4 3 1 2 1 N/a 16 25 15
Levada[1][2] N/a 25 N/a N/a N/a 9 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 37 N/a N/a 15
10–14 Feb 2006 N/a 25 N/a N/a N/a 7 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 36 N/a N/a 18
Levada 10–14 Mar 2006 N/a 7 N/a 8 N/a 7 8 4 3 1 3 1 N/a 16 26 17
Levada[1][2] 20–25 Apr 2006 8 23 N/a N/a N/a 7 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 30 N/a N/a 15
Levada Apr 2006 18 17 N/a N/a N/a 16 18 7 5 4 4 5 N/a 5 N/a N/a
Levada[1][2] 19–22 May 2006 10 25 N/a N/a N/a 7 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 28 N/a N/a 16
10–14 Jun 2006 11 21 N/a N/a N/a 6 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 30 N/a N/a 17
14–17 Jul 2006 12 22 N/a N/a N/a 7 9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 26 N/a N/a 16
18–21 Aug 2006 10 23 N/a N/a N/a 8 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12 N/a N/a 29
15–18 Sep 2006 14 27 N/a N/a N/a 9 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10 N/a N/a 26
13–16 Oct 2006 11 29 N/a N/a N/a 9 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8 N/a N/a 25
10–13 Nov 2006 14 23 N/a N/a N/a 9 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 N/a N/a 28
8–12 Dec 2006 19 30 N/a N/a N/a 5 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 N/a N/a 18

2007 polls

Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Zubkov
UR 		Shoigu
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Glazyev
IND 		Rogozin
IND 		Kasyanov
RNDS / IND 		Nemtsov
IND 		Bogdanov
DPR 		Other Undecided Unsure Wouldn't
vote
Levada[1] Jan 33 21 N/a N/a 14 14 5 1 N/a N/a N/a 11[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 19–22 Jan 17 11 N/a N/a 7 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 10 28 8 20
Levada[1] Feb 32 27 N/a N/a 13 13 5 2 N/a N/a N/a 8[c] N/a N/a N/a
VCIOM 3–4 Feb 22 6 N/a 5 4 6 1 1 0 N/a N/a 20[d] 24 N/a 11
10–11 Feb 20 6 N/a 5 5 5 1 1 0 N/a N/a 18[e] 27 N/a 11
15 Feb Sergey Ivanov appointed first deputy premier alongside Dmitry Medvedev
VCIOM 17–18 Feb 20 10 N/a 4 5 5 1 0 0 N/a N/a 13[f] 27 N/a 11
Levada[2] 16–19 Feb 19 16 N/a N/a 8 8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 20 4 21
Levada[1] Mar 31 25 N/a N/a 15 14 6 4 N/a N/a N/a 8[c] N/a N/a N/a
ROMIR Mar 16 10 N/a 8 5 9 N/a N/a 1 N/a N/a 27[g] 8 N/a 16
Levada[2] 16–19 Mar 17 14 N/a N/a 7 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8 27 8 13
Levada[1] Apr 29 31 N/a N/a 17 11 5 2 N/a N/a N/a 6[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 13–16 Apr 18 18 N/a N/a 9 10 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 23 8 10
ROMIR 12–18 Apr 16 8 N/a 9 5 8 N/a N/a 1 N/a N/a 31[h] 6 N/a 16
Levada[1] May 34 31 N/a N/a 12 13 3 2 N/a N/a N/a 6[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 11–14 May 15 12 N/a N/a 2 3 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9 44 6 8
Levada[1] Jun 27 31 N/a N/a 14 14 5 2 N/a N/a N/a 7[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 15–18 Jun 17 19 N/a N/a 9 9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 8 20 10 11
ROMIR 6–12 Jul 18 14 N/a N/a 6 9 N/a N/a 2 N/a N/a 24[i] 8 N/a N/a
Levada[2] 13–16 Jul 17 22 N/a N/a 8 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5 22 6 14
Levada[1] Aug 34 36 N/a N/a 12 12 1 1 N/a N/a N/a 3[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 10–13 Aug 18 19 N/a N/a 7 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3 23 10 14
Levada[1] Sep 30 34 4 N/a 15 11 4 <1 N/a N/a N/a 3[c] N/a N/a N/a
14 Sep Viktor Zubkov replaces Mikhail Fradkov as prime minister
Levada[1] Oct 26 25 19 N/a 12 13 3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 2[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 12–15 Oct 5 5 N/a N/a 4 2 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5 28 10 N/a
14 14 10 N/a 7 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3 26 7 11
Levada[1] Nov 24 25 20 N/a 15 8 4 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4[c] N/a N/a N/a
Levada[2] 9–12 Nov 13 16 11 N/a 9 6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 4 22 9 10
26 Nov Presidential election set for 2 March 2008
2 Dec 2007 Russian legislative election: United Russia wins supermajority
Levada 7–10 Dec 35 21 17 N/a 11 11 N/a N/a 1 1 N/a 3[j] N/a N/a N/a
10 Dec Outgoing president Putin endorses Dmitry Medvedev
FOM[3] 15–16 Dec 32 5 2 4 5 7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 6[k] 28 N/a 10
VCIOM 15–16 Dec 44.6 N/a N/a N/a 4.6 4.8 N/a N/a 0.3 0.5 <1 N/a 30.2 N/a 7.8
FOM[4][5] 22–23 Dec 46 N/a N/a N/a 6 7 N/a N/a 1 1 N/a 4[l] 25 N/a 9
VCIOM 22–23 Dec 52.3 N/a N/a N/a 4.1 4.8 N/a N/a 0.4 0.4 0.3 N/a 22.6 N/a 6.8
22 Dec CEC denies registration for Vladimir Bukovsky, Nikolai Kuryanovich, other independents
Levada 21–24 Dec 79 N/a N/a N/a 9 9 N/a N/a 2 <1 <1 0–3[m] N/a N/a N/a
26 Dec Boris Nemtsov withdraws his candidacy, endorses Kasyanov

2008 polls

Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Kasyanov
RNDS / IND 		Nemtsov
IND 		Bogdanov
DPR 		Spoil Undecided Wouldn't
vote
VCIOM 5–6 Jan 52.5 5.4 4.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 N/a 21.9 5.9
12–13 Jan 60.4 6.1 7.5 0.9 0.8 0.2 N/a 14.0 10.2
FOM[4] 12–13 Jan 50 6 7 N/a N/a 0 N/a 26 10
Levada[6] 18–21 Jan 82 9 8 <1 N/a <1 N/a N/a N/a
FOM[4] 19–20 Jan 50 6 7 N/a N/a 0 0 26 9
VCIOM 26–27 Jan 63.5 5.3 5.5 0.8 N/a 0.4 N/a 16.8 7.8
FOM[4] 26–27 Jan 54 5 7 N/a N/a 0 1 23 10
2–3 Feb 52 7 7 N/a N/a 0 1 24 9
Levada[6] 8–11 Feb 80 11 9 N/a N/a <1 N/a N/a N/a
FOM[4] 9–10 Feb 49 9 8 N/a N/a 1 0 22 11
FOM[7] 16–17 Feb 49.6 9.1 8.7 N/a N/a 0.6 0.6 22.1 9.3
67.8 16.3 13.7 N/a N/a 1.3 0.9 N/a N/a
FOM[8][9] 23–24 Feb 50 9 8 N/a N/a 0 1 22 10
70 15.8 12.4 N/a N/a 0.7 N/a N/a N/a
Election result 2 Mar 70.3 17.7 9.3 N/a N/a 1.3 1.4 N/a N/a

Polls with Vladimir Putin as a candidate

Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev
UR 		Ivanov
UR 		Putin[n]
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		No preference Other Against
all[a] 		Undecided Unsure Wouldn't
vote
Levada[1][2] 13–16 Aug 2004 N/a N/a 49 5 6 26 15 N/a 8 N/a 12
FOM[10] 15–16 Jan 2005 N/a N/a 43 3 5 N/a 11[o] 6 N/a 16 15
FOM[11] 9–10 Jul 2005 N/a N/a 43 4 4 N/a 11[p] 6 N/a 15 16
Levada[1][2] 15–18 Jul 2005 N/a N/a 36 6 4 45 10 N/a 24 8 10
19–22 Aug 2005 N/a N/a 37 4 3 47 9 N/a 23 7 13
26–29 Sep 2005 N/a N/a 35 6 3 48 8 N/a 22 11 10
14–17 Oct 2005 N/a N/a 35 4 3 51 8 N/a 30 7 8
11–14 Nov 2005 N/a N/a 36 3 3 49 10 N/a 24 9 10
20–24 Jan 2006 N/a 0 33 3 3 53 8 N/a N/a 9 31
10–14 Feb 2006 N/a 1 34 4 3 52 7 N/a N/a 9 25
10–13 Mar 2006 2 2 31 3 3 53 6 N/a N/a 12 27
20–25 Apr 2006 2 N/a 33 4 2 52 7 N/a N/a 8 30
19–22 May 2006 2 2 32 4 3 50 7 N/a N/a 11 27
14–17 Jul 2006 2 1 40 3 3 46 5 N/a N/a 7 27
18–21 Aug 2006 2 1 40 3 4 45 6 N/a N/a 9 22
15–18 Sep 2006 2 1 39 3 3 48 5 N/a N/a 14 10
13–16 Oct 2006 2 1 37 5 3 50 3 N/a N/a 7 29
10–13 Nov 2006 2 1 38 4 4 46 4 N/a N/a 11 22
8–12 Dec 2006 3 2 36 2 2 51 4 N/a N/a 10 27
19–22 Jan 2007 5 3 34 5 2 46 10 N/a 25 8 10
16–19 Feb 2007 5 3 32 5 3 46 11 N/a 25 5 11
16–19 Mar 2007 6 3 33 4 3 47 9 N/a 25 9 9
13–16 Apr 2007 6 4 31 5 3 45 6 N/a 25 11 6
11–14 May 2007 5 3 41 3 3 41 8 N/a 25 7 8
15–18 Jun 2007 3 5 44 4 3 35 6 N/a 19 8 6
13–16 Jul 2007 3 4 48 4 3 34 4 N/a 18 7 8
10–13 Aug 2007 5 5 40 4 2 41 3 N/a 22 10 7
14–17 Sep 2007 16 18 35 8 7 44 4 N/a 27 7 7
FOM[12] 24–25 Nov 2007 3 1 57 3 4 N/a 5[q] N/a 16 N/a 10
FOM[13][14] 27–28 Nov 2007 N/a N/a N/a
FOM[15] 11–12 Dec 2007 3 2 60 4 4 N/a 7[r] N/a 12 N/a 8
FOM[16] 15–16 Dec 2007 9 2 54 4 5 N/a 5[s] N/a 12 N/a 9
Levada 21–24 Dec 2007 55 4 24 7 7 N/a 1–5[t] N/a N/a N/a N/a

Preferred United Russia candidate

Polling firm Fieldwork date Medvedev Ivanov Zubkov
Levada[1] Jan 2007 54 46 N/a
Feb 2007 52 48 N/a
Mar 2007 48 52 N/a
Apr 2007 45 55 N/a
May 2007 51 49 N/a
Jun 2007 46 55 [sic] N/a
Aug 2007 46 54 N/a
Sep 2007 41 59 N/a
Oct 2007 47 53 N/a
N/a 59 41
56 N/a 44
Nov 2007 47 53 N/a
N/a 57 43
57 N/a 43
Dec 2007 56 44 N/a
N/a 58 42
63 N/a 37

Exit polls

Agency Medvedev
UR 		Zyuganov
CPRF 		Zhirinovsky
LDPR 		Bogdanov
DPR
FOM[8][17] 67.4 19.5 10.5 1.4
VCIOM[18] 70.1 16.8 11.4 1.7
Election result 70.3 17.7 9.3 1.3

Notes

  1. ^ a b "Against all" line was removed from Russian election ballots in 2006.
  2. ^ Matviyenko, Tuleyev 3%, Zhukov 2%, Khakamada, Kozak, Mironov, Semigin 1%, Chubais, Khodorkovsky 0%, other 3%.
  3. ^ a b c d e f g h i j Combined vote for the generic "liberal candidate". In different polls, the lists included: Irina Khakamada, Nikita Belykh, Mikhail Kasyanov, Vladimir Ryzhkov, Grigory Yavlinsky.[1]
  4. ^
  5. ^
  6. ^
  7. ^ Lavrov, Yakunin 1%, other 25%.
  8. ^ Lavrov 1%, other 30%.
  9. ^ Lavrov 2%, Yakunin 1%, other 21%.
  10. ^ Yavlinsky 3%.
  11. ^ Mironov 2%, Gryzlov 1%, other 3%.
  12. ^ Bukovsky 0%, other 4%.
  13. ^ Bukovsky, Kuryanovich, Shenin <1%.
  14. ^ Term-limited.
  15. ^ Kharitonov 3%, Glazyev 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Shoigu, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
  16. ^ Glazyev, Kharitonov, Shoigu 2%, Khakamada, Rogozin, Yavlinsky 1%, other 2%.
  17. ^ Mironov, Shoigu, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  18. ^ Mironov, Shoigu 2%, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 2%
  19. ^ Shoigu 2%, Mironov, Zubkov 1%, Gryzlov 0%, other 1%.
  20. ^ Zubkov 1%, Kasyanov, Mironov, Shoigu, Yavlinsky <1%.

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s "Левада-Центр > ВЫБОРЫ 2008" (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2007-11-30.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q Russia votes
  3. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  4. ^ a b c d e "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 February 2008. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  5. ^ "Предновогодний экспресс-выпуск. Доминанты 52". FOM (in Russian). 25 December 2007. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  6. ^ a b "Президентские рейтинги. Выборы 2008". Levada Center (in Russian). Archived from the original on 2 April 2008.
  7. ^ "Предварительный прогноз результатов выборов Президента РФ 2 марта 2008 г. (по результатам опроса от 16–17 февраля)" [Preliminary forecast of the results of the election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008 (according to a poll from February 16-17)]. fom.ru (in Russian). 20 February 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  8. ^ a b "Выборы Президента Российской Федерации: прогноз ФОМа, результаты exit-poll и итоги выборов (ЦИК)" [Elections of the President of the Russian Federation: FOM forecast, exit-poll results and election results (CEC)]. fom.ru (in Russian). 6 March 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  9. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 3 March 2008.
  10. ^ "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 20 January 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  11. ^ "Электоральные рейтинги политиков - 2005. Индикаторы". FOM (in Russian). 14 July 2005. Retrieved 13 April 2025.
  12. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 26 November 2007.
  13. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 29 November 2007.
  14. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 29 November 2007.
  15. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 13 December 2007.
  16. ^ "База данных ФОМ > Индикаторы". 20 December 2007.
  17. ^ "Выборы Президента Российской Федерации 2 марта 2008 года. Опрос на выходе с избирательных участков (exit-poll). Итоговые результаты" [Election of the President of the Russian Federation on March 2, 2008. Poll at the exit from polling stations (exit-poll). Final results]. fom.ru (in Russian). 2 March 2008. Retrieved 25 August 2025.
  18. ^ "Пресс-выпуск № 888". VCIOM (in Russian). 2 March 2008. Archived from the original on 9 March 2008.
allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2008_Russian_presidential_election