2014 United States Senate elections: Difference between revisions

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| nowrap | '''[[Mark Begich]]''' (Democratic) 48%<br/>[[Ted Stevens]] (Republican) 47%<br/>Other 5%
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| [[Mark Begich]] (D) [[Joe Miller (Alaska politician)|Joe Miller]] (R)
| [[Mark Begich]] (D)<br> [[Joe Miller (Alaska politician)|Joe Miller]] (R)<ref>{{cite web |url=http://articles.ktuu.com/2013-05-28/joe-miller_39586579 |title=Joe Miller Officially Challenging Incumbent Sen. Mark Begich
|last1=Bennett |first1=Clinton |date=28 May 2013 |website=ktuu.com |publisher=ktuu-tv |accessdate=7 June 2013}}</ref>


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Revision as of 03:57, 8 June 2013

United States Senate elections, 2014

← 2012
November 4, 2014
2016 →

Class 2 (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
and two mid-term vacancies from Class 3
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Harry Reid Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader's seat Nevada Kentucky
Last election 53* 45

Senate Seats up for election:
  Democratic incumbent
  Retiring Democrat
  Republican incumbent
  Retiring Republican
  Undetermined incumbent
  No election

* Two independents (VT, ME) caucus with the Democrats.

Incumbent Majority Leader

Harry Reid
Democratic



Elections for the United States Senate will be held on November 4, 2014, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2021. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur during the 113th United States Congress.

The elections to the House of Representatives, elections for governors in states and territories, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date. The 2014 Senate elections will mark 100 years of direct elections of senators.

Overview

After losing ground in the 2012 elections, an internal fight broke out among the Republican leadership in early 2013 over the best strategy and tactics for the 2014 Senate races.[1]

Summary

There are 53 Democratic, 45 Republican and 2 Independent senators. 33 are up for election this year as members of the class 2 Senators, and two are up for special elections (both from class 3). Among the senators up for election in 2014, there are 21 Democrats and 14 Republicans.

There may be some changes if senators die or resign. If senators in other classes die or resign between 2012 and 2014, there may be additional special elections. The dates between which the death or resignation of a senator would lead a special election during this time period vary from state to state.

Shading indicates party with largest share of that line.

Parties Template:American politics/party colors/Democratic | Template:American politics/party colors/Republican | Template:American politics/party colors/Independent | Unknown Total
Democratic Republican Independent
Last election (2012) 53 45 2 100
Before this election 51 45 2 2 100
  Not Up 32 31 2 65
Up 21 14 2 35
  Special: Class 3 1 1 2
General: Class 2 19 13 2[2][3] 33
  Incumbent retiring 5 2 7
Incumbent running 14 11 26
Intent unknown 1 2[2][3] 2

Change in composition

Senate composition before the elections

I1 I2 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11 D10 D9
D19 D20 D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28
D38 D37 D36 D35 D34 D33 D32 D31 D30 D29
D39 D40 D41 D42 D43 D44 D45 D46 D47 D48
Majority →
R41 R42 R43 R44 R45 ?1* ?2* D51 D50 D49
R40 R39 R38 R37 R36 R35 R34 R33 R32 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10

*?1: Democrat John Kerry resigned. This seat, currently held by the appointed Democrat Mo Cowan, will be filled in a June 25, 2013 special election.
*?2: Democrat Frank Lautenberg died. This seat will be held by an appointee until a October 16, 2013 special election.

Senate composition at the beginning of the 114th Congress

I1 I2 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11 D10 D9
D19 D20 D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28
TBD6 TBD5 TBD4 TBD3 TBD2 TBD1 D32 D31 D30 D29
TBD7 TBD8 TBD9 TBD10 TBD11 TBD12 TBD13 TBD14 TBD15 TBD16
Majority →
TBD26 TBD25 TBD24 TBD23 TBD22 TBD21 TBD20 TBD19 TBD18 TBD17
TBD27 TBD28 TBD29 TBD30 TBD31 TBD32 TBD33 TBD34 TBD35 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# =Democratic
R# =Republican
I# =Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Race summary

The following is the list of state-by-state summaries. Unless otherwise indicated, all races are for the class 2 seats whose terms begin January 3, 2015.

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Most recent election results
(Winner in bold)
2014 Result Candidates
Senator Party Electoral
history
Alabama Jeff Sessions Republican 1996
2002
2008
Jeff Sessions (Republican) 63%
Vivian Davis Figures (Democratic) 37%
Running[4] Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska Mark Begich Democratic 2008 Mark Begich (Democratic) 48%
Ted Stevens (Republican) 47%
Other 5%
Running[5] Mark Begich (D)
Joe Miller (R)[6]
Arkansas Mark Pryor Democratic 2002
2008
Mark Pryor (Democratic) 80%
Rebekah Kennedy (Green) 20%
Running[7] Mark Pryor (D)
Colorado Mark Udall Democratic 2008 Mark Udall (Democratic) 53%
Bob Schaffer (Republican) 43%
Other 4%
Running[8] Mark Udall (D)
Delaware Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (Special) Chris Coons (Democratic) 57%
Christine O'Donnell (Republican) 41%
Running[9] Chris Coons (D)
Georgia Saxby Chambliss Republican 2002
2008
Saxby Chambliss (Republican) 57%
Jim Martin (Democratic) 43%
Retiring[10] Paul Broun (R)
Phil Gingrey (R)
Karen Handel (R)
Jack Kingston (R)
Hawaii
(special: Class 3)
Brian Schatz Democratic Appointed
in 2012
(2010):
Daniel Inouye (Democratic) 75%
Campbell Cavasso (Republican) 22%
Other 4%
Running[11] Brian Schatz (D)
Colleen Hanabusa (D)
Idaho Jim Risch Republican 2008 Jim Risch (Republican) 58%
Larry LaRocco (Democratic) 34%
Rex Rammell (Independent) 5%
Other 3%
Running[12] Jim Risch (R)
Illinois Richard Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Richard Durbin (Democratic) 68%
Steve Sauerberg (Republican) 29%
Other 3%
Running[13] Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa Tom Harkin Democratic 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Tom Harkin (Democratic) 63%
Christopher Reed (Republican) 37%
Retiring[14] Bruce Braley (D)
Paul Lunde (R)
Matthew G. Whitaker (R)
David Young (R)
Kansas Pat Roberts Republican 1996
2002
2008
Pat Roberts (Republican) 60%
Jim Slattery (Democratic) 36%
Other 4%
Running[15] Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Mitch McConnell (Republican) 53%
Bruce Lunsford (Democratic) 47%
Running[16] Mitch McConnell (R)
Ed Marksberry (D)
Bennie J. Smith (D)
Louisiana Mary Landrieu Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Mary Landrieu (Democratic) 52%
John Kennedy (Republican) 46%
Other 2%
Running[17] Mary Landrieu (D)
Bill Cassidy (R)
Rob Maness (R)
Maine Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
Susan Collins (Republican) 61%
Tom Allen (Democratic) 39%
Running[18] Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts TBD Democratic Appointed
in 2013
John Kerry (Democratic) 66%
Jeff Beatty (Republican) 31%
Other 3%
Appointee retiring, to be succeeded in June 2013
Michigan Carl Levin Democratic 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Carl Levin (Democratic) 63%
Jack Hoogendyk (Republican) 34%
Other 3%
Retiring[19] Gary Peters (D) Terri Lynn Land (R)
Minnesota Al Franken Democratic 2008 Al Franken (Democratic) 42%
Norm Coleman (Republican) 42%
Dean Barkley (MIP) 15%
Running[20] Al Franken (D)
Mike McFadden (R)
Mississippi Thad Cochran Republican 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Thad Cochran (Republican) 61%
Erik R. Fleming (Democratic) 39%
Undeclared[13]
Montana Max Baucus Democratic 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Max Baucus (Democratic) 73%
Bob Kelleher (Republican) 27%
Retiring[21] Champ Edmunds (R)
Corey Stapleton (R)
Nebraska Mike Johanns Republican 2008 Mike Johanns (Republican) 58%
Scott Kleeb (Democratic) 40%
Other 2%
Retiring[22]
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008 Jeanne Shaheen (Democratic) 52%
John E. Sununu (Republican) 45%
Other 3%
Running[23] Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey Jeffrey Chiesa Republican To be appointed
in 2013
Frank Lautenberg (Democratic) 56%
Dick Zimmer (Republican) 42%
Other 2%
Frank Lautenberg died June 3, 2013, having already announced his intention to retire.[24]
An appointee will continue the term.
It is not known if the appointee will run in or win election in the 2013 special election to finish the term.
It is also not known if the winner of that special election will run in 2014 for the next term.[3]
Cory Booker (D) Frank Pallone (D) Rush Holt (D) Steve Lonegan (R)
New Mexico Tom Udall Democratic 2008 Tom Udall (Democratic) 61%
Steve Pearce (Republican) 39%
Running[25] Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina Kay Hagan Democratic 2008 Kay Hagan (Democratic) 53%
Elizabeth Dole (Republican) 44%
Other 3%
Running[26] Kay Hagan (D)
Greg Brannon (R) Thom Tillis (R)
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe Republican 1994
1996
2002
2008
Jim Inhofe (Republican) 57%
Andrew Rice (Democratic) 39%
Other 4%
Running[20] Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008 Jeff Merkley (Democratic) 49%
Gordon Smith (Republican) 46%
Dave Brownlow (Constitution) 5%
Running[27] Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Jack Reed (Democratic) 73%
Robert Tingle (Republican) 27%
Running[28] Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Republican 2002
2008
Lindsey Graham (Republican) 58%
Bob Conley (Democratic) 42%
Running[4] Lindsey Graham (R)
Richard Cash (R)
Jay Stamper (D)
South Carolina
(special: Class 3)
Tim Scott Republican Appointed
in 2013
(2010):
Jim DeMint (Republican) 62%
Alvin Greene (Democratic) 28%
Tom Clements (Green) 9%
Running[29] Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota Tim Johnson Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Tim Johnson (Democratic) 63%
Joel Dykstra (Republican) 37%
Retiring[30] Mike Rounds(R)
Rick Weiland (D)
Tennessee Lamar Alexander Republican 2002
2008
Lamar Alexander (Republican) 65%
Bob Tuke (Democratic) 32%
Other 3%
Running[31] Lamar Alexander (R)
Larry Crim (D)
Texas John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
John Cornyn (Republican) 55%
Rick Noriega (Democratic) 43%
Other 2%
Running[4] John Cornyn (R)
Erick Wyatt (R)
Virginia Mark Warner Democratic 2008 Mark Warner (Democratic) 65%
Jim Gilmore (Republican) 34%
Other 1%
Running [32] Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia Jay Rockefeller Democratic 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Jay Rockefeller (Democratic) 64%
Jay Wolfe (Republican) 36%
Retiring[33] Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Pat McGeehan (R)
Wyoming Mike Enzi Republican 1996
2002
2008
Mike Enzi (Republican) 76%
Chris Rothfuss (Democratic) 24%
Running[34] Mike Enzi (R)
State
(linked to
summaries below)
Senator Party Electoral
history
Most recent election results
(Winner in bold)
2014 Result Candidates
Incumbent

Latest predictions

State color and party abbreviation refers to the incumbent.

Safe Democratic Likely Democratic Leans Democratic Tossup Leans Republican Likely Republican Safe Republican
Consensus:
Delaware (D)
Illinois (D)
New Mexico (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Montana (D) Kentucky (R) Alabama (R)
Idaho (R)
Kansas (R)
Mississippi (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina (R)
South Carolina (sp.) (R)
Tennessee (R)
Texas (R)
Wyoming (R)
Source Date Safe Democratic Likely Democratic Leans Democratic Tossup Leans Republican Likely Republican Safe Republican
Cook
Political
Report
June 6, 2013
(updates)
New Jersey (R)
Oregon (D)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
New Hampshire (D)
Virginia (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
North Carolina (D)
Iowa (D)
Massachusetts (D)[2]
West Virginia (D)
Georgia (R)
Maine (R)
South Dakota (D)
Nebraska (R)
Five
Thirty
Eight
February 20, 2013
(updates)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Virginia (D)
Colorado (D)
Massachusetts (D)[2]
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New Jersey (R)
Oregon (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Iowa (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
Georgia (R)
Maine (R)
West Virginia (D)
Nebraska (R)
Real
Clear
Politics
Roll
Call
April 30, 2013[citation needed]
(updates)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
Oregon (D)
Colorado (D)
Massachusetts (D)[2]
New Jersey (R)
Virginia (D)
Iowa (D)
New Hampshire (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Georgia (R) Maine (R)
Nebraska (R)
Sabato's
Crystal
Ball
June 6, 2013
(updates)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Massachusetts (D)[2]
Minnesota (D)
New Jersey (R)
Oregon (D)
Virginia (D)
Iowa (D)
Michigan (D)
New Hampshire (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
Georgia (R)
Nebraska (R)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Maine (R)
Rothenberg
Political
Report
June 4, 2013
(updates)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Jersey (R)
Oregon (D)
Virginia (D)
Massachusetts (D)[2]
New Hampshire (D)
Iowa (D) Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Maine (R) Georgia (R)
Nebraska (R)

Complete list of races

Alabama

Three-term incumbent Republican Jeff Sessions was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008.[35] He will be 67 years old in 2014.

Alaska

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Begich was elected with 48% of the vote in 2008, defeating six-term Senator Ted Stevens by 3,953 votes.[35] Begich will be 52 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election to a second term.[5] Stevens, who would have been almost 91 years old at the time of the election, had already filed for a rematch back in 2009,[5] but was killed in a plane crash the following year. On December 1, 2012 Republican Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell announced that he was exploring a candidacy in 2014.[36] Joe Miller, an attorney and the Republican nominee in 2010, is again running for the Republican nomination.[37]

Arkansas

Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor was re-elected with 80% of the vote without Republican opposition in 2008.[38] He will be 51 years old in 2014. He is planning on running for a third term.[7]

Potential Republican candidates include: Representative Steve Womack of Arkansas's 3rd congressional district,[39] Representative Tom Cotton of Arkansas's 4th congressional district,[40] and Lieutenant Governor Mark Darr.[41] A poll paid for by the Club for Growth shows Cotton leading Pryor by a 43% to 35% margin if Cotton were to run.[42] Cotton says he'll decide on whether to run after the August 2013 Congressional recess.[43]

Colorado

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Udall was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. In January 2013, Udall announced he would run for reelection, leading democratic efforts in the senate for fundraising in the 2014 midterm's.[44]

Potential republican candidates include: Lieutenant Governor Jane E. Norton,[45] former Representative and 2006 Gubernatorial candidate Bob Beauprez,[46] and state Senator Randy Baumgardner.[47]

Delaware

Democrat Chris Coons defeated Tea Party activist and three-time Republican Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell at the 2010 special election caused by Joe Biden's election as Vice President, winning by a 57% to 41% margin. Coons will be 51 years old in 2014.

Georgia

Two-term incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative Jim Martin after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.[10]

Representatives Jack Kingston of Georgia's 1st congressional district,[48] Paul Broun of Georgia's 10th congressional district,[49] and Phil Gingrey Georgia's 11th congressional district[50] have all declared their candidacy for the republican nomination, as well as former Secretary of State Karen Handel[51] and Political activist Derrick Grayson.[52] Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle may also enter the race.[53]

Michelle Nunn, CEO of Points of Light and the daughter of former Senator Sam Nunn, is expected to be a Democratic candidate.[54] Other potential democratic candidates include former Attorney General Thurbert Baker,[55] and State Senator and grandson of former U.S. President Jimmy Carter, Jason Carter.[56]

Hawaii (special)

Daniel Inouye, the second longest serving United States Senator in U.S. history died on December 17, 2012, after respiratory complications.[57] Hawaii law allows Neil Abercrombie, the Governor of Hawaii, to appoint an interim Senator "who serves until the next regularly-scheduled general election, chosen from a list of three prospective appointees that the prior incumbent's political party submits."[58] Abercrombie picked his Lieutenant Governor, Brian Schatz, to fill the Senate seat.[59] Inouye was re-elected in 2010 with 72 percent of the vote.[60] Schatz will be challenged in the Democratic primary by Congresswoman Colleen Hanabusa of Hawaii's 1st congressional district, whom Inouye had hoped would be his successor.[61]

Potential Republican candidates include former Hawaii Governor and 2012 U.S. Senate candidate Linda Lingle, and former Representative Charles Djou.[62]

Idaho

One-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 71 years old in 2014. Risch plans to seek a second term.[12]

Illinois

Three-term incumbent and Senate Majority Whip Democrat Dick Durbin was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014. Durbin plans to seek a fourth term.[63]

Iowa

Five-term incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Harkin announced on January 26, 2013 that he wouldn't seek a sixth term to the Senate.[64] Democratic Representative Bruce Braley of Iowa's 5th congressional district has announced his candidacy and has been raising campaign funds.[65]

Representatives Steve King and Tom Latham were seen as top candidates republican nomination,[66] but both ultimately decided not to run.[67][68] Former United States Attorney Matt Whitaker, and David Young, the Chief of Staff to U.S. Senator Charles Grassley, both announced they would run for the republican nomination,[69][70] while state Senator Joni Ernst is also considering a run.[71]

Kansas

Three-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2008. He will be 78 years old in 2014. Roberts plans to seek a fourth term and is already raising funds for his campaign.[15] Former Representative Todd Tiahrt, who was defeated in the Republican primary by Jerry Moran in Kansas's 2010 Senate election, is considering a primary challenge to Roberts in 2014.[72]

Kentucky

Five-term incumbent and Senate Minority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. McConnell will seek re-election to a sixth term and is already beginning to prepare for his campaign by hiring key staffers and building a fundraising operation.[16] Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes is a potential Democratic candidate,[73] while most other "big name" Kentucky Democrats are focused on Kentucky's 2015 gubernatorial election.[74]

Louisiana

Three-term incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 59 years old in 2014. Landrieu has already begun to fundraise for her intended re-election bid for a fourth term.[17][75] Republican opponents include Congressman Bill Cassidy (LA-6) and possibly former Congressman Jeff Landry.[76] A Public Policy Poll published on February 13, 2013 shows Landrieu leading Landry by 48% to 39% and Cassidy by 50% to 40%.[77]

Maine

Three-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014. Collins will be seeking a fourth term.[78][79] Former state treasurer Bruce Poliquin is a possible Republican candidate.[80]

Massachusetts

Five-term incumbent and 2004 Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2008. Kerry resigned in early 2013 to become U.S. Secretary of State.[81] Governor Deval Patrick appointed Democrat Mo Cowan to the seat.[82] Democratic Congressman Ed Markey will face Republican Gabriel E. Gomez, a private equity adviser and former Navy SEAL, in the June 25, 2013 special election.[83] The winner of the special election will serve the remainder of Kerry's term, which ends in 2015. Markey will be 68 in November 2014, while Gomez will be 49.

Michigan

Six-term incumbent and Chairman of the Armed Services Committee Democrat Carl Levin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Levin announced on March 7, 2013 that he would not seek re-election for a 7th term in 2014 and retire.[19] Democratic Representative Gary Peters of Michigan's 14th congressional district is running for Levin's seat, and has received the endorsements of Levin and Senator Debbie Stabenow.[84] On June 3, former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land announced on social media that she intends to run for the seat.[85] Other potential Republican candidates include Representatives Justin Amash of Michigan's 3rd congressional district and Mike Rogers of Michigan's 8th congressional district.[86]

Minnesota

One-term incumbent Democrat Al Franken unseated one-term Republican Norm Coleman by 312 votes in a three-way race with 42% of the vote in 2008.[87] Franken will be 63 years old in 2014. Franken will seek re-election.[88]

Businessman Mike McFadden, the co-CEO of Lazard Middle Market, a Minneapolis, Minnesota based private equity and asset management firm, became the first republican candidate to announce a challenge to Franken in 2014.[89] Other potential candidates include Hennepin County Sheriff Rich Stanek, and former state Representative Laura Brod.[90]

Mississippi

Six-term incumbent Republican Thad Cochran was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2008. He will be 76 years old in 2014. Cochran is undecided on whether he will seek reelection and will not announce his decision for several months.[91] If Cochran decides to retire, possible Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Tate Reeves, state Auditor Stacey E. Pickering, Secretary of State Delbert Hosemann, state House Speaker Phillip Gunn, Congressman Gregg Harper, and Congressman Alan Nunnelee.[92] The Center for Politics lists Attorney General Jim Hood and former governors Ronnie Musgrove and Ray Mabus as potential Democratic candidates.[93]

Montana

Six-term incumbent Democrat Max Baucus was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. Baucus announced on April 23, 2013 that he will retire in 2014, rather than seek re-election to a seventh term.[94]

Former Montana Governor Brian Schweitzer is considered the leading candidate for the Democratic nomination.[95] Other potential Democratic candidates include Montana State Superintendent of Public Instruction Denise Juneau,[96] Montana State Auditor Monica Lindeen,[96] NARAL Pro-Choice America President Nancy Keenan,[97] and EMILY's List President and former Chief of Staff to Senator Jon Tester Stephanie Schriock.[97]

Republican State Representative Champ Edmunds and former State Senator Corey Stapleton have both announced they're running for the republican nomination.[98][99] Other Republicans thinking of running include first term Attorney General Tim Fox,[95] freshman Congressman Steve Daines,[100] former Congressman Denny Rehberg, who ran for the U.S. Senate in 2012 and narrowly lost,[101] and former Governor Marc Racicot.[102]

Nebraska

One-term incumbent Republican Mike Johanns was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will not seek a second term.[103] Popular Republican Governor Dave Heineman (who will be term-limited as governor) considered running, but decided not to.[104] On June 3, 2013, former state Treasurer Shane Osborn announced his candidacy.[105] Other potential Republican candidates to succeed Johanns include Representative Lee Terry of Nebraska's 2nd congressional district, Representative Adrian Smith of Nebraska's 3rd congressional district, former Ameritrade COO and 2006 U.S. Senate candidate Pete Ricketts, and Midland University President Ben Sasse.[106] Democratic Center for Rural Affairs Director Chuck Hassebrook has also announced his candidacy [107] and other potential Democratic candidates include former Lieutenant Governor Kim Robak, state Senator Steve Lathrop, and Lincoln Mayor Chris Beutler.[108]

New Hampshire

One-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 67 years old in 2014. At the end of 2011 Shaheen had the lowest amount of campaign funds out of any senator up for re-election in 2014, leading some to believe she would not defend her seat, but her office has confirmed that she will run for re-election.[23] Polling by PPP in November 2012 found her leading former Senator John E. Sununu by 53% to 42%.[109] On April 13, Sununu announced that he would not be a candidate again.[110] Possible Republican candidates include state Senate Majority Leader Jeb Bradley, former Congressman Frank Guinta, and state Executive Councilman Chris Sununu.[111]

New Jersey

Incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2008. After announcing he wouldn't seek re-election, Lautenberg died in June 2013.[112][113][114] On June 6, 2013, Governor Chris Christie appointed Attorney General Jeffrey Chiesa as New Jersey's interim senator; Chiesa will hold office until the October 16, 2013 special election.[115]

Newark Mayor Cory Booker has announced that he will run for the seat,[116] while Representative Frank Pallone of New Jersey's 6th congressional district, is expected to announce his candidacy for the democratic nomination.[117] State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver is also a possible Democratic candidate.[118] Potential Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, state Assemblyman Jay Webber, state Assembly Minority Leader Jon Bramnick, and state Senator Joe Kyrillos.[119]

New Mexico

One-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall was elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. He will be 66 years old in 2014. Possible Republican opponents include former Republican state Chairman Allen Weh and Albuquerque Mayor Richard J. Berry.[120]

North Carolina

One-term incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan was elected with 53% of the vote against incumbent Republican Elizabeth Dole in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election.[121] State House Speaker Thom Tillis is running for the Republican nomination.[122] Potential Republican candidates include US Representatives Virginia Foxx and Renee Ellmers, Reverend Mark Harris, and state Senate leader Phil Berger.[123]

Polling published by Public Policy Polling May 22, 2013, showed Hagan leading Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives Thom Tillis by 48% to 41%, Congresswoman Renee Ellmers by 48% to 39%, Congresswoman Virginia Foxx by 49% to 42%, former U.S. Ambassador to Denmark Jim Cain by 48% to 41%, First Baptist Church pastor Mark Harris by 46% to 40%, state Senator Phil Berger by 46% to 42%, and former Charlotte City Councilwoman Lynn Wheeler by 48% to 37%.[124]

Oklahoma

Three-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008. He will be 79 years old in 2014.

Oregon

One-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was elected with 49% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. Merkley will run for a second term. Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012, of 686 Oregon voters showed Merkley trailing potential Republican challenger Congressman Greg Walden (42–40), while leading the others: State Republican Party Chairman Allen Alley (43–37), co-Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Bruce Hanna (43–35), and State Senator Jason Atkinson (43–34).[125] Polling from PPP in December 2012 showed Merkley with an approval rating of 44-29 and showed him leading Allen Alley (53-36), Bruce Hanna (52-34), Gordon Smith (47-43), Bruce Starr (52-32) and Greg Walden (47-42).[126]

Rhode Island

Three-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Reed will run for re-election.[citation needed]

South Carolina

Two-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 59 years old in 2014. A survey conducted January 28–30, 2011, by Public Policy Polling showed that in a potential primary match-up with Congressman Joe Wilson, Wilson led 43–41, while Graham led when tested in a potential primary against former Governor Mark Sanford, 52–34.[127] State Senator Lee Bright has announced that he is seriously thinking of running against Graham in the Republican primary.[128]

South Carolina (special)

Jim DeMint announced his resignation from the Senate on December 6, 2012, effective January 1, 2013, to become president of The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think-tank.[129] On December 17, 2012, Gov. Nikki Haley announced the appointment of U.S. Rep. Tim Scott as DeMint's replacement.[130]

South Dakota

Three-term incumbent Democrat Tim Johnson was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Johnson announced on March 26, 2013 that he would not run for reelection.[131] For Republicans, former two-term Governor Mike Rounds announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination on November 29, 2012.[132] Republican Congresswoman Kristi Noem has also been mentioned as a possible candidate.[133] Among Democrats, former Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth considered running, but decided not to run, while former Congressional aide Rick Weiland has announced his candidacy.[134] Annette Bosworth has been rumored a candidate according to South Dakota political blog posts[135] as well as by KELO news station[136] out of Sioux Falls, SD. According to posts, Bosworth has visited Washington, D.C. for unknown reasons and someone in her camp leaked information that she would announce her candidacy in late June.

Tennessee

Two-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Alexander will seek re-election to a third term.[31]

Texas

Two-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2008. He will be 62 years old in 2014.

Virginia

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli was considering challenging Warner,[137] but decided to run for Governor of Virginia instead. Polling by Public Policy Polling shows Warner beating current Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, who will be term-limited in 2013, 51% to 40%.[138]

West Virginia

Five-term incumbent Democrat Jay Rockefeller was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2008. He announced on January 11, 2013 that he would not seek reelection to a sixth term.[33]

On November 26, 2012, Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito announced her plans to run for the seat.[139] A January 2013 poll by Harper Polling shows Moore Capito leading all potential Democratic opponents by significant margins [140] If elected, she would become the first woman U.S. Senator from West Virginia and the first Republican elected since 1956.

Potential Democratic candidates include Secretary of State Natalie Tennant and West Virginia Supreme Court Justice Robin Davis.[141]

Wyoming

Three-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014.

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