2014 United States Senate elections: Difference between revisions

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{{main|United States Senate election in Georgia, 2014}}
{{main|United States Senate election in Georgia, 2014}}
Two-term incumbent Republican [[Saxby Chambliss]] was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative [[Jim Martin (Georgia politician)|Jim Martin]] after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.<ref name=chambliss>{{cite news | url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/279287-report-sen-saxby-chambliss-to-retire| title=Report: Sen. Saxby Chambliss to retire | date=January 25, 2013 | publisher=The Hill}}</ref>
Two-term incumbent Republican [[Saxby Chambliss]] was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative [[Jim Martin (Georgia politician)|Jim Martin]] after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.<ref name=chambliss>{{cite news | url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/279287-report-sen-saxby-chambliss-to-retire| title=Report: Sen. Saxby Chambliss to retire | date=January 25, 2013 | publisher=The Hill}}</ref>
Congressman [[Paul Broun]] (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman [[Phil Gingrey]] (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include Congressman [[Tom Price]], Congressman [[Jack Kingston]], former Secretary of State [[Karen Handel]], and perhaps Lieutenant Governor [[Casey Cagle]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/02/06/paul-broun-announces-georgia-senate-bid/|title=Paul Broun announces Georgia Senate bid|date=February 6, 2013|accessdate=February 7, 2013|work=[[Washington Post]]|first=Sean|last=Sullivan}}</ref>
Congressman [[Paul Broun]] (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman [[Phil Gingrey]] (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include Congressmen [[Tom Price]] (GA-6) and [[Jack Kingston]] (GA-1), former Secretary of State [[Karen Handel]], and perhaps Lieutenant Governor [[Casey Cagle]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/02/06/paul-broun-announces-georgia-senate-bid/|title=Paul Broun announces Georgia Senate bid|date=February 6, 2013|accessdate=February 7, 2013|work=[[Washington Post]]|first=Sean|last=Sullivan}}</ref>


=== Hawaii (special) ===
=== Hawaii (special) ===

Revision as of 12:14, 25 April 2013

United States Senate elections, 2014

← 2012
November 4, 2014
2016 →

Class II (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate
and two mid-term vacancies from Class III
51 seats needed for a majority
 
Leader Harry Reid Mitch McConnell
Party Democratic Republican
Leader's seat Nevada Kentucky
Last election 53* 45

Senate Seats up for election:
  Democratic incumbent
  Retiring Democrat
  Republican incumbent
  Retiring Republican
  Special election pending
  No election

* Two independents (VT, ME) caucus with the Democrats.

Incumbent Majority Leader

Harry Reid
Democratic



Elections for the United States Senate will be held on November 4, 2014, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2021. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur during the 113th United States Congress.

The elections to the House of Representatives, elections for governors in states and territories, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date. The 2014 Senate elections will mark 100 years of direct elections of senators.

Summary

There are 53 Democratic, 45 Republican and 2 Independent senators. 33 are up for election this year as members of the class 2 Senators, and two are up for special elections (one each from classes 1 and 3). Among the senators up for election in 2014, there are 21 Democrats and 14 Republicans.

There may be some changes if senators die or resign. If senators in other classes die or resign between 2012 and 2014, there may be additional special elections. The dates between which the death or resignation of a senator would lead a special election during this time period vary from state to state.

Shading indicates party with largest share of that line.

Parties Template:American politics/party colors/Democratic | Template:American politics/party colors/Republican | Template:American politics/party colors/Independent | Total
Democratic Republican Independent
Last election (2012) 53 45 2 100
Before this election 53 45 2 100
  Not Up 32 31 2 65
Up 21 14 35
  Incumbent retiring 6 2 8
Incumbent running 14 (+1[1]) 11 26
Intent undeclared 0 1 1

Change in composition

Senate composition before the elections

I1 I2 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11 D10 D9
D19 D20 D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28
D38 D37 D36 D35 D34 D33 D32 D31 D30 D29
D39 D40 D41 D42 D43 D44 D45 D46 D47 D48
Majority →
R41 R42 R43 R44 R45 D53* D52 D51 D50 D49
R40 R39 R38 R37 R36 R35 R34 R33 R32 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
  • D53: Democrat John Kerry resigned. This seat, currently held by the appointed Democrat Mo Cowan, will be filled in a June 25, 2013 special election.

Senate composition at the beginning of the 114th Congress

I1 I2 D1 D2 D3 D4 D5 D6 D7 D8
D18 D17 D16 D15 D14 D13 D12 D11 D10 D9
D19 D20 D21 D22 D23 D24 D25 D26 D27 D28
TBD6 TBD5 TBD4 TBD3 TBD2 TBD1 D32 D31 D30 D29
TBD7 TBD8 TBD9 TBD10 TBD11 TBD12 TBD13 TBD14 TBD15 TBD16
Majority →
TBD26 TBD25 TBD24 TBD23 TBD22 TBD21 TBD20 TBD19 TBD18 TBD17
TBD27 TBD28 TBD29 TBD30 TBD31 TBD32 TBD33 TBD34 TBD35 R31
R21 R22 R23 R24 R25 R26 R27 R28 R29 R30
R20 R19 R18 R17 R16 R15 R14 R13 R12 R11
R1 R2 R3 R4 R5 R6 R7 R8 R9 R10
Key:
D# =Democratic
R# =Republican
I# =Independent, caucusing with Democrats

Race summary

After losing ground in the 2012 elections, an internal fight broke out amongst the GOP's leadership in early 2013 over the best strategy and tactics for the 2014 Senate races.[2]

The following is the list of state-by-state summaries:

State
(linked to
summaries below)
Incumbent Most recent election results
(Winner in bold)
2014 Result Candidates
Senator Party Electoral
history
Alabama Jeff Sessions Republican 1996
2002
2008
Jeff Sessions (Republican) 63%
Vivian Davis Figures (Democratic) 37%
Running[3] Jeff Sessions (R)
Alaska Mark Begich Democratic 2008 Mark Begich (Democratic) 48%
Ted Stevens (Republican) 47%
Other 5%
Running[4] Mark Begich (D)
Arkansas Mark Pryor Democratic 2002
2008
Mark Pryor (Democratic) 80%
Rebekah Kennedy (Green) 20%
Running[5] Mark Pryor (D)
Colorado Mark Udall Democratic 2008 Mark Udall (Democratic) 53%
Bob Schaffer (Republican) 43%
Other 4%
Running[6] Mark Udall (D)
Delaware Chris Coons Democratic 2010 (Special) Chris Coons (Democratic) 65%
Christine O'Donnell (Republican) 35%
Running[7] Chris Coons (D)
Georgia Saxby Chambliss Republican 2002
2008
Saxby Chambliss (Republican) 57%
Jim Martin (Democratic) 43%
Retiring[8] Paul Broun (R), Phil Gingrey (R)
Hawaii
(special)
Brian Schatz Democratic Appointed in 2012 (2010):
Daniel Inouye (Democratic) 75%
Campbell Cavasso (Republican) 22%
Other 4%
Running Brian Schatz (D), Colleen Hanabusa (D)
Idaho Jim Risch Republican 2008 Jim Risch (Republican) 58%
Larry LaRocco (Democratic) 34%
Other 8%
Running[9] Jim Risch (R)
Illinois Richard Durbin Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Richard Durbin (Democratic) 68%
Steve Sauerberg (Republican) 29%
Other 3%
Running[10] Dick Durbin (D)
Iowa Tom Harkin Democratic 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Tom Harkin (Democratic) 63%
Christopher Reed (Republican) 37%
Retiring[11] Bruce Braley (D)
Kansas Pat Roberts Republican 1996
2002
2008
Pat Roberts (Republican) 60%
Jim Slattery (Democratic) 36%
Other 4%
Running[12] Pat Roberts (R)
Kentucky Mitch McConnell Republican 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Mitch McConnell (Republican) 53%
Bruce Lunsford (Democratic) 47%
Running[13] Mitch McConnell (R)
Louisiana Mary Landrieu Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Mary Landrieu (Democratic) 52%
John Kennedy (Republican) 46%
Other 2%
Running[14] Mary Landrieu (D)

Bill Cassidy (R)

Maine Susan Collins Republican 1996
2002
2008
Susan Collins (Republican) 61%
Tom Allen (Democratic) 39%
Running[15] Susan Collins (R)
Massachusetts Mo Cowan Democratic Appointed in 2013 John Kerry (Democratic) 66%
Jeff Beatty (Republican) 31%
Other 3%
Appointee retiring, to be succeeded in June 2013
Michigan Carl Levin Democratic 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Carl Levin (Democratic) 63%
Jack Hoogendyk (Republican) 34%
Other 3%
Retiring[16]
Minnesota Al Franken Democratic 2008 Al Franken (Democratic) 42%
Norm Coleman (Republican) 42%
Dean Barkley (MIP) 15%
Running[17] Al Franken (D)
Mississippi Thad Cochran Republican 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Thad Cochran (Republican) 61%
Erik R. Fleming (Democratic) 39%
Undeclared[10]
Montana Max Baucus Democratic 1978
1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Max Baucus (Democratic) 73%
Bob Kelleher (Republican) 27%
Retiring[18]
Nebraska Mike Johanns Republican 2008 Mike Johanns (Republican) 58%
Scott Kleeb (Democratic) 40%
Other 2%
Retiring[19]
New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen Democratic 2008 Jeanne Shaheen (Democratic) 52%
John E. Sununu (Republican) 45%
Other 3%
Running[20] Jeanne Shaheen (D)
New Jersey Frank Lautenberg Democratic 1982
1988
1994
2002
2008
Frank Lautenberg (Democratic) 56%
Dick Zimmer (Republican) 42%
Other 2%
Retiring[21] Cory Booker (D)
New Mexico Tom Udall Democratic 2008 Tom Udall (Democratic) 61%
Steve Pearce (Republican) 39%
Running[22] Tom Udall (D)
North Carolina Kay Hagan Democratic 2008 Kay Hagan (Democratic) 53%
Elizabeth Dole (Republican) 44%
Other 3%
Running[23] Kay Hagan (D)
Oklahoma Jim Inhofe Republican 1994
1996
2002
2008
Jim Inhofe (Republican) 57%
Andrew Rice (Democratic) 39%
Other 4%
Running[17] Jim Inhofe (R)
Oregon Jeff Merkley Democratic 2008 Jeff Merkley (Democratic) 49%
Gordon Smith (Republican) 46%
Other 5%
Running[24] Jeff Merkley (D)
Rhode Island Jack Reed Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Jack Reed (Democratic) 73%
Robert Tingle (Republican) 27%
Running[25] Jack Reed (D)
South Carolina Lindsey Graham Republican 2008 Lindsey Graham (Republican) 58%
Bob Conley (Democratic) 42%
Running[3] Lindsey Graham (R)
South Carolina
(special)
Tim Scott Republican Appointed in 2013 (2010):
Jim DeMint (Republican) 62%
Alvin Greene (Democratic) 28%
Tom Clements (Green) 9%
Running Tim Scott (R)
South Dakota Tim Johnson Democratic 1996
2002
2008
Tim Johnson (Democratic) 63%
Joel Dykstra (Republican) 37%
Retiring[26] Mike Rounds (R)
Tennessee Lamar Alexander Republican 2002
2008
Lamar Alexander (Republican) 65%
Bob Tuke (Democratic) 32%
Other 3%
Running[27] Lamar Alexander (R)
Texas John Cornyn Republican 2002
2008
John Cornyn (Republican) 55%
Rick Noriega (Democratic) 43%
Other 2%
Running[3] John Cornyn (R)
Virginia Mark Warner Democratic 2008 Mark Warner (Democratic) 65%
Jim Gilmore (Republican) 34%
Other 1%
Running [28] Mark Warner (D)
West Virginia Jay Rockefeller Democratic 1984
1990
1996
2002
2008
Jay Rockefeller (Democratic) 64%
Jay Wolfe (Republican) 36%
Retiring[29] Shelley Moore Capito (R)
Wyoming Mike Enzi Republican 1996
2002
2008
Mike Enzi (Republican) 76%
Chris Rothfuss (Democratic) 24%
Running[30] Mike Enzi (R)
State
(linked to
summaries below)
Senator Party Electoral
history
Most recent election results
(Winner in bold)
2014 Result Candidates
Incumbent

Latest predictions

State color and party abbreviation refers to the incumbent.

Safe Democratic Likely Democratic Leans Democratic Tossup Leans Republican Likely Republican Safe Republican
Consensus:
Delaware (D)
Illinois (D)
New Mexico (D)
Rhode Island (D)
Montana (D) Kentucky (R) Alabama (R)
Idaho (R)
Kansas (R)
Mississippi (R)
Oklahoma (R)
South Carolina (R)
Tennessee (R)
Texas (R)
Wyoming (R)
Source Date Safe Democratic Likely Democratic Leans Democratic Tossup Leans Republican Likely Republican Safe Republican
Cook
Political
Report
April 23, 2013
(updates)
Massachusetts (D)[1]
Oregon (D)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New Jersey (D)
Virginia (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
North Carolina (D)
Iowa (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Georgia (R)
Maine (R)
South Carolina (sp.) (R)
Nebraska (R)
Five
Thirty
Eight
February 20, 2013 Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Virginia (D)
Colorado (D)
Massachusetts (D)[1]
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Hampshire (D)
New Jersey (D)
Oregon (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Iowa (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
Georgia (R)
Maine (R)
West Virginia (D)
Nebraska (R)
South Carolina (sp.) (R)
Real
Clear
Politics
Roll
Call
April 23, 2013
(updates)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Michigan (D)
Oregon (D)
Colorado (D)
Massachusetts (D)[1]
New Jersey (D)
Virginia (D)
Iowa (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Hampshire (D)
Alaska (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Georgia (R) Maine (R)
Nebraska (R)
Sabato's
Crystal
Ball
April 23, 2013
(updates)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) (D)
Massachusetts (D)[1]
New Jersey (D)
Oregon (D)
Virginia (D)
Arkansas (D)
Iowa (D)
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Hampshire (D)
Alaska (D)
Louisiana (D)
North Carolina (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Georgia (R)
Nebraska (R)
Maine (R)
South Carolina (sp.) (R)
Rothenberg
Political
Report
April 23, 2013
(updates)
Colorado (D)
Hawaii (sp.) D)
Massachusetts (D)[1]
Michigan (D)
Minnesota (D)
New Jersey (D)
Oregon (D)
Virginia (D)
New Hampshire (D) Alaska (D)
Iowa (D)
North Carolina (D)
Arkansas (D)
Louisiana (D)
South Dakota (D)
West Virginia (D)
Maine (R) Georgia (R)
South Carolina (sp.) (R)
Nebraska (R)

Complete list of races

Alabama

Three-term incumbent Republican Jeff Sessions was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. He will be 67 years old in 2014.

Alaska

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Begich was elected with 48% of the vote in 2008, defeating six-term Senator Ted Stevens by 3,953 votes. Begich will be 52 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election to a second term.[4] Stevens, who would have been almost 91 years old at the time of the election, had already filed for a rematch back in 2009,[4] but was killed in a plane crash the following year. On December 1, 2012 Republican Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell announced that he was exploring a candidacy in 2014. [17].

Arkansas

Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor was re-elected with 80% of the vote without Republican opposition in 2008. He will be 51 years old in 2014. He is planning on running for a third term.[5] Potential Republican candidates include Congressman Tom Cotton, Congressman Steve Womack, and Lieutenant Governor Mark Darr.[31] A poll paid for by the Club for Growth shows Cotton leading Pryor by a 43% to 35% margin if Cotton were to run.[32]

Colorado

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Udall was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Former Lieutenant Governor of Colorado and failed 2010 U.S. Senate candidate Jane Norton is being encouraged to run by Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte.[33] Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling December 1–4, 2011, showed Udall with a lead against Congressman Mike Coffman (48–34), and former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (50–33).[34] Additional polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012, of 799 Colorado voters showed Udall with leads against former Governor Bill Owens (47–43), 2010, Republican nominee for Senate Ken Buck (50–35), former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (48–38), former Congressman Tom Tancredo (49–39), Congressman Doug Lamborn (49–36), Congressman Mike Coffman (48–39), and state Attorney General John Suthers (48–38).[35]

Delaware

Democrat Chris Coons defeated Tea Party activist and three-time Republican Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell at the 2010 special election caused by Joe Biden's election as Vice President, winning by a 57% to 41% margin. Coons will be 51 years old in 2014.

Georgia

Two-term incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative Jim Martin after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.[8] Congressman Paul Broun (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman Phil Gingrey (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include Congressmen Tom Price (GA-6) and Jack Kingston (GA-1), former Secretary of State Karen Handel, and perhaps Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle.[36]

Hawaii (special)

Daniel Inouye, the second longest serving United States Senator in history died on December 17, 2012, after respiratory complications.[37] Hawaii law allows Neil Abercrombie, the Governor of Hawaii, to appoint an interim Senator "who serves until the next regularly-scheduled general election, chosen from a list of three prospective appointees that the prior incumbent's political party submits."[38] Abercrombie eventually picked his Lt. Governor, Brian Schatz, to fill the Senate seat. Inouye was re-elected in 2010 with 72 percent of the vote.[39]

Idaho

One-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 71 years old in 2014. Risch plans to seek a second term.[9]

Illinois

Three-term incumbent and Senate Majority Whip Democrat Dick Durbin was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2008. Durbin plans to seek a fourth term.[40]

Iowa

Five-term incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Harkin will not run for re-election.[41] Democratic Congressman Bruce Braley (IA-1) has announced his candidacy and has been raising campaign funds [42] Among Republicans, conservative Congressman Steve King (IA-4) is seriously thinking of running.[43]

Kansas

Three-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2008. He will be 78 years old in 2014. Roberts plans to seek a fourth term and is already raising funds for his campaign.[12]

Kentucky

Five-term incumbent and Senate Minority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. McConnell will seek re-election to a sixth term and is already beginning to prepare for his campaign by hiring key staffers and building a fundraising operation.[13] Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes is a potential Democratic candidate.[44]

Louisiana

Three-term incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 59 years old in 2014. Landrieu has already begun to fundraise for her intended re-election bid for a fourth term.[14][45] Potential Republican opponents include Congressman Bill Cassidy and former Congressman Jeff Landry.[46] A Public Policy Poll published on February 13, 2013 shows Landrieu leading Landry by 48% to 39% and Cassidy by 50% to 40%.[47]

Maine

Three-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014. Collins will be seeking a fourth term.[48][49] Former state treasurer Bruce Poliquin is a possible Republican candidate.[50]

Massachusetts

Five-term incumbent and 2004 Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2008. Kerry resigned in early 2013 to become U.S. Secretary of State. Governor Deval Patrick appointed Democrat Mo Cowan to the seat, and Cowan has announced he would not run to finish the term.[citation needed] Democratic Congressmwn Ed Markey and Stephen Lynch are running in the 2013 special election to finish the term.[citation needed] Former U.S. Senator Scott Brown was considered the likely Republican nominee but announced on February 1 that he would not run in the special election.[51] With Brown not running, Republican candidates include state Representative Daniel Winslow, former Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez, and former U.S. Attorney Michael Sullivan.[52]

Michigan

Six-term incumbent and Chairman of the Armed Services Committee Democrat Carl Levin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Levin announced on March 7, 2013 that he would not seek re-election for a 7th term in 2014 and retire.[16] Potential Democratic candidates include Jocelyn Benson, who unsuccessfully ran for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010,[53] Macomb County Executive Mark Hackel,[54] U.S. Representative Gary Peters[55] and former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer.[55] Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Justin Amash,[56] State Senator Roger Kahn,[57] U.S. Representative Mike Rogers, former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land, former state Republican Party Chairman Saul Anuzis, and state Senate Majority Leader Randy Richardville.[53]

Minnesota

One-term incumbent Democrat Al Franken defeated one-term Republican Norm Coleman by 312 votes in a three-way race with 42% of the vote in 2008. Franken will be 63 years old in 2014. Franken will seek re-election.[58]

Possible Republican candidates include Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, Congressman John Kline and former state Representative Laura Brod [18].

Mississippi

Six-term incumbent Republican Thad Cochran was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2008. He will be 76 years old in 2014. Cochran is undecided on whether he will seek reelection and will not announce his decision for several months [19].

Montana

Six-term incumbent Democrat Max Baucus was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. Baucus announced on April 23, 2013 that he will retire in 2014, rather than seen re-election to a seventh term.[18] Republican state Representative Champ Edmunds will challenge Baucus.[59] Former state Senator Corey Stapleton has also announced his candidacy.[60] A poll by Public Policy Polling published on February 19 shows Baucus leading Stapleton by 45% to 38% and Edmunds by 47% to 37%.[61]

Nebraska

One-term incumbent Republican Mike Johanns was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will not seek a second term. Potential Republican candidates to succeed him include Governor Dave Heineman (who will be term-limited as governor), Congressman Jeff Fortenberry, and perhaps former state Treasurer Shane Osborn. [20]

New Hampshire

One-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 67 years old in 2014. At the end of 2011 Shaheen had the lowest amount of campaign funds out of any senator up for re-election in 2014, leading some to believe she would not defend her seat, but her office has confirmed that she will run for re-election.[20] Polling by PPP in November 2012 found her leading former Senator John E. Sununu by 53% to 42%.[62]

New Jersey

Five-term (non-consecutive), two-term (consecutive since January 2003), incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2008. On February 14, 2013, Lautenberg announced that he would not be a candidate for reelection.[63][64] Newark Mayor Cory Booker has announced that he will run for the seat. Congressman Frank Pallone has said that he would consider running if Lautenberg decided not to seek re-election.[65] State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver is also a possible Democratic candidate.[66] Potential Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, state Assemblyman Jay Webber, state Assembly Minority Leader Jon Bramnick, and state Senator Joe Kyrillos.[67]

New Mexico

One-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall was elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. He will be 66 years old in 2014. Possible Republican opponents include former Republican state Chairman Allen Weh and Albuquerque Mayor Richard J. Berry.[68]

North Carolina

One-term incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election.[69] Polling published by Public Policy Polling February 12, 2012, showed Hagan leading Congressman Patrick McHenry by 45% to 40%, state Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry by 46% to 38%, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives Thom Tillis by 46% to 38%, Congresswoman Renee Ellmers by 47% to 38%, Congresswoman Virginia Foxx by 48% to 38%, Congressman George Holding by 46% to 36%, and state Senator Phil Berger by 49% to 38%.[70]

Oklahoma

Three-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008. He will be 79 years old in 2014.

Oregon

One-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was elected with 49% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. Merkley will run for a second term. Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012, of 686 Oregon voters showed Merkley trailing potential Republican challenger Congressman Greg Walden (42–40), while leading the others: State Republican Party Chairman Allen Alley (43–37), co-Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Bruce Hanna (43–35), and State Senator Jason Atkinson (43–34).[71] Polling from PPP in December 2012 showed Merkley with an approval rating of 44-29 and showed him leading Allen Alley (53-36), Bruce Hanna (52-34), Gordon Smith (47-43), Bruce Starr (52-32) and Greg Walden (47-42).[72]

Rhode Island

Three-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Reed will run for re-election.[citation needed]

South Carolina

Two-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 59 years old in 2014. A survey conducted January 28–30, 2011, by Public Policy Polling showed that in a potential primary match-up with Congressman Joe Wilson, Wilson led 43–41, while Graham led when tested in a potential primary against former Governor Mark Sanford, 52–34.[73] State Senator Lee Bright has announced that he is seriously thinking of running against Graham in the Republican primary.[74]

South Carolina (special)

Jim DeMint announced his resignation from the Senate on December 6, 2012, effective January 1, 2013, to become president of The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think-tank.[75] On December 17, 2012, Gov. Nikki Haley announced the appointment of U.S. Rep. Tim Scott as DeMint's replacement.[76]

South Dakota

Three-term incumbent Democrat Tim Johnson was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Johnson announced on March 26, 2013 that he would not run for reelection.[77] For Republicans, former two-term Governor Mike Rounds announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination on November 29, 2012.[78] Republican Congresswoman Kristi Noem has also been mentioned as a possible candidate.[79] Possible Democratic candidates include U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson and former Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth.[80] A March 21 poll conducted by Public Policy Polling shows Rounds leading Herseth Sandlin by a by a 49% to 44% margin and Brenden Johnson by a 53% to 32% margin while Herseth Sandlin would edge Noem by a 48% to 47% margin, with Noem leading Johnson by a 49% to 37% margin. In a Republican primary between Rounds and Noem, Rounds leads by 43% to 39% [81]

Tennessee

Two-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Alexander will seek re-election to a third term.[27]

Texas

Two-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2008. He will be 62 years old in 2014.

Virginia

One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli was considering challenging Warner,[82] but decided to run for Governor of Virginia instead. Polling by Public Policy Polling shows Warner beating current Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, who will be term-limited in 2013, 51% to 40%.[83]

West Virginia

Five-term incumbent Democrat Jay Rockefeller was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2008. He announced on January 11, 2013 that he would not seek reelection to a sixth term.[29]

On November 26, 2012, Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito announced her plans to run for the seat.[84] A January 2013 poll by Harper Polling shows Moore Capito leading all potential Democratic opponents by significant margins [85]

If elected, she would become the first woman U.S. Senator from West Virginia and the first Republican elected since 1956.

Wyoming

Three-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014.

References

  1. ^ a b c d e f John Kerry (D) resigned in February 2013 and was replaced by Mo Cowan (D), who will not be a candidate in the June 2013 special election to finish the term. The seat is also up for election in 2014. Although this seat could be held by any party at the time of the 2014 election, it is currently held by a Democrat so it is listed thusly here.
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