2014 United States Senate elections: Difference between revisions
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{{main|United States Senate election in Georgia, 2014}} |
{{main|United States Senate election in Georgia, 2014}} |
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Two-term incumbent Republican [[Saxby Chambliss]] was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative [[Jim Martin (Georgia politician)|Jim Martin]] after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.<ref name=chambliss>{{cite news | url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/279287-report-sen-saxby-chambliss-to-retire| title=Report: Sen. Saxby Chambliss to retire | date=January 25, 2013 | publisher=The Hill}}</ref> |
Two-term incumbent Republican [[Saxby Chambliss]] was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative [[Jim Martin (Georgia politician)|Jim Martin]] after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.<ref name=chambliss>{{cite news | url=http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/senate-races/279287-report-sen-saxby-chambliss-to-retire| title=Report: Sen. Saxby Chambliss to retire | date=January 25, 2013 | publisher=The Hill}}</ref> |
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Congressman [[Paul Broun]] (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman [[Phil Gingrey]] (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include |
Congressman [[Paul Broun]] (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman [[Phil Gingrey]] (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include Congressmen [[Tom Price]] (GA-6) and [[Jack Kingston]] (GA-1), former Secretary of State [[Karen Handel]], and perhaps Lieutenant Governor [[Casey Cagle]].<ref>{{cite web|url=http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/post-politics/wp/2013/02/06/paul-broun-announces-georgia-senate-bid/|title=Paul Broun announces Georgia Senate bid|date=February 6, 2013|accessdate=February 7, 2013|work=[[Washington Post]]|first=Sean|last=Sullivan}}</ref> |
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=== Hawaii (special) === |
=== Hawaii (special) === |
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Revision as of 12:14, 25 April 2013
November 4, 2014
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Class II (33 of the 100) seats in the United States Senate and two mid-term vacancies from Class III 51 seats needed for a majority | ||||||||||||||||
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Senate Seats up for election:
* Two independents (VT, ME) caucus with the Democrats. | ||||||||||||||||
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Elections for the United States Senate will be held on November 4, 2014, with 33 of the 100 seats in the Senate being contested in regular elections whose winners will serve six-year terms from January 3, 2015, until January 3, 2021. Additionally, special elections may be held to fill vacancies that occur during the 113th United States Congress.
The elections to the House of Representatives, elections for governors in states and territories, and many state and local elections will also be held on this date. The 2014 Senate elections will mark 100 years of direct elections of senators.
Summary
There are 53 Democratic, 45 Republican and 2 Independent senators. 33 are up for election this year as members of the class 2 Senators, and two are up for special elections (one each from classes 1 and 3). Among the senators up for election in 2014, there are 21 Democrats and 14 Republicans.
There may be some changes if senators die or resign. If senators in other classes die or resign between 2012 and 2014, there may be additional special elections. The dates between which the death or resignation of a senator would lead a special election during this time period vary from state to state.
Shading indicates party with largest share of that line.
| Parties | Template:American politics/party colors/Democratic | | Template:American politics/party colors/Republican | | Template:American politics/party colors/Independent | | Total | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | Republican | Independent | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Last election (2012) | 53 | 45 | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Before this election | 53 | 45 | 2 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Not Up | 32 | 31 | 2 | 65 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Up | 21 | 14 | — | 35 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent retiring | 6 | 2 | — | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Incumbent running | 14 (+1[1]) | 11 | — | 26 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Intent undeclared | 0 | 1 | — | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Change in composition
Senate composition before the elections
| I1 | I2 | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 |
| D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 | D10 | D9 |
| D19 | D20 | D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 |
| D38 | D37 | D36 | D35 | D34 | D33 | D32 | D31 | D30 | D29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D39 | D40 | D41 | D42 | D43 | D44 | D45 | D46 | D47 | D48 |
| Majority → | |||||||||
| R41 | R42 | R43 | R44 | R45 | D53* | D52 | D51 | D50 | D49 |
| R40 | R39 | R38 | R37 | R36 | R35 | R34 | R33 | R32 | R31 |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
- D53: Democrat John Kerry resigned. This seat, currently held by the appointed Democrat Mo Cowan, will be filled in a June 25, 2013 special election.
Senate composition at the beginning of the 114th Congress
| I1 | I2 | D1 | D2 | D3 | D4 | D5 | D6 | D7 | D8 |
| D18 | D17 | D16 | D15 | D14 | D13 | D12 | D11 | D10 | D9 |
| D19 | D20 | D21 | D22 | D23 | D24 | D25 | D26 | D27 | D28 |
| TBD6 | TBD5 | TBD4 | TBD3 | TBD2 | TBD1 | D32 | D31 | D30 | D29 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TBD7 | TBD8 | TBD9 | TBD10 | TBD11 | TBD12 | TBD13 | TBD14 | TBD15 | TBD16 |
| Majority → | |||||||||
| TBD26 | TBD25 | TBD24 | TBD23 | TBD22 | TBD21 | TBD20 | TBD19 | TBD18 | TBD17 |
| TBD27 | TBD28 | TBD29 | TBD30 | TBD31 | TBD32 | TBD33 | TBD34 | TBD35 | R31 |
| R21 | R22 | R23 | R24 | R25 | R26 | R27 | R28 | R29 | R30 |
| R20 | R19 | R18 | R17 | R16 | R15 | R14 | R13 | R12 | R11 |
| R1 | R2 | R3 | R4 | R5 | R6 | R7 | R8 | R9 | R10 |
| Key: |
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Race summary
After losing ground in the 2012 elections, an internal fight broke out amongst the GOP's leadership in early 2013 over the best strategy and tactics for the 2014 Senate races.[2]
The following is the list of state-by-state summaries:
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Incumbent | Most recent election results (Winner in bold) |
2014 Result | Candidates | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senator | Party | Electoral history | ||||
| Alabama | Jeff Sessions | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Jeff Sessions (Republican) 63% Vivian Davis Figures (Democratic) 37% |
Running[3] | Jeff Sessions (R) |
| Alaska | Mark Begich | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Begich (Democratic) 48% Ted Stevens (Republican) 47% Other 5% |
Running[4] | Mark Begich (D) |
| Arkansas | Mark Pryor | Democratic | 2002 2008 |
Mark Pryor (Democratic) 80% Rebekah Kennedy (Green) 20% |
Running[5] | Mark Pryor (D) |
| Colorado | Mark Udall | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Udall (Democratic) 53% Bob Schaffer (Republican) 43% Other 4% |
Running[6] | Mark Udall (D) |
| Delaware | Chris Coons | Democratic | 2010 (Special) | Chris Coons (Democratic) 65% Christine O'Donnell (Republican) 35% |
Running[7] | Chris Coons (D) |
| Georgia | Saxby Chambliss | Republican | 2002 2008 |
Saxby Chambliss (Republican) 57% Jim Martin (Democratic) 43% |
Retiring[8] | Paul Broun (R), Phil Gingrey (R) |
| Hawaii (special) |
Brian Schatz | Democratic | Appointed in 2012 | (2010): Daniel Inouye (Democratic) 75% Campbell Cavasso (Republican) 22% Other 4% |
Running | Brian Schatz (D), Colleen Hanabusa (D) |
| Idaho | Jim Risch | Republican | 2008 | Jim Risch (Republican) 58% Larry LaRocco (Democratic) 34% Other 8% |
Running[9] | Jim Risch (R) |
| Illinois | Richard Durbin | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Richard Durbin (Democratic) 68% Steve Sauerberg (Republican) 29% Other 3% |
Running[10] | Dick Durbin (D) |
| Iowa | Tom Harkin | Democratic | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Tom Harkin (Democratic) 63% Christopher Reed (Republican) 37% |
Retiring[11] | Bruce Braley (D) |
| Kansas | Pat Roberts | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Pat Roberts (Republican) 60% Jim Slattery (Democratic) 36% Other 4% |
Running[12] | Pat Roberts (R) |
| Kentucky | Mitch McConnell | Republican | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Mitch McConnell (Republican) 53% Bruce Lunsford (Democratic) 47% |
Running[13] | Mitch McConnell (R) |
| Louisiana | Mary Landrieu | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Mary Landrieu (Democratic) 52% John Kennedy (Republican) 46% Other 2% |
Running[14] | Mary Landrieu (D)
Bill Cassidy (R) |
| Maine | Susan Collins | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Susan Collins (Republican) 61% Tom Allen (Democratic) 39% |
Running[15] | Susan Collins (R) |
| Massachusetts | Mo Cowan | Democratic | Appointed in 2013 | John Kerry (Democratic) 66% Jeff Beatty (Republican) 31% Other 3% |
Appointee retiring, to be succeeded in June 2013 | |
| Michigan | Carl Levin | Democratic | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Carl Levin (Democratic) 63% Jack Hoogendyk (Republican) 34% Other 3% |
Retiring[16] | |
| Minnesota | Al Franken | Democratic | 2008 | Al Franken (Democratic) 42% Norm Coleman (Republican) 42% Dean Barkley (MIP) 15% |
Running[17] | Al Franken (D) |
| Mississippi | Thad Cochran | Republican | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Thad Cochran (Republican) 61% Erik R. Fleming (Democratic) 39% |
Undeclared[10] | |
| Montana | Max Baucus | Democratic | 1978 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Max Baucus (Democratic) 73% Bob Kelleher (Republican) 27% |
Retiring[18] | |
| Nebraska | Mike Johanns | Republican | 2008 | Mike Johanns (Republican) 58% Scott Kleeb (Democratic) 40% Other 2% |
Retiring[19] | |
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen | Democratic | 2008 | Jeanne Shaheen (Democratic) 52% John E. Sununu (Republican) 45% Other 3% |
Running[20] | Jeanne Shaheen (D) |
| New Jersey | Frank Lautenberg | Democratic | 1982 1988 1994 2002 2008 |
Frank Lautenberg (Democratic) 56% Dick Zimmer (Republican) 42% Other 2% |
Retiring[21] | Cory Booker (D) |
| New Mexico | Tom Udall | Democratic | 2008 | Tom Udall (Democratic) 61% Steve Pearce (Republican) 39% |
Running[22] | Tom Udall (D) |
| North Carolina | Kay Hagan | Democratic | 2008 | Kay Hagan (Democratic) 53% Elizabeth Dole (Republican) 44% Other 3% |
Running[23] | Kay Hagan (D) |
| Oklahoma | Jim Inhofe | Republican | 1994 1996 2002 2008 |
Jim Inhofe (Republican) 57% Andrew Rice (Democratic) 39% Other 4% |
Running[17] | Jim Inhofe (R) |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley | Democratic | 2008 | Jeff Merkley (Democratic) 49% Gordon Smith (Republican) 46% Other 5% |
Running[24] | Jeff Merkley (D) |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Jack Reed (Democratic) 73% Robert Tingle (Republican) 27% |
Running[25] | Jack Reed (D) |
| South Carolina | Lindsey Graham | Republican | 2008 | Lindsey Graham (Republican) 58% Bob Conley (Democratic) 42% |
Running[3] | Lindsey Graham (R) |
| South Carolina (special) |
Tim Scott | Republican | Appointed in 2013 | (2010): Jim DeMint (Republican) 62% Alvin Greene (Democratic) 28% Tom Clements (Green) 9% |
Running | Tim Scott (R) |
| South Dakota | Tim Johnson | Democratic | 1996 2002 2008 |
Tim Johnson (Democratic) 63% Joel Dykstra (Republican) 37% |
Retiring[26] | Mike Rounds (R) |
| Tennessee | Lamar Alexander | Republican | 2002 2008 |
Lamar Alexander (Republican) 65% Bob Tuke (Democratic) 32% Other 3% |
Running[27] | Lamar Alexander (R) |
| Texas | John Cornyn | Republican | 2002 2008 |
John Cornyn (Republican) 55% Rick Noriega (Democratic) 43% Other 2% |
Running[3] | John Cornyn (R) |
| Virginia | Mark Warner | Democratic | 2008 | Mark Warner (Democratic) 65% Jim Gilmore (Republican) 34% Other 1% |
Running [28] | Mark Warner (D) |
| West Virginia | Jay Rockefeller | Democratic | 1984 1990 1996 2002 2008 |
Jay Rockefeller (Democratic) 64% Jay Wolfe (Republican) 36% |
Retiring[29] | Shelley Moore Capito (R) |
| Wyoming | Mike Enzi | Republican | 1996 2002 2008 |
Mike Enzi (Republican) 76% Chris Rothfuss (Democratic) 24% |
Running[30] | Mike Enzi (R) |
| State (linked to summaries below) |
Senator | Party | Electoral history |
Most recent election results (Winner in bold) |
2014 Result | Candidates |
| Incumbent | ||||||
Latest predictions
State color and party abbreviation refers to the incumbent.
Complete list of races
Alabama
Three-term incumbent Republican Jeff Sessions was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. He will be 67 years old in 2014.
Alaska
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Begich was elected with 48% of the vote in 2008, defeating six-term Senator Ted Stevens by 3,953 votes. Begich will be 52 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election to a second term.[4] Stevens, who would have been almost 91 years old at the time of the election, had already filed for a rematch back in 2009,[4] but was killed in a plane crash the following year. On December 1, 2012 Republican Lieutenant Governor Mead Treadwell announced that he was exploring a candidacy in 2014. [17].
Arkansas
Two-term incumbent Democrat Mark Pryor was re-elected with 80% of the vote without Republican opposition in 2008. He will be 51 years old in 2014. He is planning on running for a third term.[5] Potential Republican candidates include Congressman Tom Cotton, Congressman Steve Womack, and Lieutenant Governor Mark Darr.[31] A poll paid for by the Club for Growth shows Cotton leading Pryor by a 43% to 35% margin if Cotton were to run.[32]
Colorado
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Udall was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Former Lieutenant Governor of Colorado and failed 2010 U.S. Senate candidate Jane Norton is being encouraged to run by Republican U.S. Senator Kelly Ayotte.[33] Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling December 1–4, 2011, showed Udall with a lead against Congressman Mike Coffman (48–34), and former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (50–33).[34] Additional polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 14–17, 2012, of 799 Colorado voters showed Udall with leads against former Governor Bill Owens (47–43), 2010, Republican nominee for Senate Ken Buck (50–35), former Lieutenant Governor Jane Norton (48–38), former Congressman Tom Tancredo (49–39), Congressman Doug Lamborn (49–36), Congressman Mike Coffman (48–39), and state Attorney General John Suthers (48–38).[35]
Delaware
Democrat Chris Coons defeated Tea Party activist and three-time Republican Senate candidate Christine O'Donnell at the 2010 special election caused by Joe Biden's election as Vice President, winning by a 57% to 41% margin. Coons will be 51 years old in 2014.
Georgia
Two-term incumbent Republican Saxby Chambliss was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008 in a runoff election with former state Representative Jim Martin after he failed to receive a simple majority in the general election. Chambliss will not seek a third term.[8] Congressman Paul Broun (GA-10) announced that he is running for the seat, as is Congressman Phil Gingrey (GA-11). Other potential Republican candidates include Congressmen Tom Price (GA-6) and Jack Kingston (GA-1), former Secretary of State Karen Handel, and perhaps Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle.[36]
Hawaii (special)
Daniel Inouye, the second longest serving United States Senator in history died on December 17, 2012, after respiratory complications.[37] Hawaii law allows Neil Abercrombie, the Governor of Hawaii, to appoint an interim Senator "who serves until the next regularly-scheduled general election, chosen from a list of three prospective appointees that the prior incumbent's political party submits."[38] Abercrombie eventually picked his Lt. Governor, Brian Schatz, to fill the Senate seat. Inouye was re-elected in 2010 with 72 percent of the vote.[39]
Idaho
One-term incumbent Republican Jim Risch was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 71 years old in 2014. Risch plans to seek a second term.[9]
Illinois
Three-term incumbent and Senate Majority Whip Democrat Dick Durbin was re-elected with 68% of the vote in 2008. Durbin plans to seek a fourth term.[40]
Iowa
Five-term incumbent Democrat Tom Harkin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Harkin will not run for re-election.[41] Democratic Congressman Bruce Braley (IA-1) has announced his candidacy and has been raising campaign funds [42] Among Republicans, conservative Congressman Steve King (IA-4) is seriously thinking of running.[43]
Kansas
Three-term incumbent Republican Pat Roberts was re-elected with 60% of the vote in 2008. He will be 78 years old in 2014. Roberts plans to seek a fourth term and is already raising funds for his campaign.[12]
Kentucky
Five-term incumbent and Senate Minority Leader Republican Mitch McConnell was re-elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. McConnell will seek re-election to a sixth term and is already beginning to prepare for his campaign by hiring key staffers and building a fundraising operation.[13] Kentucky Secretary of State Alison Lundergan Grimes is a potential Democratic candidate.[44]
Louisiana
Three-term incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu was re-elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 59 years old in 2014. Landrieu has already begun to fundraise for her intended re-election bid for a fourth term.[14][45] Potential Republican opponents include Congressman Bill Cassidy and former Congressman Jeff Landry.[46] A Public Policy Poll published on February 13, 2013 shows Landrieu leading Landry by 48% to 39% and Cassidy by 50% to 40%.[47]
Maine
Three-term incumbent Republican Susan Collins was re-elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014. Collins will be seeking a fourth term.[48][49] Former state treasurer Bruce Poliquin is a possible Republican candidate.[50]
Massachusetts
Five-term incumbent and 2004 Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry was re-elected with 66% of the vote in 2008. Kerry resigned in early 2013 to become U.S. Secretary of State. Governor Deval Patrick appointed Democrat Mo Cowan to the seat, and Cowan has announced he would not run to finish the term.[citation needed] Democratic Congressmwn Ed Markey and Stephen Lynch are running in the 2013 special election to finish the term.[citation needed] Former U.S. Senator Scott Brown was considered the likely Republican nominee but announced on February 1 that he would not run in the special election.[51] With Brown not running, Republican candidates include state Representative Daniel Winslow, former Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez, and former U.S. Attorney Michael Sullivan.[52]
Michigan
Six-term incumbent and Chairman of the Armed Services Committee Democrat Carl Levin was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Levin announced on March 7, 2013 that he would not seek re-election for a 7th term in 2014 and retire.[16] Potential Democratic candidates include Jocelyn Benson, who unsuccessfully ran for Michigan Secretary of State in 2010,[53] Macomb County Executive Mark Hackel,[54] U.S. Representative Gary Peters[55] and former U.S. Representative Mark Schauer.[55] Potential Republican candidates include U.S. Representative Justin Amash,[56] State Senator Roger Kahn,[57] U.S. Representative Mike Rogers, former Secretary of State Terri Lynn Land, former state Republican Party Chairman Saul Anuzis, and state Senate Majority Leader Randy Richardville.[53]
Minnesota
One-term incumbent Democrat Al Franken defeated one-term Republican Norm Coleman by 312 votes in a three-way race with 42% of the vote in 2008. Franken will be 63 years old in 2014. Franken will seek re-election.[58]
Possible Republican candidates include Congresswoman Michele Bachmann, Congressman John Kline and former state Representative Laura Brod [18].
Mississippi
Six-term incumbent Republican Thad Cochran was re-elected with 62% of the vote in 2008. He will be 76 years old in 2014. Cochran is undecided on whether he will seek reelection and will not announce his decision for several months [19].
Montana
Six-term incumbent Democrat Max Baucus was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 72 years old in 2014. Baucus announced on April 23, 2013 that he will retire in 2014, rather than seen re-election to a seventh term.[18] Republican state Representative Champ Edmunds will challenge Baucus.[59] Former state Senator Corey Stapleton has also announced his candidacy.[60] A poll by Public Policy Polling published on February 19 shows Baucus leading Stapleton by 45% to 38% and Edmunds by 47% to 37%.[61]
Nebraska
One-term incumbent Republican Mike Johanns was elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will not seek a second term. Potential Republican candidates to succeed him include Governor Dave Heineman (who will be term-limited as governor), Congressman Jeff Fortenberry, and perhaps former state Treasurer Shane Osborn. [20]
New Hampshire
One-term incumbent Democrat Jeanne Shaheen was elected with 52% of the vote in 2008. She will be 67 years old in 2014. At the end of 2011 Shaheen had the lowest amount of campaign funds out of any senator up for re-election in 2014, leading some to believe she would not defend her seat, but her office has confirmed that she will run for re-election.[20] Polling by PPP in November 2012 found her leading former Senator John E. Sununu by 53% to 42%.[62]
New Jersey
Five-term (non-consecutive), two-term (consecutive since January 2003), incumbent Democrat Frank Lautenberg was re-elected with 56% of the vote in 2008. On February 14, 2013, Lautenberg announced that he would not be a candidate for reelection.[63][64] Newark Mayor Cory Booker has announced that he will run for the seat. Congressman Frank Pallone has said that he would consider running if Lautenberg decided not to seek re-election.[65] State Assembly Speaker Sheila Oliver is also a possible Democratic candidate.[66] Potential Republican candidates include Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, state Assemblyman Jay Webber, state Assembly Minority Leader Jon Bramnick, and state Senator Joe Kyrillos.[67]
New Mexico
One-term incumbent Democrat Tom Udall was elected with 61% of the vote in 2008. He will be 66 years old in 2014. Possible Republican opponents include former Republican state Chairman Allen Weh and Albuquerque Mayor Richard J. Berry.[68]
North Carolina
One-term incumbent Democrat Kay Hagan was elected with 53% of the vote in 2008. She will be 61 years old in 2014 and intends to seek re-election.[69] Polling published by Public Policy Polling February 12, 2012, showed Hagan leading Congressman Patrick McHenry by 45% to 40%, state Labor Commissioner Cherie Berry by 46% to 38%, Speaker of the North Carolina House of Representatives Thom Tillis by 46% to 38%, Congresswoman Renee Ellmers by 47% to 38%, Congresswoman Virginia Foxx by 48% to 38%, Congressman George Holding by 46% to 36%, and state Senator Phil Berger by 49% to 38%.[70]
Oklahoma
Three-term incumbent Republican Jim Inhofe was re-elected with 57% of the vote in 2008. He will be 79 years old in 2014.
Oregon
One-term incumbent Democrat Jeff Merkley was elected with 49% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. Merkley will run for a second term. Polling conducted by Public Policy Polling June 21–24, 2012, of 686 Oregon voters showed Merkley trailing potential Republican challenger Congressman Greg Walden (42–40), while leading the others: State Republican Party Chairman Allen Alley (43–37), co-Speaker of the Oregon House of Representatives Bruce Hanna (43–35), and State Senator Jason Atkinson (43–34).[71] Polling from PPP in December 2012 showed Merkley with an approval rating of 44-29 and showed him leading Allen Alley (53-36), Bruce Hanna (52-34), Gordon Smith (47-43), Bruce Starr (52-32) and Greg Walden (47-42).[72]
Rhode Island
Three-term incumbent Democrat Jack Reed was re-elected with 73% of the vote in 2008. He will be 64 years old in 2014. Reed will run for re-election.[citation needed]
South Carolina
Two-term incumbent Republican Lindsey Graham was re-elected with 58% of the vote in 2008. He will be 59 years old in 2014. A survey conducted January 28–30, 2011, by Public Policy Polling showed that in a potential primary match-up with Congressman Joe Wilson, Wilson led 43–41, while Graham led when tested in a potential primary against former Governor Mark Sanford, 52–34.[73] State Senator Lee Bright has announced that he is seriously thinking of running against Graham in the Republican primary.[74]
South Carolina (special)
Jim DeMint announced his resignation from the Senate on December 6, 2012, effective January 1, 2013, to become president of The Heritage Foundation, a conservative think-tank.[75] On December 17, 2012, Gov. Nikki Haley announced the appointment of U.S. Rep. Tim Scott as DeMint's replacement.[76]
South Dakota
Three-term incumbent Democrat Tim Johnson was re-elected with 63% of the vote in 2008. Johnson announced on March 26, 2013 that he would not run for reelection.[77] For Republicans, former two-term Governor Mike Rounds announced his candidacy for the GOP nomination on November 29, 2012.[78] Republican Congresswoman Kristi Noem has also been mentioned as a possible candidate.[79] Possible Democratic candidates include U.S. Attorney Brendan Johnson and former Congresswoman Stephanie Herseth.[80] A March 21 poll conducted by Public Policy Polling shows Rounds leading Herseth Sandlin by a by a 49% to 44% margin and Brenden Johnson by a 53% to 32% margin while Herseth Sandlin would edge Noem by a 48% to 47% margin, with Noem leading Johnson by a 49% to 37% margin. In a Republican primary between Rounds and Noem, Rounds leads by 43% to 39% [81]
Tennessee
Two-term incumbent Republican Lamar Alexander was re-elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 74 years old in 2014. Alexander will seek re-election to a third term.[27]
Texas
Two-term incumbent Republican John Cornyn was re-elected with 55% of the vote in 2008. He will be 62 years old in 2014.
Virginia
One-term incumbent Democrat Mark Warner was elected with 65% of the vote in 2008. He will be 58 years old in 2014. State Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli was considering challenging Warner,[82] but decided to run for Governor of Virginia instead. Polling by Public Policy Polling shows Warner beating current Virginia Governor Bob McDonnell, who will be term-limited in 2013, 51% to 40%.[83]
West Virginia
Five-term incumbent Democrat Jay Rockefeller was re-elected with 64% of the vote in 2008. He announced on January 11, 2013 that he would not seek reelection to a sixth term.[29]
On November 26, 2012, Republican Congresswoman Shelley Moore Capito announced her plans to run for the seat.[84] A January 2013 poll by Harper Polling shows Moore Capito leading all potential Democratic opponents by significant margins [85]
If elected, she would become the first woman U.S. Senator from West Virginia and the first Republican elected since 1956.
Wyoming
Three-term incumbent Republican Mike Enzi was re-elected with 76% of the vote in 2008. He will be 70 years old in 2014.
References
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