Main article: 2025 Portuguese local elections

The 2025 Lisbon local election will be held in September or October 2025 to elect the members of the Lisbon City Council

Carlos Moedas is expected to run for a second term as mayor of Lisbon,[1] while the Socialist Party, led by Alexandra Leitão, the Left Bloc, LIVRE and PAN are currently discussing a coalition in order to defeat the center-right coalition.[2][3]

Background

The 2021 Lisbon local election was the biggest surprise of that year's nationwide local elections as Carlos Moedas, the candidate of the centre-right coalition led by the Social Democratic Party, managed to be elected Mayor of Lisbon and put an end to 14 years of Socialist rule.[4] Against all expectations, the centre-right coalition managed to retake the capital by winning 34.3 percent of the votes and 7 councillors. The Socialist Party, in coalition with LIVRE, led by incumbent Mayor Fernando Medina, narrowly lost, achieving 33.3% of the votes and 7 councillors. Meanwhile, the Unitary Democratic Coalition, led for the third time by João Ferreira, had a slight increase in its vote share to 10.5% of the votes and keeping their 2 councillors, while the Left Bloc led by Beatriz Gomes Dias won 6.2% of the votes and kept their sole seat.

Despite his victory, Carlos Moedas had to seek understandings and deals with the other parties represented in the City Council in order to govern.[5]

Electoral system

Each party or coalition must present a list of candidates. The lists are closed and the seats in each municipality are apportioned according to the D'Hondt method. Unlike in national legislative elections, independent lists are allowed to run.[6]

Parties and candidates

Party/Coalition Political
position 		Candidate 2021 result
Votes (%) Seats
AD Democratic Alliance
Aliança Democrática PPD/PSD, CDS–PP, MPT, PPM 		Centre-right Carlos Moedas[7][a] 34.3%
7 / 17
PS Socialist Party
Partido Socialista 		Centre-left Alexandra Leitão[8] 33.3%
6 / 17
L FREE
LIVRE 		Center-left
to left-wing 		TBD
1 / 17
CDU Unitary Democratic Coalition
Coligação Democrática Unitária PCP, PEV 		Left-wing
to far-left 		João Ferreira[9] 10.5%
2 / 17
BE Left Bloc
Bloco de Esquerda 		Left-wing
to far-left 		Carolina Serrão[10] 6.2%
1 / 17
CH Enough!
Chega! 		Right-wing
to far-right 		TBD 4.4%
0 / 17
IL Liberal Initiative
Iniciativa Liberal 		Centre-right
to right-wing 		TBD 4.2%
0 / 17
E Rise Up
Ergue-te 		Far-right José Pinto Coelho[11] 0.1%
0 / 17
ND New Right
Nova Direita 		Right-wing Ossanda Liber[12] — —

Opinion polling

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork date Sample size AD PS L CDU BE CH IL PAN O Lead
2024 EP election 9 Jun 2024 — 27.9
(5) 		26.7
(5) 		7.5
(1) 		4.9
(1) 		6.1
(1) 		7.6
(1) 		14.7
(3) 		1.4
(0) 		3.2
(0) 		1.2
2024 Legislative election 10 Mar 2024 — 32.3
(7) 		26.2
(5) 		7.7
(1) 		3.5
(0) 		5.1
(1) 		11.7
(2) 		7.5
(1) 		2.1
(0) 		3.9
(0) 		6.1
2022 Legislative election 30 Jan 2022 — 29.8
(6) 		36.4
(7) 		3.8
(0) 		4.7
(1) 		4.7
(0) 		5.6
(1) 		10.6
(2) 		1.8
(0) 		2.6
(0) 		6.6
2021 local election 26 Sep 2021 — 34.3
7 		33.3
7 		10.5
2 		6.2
1 		4.4
0 		4.2
0 		2.7
0 		4.4
0 		1.0

Notes

  1. ^ Carlos Moedas has not officially announced his candidacy for re-election, although he is widely expected to do so in the coming months.

References

  1. ^ PÚBLICO, Lusa (2025-01-16). "Carlos Moedas diz que Alexandra Leitão representa "um PS radical"". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-16.
  2. ^ Begonha, Ana Bacelar (2025-01-15). "Frente de esquerda? BE e Livre acreditam que é possível "fazer caminho" com Alexandra Leitão". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-16.
  3. ^ Lopes, Ana Sá (2025-01-13). "Alexandra Leitão é a candidata do PS à Câmara de Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-02-16.
  4. ^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de (2021-09-27). "Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país". Vitória-surpresa do PSD e direita em Lisboa, PS ganha no país (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
  5. ^ Portugal, Rádio e Televisão de (2021-09-27). "CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens". CML. Carlos Moedas vence Lisboa contrariando todas as sondagens (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
  6. ^ "::: Lei n.º 169/99, de 18 de Setembro". www.pgdlisboa.pt. Retrieved 2022-02-12.
  7. ^ ""Alexandra Leitão? Qualquer candidato do PS terá dificuldades em ombrear com Moedas em Lisboa"". SIC Notícias (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-01-14.
  8. ^ "Alexandra Leitão é a candidata do PS à Câmara de Lisboa". Expresso (in Portuguese). 2025-01-13. Retrieved 2025-01-14.
  9. ^ Mesquita, Joana (2024-09-17). "João Ferreira volta a ser o candidato da CDU a Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
  10. ^ Begonha, Ana Bacelar (2025-01-16). "Bloco aponta Carolina Serrão como candidata à Câmara de Lisboa". PÚBLICO (in Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-18.
  11. ^ Lusa, Agência. "José Pinto Coelho é o candidato do Ergue-te à Câmara de Lisboa". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-02-22.
  12. ^ Lusa, Agência. "Ossanda Líber é candidata do Nova Direita à presidência da Câmara de Lisboa". Observador (in European Portuguese). Retrieved 2025-01-14.
Allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Lisbon_local_election
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