General elections were held in Belize on 11 November 2020 to elect the 31 members of the House of Representatives.[1] Nomination day was 21 October.[2]

The People's United Party achieved its first national election victory since 2003, winning 26 seats, while the incumbent United Democratic Party had its worst result since 1998, winning the remaining 5 seats.[3] Despite the effects of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and a recent tropical storm, election turnout was over 81%, the highest since 1998.[4]

The election also featured the first female party leader and Prime Ministerial candidate in Belizean general election history: Nancy Marin, leader of the Belize People's Front.[5]

Several high-profile MP's also chose not to contest the elections. The previous prime minister, Dean Barrow (UDP), was constitutionally required to step down after serving three terms in office; having been an MP since 1984, he also decided to retire from the House. His predecessor as prime minister, Said Musa (PUP), also chose to retire; Musa was the last remaining MP to have served before independence in 1981.

Date

The previous general elections were held on 4 November 2015, and the new National Assembly was opened on 13 November 2015.[6] According to Section 84 of the Constitution of Belize, the National Assembly must be dissolved "five years from the date when the two Houses of the former National Assembly first met" unless dissolved sooner by the Governor-General of Belize upon the advice of the prime minister.[7] A general election must be called within three months of a dissolution, which meant the latest possible date for the next Belizean general election would be 13 February 2021.[6]

Despite the five-year term, three of the last four general elections had been called at least a year early. Both Prime Minister Dean Barrow and the opposition People's United Party were on record supporting the reduction of the maximum term of the National Assembly to four years.[8]

Barrow initially stated his intention to retire as Prime Minister no later than the end of 2019, but changed his mind to stay on until 2020 at the urging of his Cabinet. However, he said that he would still retire as the United Democratic Party Leader at the party's national convention and leadership election, which was first tentatively scheduled for 9 February 2020. He strongly hinted at a snap election in early 2020.[9] But in May 2019, Barrow dismissed that remark and said that elections would be held in November 2020.[10]

On 5 October 2020, Barrow called the elections for 11 November, with Nominations Day on 21 October. The Writ of Election was formally filed by the Governor-General immediately afterwards.[2] He advised the Governor-General to dissolve the National Assembly on 6 October.[11]

The Belize Peace Movement (BPM), a civil society organisation, filed a court petition in December 2019 for a redistricting process to be held before the next elections. In the BPM's view, the district map in use did not reflect the distribution of the population, leading to unequal representation. As no action had been taken by the court before the election announcement on 6 October, the BPM filed for a Supreme Court injunction on 13 October to delay the election until this process could be completed. The PUP joined the case on the side of the government, arguing that they would lose their campaign money if the election were to be delayed. On 28 October, acting Chief Justice Michelle Arana ruled in favour of the Government: as the election process had already begun and the National Assembly had already been dissolved, the court did not have jurisdiction to intervene.[12]

During election week, Tropical Storm Eta led to flooding in parts of the country. While Barrow acknowledged that postponing the election would be possible (with the approval of the participating parties), he decided to stay with 11 November as there was no explicit provision for postponement in the Constitution.[13]

Debates

For the first time since 1998,[14] a Prime Ministerial debate was held, organized jointly by the Belize Chamber of Commerce and Industry (BCCI), Galen University and LOVE FM.[15] It was scheduled for 28 October, and the rules and format were taken from the Jamaica Debates Commission.[16] The questions were submitted by a variety of local NGO's, business associations, and unions. As of 23 October, three of the four invited party leaders had announced their participation in the debate.[17] The remaining invitee, Johnny Briceño of the PUP, wanted to meet privately with the organizers before deciding to participate. The organizers had already released the debate rules publicly; since one of the rules prohibited private communication between the organizers and the participants, the organizers did not reply to the PUP.[16] Patrick Faber of the UDP then decided not to participate either.[18] In the end, the debate was held between Belize Progressive Party leader Patrick Rogers and Belize People's Front leader Nancy Marin.[19] The debate was livestreamed on each of the organizer's Facebook pages, attracting 33,500 viewers overall.[20]

At the constituency level, the Dangriga-based NGO "Citizens for Good Governance" (CGG) organized a debate on 3 November between the two challenger candidates, Louis Zabaneh (PUP) and John Suazo (BPF). The incumbent, Frank Mena (UDP), declined to participate.[21][22] This debate was broadcast live on Dangriga Cable Vision (Channel 58).[23] It was also livestreamed from the Facebook pages of the CGG, Southern Belize Media, and Tropical Vision Limited.[24]

Background

Contesting parties

With the exception of the Belize Progressive Party, led by Patrick Rogers in the 2015 elections, all parties were contesting under first-time leaders.

Party Position Ideology Leader

(since)

Slogan and Manifesto Campaign Song
United Democratic Party (UDP) Centre-right Conservatism Patrick Faber
(October 2020)
"Because YOUR Future Matters"[25] "Your Future Matters!"

"Staying with the UDP" [26]

People's United Party (PUP) Centre to centre-left Christian democracy
Social democracy
Nationalism
Johnny Briceño
(January 2016)
"#PlanBelize"[27] "Vote BLU, Everybody fi win" (Todos Ganamos)"[28]
Belize Progressive Party (BPP) Centre-left to left-wing Social democracy
Reformism
Republicanism
Patrick Rogers
(September 2015)
"Changing the system in Belize"[29] "For Progress! BPP for Belize!" [30]
Belize People's Front (BPF) Centre to centre-left Progressivism

Christian democracy

Nancy Marin
(October 2013)
"Breaking Corruption. Building a Nation."[31] "Time fi mek di change" "BELIZE" [32]

UDP

The ruling United Democratic Party, in power since 2008, attempted to win a fourth consecutive general election. However, as the Constitution of Belize limits the Prime Minister to three terms in office,[33] the UDP needed to contest with a new leader. To this end, the incumbent UDP leader and Prime Minister Dean Barrow had stated his intention to step down from both posts in the months leading up to the election. The UDP tentatively scheduled a May 2019 convention to name Barrow's successor as party leader,[34] but in January 2019 the date was pushed back to February 2020. Deputy Prime Minister Patrick Faber and Belmopan Area Representative John Saldivar contested the position. Minister of Foreign Affairs and Pickstock Area Representative Wilfred Elrington had also been mentioned as a possible candidate, but did not stand in the convention.[35][36]

On 9 February 2020, Saldivar was elected UDP leader over Faber, but three days later was forced to resign after allegations surfaced he accepted US$50,000 from accused fraudster Lev Dermen, who was on trial in Salt Lake City. Saldivar was also stripped of his Cabinet post.[37]

On 12 July 2020, a second leadership convention was held with Faber, Saldivar, and Elrington as candidates. This time, Faber won with a margin of 19 votes over Saldivar (286 to 267). Elrington received 10 votes.[38] Faber was formally inaugurated as party leader on 9 October, with Barrow continuing to serve as Prime Minister until the elections.[39]

PUP

Despite gains in Belize City in 2015, most notably Kareem Musa's upset win over Belize City Mayor Darrell Bradley in the Caribbean Shores constituency, the opposition PUP remained at 11 seats overall thanks to losses in the Cayo and Corozal Districts. For its leader, the PUP chose Johnny Briceño, who had served as Deputy Prime Minister in the previous PUP administration.[40] Francis Fonseca, who led the party during the past two general elections, resigned from leadership soon after the party's 2015 loss. Although Briceño served a previous term as PUP leader from 2008 to 2011, he had yet to lead the party during a general election.[41] Briceño, who represented a constituency in Orange Walk Town, was the first PUP member to lead the party in an election from outside Belize City. Belizean news sources pointed out that the PUP nominated only 2 female candidates out of 31 total, while the UDP had nominated 5.[42]

BPP

The Belize Progressive Party, which made its electoral debut in 2015 but failed to win any seats, announced its intention to contest nine seats,[43] of which they ultimately filed for eight.

BPF

The Belize People's Front, a progressive party, announced its intention to contest 17 seats,[44] of which they ultimately filed for 13. The party was founded in 2013, but this was its first general election.[45] BPF leader Nancy Marin was the first female political party leader in Belize.[42]

Retirements

The election was marked by several high-profile retirements. Fonseca had initially indicated that he would not stand in this election.[46] However, he decided to stay for the last time. Former PUP leader Said Musa also stood down from his seat in this election. Musa, who contested the Belize City-based Fort George constituency in every election since 1974, was the sole remaining House member from before Belize's 1981 independence from Great Britain.[47]

On the UDP side, former Deputy Prime Minister Gaspar Vega also announced that he would stand down.[48] Other announced UDP retirements include Barrow – who had served in the Belize House continuously since 1984 – and Michael Finnegan, who had been in office since 1993. Moses Barrow, Dean Barrow's son and Finnegan's nephew, was nominated to succeed Finnegan as the UDP standard bearer in the Mesopotamia constituency.[49] Veteran UDP Area Representative Wilfred Elrington also did not seek re-election.[50]

Results

At the invitation of the Belizean Ministry of Foreign Affairs, CARICOM sent a six-member observation team. The team's preliminary statement showed the elections to have been conducted in a smooth and timely manner; they especially commended the election commission's ability to implement COVID-19 sanitary measures while dealing with the effects of Tropical Storm Eta.[51]

The polls closed at 6:15 pm. With the early counts already forecasting a lead for the PUP, Faber delivered a concession speech on television three hours later, congratulating Briceño and the PUP while calling for national unity.[52] Election turnout was over 81%, the highest since 1998.[4]

The results showed the PUP achieving its first national election victory since 2003, winning 26 seats. By contrast, the incumbent United Democratic Party had its lowest result since 1998, winning the remaining 5 seats.[3] Four of the five UDP seats were in Belize City: Faber and Tracy Panton retained their seats, while Denise Barrow and Shyne Barrow won seats of retiring UDP members. The fifth seat was in Corozal, retained by incumbent Deputy Prime Minister Hugo Patt.[53]

Briceño was sworn in as the new Prime Minister on 12 November by the Governor-General.[54] He intended to swear in his cabinet on 16 November.[55]

PartyVotes%Seats+/–
People's United Party88,04059.6026+14
United Democratic Party57,37438.845–14
Belize People's Front8200.560New
Belize Progressive Party5480.3700
Independents9240.6300
Total147,706100.00310
Valid votes147,70698.70
Invalid/blank votes1,9441.30
Total votes149,650100.00
Registered voters/turnout182,81581.86
Source: Elections and Boundaries Department

By division

Division Electorate Turnout % Candidate Party Votes %
Albert 2,886 2,531 87.70 Tracy Ann Panton United Democratic Party 1,271 50.82
Paul Adrian Thompson People's United Party 1,230 49.18
Rejected votes 30 1.19
Belize Rural Central 7,445 5,956 80.00 Dolores Balderamos-Garcia People's United Party 3,409 58.67
Beverly Williams United Democratic Party 2,166 37.28
Lion Bennett Belize Progressive Party 181 3.12
Luz Maria Hunter Belize People's Front 54 0.93
Rejected votes 146 2.45
Belize Rural North 4,721 3,903 82.67 Marconi Prince Leal People's United Party 2,238 58.01
Edmond "Clear The Land" Castro United Democratic Party 1,568 40.64
Karen Sharon Banner Belize Progressive Party 52 1.35
Rejected votes 45 1.15
Belize Rural South 8,586 6,887 80.21 "Andre" Perez People's United Party 4,336 63.84
Manuel Heredia United Democratic Party 2,419 35.62
Thomas Henry Greenwood Jr. Belize People's Front 37 0.54
Rejected votes 95 1.38
Belmopan 8,758 6,943 79.28 Oscar Mira People's United Party 4,172 60.82
John Birchman Saldivar United Democratic Party 2,004 29.21
Anna "ABG" Banner-Guy Independent 684 9.97
Rejected votes 83 1.20
Caribbean Shores 4,363 3,726 85.40 Kareem David Musa People's United Party 2,194 59.60
Lee Mark Chang United Democratic Party 1,487 40.40
Rejected votes 45 1.21
Cayo Central 8,107 6,219 76.71 Alex Balona People's United Party 3,434 55.99
Rene Montero United Democratic Party 2,699 44.01
Rejected votes 86 1.38
Cayo North 8,058 6,679 82.89 Michel "Micho" Chebat People's United Party 3,745 56.77
Omar Figueroa United Democratic Party 2,790 42.29
Kurt Mathew Lizarraga Belize People's Front 62 0.94
Rejected votes 82 1.23
Cayo North East 5,706 4,764 83.49 Orlando "Landy" Habet People's United Party 2,996 63.35
John Francis August Jr. United Democratic Party 1,674 35.40
Nefretery "Nancy" Martin Belize People's Front 59 1.25
Rejected votes 35 0.73
Cayo South 7,069 5,261 74.42 Julius Espat People's United Party 4,071 78.53
Ramon Francisco Witz United Democratic Party 1,113 21.47
Rejected votes 77 1.46
Cayo West 6,465 5,340 82.60 Jorge "Milon" Espat People's United Party 2,703 51.50
Erwin Rafael Contreras United Democratic Party 2,478 47.21
Eduardo Raul Ayala Belize People's Front 68 1.29
Rejected votes 91 1.70
Collet 3,732 3,037 81.38 Patrick Faber United Democratic Party 1,834 61.63
Oscar "Polo" Arnold People's United Party 1,142 38.37
Rejected votes 61 2.01
Corozal Bay 5,410 4,475 82.72 David "Dido" Vega People's United Party 2,402 54.37
Pablo Marin United Democratic Party 1,994 45.13
Carlos Javier Sawers Independent 22 0.50
Rejected votes 57 1.27
Corozal North 7,000 6,155 87.93 Hugo Patt United Democratic Party 3,479 56.96
David Castillo People's United Party 2,563 41.96
Alfonso Acosta Belize People's Front 66 1.08
Rejected votes 47 0.76
Corozal South East 7,012 6,138 87.54 Florencio Julian Marin Jr. People's United Party 3,413 55.97
Antonio "Tony" Herrera United Democratic Party 2,614 42.87
Eloim Ellis Belize People's Front 57 0.93
Edna Doris Diaz Belize Progressive Party 14 0.23
Rejected votes 40 0.65
Corozal South West 5,888 5,130 87.13 Ramiro Ramirez People's United Party 2,898 56.91
Angel Campos United Democratic Party 2,142 42.07
Laurencio Lucio Bul Belize People's Front 52 1.02
Rejected votes 38 0.74
Dangriga 5,482 4,212 76.83 "Dr. Zab" Louis Zabaneh People's United Party 2,600 62.55
Frank "Papa" Mena United Democratic Party 1,501 36.11
John Francis Suazo Belize People's Front 56 1.34
Rejected votes 55 1.31
Fort George 1,876 1,541 82.14 Henry Charles Usher Sr. People's United Party 983 64.84
Melvin "Mello" Hewlett United Democratic Party 499 32.92
William "Wil" Maheia Belize Progressive Party 34 2.24
Rejected votes 25 1.62
Freetown 3,782 3,114 82.34 Francis Fonseca People's United Party 2,114 68.79
Orson Jerome "OJ" Elrington United Democratic Party 959 31.21
Rejected votes 41 1.32
Lake Independence 4,863 3,958 81.39 Cordel Hyde People's United Party 3,539 90.79
Dianne "Miss D" Finnegan United Democratic Party 359 9.21
Rejected votes 60 1.52
Mesopotamia 2,277 1,715 75.32 Shyne Barrow United Democratic Party 910 54.79
Candice Pitts People's United Party 751 45.21
Rejected votes 54 3.15
Orange Walk Central 6,045 5,157 85.31 Johnny Briceño People's United Party 2,902 56.87
Denni Grijalva United Democratic Party 2,140 41.94
Antonia Cruz Sanchez Belize People's Front 61 1.19
Rejected votes 54 1.05
Orange Walk East 7,033 6,038 85.85 Kevin Bernard People's United Party 3,277 54.96
Elodio "Son Of The East" Aragon Jr. United Democratic Party 2,612 43.80
Lorenzo Adrian "Andy" Aldana Belize People's Front 74 1.24
Rejected votes 75 1.24
Orange Walk North 7,833 6,785 86.62 Ramon "Monchi" Cervantes People's United Party 4,043 60.09
Carlos Zetina United Democratic Party 2,628 39.06
Marino Assi Belize People's Front 57 0.85
Rejected votes 57 0.84
Orange Walk South 6,858 5,782 84.31 Jose Abelardo Mai People's United Party 3,499 61.34
Guadalupe "Lupe" Dyck Magaña United Democratic Party 2,088 36.61
Eber Misael Herrador Belize People's Front 117 2.05
Rejected votes 78 1.35
Pickstock 3,997 3,281 82.09 Anthony Robert Mahler People's United Party 2,570 80.21
Anthony "Uncle Boots" Martinez United Democratic Party 574 17.92
Patrick Raymond Rogers Belize Progressive Party 60 1.87
Rejected votes 77 2.35
Port Loyola 4,717 3,649 77.36 Gilroy Usher Sr. People's United Party 2,106 58.98
"Superman" Philip Willoughby United Democratic Party 1,313 36.77
"Boo Boo" Evan Thompson Belize Progressive Party 152 4.25
Rejected votes 78 2.14
Queen's Square 2,714 2,431 89.57 Denise "Sista B" Barrow United Democratic Party 1,351 56.43
Allan Pollard People's United Party 1,020 42.61
Gary Matus Belize Progressive Party 23 0.96
Rejected votes 37 1.52
Stann Creek West 9,864 7,745 78.52 Rodwell Stephen Ferguson People's United Party 4,900 64.23
Ivan Hilbert Williams United Democratic Party 2,509 32.89
Melvin Hulse Independent 179 2.35
Hubert Alexander McCaulay Belize Progressive Party 32 0.42
Mateo Tomas Polanco Independent 9 0.11
Rejected votes 116 1.50
Toledo East 6,831 4,698 68.77 Michael Espat People's United Party 2,869 61.65
Dennis Garbutt United Democratic Party 1,755 37.71
Orlando Albert Muschamp Independent 30 0.54
Rejected votes 44 0.94
Toledo West 7,437 6,400 86.06 Oscar Requena People's United Party 3,921 61.60
Simeon Coc United Democratic Party 2,444 38.40
Rejected votes 35 0.55
Source: Elections and Boundaries Department

Reactions

Additional congratulations were sent by the Organization of American States.[57]

References

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