Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election

Various organisations continually conduct opinion polls to gauge voter intention in anticipation of the next United Kingdom general election. The next general election must be held no later than 15 August 2029 under the Dissolution and Calling of Parliament Act 2022, which mandates that any Parliament automatically dissolves five years after it first met – unless it is dissolved earlier at the request of the prime minister – and polling day occurs no more than 25 working days later.

Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.[1] The dates of the polls range from the 2024 United Kingdom general election, held on 4 July, to the present.

Graphical summary

The chart below shows opinion polls conducted since the 2024 general election. The trend lines are local regressions (LOESS). The bar on the left represents the previous election, and the bar on the right represents the latest possible date of the next election.

National poll results

Most opinion polls do not cover Northern Ireland, which has different major political parties from the rest of the United Kingdom. This distinction is made in the tables below in the area column, where "GB" means Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), and "UK" means the entire United Kingdom. Plaid Cymru stands candidates only in Wales and the Scottish National Party stands candidates only in Scotland. Due to rounding, total figures may not add up to 100%. The lead is calculated by subtracting the polling percentage of the first party (shaded in the party's colour, and in bold) by that of the second party (shaded in grey).

2026

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
4–6 Mar Find Out Now[2] N/A GB 2,548 15% 17% 27% 10% 21% 2% 1% 6% 6
4–5 Mar BMG Research[3] The i Paper GB 1,503 20% 18% 27% 12% 14% TBD TBD 8% 7
1–2 Mar YouGov[4] The Times/Sky News GB 2,073 16% 16% 23% 14% 21% 3% 1% 5% 2
27 Feb2 Mar More in Common[5] N/A GB 2,010 18% 19% 29% 14% 14% 3% 1% 3% 10
27 Feb1 Mar Freshwater Strategy[6] City AM GB 1,221 18% 18% 30% 13% 15% 3% 3% 12
25–27 Feb Opinium[7][a] The Observer GB 2,050 18% 18% 30% 12% 13% 3% 0% 6% 12
26 Feb Gorton and Denton by-election (Green gain from Labour)
25 Feb Find Out Now[8] N/A GB 2,442 15% 18% 26% 12% 18% 3% 1% 7% 8
22–23 Feb YouGov[9] N/A GB 2,325 18% 18% 24% 14% 17% 3% 1% 4% 6
20–23 Feb More in Common[10] N/A GB 2,015 22% 20% 28% 14% 11% 2% 1% 2% 6
19–23 Feb Lord Ashcroft Polls[11][b][a] N/A GB 5,576 17% 20% 22% 11% 19% 3% 1% 6% 2
18 Feb Find Out Now[12] N/A GB 2,178 16% 16% 28% 10% 18% 3% 2% 7% 10
13–17 Feb More in Common[13] N/A GB 2,108 22% 21% 28% 11% 12% 3% 1% 2% 6
15–16 Feb YouGov[14] N/A GB 2,384 19% 18% 24% 13% 17% 3% 1% 4% 5
13–16 Feb Good Growth Foundation[15] N/A GB 1,432 21% 20% 28% 12% 12% 3% 1% 3% 7
11–12 Feb Techne[16] N/A UK 1,644 17% 19% 30% 14% 15% 2% 3% 11
4–12 Feb JL Partners[17][a] The Sun GB 2,006 23% 19% 31% 12% 9% 2% 1% 6% 8
11 Feb Find Out Now[18] N/A GB 1,394 16% 19% 29% 11% 18% 3% 1% 4% 10
6–10 Feb More in Common[19] N/A GB 2,035 23% 21% 30% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 7
8–9 Feb YouGov[20] N/A GB 2,466 19% 18% 27% 14% 16% 3% 2% 2% 8
4–6 Feb Opinium[21][a] The Observer GB 2,054 23% 16% 31% 10% 13% 2% 1% 3% 8
4 Feb Find Out Now[22] N/A GB 2,264 16% 18% 31% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 13
1–2 Feb YouGov[23] The Times/Sky News GB 2,330 19% 18% 26% 14% 17% 3% 2% 2% 7
31 Jan2 Feb More in Common[24] N/A GB 2,005 21% 20% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 2% 9
30 Jan1 Feb Freshwater Strategy[25] City AM GB 1,250 17% 22% 30% 14% 14% 2% 1% 8
28–29 Jan BMG Research[26] The i Paper GB 1,513 20% 17% 32% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 12
28–29 Jan Survation[27] N/A UK 1,016 18% 20% 31% 12% 12% 3% 0% 4% 11
28 Jan Find Out Now[28] N/A GB 1,799 17% 17% 29% 11% 19% 3% 1% 3% 10
22–27 Jan Ipsos[29] N/A GB 1,104 22% 19% 30% 12% 12% 2% 2% 1% 8
25–26 Jan YouGov[30] The Times/Sky News GB 2,429 21% 17% 25% 14% 16% 3% 1% 2% 4
23–25 Jan More in Common[31] N/A GB 2,016 22% 20% 29% 13% 10% 3% 1% 3% 7
21–23 Jan Opinium[32] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 9
21 Jan Find Out Now[33] N/A GB 1,385 14% 18% 32% 11% 17% 3% 1% 3% 14
18–19 Jan YouGov[34] The Times/Sky News GB 2,335 19% 18% 24% 14% 17% 3% 1% 3% 5
16–19 Jan Focaldata[35] N/A GB 1,585 21% 20% 26% 14% 10% 3% 1% 4% 5
16–19 Jan More in Common[36] N/A GB 2,007 20% 21% 31% 13% 11% 2% 0% 1% 10
15–19 Jan Lord Ashcroft Polls[37][b][a] N/A GB 5,448 18% 21% 25% 11% 18% 3% 1% 4% 4
14–15 Jan Techne[38] N/A UK 1,636 19% 20% 28% 15% 13% 2% 3% 8
14 Jan Find Out Now[39] N/A GB 1,592 15% 19% 28% 12% 18% 3% 1% 3% 9
10–14 Jan Survation[40] N/A UK 1,616 21% 19% 29% 11% 11% 2% 1% 4% 8
10–13 Jan More in Common[41] N/A GB 2,036 19% 21% 31% 12% 12% 2% 1% 2% 10
11–12 Jan YouGov[42] The Times/Sky News GB 2,259 19% 20% 24% 16% 14% 4% 1% 2% 4
9–11 Jan Freshwater Strategy[43] City AM GB 1,250 19% 19% 33% 11% 12% 2% 3% 14
7–9 Jan Opinium[44] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 18% 31% 12% 13% 2% 1% 3% 11
14 Dec9 Jan YouGov[45] N/A GB 17,230 18% 19% 26% 14% 15% 3% 1% 2% 7
7–8 Jan Find Out Now[46] N/A GB 2,422 15% 18% 32% 12% 17% 3% 1% 2% 14
4–5 Jan YouGov[47] The Times/Sky News GB 2,343 17% 19% 26% 16% 15% 4% 1% 2% 7
2–5 Jan More in Common[48] N/A GB 2,021 19% 23% 31% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 8

2025

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
31 Dec Find Out Now[49] N/A GB 2,930 15% 17% 31% 12% 17% 3% 2% 4% 14
24 Dec Find Out Now[50] N/A GB 2,879 14% 18% 30% 12% 17% 3% 1% 4% 12
19–23 Dec More in Common[51] N/A GB 2,026 21% 22% 28% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 6
21–22 Dec YouGov[52] N/A GB 2,266 20% 19% 25% 15% 15% 3% 1% 2% 5
16–18 Dec Deltapoll[53] The Mirror GB 1,997 20% 19% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 2% 10
17 Dec Find Out Now[54] N/A GB 1,909 14% 18% 33% 11% 17% 2% 1% 3% 15
12–16 Dec More in Common[55] N/A GB 1,582 21% 20% 29% 12% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
27 Nov16 Dec More in Common (MRP) [56] The Times GB 16,083 20% 21% 31% 11% 12% 3% 1% 2% 10
14–15 Dec YouGov[57] N/A GB 2,322 18% 17% 28% 14% 17% 4% 1% 2% 10
12–15 Dec Verian[58] N/A GB 1,427 18% 21% 27% 15% 13% 3% 1% 2% 6
11–15 Dec Lord Ashcroft Polls[59][b][a] Mail on Sunday GB 5,196 18% 22% 25% 10% 19% 3% 1% 3% 3
10–12 Dec Opinium[60] The Observer GB 2,053 20% 18% 31% 13% 12% 3% 1% 2% 11
10 Dec Find Out Now[61] N/A GB 2,363 14% 18% 30% 12% 18% 3% 1% 3% 12
7–8 Dec YouGov[62] N/A GB 2,303 19% 18% 27% 14% 15% 3% 2% 2% 8
4–8 Dec More in Common[63] N/A GB 2,009 20% 21% 30% 14% 10% 3% 0% 2% 9
1–8 Dec Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[64] (MRP)
PLMR GB 5,598 17% 21% 31% 11% 12% 3% 1%
4%

YP
2%
Other 2%
10
3 Dec Find Out Now[65] N/A GB 2,591 14% 20% 31% 11% 18% 3% 1% 3% 11
30 Nov1 Dec YouGov[66] N/A GB 2,366 19% 19% 26% 14% 16% 3% 1% 2% 7
29 Nov1 Dec JL Partners[67][a] The Sun GB 1,537 22% 20% 29% 11% 10% 3% 1% 4% 7
28 Nov1 Dec More in Common[68] N/A GB 2,114 21% 21% 30% 13% 11% 2% 1% 1% 9
28–30 Nov Freshwater Strategy[69] City AM GB 1,558 19% 20% 31% 15% 12% 2% 2% 11
26–28 Nov Focaldata[70] N/A GB 1,343 20% 18% 29% 13% 12% 3% 1% 3% 9
26–28 Nov Opinium[71] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 17% 31% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 10
26–27 Nov BMG Research[72] The i Paper GB 1,548 22% 20% 30% 12% 12% 2% 1% 2% 8
26 Nov Find Out Now[73] N/A GB 2,555 15% 18% 31% 12% 17% 3% 1% 2% 13
23–24 Nov YouGov[74] The Times/Sky News GB 2,399 19% 18% 25% 15% 16% 3% 1% 3% 6
22–24 Nov More in Common[75] N/A GB 2,062 21% 19% 30% 14% 10% 3% 1% 3% 9
19–21 Nov Opinium[76] The Observer GB 2,050 19% 17% 32% 13% 12% 3% 1% 3% 13
18–21 Nov Focaldata[77] N/A GB 1,725 20% 20% 28% 13% 10% 3% 1% 4% 8
19 Nov Find Out Now[78] N/A GB 2,566 16% 17% 32% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 14
16–20 Nov Survation[79] N/A UK 2,082 22% 18% 29% 12% 11% 2% 1% 4% 7
16–17 Nov YouGov[80] The Times/Sky News GB 2,355 19% 17% 27% 13% 17% 3% 2% 2% 8
14–17 Nov More in Common[81] N/A GB 2,052 20% 20% 30% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 10
13–17 Nov Lord Ashcroft Polls[82][b][a] N/A GB 5,038 18% 20% 27% 11% 18% 2% 1% 3% 7
12 Nov Find Out Now[83] N/A GB 2,011 15% 16% 33% 11% 17% 3% 2% 3% 16
9–10 Nov YouGov[84] The Times/Sky News GB 2,366 19% 18% 26% 14% 15% 3% 2% 3% 7
7–10 Nov More in Common[85] N/A GB 2,011 20% 19% 31% 14% 12% 2% 1% 3% 11
7–9 Nov Freshwater Strategy[86] City AM GB 1,250 17% 19% 32% 13% 13% 3% 3% 13
5–7 Nov Opinium[87] The Observer GB 2,050 20% 17% 33% 12% 11% 3% 1% 3% 13
5–6 Nov Find Out Now[88] N/A GB 2,717 15% 16% 33% 11% 18% 3% 1% 3% 15
30 Oct5 Nov Ipsos[89] N/A GB 1,148 18% 16% 33% 12% 15% 4% 1% 1% 15
2–3 Nov YouGov[90] The Times/Sky News GB 2,376 20% 16% 27% 15% 16% 3% 1% 2% 7
31 Oct3 Nov More in Common[91] N/A GB 2,031 18% 19% 31% 13% 12% 2% 1% 3% 12
31 Oct2 Nov JL Partners[92][a] The Sun GB 1,505 23% 17% 30% 12% 10% 3% 1% 5% 7
29 Oct Find Out Now[93] N/A GB 3,065 16% 16% 32% 12% 17% 2% 1% 3% 15
26–27 Oct YouGov[94] The Times/Sky News GB 2,389 17% 17% 27% 15% 16% 3% 1% 3% 10
24–27 Oct More in Common[95] N/A GB 2,030 21% 18% 33% 12% 11% 2% 1% 1% 12
22–24 Oct Opinium[96] The Observer GB 2,030 20% 18% 30% 12% 12% 3% 1% 4% 10
22–23 Oct Techne[97] N/A UK 1,647 19% 18% 29% 16% 12% 3% 3% 10
22 Oct Find Out Now[98] N/A GB 2,635 16% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
19–20 Oct YouGov[99] The Times/Sky News GB 2,396 20% 17% 26% 15% 15% 4% 1% 2% 6
17–20 Oct More in Common[100] N/A GB 2,084 22% 19% 31% 13% 10% 2% 1% 2% 9
16–20 Oct Lord Ashcroft Polls[101][b][a] N/A GB 5,038 19% 19% 28% 10% 17% 2% 1% 4% 9
8–17 Oct Focaldata[102] N/A GB 2,057 21% 19% 30% 13% 9% 3% 1% 5% 9
15 Oct Find Out Now[103] N/A GB 2,705 15% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
12–13 Oct YouGov[104] N/A GB 2,321 20% 17% 27% 16% 13% 3% 1% 3% 7
10–13 Oct More in Common[105] N/A GB 2,004 22% 20% 30% 15% 9% 3% 0% 2% 8
8–10 Oct Opinium[106] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 18% 32% 11% 10% 3% 1% 3% 10
8 Oct Find Out Now[107] N/A GB 2,668 17% 17% 32% 12% 15% 3% 1% 4% 15
5–6 Oct YouGov[108] The Times/Sky News GB 2,333 20% 17% 27% 17% 12% 4% 1% 3% 7
3–6 Oct More in Common[109] N/A GB 2,003 20% 19% 33% 14% 8% 3% 1% 3% 13
3–5 Oct Freshwater Strategy[110] City AM GB 1,251 20% 18% 35% 14% 8% 3% 2% 15
1–3 Oct Opinium[111] The Observer GB 2,050 21% 16% 34% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 13
26 Sep3 Oct JL Partners[112][a] N/A GB 6,083 21% 19% 31% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% 10
1 Oct Find Out Now[113] N/A GB 2,611 19% 14% 35% 12% 11% 3% 1% 4% 16
19 Sep1 Oct Focaldata[114] N/A GB 2,014 21% 20% 29% 14% 10% 2% 1% 4% 8
28–29 Sep YouGov[115] The Times/Sky News GB 2,585 22% 16% 29% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 7
26–29 Sep More in Common[116] N/A GB 1,562 20% 20% 30% 14% 8% 3% 0% 4% 10
24–26 Sep Opinium[117] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 32% 14% 7% 3% 1% 4% 10
24–25 Sep Survation[118] Daily Mail UK 2,027 22% 17% 34% 11% 8% 3% 1% 4% 12
24 Sep Find Out Now[119] N/A GB 2,665 17% 14% 33% 16% 12% 3% 1% 5% 16
31 Aug24 Sep YouGov[120] (MRP) The Times/Sky News GB 13,000 21% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 5% 6
21–22 Sep YouGov[121] The Times/Sky News GB 2,348 21% 16% 29% 14% 12% 3% 1% 4% 8
19–22 Sep More in Common[122] N/A GB 2,055 25% 20% 28% 13% 8% 2% 0% 3% 3
17–19 Sep Opinium[123] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 12% 10% 3% 1% 4% 9
17–18 Sep Techne[124] N/A UK 1,635 20% 19% 30% 15% 9% 3% 4% 10
17–18 Sep Find Out Now[125] N/A GB 4,795 16% 16% 34% 13% 12% 3% 1% 5% 18
11–17 Sep Ipsos[126] N/A GB 1,157 22% 14% 34% 12% 12% 2% 1% 3% 12
14–15 Sep YouGov[127] The Times/Sky News GB 2,384 20% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 1% 4% 9
12–15 Sep More in Common[128] N/A GB 2,037 22% 18% 31% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 9
11–15 Sep Lord Ashcroft Polls[129][b][a] N/A GB 5,082 22% 20% 27% 10% 13% 2% 1% 6% 5
8 Aug – 15 Sep More in Common[130] (MRP) The Times[131] GB 19,520 21% 19% 31% 15% 8% 2% 1% 4% 10
1 Aug – 11 Sep Focaldata[132] Dale Vince/Hope Not Hate TBA 45,335 23% 18% 29% 12% 9% TBA TBA TBA 6
10 Sep Find Out Now[133] N/A GB 2,717 19% 15% 34% 12% 12% 2% 1% 6% 15
7–8 Sep YouGov[134] The Times/Sky News GB 2,500 22% 17% 27% 15% 12% 3% 1% 3% 5
5–8 Sep More in Common[135] N/A GB 2,106 21% 18% 32% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% 11
3–5 Sep Opinium[136] The Observer GB 2,050 23% 18% 30% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 7
1–4 Sep Techne[137] N/A UK 1,644 21% 18% 31% 14% 10% 2% 4% 10
3 Sep Find Out Now[138] N/A GB 2,576 19% 17% 32% 13% 11% 2% 1% 5% 13
2 Sep Zack Polanski is elected as leader of the Green Party of England and Wales
28 Aug2 Sep Survation[139] N/A UK 1,818 24% 19% 30% 11% 8% 3% 0% 3% 6
31 Aug1 Sep YouGov[140] The Times/Sky News GB 2,523 20% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 1% 5% 9
29 Aug1 Sep More in Common[141] N/A GB 2,042 21% 18% 31% 13% 8% 3% 1% 6% 10
21 Aug1 Sep Survation[142] (MRP) 38 Degrees[143] UK 8,546 25% 19% 29% 12% 7% 3% 1%
4%
SF 0%
DUP 1%
APNI 0%
UUP 1%
SDLP 0%
TUV 0%
PBP 0%
Other 2%
4
29–31 Aug Freshwater Strategy[144] City AM GB 1,251 20% 17% 33% 15% 7% 3% 4% 13
19–31 Aug JL Partners[145][a] The Sun GB 2,118 22% 18% 32% 12% 7% 2% 1% 6% 10
29 Aug Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
26–28 Aug BMG Research[146] The i Paper GB 1,504 20% 17% 35% 13% 7% 2% 1% 4% 15
27 Aug Find Out Now[147] N/A GB 2,538 18% 15% 34% 13% 10% 2% 1% 6% 16
25–26 Aug YouGov[148] The Times/Sky News GB 2,439 20% 17% 28% 16% 11% 3% 1% 4% 8
22–26 Aug More in Common[149] N/A GB 2,032 22% 18% 30% 14% 7% 3% 1% 5% 8
20–22 Aug Opinium[150] The Observer GB 2,050 23% 17% 29% 14% 9% 3% 1% 5% 6
20 Aug Find Out Now[151] N/A GB 2,615 18% 17% 33% 12% 10% 3% 1% 6% 15
15–19 Aug Focaldata[152] N/A GB 1,500 24% 18% 29% 14% 8% 2% 1% 4% 5
17–18 Aug YouGov[153] The Times/Sky News GB 2,394 21% 18% 28% 15% 10% 3% 1% 4% 7
15–18 Aug More in Common[154] N/A GB 2,000 21% 20% 30% 13% 8% 3% 1% 5% 9
14–18 Aug Lord Ashcroft Polls[155][b][a] N/A GB 5,029 23% 20% 27% 10% 11% 2% 1% 7% 4
13–14 Aug Find Out Now[156] N/A GB 2,513 19% 19% 31% 12% 10% 3% 1% 6% 12
10–11 Aug YouGov[157] The Times/Sky News GB 2,501 21% 17% 28% 16% 10% 3% 1% 5% 7
8–11 Aug More in Common[158] N/A GB 2,015 22% 22% 30% 13% 6% 2% 0% 4% 8
6–8 Aug Opinium[159] The Observer GB 2,050 22% 17% 31% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 9
6 Aug Find Out Now[160] N/A GB 2,627 20% 16% 32% 12% 9% 2% 1% 7% 12
3–4 Aug YouGov[161] The Times/Sky News GB 2,472 21% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 4% 6
1–3 Aug More in Common[162] N/A GB 2,042 22% 18% 31% 14% 7% 3% 1% 4% 9
1–3 Aug Freshwater Strategy[163] City AM GB 1,259 22% 18% 33% 14% 6% 3% 3% 11
16 Jul3 Aug Stack Data Strategy (MRP)[164][165] Conservative Party (alleged[c]) GB 9,301 25% 16% 30% 12% 9% 3% 1%
5%
Ind 3%
Others 3%
5
29–31 Jul BMG Research[167] The i Paper GB 1,528 23% 18% 32% 13% 8% 2% 1% 3% 9
30 Jul Find Out Now[168] N/A GB 2,654 20% 17% 30% 13% 9% 2% 1% 7% 10
27–28 Jul YouGov[169] The Times/Sky News GB 2,208 22% 17% 29% 14% 11% 3% 1% 4% 7
26–28 Jul More in Common[170] N/A GB 2,153 23% 20% 29% 13% 7% 3% 1% 5% 6
23–25 Jul Opinium[171] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 32% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 7
23 Jul Find Out Now[172] N/A GB 2,651 20% 16% 34% 14% 10% 3% 1% 4% 14
20–21 Jul YouGov[173] The Times/Sky News GB 2,273 23% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 4
18–20 Jul More in Common[174] N/A GB 2,153 22% 21% 29% 15% 8% 2% 1% 2% 7
17–18 Jul JL Partners[175][a] The Telegraph GB 2,035 23% 17% 29% 14% 9% 3% 1% 5% 6
14–18 Jul Focaldata[176] N/A GB 1,271 23% 19% 27% 14% 9% 2% 1% 5% 4
16 Jul Find Out Now[177] N/A GB 2,603 20% 17% 30% 13% 12% 2% 1% 4% 10
13–14 Jul YouGov[178] The Times/Sky News GB 2,209 22% 17% 28% 16% 12% 3% 1% 3% 6
11–14 Jul More in Common[179] N/A GB 2,311 24% 20% 27% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 3
9–11 Jul Opinium[180] The Observer GB 2,052 24% 18% 29% 13% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
9–10 Jul Find Out Now[181] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,308 21% 16% 34% 11% 11% 3% 1% 4% 13
9–10 Jul Techne[182] N/A UK 1,628 22% 18% 29% 16% 9% 2% 4% 7
9 Jul Find Out Now[183] N/A GB 2,651 22% 19% 31% 13% 9% 2% 1% 4% 9
6–7 Jul YouGov[184] The Times/Sky News GB 2,513 24% 16% 26% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 2
4–7 Jul More in Common[185] N/A GB 2,084 24% 19% 29% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 5
4–7 Jul More in Common[186] N/A GB 2,084 25% 20% 28% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 3
4–6 Jul Freshwater Strategy[187] City AM GB 1,259 23% 19% 31% 16% 6% 3% 2% 8
2 Jul Find Out Now[188] N/A GB 2,604 22% 16% 30% 15% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
29–30 Jun YouGov[189] The Times/Sky News GB 2,392 24% 17% 26% 16% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2
27–30 Jun More in Common[190] N/A GB 2,532 24% 19% 29% 12% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
26–30 Jun Lord Ashcroft Polls[191][b][a] The Mail on Sunday[192] GB 5,018 23% 20% 27% 11% 13% 3% 1% 3% 4
13–30 Jun More in Common[193] (MRP) N/A GB 11,282 22% 21% 28% 15% 8% 3% 1% 2% 6
25–27 Jun Survation[194] N/A UK 1,700 26% 19% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 4% 1
25–27 Jun Opinium[195] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 30% 12% 9% 2% 1% 3% 5
25–26 Jun Techne[196] N/A UK 1,628 23% 18% 28% 16% 8% 3% 4% 5
25 Jun Find Out Now[197] N/A GB 2,605 22% 18% 30% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 8
24–25 Jun BMG Research[198] The i Paper GB 1,617 27% 19% 30% 12% 7% 2% 1% 2% 3
22–23 Jun YouGov[199] The Times/Sky News GB 1,794 23% 17% 27% 16% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4
20–23 Jun More in Common[200] N/A GB 2,004 23% 20% 27% 14% 9% 3% 1% 3% 4
18 Jun Find Out Now[201] N/A GB 2,628 23% 16% 31% 12% 11% 3% 1% 2% 8
29 May18 Jun YouGov[202] The Times/Sky News GB 17,227 23% 17% 27% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 4
29 May18 Jun YouGov[203] (MRP) N/A GB 11,500 23% 18% 26% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 3
10–17 Jun Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[204] (MRP)
PLMR GB 5,444 22% 19% 31% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 9
15–16 Jun YouGov[205] The Times/Sky News GB 2,255 24% 17% 27% 15% 10% 4% 1% 2% 3
13–16 Jun More in Common[206] N/A GB 2,032 21% 22% 29% 13% 9% 3% 1% 4% 7
11–13 Jun Opinium[207] The Observer GB 2,050 24% 18% 30% 12% 9% 3% 1% 3% 6
11 Jun Find Out Now[208] N/A GB 2,651 24% 16% 30% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 6
10–11 Jun Survation[209] Rogan Productions UK 2,010 25% 21% 27% 12% 7% 3% 1% 4% 2
8–9 Jun YouGov[210] The Times/Sky News GB 2,196 23% 17% 29% 15% 10% 3% 2% 1% 6
6–9 Jun More in Common[211] N/A GB 2,073 24% 20% 28% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 4
6–8 Jun Freshwater Strategy[212][b] City AM GB 1,260 21% 21% 32% 14% 8% 2% 2% 11
4–5 Jun Techne[213] N/A UK 1,628 23% 17% 31% 15% 8% 2% 4% 8
4 Jun Find Out Now[214] N/A GB 1,962 22% 16% 31% 15% 11% 3% 1% 2% 9
30 May4 Jun Ipsos[215] N/A GB 1,180 25% 15% 34% 11% 9% 4% 1% 1% 9
1–2 Jun YouGov[216] The Times/Sky News GB 2,240 22% 18% 28% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 6
30 May2 Jun More in Common[217] N/A GB 2,016 23% 21% 28% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 5
30 May2 Jun Survation[218] N/A UK 916 24% 20% 27% 13% 8% 3% 2% 3% 3
29 May2 Jun Lord Ashcroft Polls[219][b][a] N/A GB 5,147 23% 18% 27% 13% 13% 2% 1% 3% 4
28–30 May Opinium[220] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 17% 31% 11% 10% 2% 1% 2% 6
28–29 May BMG Research[221] The i Paper GB 1,510 24% 18% 31% 13% 9% 3% 0% 2% 7
28–29 May Techne[222] N/A UK 1,647 22% 16% 31% 16% 9% 2% 4% 9
28 May Find Out Now[223] N/A GB 2,447 22% 16% 32% 13% 11% 3% 1% 2% 10
26–27 May YouGov[224] The Times/Sky News GB 2,013 21% 19% 29% 15% 11% 2% 1% 2% 8
23–26 May More in Common[225] N/A GB 2,000 22% 19% 31% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 9
21–22 May Techne[226] N/A UK 1,641 22% 17% 30% 16% 9% 2% 4% 8
21 May Find Out Now[227] N/A GB 2,501 21% 16% 32% 14% 11% 2% 1% 2% 11
18–19 May YouGov[228] The Times/Sky News GB 2,222 22% 16% 29% 17% 10% 2% 1% 2% 7
16–19 May More in Common[229] N/A GB 2,090 22% 21% 30% 14% 8% 2% 1% 1% 8
14–16 May Opinium[230] The Observer GB 2,050 25% 18% 29% 13% 10% 2% 1% 3% 4
14–15 May Techne[231] N/A UK 1,645 22% 18% 29% 15% 9% 2% 5% 7
14 May Find Out Now[232] N/A GB 2,557 21% 16% 33% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 12
11–12 May YouGov[233] The Times/Sky News GB 2,310 23% 18% 28% 16% 9% 3% 1% 3% 5
10–12 May More in Common[234] N/A GB 2,094 25% 20% 28% 14% 8% 2% 1% 1% 3
9–11 May Freshwater Strategy[235][b] City AM GB 1,250 22% 19% 32% 15% 8% 3% 2% 10
7–8 May Techne[236] N/A UK 1,635 23% 19% 28% 14% 8% 3% 5% 5
6–8 May BMG Research[237] The i Paper GB 1,525 22% 19% 32% 13% 9% 3% 0% 2% 10
7 May Find Out Now[238] N/A GB 2,210 20% 16% 33% 15% 11% 3% 1% 1% 13
5–6 May YouGov[239] The Times/Sky News GB 2,187 22% 17% 29% 16% 10% 3% 1% 1% 7
2–5 May Survation[240] True North Advisors UK 2,032 25% 18% 30% 13% 7% 3% 1% 3% 5
3–4 May More in Common[241] N/A GB 2,212 23% 21% 27% 15% 8% 3% 1% 3% 4
30 Apr2 May Opinium[242] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 19% 27% 13% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
30 Apr2 May Survation[243] N/A UK 1,056 26% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% 0% 3% Tie
1 May Local elections in England; Runcorn and Helsby by-election (Reform gain from Labour)
30 Apr Find Out Now[244] N/A GB 1,990 21% 19% 29% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 8
27–28 Apr YouGov[245] The Times/Sky News GB 2,214 23% 20% 26% 15% 9% 3% 1% 2% 3
25–27 Apr More in Common[246] N/A GB 2,009 24% 23% 24% 15% 8% 2% 1% 4% Tie
23–25 Apr Opinium[247] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 21% 26% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% Tie
23–24 Apr Techne[248] N/A UK 1,642 25% 21% 25% 14% 8% 2% 5% Tie
23 Apr Find Out Now[249] N/A GB 2,139 20% 20% 28% 14% 13% 3% 0% 2% 8
21–22 Apr YouGov[250] The Times/Sky News GB 2,012 23% 20% 25% 16% 10% 3% 1% 2% 2
17–21 Apr More in Common[251] N/A GB 2,004 23% 23% 25% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 2
16 Apr Find Out Now[252] N/A GB 2,288 22% 20% 28% 14% 10% 3% 1% 3% 6
13–14 Apr YouGov[253] The Times/Sky News GB 2,399 24% 21% 23% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 1
11–14 Apr More in Common[254] N/A GB 2,277 24% 23% 24% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% Tie
11–14 Apr Focaldata[255] N/A GB 1,585 24% 24% 23% 13% 9% 2% 1% 4% Tie
10–14 Apr Lord Ashcroft Polls[256][b][a] N/A GB 5,263 27% 24% 21% 10% 11% 3% 1% 3% 3
8–14 Apr Verian[257] N/A GB 1,285 25% 19% 24% 16% 9% 3% 2% 3% 1
9–11 Apr Opinium[258] The Observer GB 2,050 27% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% 1% 3% 1
9–10 Apr Techne[259] N/A UK 1,644 24% 22% 24% 15% 8% 2% 5% Tie
9 Apr Find Out Now[260] N/A GB 2,546 22% 21% 26% 14% 11% 3% 1% 3% 4
6–7 Apr YouGov[261] The Times/Sky News GB 2,402 24% 22% 23% 17% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
4–7 Apr More in Common[262] N/A GB 2,058 24% 23% 24% 17% 7% 2% 0% 1% Tie
4–6 Apr Freshwater Strategy[263][b] City AM GB 1,250 22% 27% 28% 14% 5% 2% 3% 1
2–3 Apr Techne[264] N/A UK 1,631 24% 23% 24% 13% 8% 3% 5% Tie
2 Apr Find Out Now[265] N/A GB 2,768 22% 20% 28% 13% 11% 3% 1% 3% 6
14 Mar1 Apr More in Common (MRP)[266] N/A GB 16,176 25% 24% 24% 13% 8% 2% 1% 4% 1
30–31 Mar YouGov[267] The Times/Sky News GB 2,392 24% 21% 23% 14% 11% 3% 1% 3% 1
28–31 Mar More in Common[268] N/A GB 2,081 21% 26% 25% 13% 7% 2% 1% 4% 1
26–28 Mar Opinium[269] The Observer GB 2,050 26% 22% 26% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% Tie
21–28 Mar Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[270] (MRP)
PLMR[271] GB 5,180 24% 22% 27% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 3
26–27 Mar BMG Research[272] The i Paper[273] GB 1,544 26% 24% 23% 14% 8% 3% 1% 1% 2
26–27 Mar Techne[274] N/A UK 1,642 25% 23% 24% 14% 8% 2% 4% 1
26 Mar Find Out Now[275] N/A GB 2,745 23% 22% 26% 12% 11% 3% 1% 2% 3
23–24 Mar YouGov[276] The Times/Sky News GB 2,333 23% 22% 22% 16% 10% 3% 1% 3% 1
22–24 Mar More in Common[277] N/A GB 2,432 24% 25% 24% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 1
19–21 Mar Opinium[278] The Observer GB 2,078 26% 21% 26% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% Tie
19–20 Mar Techne[279] N/A UK 1,644 27% 23% 23% 14% 7% 2% 4% 4
19 Mar Find Out Now[280] N/A GB 2,770 22% 21% 27% 14% 11% 3% 1% 2% 5
16–17 Mar YouGov[281] The Times/Sky News GB 2,315 26% 22% 24% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
14–17 Mar Deltapoll[282] N/A GB 1,974 25% 25% 23% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% Tie
14–17 Mar More in Common[283] N/A GB 2,432 25% 24% 25% 12% 7% 2% 1% 4% Tie
13–17 Mar Lord Ashcroft Polls[284][b][a] N/A GB 5,111 30% 24% 19% 9% 11% 2% 1% 4% 6
12–13 Mar Techne[285] N/A UK 1,638 27% 22% 24% 14% 7% 2% 4% 3
12 Mar Find Out Now[286] N/A GB 2,686 24% 21% 27% 11% 10% 3% 1% 2% 3
9–10 Mar YouGov[287] The Times/Sky News GB 2,291 24% 22% 23% 15% 9% 3% 1% 3% 1
7–10 Mar More in Common[288] N/A GB 2,041 25% 23% 25% 14% 8% 2% 1% 2% Tie
6–9 Mar JL Partners[289] The Sun GB 2,012 26% 24% 23% 14% 7% 3% 1% 3% 2
5–7 Mar Opinium[290] The Observer GB 1,498 28% 20% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
5–6 Mar Techne[291] N/A UK 1,632 28% 21% 25% 13% 7% 2% 4% 3
5 Mar Find Out Now[292] N/A GB 2,670 25% 21% 26% 12% 10% 3% 1% 2% 1
2–3 Mar YouGov[293] The Times GB 2,222 26% 21% 25% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
1–2 Mar Freshwater Strategy[294][b] City AM GB 1,215 24% 23% 27% 15% 7% 3% 2% 3
28 Feb2 Mar More in Common[295] N/A GB 2,010 26% 24% 24% 13% 7% 2% 1% 2% 2
26–28 Feb Focaldata[296] N/A GB 1,008 24% 22% 21% 14% 8% 3% 1% 5% 2
26–27 Feb Techne[297] N/A UK 1,643 26% 22% 25% 13% 8% 2% 4% 1
26 Feb Find Out Now[298] N/A GB 3,363 23% 21% 28% 13% 10% 3% 1% 1% 5
25–26 Feb BMG Research[299] The i Paper GB 1,586 26% 22% 27% 12% 8% 3% 1% 1% 1
23–24 Feb YouGov[300] Sky News / The Times GB 2,415 24% 22% 25% 16% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
21–24 Feb More in Common[301] N/A GB 2,013 23% 25% 24% 16% 8% 2% 0% 2% 1
19–21 Feb Opinium[302] The Observer GB 2,050 28% 21% 26% 12% 8% 3% 0% 2% 2
19–20 Feb Techne[303] N/A UK 1,639 25% 22% 26% 12% 7% 3% 5% 1
19 Feb Find Out Now[304] N/A GB 2,393 24% 20% 28% 12% 10% 2% 1% 2% 4
14–18 Feb More in Common[305] N/A GB 4,101 25% 23% 26% 12% 7% 2% 1% 3% 1
16–17 Feb YouGov[306] N/A GB 2,436 25% 21% 27% 14% 9% 3% 1% 1% 2
13–17 Feb Lord Ashcroft Polls[307][b][a] N/A GB 5,099 27% 23% 23% 9% 11% 2% 1% 3% 4
12–13 Feb Techne[308] N/A UK 1,637 26% 22% 25% 12% 8% 2% 5% 1
12 Feb Find Out Now[309] N/A GB 3,421 23% 21% 29% 12% 9% 3% 1% 2% 6
9–10 Feb YouGov[310] N/A GB 2,419 25% 21% 26% 14% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1
7–10 Feb More in Common[311] N/A GB 2,005 25% 23% 25% 12% 8% 2% 1% 3% Tie
5–7 Feb Opinium[312] The Observer GB 1,493 27% 22% 26% 11% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
5–6 Feb Techne[313] N/A UK 1,645 25% 23% 25% 13% 7% 2% 5% Tie
5 Feb Find Out Now[314] N/A GB 2,487 25% 18% 29% 13% 10% 3% 1% 2% 4
2–3 Feb YouGov[315] Sky News[316] GB 2,465 24% 21% 25% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
31 Jan3 Feb More in Common[317] N/A GB 2,044 24% 26% 24% 13% 6% 3% 1% 3% 2
31 Jan2 Feb Freshwater Strategy[318][b] City AM GB 1,200 29% 28% 22% 9% 7% 3% 2% 1
29–30 Jan Techne[319] N/A UK 1,633 26% 23% 24% 12% 7% 3% 5% 2
29 Jan Find Out Now[320] N/A GB 2,487 23% 21% 27% 11% 10% 3% 1% 3% 4
28–29 Jan BMG Research[321] The i Paper GB 1,514 25% 25% 24% 14% 8% 3% 1% 1% Tie
28–29 Jan Survation[322] N/A UK 1,670 27% 22% 24% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% 3
26–27 Jan YouGov[323] The Times GB 2,523 27% 22% 23% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4
24–27 Jan More in Common[324] N/A GB 2,009 25% 24% 25% 13% 7% 2% 1% 3% Tie
22–29 Jan Find Out Now/
Electoral Calculus[325] (MRP)
PLMR GB 5,743 23% 23% 24% 11% 8% 3% 1% 6% 1
22–24 Jan Opinium[326] The Observer GB 2,050 28% 21% 27% 11% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
22–23 Jan Whitestone Insight[327] Daily Express GB 2,012 25% 20% 24% 12% 13% 3% 1% 2% 1
22–23 Jan Techne[328] N/A UK 1,643 25% 24% 24% 13% 7% 2% 5% 1
22 Jan Find Out Now[329] N/A GB 2,380 22% 23% 26% 12% 10% 3% 1% 3% 3
19–20 Jan YouGov[330] The Times GB 2,466 26% 22% 24% 14% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
17–20 Jan More in Common[331] N/A GB 2,016 24% 25% 25% 12% 7% 3% 1% 3% Tie
17–20 Jan Deltapoll[332] Institute for Government GB 1,500 29% 25% 22% 11% 8% 3% 2% 4
16–20 Jan Lord Ashcroft Polls[333][b][a] N/A GB 5,251 28% 25% 20% 11% 9% 3% 0% 3% 3
15–16 Jan Techne[334] N/A UK 1,624 26% 25% 23% 12% 7% 2% 5% 1
15 Jan Find Out Now[335] N/A GB 2,386 24% 25% 25% 12% 10% 3% 1% 2% Tie
10–14 Jan JL Partners[336] The Sunday Times GB 2,007 26% 25% 22% 13% 9% 2% 1% 3% 1
12–13 Jan YouGov[337] The Times GB 2,279 26% 22% 25% 14% 8% 3% 1% 2% 1
10–13 Jan More in Common[338] N/A GB 1,587 24% 25% 24% 12% 8% 3% 1% 3% 1
8–10 Jan Opinium[339] The Observer GB 2,050 29% 23% 24% 10% 9% 2% 1% 2% 5
8 Jan Find Out Now[340] N/A GB 2,076 25% 20% 25% 11% 11% 3% 1% 2% Tie
6–8 Jan More in Common[341] N/A GB 2,011 26% 26% 22% 12% 7% 3% 1% 2% Tie
4–6 Jan Freshwater Strategy[342][b] City AM GB 1,207 28% 29% 23% 12% 5% 3% 1% 1
30 Dec3 Jan Deltapoll[343] Mail on Sunday GB 1,532 30% 23% 22% 12% 9% 3% 1% 1% 7

2024

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
19–23 Dec Deltapoll[344] The Mirror GB 1,552 29% 25% 21% 12% 8% 4% 0% 1% 4
18–20 Dec Opinium[345] The Observer GB 1,472 29% 23% 22% 11% 10% 3% 1% 2% 6
18–19 Dec Techne[346] N/A UK 1,642 27% 26% 21% 12% 7% 2% 5% 1
12–16 Dec Survation[347] N/A UK 2,030 30% 25% 20% 11% 7% 2% 1% 2% 5
11–12 Dec Techne[348] N/A UK 1,634 27% 25% 22% 11% 7% 2% 6% 2
11 Dec Find Out Now[349] N/A GB 2,659 26% 23% 25% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% 1
6–10 Dec More in Common[350] N/A GB 2,432 26% 26% 19% 13% 8% 3% 1% 4% Tie
6–9 Dec Stonehaven[351] (MRP) N/A GB 2,072 28% 24% 21% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
5–6 Dec Techne[352] N/A UK 1,644 27% 25% 21% 12% 7% 2% 6% 2
4 Dec Find Out Now[353] N/A GB 2,607 23% 26% 24% 11% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
29 Nov2 Dec More in Common[354] N/A GB 2,002 26% 28% 21% 13% 7% 3% 1% 2% 2
27–29 Nov Opinium[355] The Observer GB 2,050 29% 25% 21% 10% 9% 3% 1% 2% 4
27–28 Nov Techne[356] N/A UK 1,648 28% 27% 18% 13% 6% 2% 6% 1
27 Nov Find Out Now[357] N/A GB 2,316 25% 27% 22% 12% 9% 3% 1% 2% 2
26–27 Nov BMG Research[358] The i Paper GB 1,531 29% 27% 20% 12% 7% 3% 0% 2% 2
26–27 Nov More in Common[359] N/A GB 1,972 27% 30% 18% 12% 8% 2% 1% 2% 3
20–21 Nov Techne[360] N/A UK 1,632 29% 27% 17% 12% 7% 2% 6% 2
19–21 Nov More in Common[361] N/A GB 2,002 25% 28% 19% 13% 8% 3% 1% 3% 3
14–18 Nov Deltapoll[362] N/A GB 1,749 29% 27% 18% 12% 8% 4% 1% 1% 2
13–14 Nov JL Partners[363] The Sun / Politico GB 2,024 27% 26% 20% 12% 9% 3% 3% 1
13–14 Nov Techne[364] N/A GB 1,643 28% 27% 17% 13% 7% 2% 6% 1
11–13 Nov Opinium[365] The Observer GB 1,646 30% 24% 21% 12% 8% 3% 1% 1% 6
8–11 Nov More in Common[366] N/A GB 2,007 27% 29% 19% 11% 8% 2% 1% 4% 2
6–7 Nov Techne[367] N/A UK 1,636 29% 25% 18% 13% 7% 2% 6% 4
2 Nov Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
31 Oct – 16 Dec More in Common[368] (MRP) N/A GB 11,024 25% 26% 21% 14% 8% 2% 1% 3% 1
30 Oct1 Nov More in Common[369] N/A GB 2,007 28% 26% 18% 14% 8% 3% 1% 3% 2
30–31 Oct Opinium[370] The Observer GB 1,548 31% 24% 20% 10% 10% 2% 0% 3% 7
30–31 Oct BMG Research[371] The i Paper GB 1,511 28% 29% 17% 13% 8% 2% 1% 2% 1
30–31 Oct Techne[372] N/A UK 1,632 30% 24% 18% 14% 7% 2% 5% 6
23–24 Oct Techne[373] N/A UK 1,644 29% 24% 19% 13% 7% 2% 6% 5
16–18 Oct Opinium[374] The Observer GB 1,565 31% 24% 20% 12% 8% 2% 1% 2% 7
16–17 Oct Techne[375] N/A UK 1,636 28% 25% 19% 13% 7% 2% 6% 3
11–13 Oct JL Partners[376] The Telegraph GB 2,000 29% 25% 19% 14% 7% 2% 1% 2% 4
9–10 Oct Techne[377] N/A UK 1,651 29% 24% 19% 12% 7% 2% 7% 5
9–10 Oct More in Common[378] The Times GB 2,000 27% 27% 21% 13% 7% 2% 1% 1% Tie
5–7 Oct More in Common[379] Politico GB 2,023 29% 28% 19% 11% 7% 2% 0% 3% 1
4–7 Oct Deltapoll[380] N/A GB 2,108 29% 25% 18% 14% 8% 4% 1% 1% 4
2–4 Oct Opinium[381] The Observer GB 1,491 31% 24% 20% 11% 8% 3% 2% 7
2–3 Oct BMG Research[382] i GB 1,562 30% 25% 20% 13% 7% 3% 0% 1% 5
2–3 Oct Techne[383] N/A UK 1,643 31% 23% 18% 13% 7% 2% 6% 8
25–26 Sep Techne[384] N/A UK 1,638 32% 22% 18% 13% 7% 2% 6% 10
24–25 Sep More in Common[385] N/A GB 2,080 30% 26% 18% 13% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
18–23 Sep Verian[386] N/A GB 1,258 31% 26% 17% 13% 7% 2% 1% 2% 5
18–19 Sep Techne[387] The Independent UK 1,641 33% 21% 18% 13% 7% 2% 6% 12
10–12 Sep More in Common[388] Politico GB 1,542 29% 25% 18% 14% 8% 3% 1% 4% 4
29 Aug BMG Research[389] i GB 1,560 30% 26% 19% 12% 8% 3% 1% 2% 4
7–8 Aug We Think[390] N/A GB 1,278 33% 20% 21% 11% 8% 3% 1% 4% 12
5–7 Aug BMG Research[391] i GB 1,523 33% 24% 18% 12% 8% 2% 0% 2% 9
30 Jul5 Aug Stonehaven[392][a] N/A GB 2,048 32% 21% 16% 11% 9% 2% 1% 7% 11
25–26 Jul We Think[393] N/A GB 2,012 36% 22% 17% 11% 7% 2% 1% 4% 14
11–12 Jul We Think[394] N/A GB 2,005 39% 20% 16% 11% 9% 2% 3% 19
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK 33.7% 23.7% 14.3% 12.2% 6.8% 2.5% 0.7% 6.1% 10.0
GB 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% 3.5% 10.3

Seat projections

326 seats needed for a majority.

MRP polls

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC Others Majority
27 Nov – 16 Dec 2025 More in Common[395] The Times GB 16,083 85 70 35 40 381 9 5 6 Ref 112
1–8 Dec 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[64] PLMR GB 5,596 41 92 60 44 335 52 4
4
YP: 4
Ref 20
31 Aug – 24 Sep 2025 YouGov[120] N/A GB 13,000 144 45 78 37 311 7 6 3 Hung
(Ref −15)
9 Aug – 15 Sep 2025 More in Common[130] The Times[131] GB 19,520 90 41 69 34 373 6 4 14 Ref 96
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 Survation[396][397] 38 Degrees UK 8,546 191 42 63 30 293 6 2 23[d] Hung
(Ref −33)
16 July – 3 Aug 2025 Stack Data Strategy[164] Conservative Party (alleged[e]) GB 9,301 161 14 63 37 348 3 4 2 Ref 46
13–30 Jun 2025 More in Common[193] N/A GB 11,282 126 81 73 42 290 7 4 8 Hung
(Ref −36)
29 May – 18 Jun 2025 YouGov[203] N/A GB 11,500 178 46 81 38 271 7 7 3 Hung
(Ref −55)
10–17 Jun 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[204] PLMR GB 5,444 118 29 69 26 377 4 4 5 Ref 104
14 Mar – 1 Apr 2025 More in Common[266] N/A GB 16,176 165 165 67 35 180 4 5 10 Hung
(Ref −146)
21–28 Mar 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[270] PLMR[271] GB 5,180 180 133 49 30 227 4 4 5 Hung
(Ref −99)
22–29 Jan 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now[325] PLMR GB 5,743 174 178 57 37 175 4 2 5 Hung
(Con −148)
30 Nov 2024 – 5 Jan 2025 Focaldata[398] Hope not Hate[399] GB 17,790 287 163 63 22 76 4 4 13 Hung
(Lab −39)
31 Oct – 16 Dec 2024 More in Common[368] N/A GB 11,024 228 222 58 37 72 2 4 26[f] Hung
(Lab −98)
6–9 Dec 2024 Stonehaven[351] N/A GB 2,072 278 157 47 24 120 3 2 19[f] Hung
(Lab −48)
2 Nov 2024 Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK 411 121 72 9 5 4 4 Lab 172

POLARIS projections

Political Analysis through Regional and Local Insights System (POLARIS) is a novel model created by JL Partners, using council by-elections to predict election outcomes.[400] All models from January onwards are combined with a representative survey data, with the data used shifted to reflect the pollster's most recent national polling.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC Others Majority
March 2025 JL Partners[401] N/A GB 306,817 218 136 70 41 135 5 3
Hung
(Lab −108)[g]
January 2025 JL Partners[402] N/A GB 306,817 200 190 70 42 102 7 4
Hung
(Lab −126)
December 2024 JL Partners[403] N/A GB 280,000 256 208 66 6 71 5 4


Hung
(Lab −70)
2 Nov 2024 Kemi Badenoch is elected leader of the Conservative Party
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK 411 121 72 9 5 4 4 Lab 172

Sub-national poll results

Scotland

Graph of opinion polls conducted in Scotland
Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab SNP Con LD Ref Grn Alba Others Lead
19–26 Feb 2026 Ipsos[404] STV News 1,096 21% 33% 10% 10% 17% 8% 0% 1% 12
13–19 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[405] The National 1,002 14% 31% 8% 10% 23% 10% 8
11–18 Feb 2026 YouGov[406] Scottish Elections Study 1,517 14% 32% 11% 9% 21% 11% 2% 11
10–13 Feb 2026 Norstat[407] The Sunday Times 1,001 17% 32% 11% 7% 23% 8% 2% 9
13–16 Jan 2026 Norstat[408] The Sunday Times 1,016 17% 32% 11% 9% 21% 7% 1% 1% 11
15 Jan 2026 Malcolm Offord is appointed leader of Reform UK in Scotland
8–12 Jan 2026 Survation[409] True North Advisors 1,003 17% 31% 12% 9% 21% 8% 1% 0% 10
11–19 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[410] The National 1,000 13% 32% 10% 8% 24% 10%
3%

YP
1%
Other 2%
8
27 Nov3 Dec 2025 Ipsos[411] STV News 1,055 17% 33% 11% 8% 20% 11% 0% 1% 13
22–25 Sep 2025 Norstat[412] The Sunday Times 1,010 18% 31% 11% 9% 23% 7% 1% 1% 8
15–21 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[413] The National 1,282 15% 30% 10% 9% 23% 6% 5% 7
4–16 Sep 2025 Survation[414] Scotland in Union 2,051 19% 35% 12% 8% 19% 4% 1% 1% 16
21 Aug1 Sep 2025 More in Common[415] N/A 1,104 17% 31% 11% 11% 21% 6% 2% 10
29 Aug 2025 Gillian Mackay and Ross Greer are elected as co-leaders of the Scottish Greens
13–19 Jun 2025 YouGov[416][failed verification] Scottish Election Study 1,178 19% 29% 10% 11% 22% 7% 1% 7
12–18 Jun 2025 Ipsos[417] STV News 1,064 22% 31% 10% 9% 16% 10% 1% 1% 9
27–30 May 2025 Norstat[418] The Times 1,007 20% 31% 12% 8% 21% 7% 1% 1% 10
2–5 May 2025 Survation[419] True North Advisors 1,020 19% 32% 11% 11% 21% 5% 0% 11
16–22 Apr 2025 Survation[420] Diffley Partnership 1,005 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 5% 1% 9
25 Feb3 Mar 2025 YouGov[421][failed verification] Scottish Election Study 1,164 21% 32% 12% 7% 19% 7% 1% 11
15–20 Jan 2025 Find Out Now[422] The Herald 1,334 18% 31% 12% 10% 17% 7% 5% 13
11–14 Jan 2025 Norstat[423] The Sunday Times 1,026 18% 32% 13% 11% 17% 6% 2% 0% 14
7–13 Jan 2025 Survation[424] True North Advisors 1,024 24% 33% 14% 9% 15% 4% 1% 9
17–24 Dec 2024 Find Out Now[425] The National[426] 1,774 20% 34% 14% 9% 15% 6% 2% 14
4–6 Dec 2024 Norstat[427] The Sunday Times 1,013 20% 31% 14% 9% 15% 6% 3% 1% 11
1–15 Nov 2024 Survation[428] Progress Scotland 3,016 28% 31% 15% 6% 13% 5% 3% 1% 3
30 Oct1 Nov 2024 Norstat[429] The Sunday Times 1,013 23% 30% 15% 10% 14% 6% 1% 1% 7
27 Sep 2024 Russell Findlay is elected leader of the Scottish Conservatives
10–13 Sep 2024 Survation[430] Progress Scotland 2,059 31% 31% 14% 9% 11% 3% 1% 0% Tie
5–11 Sep 2024 Opinium[431] The Sunday Times[432] 1,028 25% 32% 14% 8% 11% 7% 2% 7
20–22 Aug 2024 Norstat[433] The Sunday Times 1,011 32% 29% 12% 8% 12% 5% 2% 1% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election[434] 35.3% 30.0% 12.7% 9.7% 7.0% 3.8% 0.5%
0.7%
5.3

Wales

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con Ref PC LD Grn Others Lead
5–12 Jan 2026 YouGov[435] Barn Cymru 1,205 13% 12% 25% 29% 6% 12% 2% 4
28 Nov10 Dec 2025 YouGov[436] Cardiff University 2,500 15% 13% 30% 19% 8% 14% 2% 11
4–10 Sep 2025 YouGov[437] Barn Cymru 1,220 18% 11% 29% 23% 9% 7% 4% 6
23–30 Apr 2025 YouGov[438] Barn Cymru 1,248 20% 13% 24% 24% 9% 7% 2% Tie
10 Mar3 Apr 2025 Survation[439] N/A 844 29% 15% 25% 18% 6% 6% 1% 4
3–5 Dec 2024 Darren Millar is elected leader of the Welsh Conservatives
18 Oct4 Nov 2024 Survation[440] Reform UK 2,006 33% 18% 21% 13% 9% 5% 0% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election[441] 37.0% 18.2% 16.9% 14.8% 6.5% 4.7% 1.9% 18.8

100 most rural constituencies

In November 2024, Survation conducted a survey of the 100 "most rural" constituencies.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Con Lab LD Ref Grn Others Lead
14–21 Nov 2024 Survation[442] Country Land and Business Association 1,007 34% 21% 18% 21% 7% 0% 13
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election (Survation)[442] 33.9% 23.6% 19.1% 16.1% 6.0% 1.4% 10.4

Northern England and the Midlands

In April 2025, Survation conducted a survey of Northern England and the Midlands.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn Others Lead
11–13 Apr 2025 Survation[443] Friderichs Advisory Partners 2,032 27% 22% 30% 10% 9% 2% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 39.6% 23.8% 17.7% 7.5% 6.8% 4.6% 15.9

London

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Con LD Grn Ref Others Lead
17–23 Dec 2025 Savanta[444] QMUL 1,006 30% 17% 13% 17% 21% 2% 9
15–21 Dec 2025 Savanta[445] QMUL 1,006 31% 17% 13% 18% 19% 2% 11
30 Oct7 Nov 2025 Savanta[446] Centre for London 1,242 32% 20% 11% 10% 23% TBC 9
29 Apr21 May 2025 Savanta[447] QMUL 1,003 32% 21% 13% 13% 15% 6% 11
4–8 May 2025 Find Out Now[448] Alex Wilson 1,102 30% 17% 16% 15% 19% 4% 11
30 Oct11 Nov 2024 Savanta[449] QMUL 1,004 36% 24% 12% 12% 13% 4% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 43.0% 20.6% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 6.7% 22.7

Greater Manchester

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Lab Ref Con LD Grn Others Lead
23–24 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[450] n/a 1,003 24% 36% 9% 10% 18% 3% 12
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 43.0% 17.4% 15.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.8% 25.5

Individual constituency poll results

Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Grn WPB Con LD Others Lead
26 Feb 2026 2026 by-election 25.4% 28.7% 40.7% 1.9% 1.8%
1.4%
OMRLP 0.4%
Adv 0.4%
REU 0.3%
LPUK 0.1%
SDP 0.1%
CL 0.1%
12.0
16–24 Feb 2026 Opinium[451] Byline Times/Forward Democracy 401 28% 27% 28% 6% 4%
6%
REU 2%
Adv 2%
LPUK 1%
OMRLP 1%
SDP 0%
Tie
13–19 Feb 2026 Omnisis[452][a] Opal Ltd 452 26% 29% 33% 5% 2%
5%
REU 3%
LPUK 1%
SDP 1%
Adv 0%
OMRLP 0%
CL 0%
4
25–27 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[453] Betterworld Ltd 143[h] 33% 36% 21% 8% 3% 0% 3
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 50.8% 14.1% 13.2% 10.3% 7.9% 3.8% 36.7

Hypothetical: With Andy Burnham as the Labour candidate

In the run-up to the 2026 Gorton and Denton by-election, Mayor of Manchester Andy Burnham launched a bid to become the Labour candidate, leading to speculation that he could mount a leadership challenge against Prime Minister Keir Starmer.[455][456] However, on 25 January 2026, Labour's National Executive Committee (NEC) blocked Burnham from standing for the party.[457]

Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Grn WPB Con LD Others Lead
25–27 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[453] Betterworld Ltd 143[h] 49% 28% 7% 6% 1% 0% 21
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 50.8% 14.1% 13.2% 10.3% 7.9% 3.8% 36.7
Date(s) conducted Pollster Client Sample size Lab Ref Con Grn LD Others Lead
1 May 2025 2025 by-election 38.7% 38.7% 7.2% 7.1% 2.9% 5.4% 0.02
12–14 Mar 2025 FindOutNow[458] 147 33% 36% 12% 7% 7% 5% 3
3–12 Mar 2025 Lord Ashcroft[459] 702 35% 40% 10% 6% 8% 2% 5
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 52.9% 18.1% 16.0% 6.4% 5.1% 1.4% 34.8

Hypothetical scenarios

Different Conservative Party leaders: voting intention and seat projection

For the 2024 Conservative Party leadership election, Electoral Calculus conducted a multilevel regression with poststratification (MRP) opinion poll on behalf of Jack Lewy of the Robert Jenrick campaign, asking the general public how they would vote if respectively Kemi Badenoch or Robert Jenrick were elected leader of the Conservatives.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample

size

Hypothetical Conservative leader Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC Others Majority / lead
11–15 Oct 2024 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus (MRP)[460] Jack Lewy / Robert Jenrick GB 6,289 Kemi Badenoch Seats 332 151 63 48 25 4 4 5 Lab 14
Vote share 29% 22% 12% 4% 21% 10% 1% 1% 7
Robert Jenrick Seats 311 178 58 48 24 4 4 5 Hung (Lab −15)
Vote share 28% 23% 12% 4% 20% 11% 1% 1% 5

Tactical voting scenarios

YouGov has conducted polling on scenarios wherein only two parties appear to have a chance of winning a constituency.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn Others Don't know Would not vote/refused Lead
Conservative–Reform races
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[461] GB 2,167 6% 28% 27% 4% 8% 4% 7% 16% 1
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[462] GB 2,178 10% 26% 25% 5% 6% 3% 7% 18% 1
Conservative–Lib Dem races
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[461] GB 2,167 3% 26% 8% 32% 5% 2% 7% 15% 6
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[462] GB 2,178 5% 25% 7% 33% 3% 2% 6% 17% 8
Conservative–Labour races
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[461] GB 2,167 27% 29% 9% 3% 6% 3% 7% 16% 2
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[462] GB 2,178 31% 28% 7% 3% 3% 2% 6% 17% 3
Labour–Reform races
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[461] GB 2,167 31% 3% 34% 3% 5% 2% 6% 14% 3
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[462] GB 2,178 35% 4% 31% 2% 3% 2% 6% 16% 4
Lib Dem–Reform races
26–27 Oct 2025 YouGov[461] GB 2,167 3% 4% 32% 36% 4% 2% 6% 13% 4
23–24 Feb 2025 YouGov[462] GB 2,178 5% 4% 29% 36% 3% 2% 6% 15% 7

With under-18s

In July 2025, the Government announced their intention to reduce the voting age to 16 before the next general election.[463] Following this, some pollsters conducted polling including 16–17-year-olds, although the voting age has not yet been reduced by law.

National poll results including 16–17-year-olds

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC Others Lead
14–18 Jul 2025 Focaldata[464] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,307 23% 19% 26% 14% 9% 2% 1% 5% 3

Polling solely among 16–17-year-olds

Some pollsters also conducted polling solely among 16–17-year-olds, or broke out an oversample of this group.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
c. Sep 2025 Focaldata[465] John Smith Centre UK 512 32% 8% 22% 8% 18% 4% 0% 8% 10
7–28 Aug 2025 More in Common[466] The Sunday Times GB 1,115 24% 13% 23% 12% 6% 1% 0% 21%[i] 0% 1
30% 14% 23% 14% 14% 3% 0% 3% 7
14–18 Jul 2025 Focaldata[464] MultiComms Ltd GB 274 (oversample) 35% 11% 17% 7% 19% 4% 1%
6%
Ind 4%
Other 2%
16
4–6 Jul 2025 Merlin Strategy[467] ITV News GB 500 33% 10% 20% 12% 18% 2% 0%
6%
Ind 3%
Other 3%
13

Polling solely among 13–17-year-olds

Merlin Strategy conducted polling solely among those who would be eligible to vote in 2029, the latest possible date for the election.[468]

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
13–19 Sep 2025 Merlin Strategy[469][470] New Statesman GB 1,000 27% 12% 33% 7% 12% 3% 0% 3%[j] 2% 6

Including Your Party prior to formation

In 2025, Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana founded a new political party, called Your Party.[471] Prior to the announcement of these plans, polling was carried out about the idea for a hypothetical new party. After the announcement of the plan for a new party, more polling was carried out.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC YP Others Lead
28 Nov1 Dec 2025 More in Common[472] N/A GB TBC 20% 21% 31% 12% 8% 2% 4%[k] 10
29–30 Nov 2025 Your Party hosts its founding conference, formally adopting "Your Party" as its name and adopting a collective leadership model
28–30 Nov 2025 Freshwater Strategy[69][l] City AM GB 1,558 18% 20% 30% 14% 11% 2% 1% 1% 10
30 Sep 2025 Your Party is registered with the Electoral Commission, with Corbyn as leader
10–18 Sep 2025 Find Out Now/Electoral Calculus[473] (MRP) PLMR GB 7,449 21% 15% 36% 10% 7% 3% 1% 4%[m] 3% 15
1–8 Sep 2025 Find Out Now[474] Electoral Calculus GB 10,990 20% 16% 34% 12% 7% 3% 1% 6%[m] 3% 14
15–19 Aug 2025 Focaldata[152] N/A GB 1,500 23% 18% 28% 14% 7% 2% 1% 4%[n] 3% 5
29–31 Jul 2025 BMG Research[475] The i Paper GB 1,528 20% 19% 31% 13% 7% 2% 1% 6%[o] 2% 11
24 Jul 2025 Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn announce they intend to form Your Party
9–10 Jul 2025 Find Out Now[181] MultiComms Ltd GB 1,308 15% 17% 34% 9% 5% 2% 1% 15%[p] 1% 17
4–7 Jul 2025 More in Common[476] N/A GB 2,084 22% 20% 27% 13% 5% 3% 1% 8%[k] 1% 5
20–23 Jun 2025 More in Common[477] N/A GB 2,004 20% 20% 27% 14% 5% 2% 1% 10%[q] 1% 7
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election GB 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% N/A 3.5% 10.3

Seat projections (MRP polls)

326 seats needed for a majority.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn PC YP Others Majority
10–18 Sep 2025 Electoral Calculus/Find Out Now[473] PLMR GB 7,449 117 24 58 42 367 6 5 13[m] 0 Ref 84
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election UK 411 121 72 9 5 4 4 N/A Lab 172

With Restore Britain

In June 2025, former Reform MP Rupert Lowe launched a political organisation called "Restore Britain", advocating a harder line on immigration than Reform UK. Find Out Now were asked by the organisation to poll on a hypothetical new party led by Lowe. In February 2026, Lowe announced that Restore Britain would become a political party.

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Area Sample
size
Lab Con Ref LD Grn SNP PC RB Others Lead
3–4 Mar 2026 Find Out Now[478] Restore Britain GB 2,082 16% 17% 24% 10% 20% 2% 1% 7%
2%
Your 1%
Other 1%
4
20–21 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[479] Restore Britain GB 3,029 16% 16% 25% 11% 18% 2% 1% 7%
3%
Your 1%
Other 2%
7
14 Feb 2026 Find Out Now[480] Restore Britain GB 1,000 15% 13% 25% 10% 20% 4% 2% 10% 2% 5
13 Feb 2026 Rupert Lowe announces that Restore Britain will become a political party.
15 Jan 2026 Find Out Now[481] Restore Britain GB 1,000 14% 15% 26% 10% 18% 4% 2% 9% 3% 8
28 Nov 2025 Find Out Now[482] Restore Britain GB 1,000 16% 13% 25% 13% 18% 3% 1% 10% 3% 7
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election GB 34.7% 24.4% 14.7% 12.5% 6.9% 2.6% 0.7% N/A 3.5% 10.3

Great Yarmouth

Additionally, a poll was commissioned for the constituency of Great Yarmouth for a new (although unregistered at the time) party "Great Yarmouth First" led by Lowe.[483] The sample size of this poll was significantly smaller than standard polling leading to a wider margin of error.

Great Yarmouth First was registered with the Electoral Commission as a political party on 4 March 2026.[484]

Date(s)
conducted
Pollster Client Sample
size
Ref Lab Con Grn LD GYF Others Lead
4 Mar 2026 Great Yarmouth First is registered with the Electoral Commission[484]
2–4 Dec 2025 Find Out Now[485] Restore Britain 121 16% 17% 13% 5% 5% 44% 1% 27
4 Jul 2024 2024 general election 35.3% 31.8% 24.6% 4.3% 2.7% N/A 1.3% 3.5

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w Percentages calculated by excluding the number of respondents coded as "Don't know" and "Would not vote"
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Pollster is not a member of the British Polling Council.
  3. ^ The Telegraph reported that the data was commissioned by the party, though this has been denied by both the Conservatives and Stack themselves.[166]
  4. ^ Calculated by subtraction
  5. ^ The Telegraph reported that the data was commissioned by the party, though this has been denied by both the Conservatives and Stack themselves.[166]
  6. ^ a b Polling was of GB adults only, but 18 seats were assigned to Northern Irish parties in the reporting of the outcome.
  7. ^ Seats total 647, not 650: 628 projected for GB, plus 18 N.I. plus Speaker.
  8. ^ a b Poll has a very small sample size, leading to a high margin of error.[454]
  9. ^ Framed as "A new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana"
  10. ^ Framed as "A party led by Jeremy Corbyn"
  11. ^ a b Framed as "The new left-wing party led by Zarah Sultana and Jeremy Corbyn"
  12. ^ Figures are from a data table with undecideds (4%) included; the table with them removed does not include Your Party.
  13. ^ a b c Framed as "Your Party Led By Jeremy Corbyn"
  14. ^ Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party founded by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
  15. ^ Framed as "Your Party (provisional name for new party led by Jeremy Corbyn and Zarah Sultana)"
  16. ^ Framed as "A new populist left-wing party... with Zarah Sultana MP and Jeremy Corbyn MP as co-leaders"
  17. ^ Framed as "a new populist left-wing party ... with Jeremy Corbyn as leader"

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