Opinion polling for the 2016 Italian local elections

In the run up to the Italian local elections of 2016, various organisations are carrying out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Italy. Results of such polls are given in this article.

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's or coalition's colour.

Under the Italian par condicio (equal conditions) law, publication of opinion polls is forbidden in the last two weeks of an electoral campaign.

Bologna

See also: 2016 Bologna municipal election

Candidates

First round

Date Polling firm Merola Borgonzoni Bugani Bernardini Martelloni Others Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 49.8 17.7 16.5 10.3 4.7 1.0 32.1
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 43.0 28.5 16.0 N/a 7.0 5.5 14.5
27 April 2016 SWG 47.0 23.0 19.0 7.0 4.0 0.0 24.0
20–23 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 43.0 30.0 16.0 N/a 4.0 4.0 13.0
4–8 April 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 42.0 24.0 22.0 N/a N/a 12.0 18.0

Second round

Merola vs. Borgonzoni

Date Polling firm Merola Borgonzoni Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 67.6 32.4 35.2
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.5 44.5 11.0
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 55.0 45.0 10.0

Merola vs. Bugani

Date Polling firm Merola Bugani Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 65.7 34.3 31.4
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.0 44.0 12.0
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 57.0 43.0 14.0

Merola vs. Bernardini

Date Polling firm Merola Bernardini Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 67.2 32.8 34.4

Parties

Date Polling firm PD FI LN M5S IB CC Others Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 40.2 6.7 6.8 18.8 5.4 4.9 17.2 21.4
15 May 2011 Election results 38.3 16.6 10.7 9.4 N/a N/a 25.0 18.7

Milan

See also: 2016 Milan municipal election

Candidates

First round

Date Polling firm Sala Parisi Corrado Others Lead
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi 39.2 35.8 13.3 11.7 2.4
11 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 37.5 37.0 18.2 1.9 0.5
5–6 May 2016 Quorum 38.5 35.2 14.1 12.2 3.2
4–6 May 2016 Index Research 38.5 38.0 16.0 7.5 0.5
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 38.5 37.0 15.5 9.0 1.5
2 May 2016 Tecnè 38.0 37.5 16.5 8.0 0.5
27 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 38.0 37.9 15.0 3.3 0.1
20–22 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici[permanent dead link] 39.5 37.0 15.0 8.5 2.5
18 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 38.0 38.0 16.0 8.0 0.0
16 Apr 2016 SWG 47.0 36.0 12.0 5.0 11.0
16 Apr 2016 Ipsos 38.8 37.1 16.5 7.6 1.7
4–8 Apr 2016 Index Research 37.0 36.0 14.0 13.0 1.0
12 Apr 2016 Eurometra 33.0 30.0 19.0 18.0 3.0
7 Apr 2016 Demopolis 40.0 37.0 14.0 9.0 3.0
1 Apr 2016 Termometropolitico 40.5 35.5 12.0 12.0 5.0
29 Mar 2016 Tecné 38.0 35.0 18.0 16.0 3.0
17 Mar 2016 Tecné 38.0 34.0 6.0 23.0 4.0
10–11 Mar 2016 Index Research 42.0 35.0 N/a 23.0 7.0
25 Feb 2016 Tecné 37.0 33.0 17.0 13.0 4.0

Second round

Date Polling firm Sala Parisi Lead
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi 54.1 45.9 8.2
11 May 2016 Tecnè 50.2 49.8 0.4
5–6 May 2016 Quorum 52.4 47.6 4.8
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.0 52.0 4.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè 50.5 49.5 1.0
16 Apr 2016 SWG 57.0 43.0 14.0
16 Apr 2016 Ipsos 52.0 48.0 4.0
4–8 Apr 2016 Index Research 53.0 47.0 6.0
17 Mar 2016 Tecné 52.0 48.0 4.0
10–11 Mar 2016 Index Research 52.0 48.0 4.0

Parties

Date Polling firm FI PD LN SI M5S FdI NCD Others Lead
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi 10.3 30.2 10.1 3.8 14.5 N/a N/a 20.6 15.7
16 Apr 2016 SWG 12.0 32.0 11.5 5.5 15.0 2.5 2.5 19.0 17.0
16 Apr 2016 Ipsos 11.8 31.5 16.6 7.2 12.0 N/a N/a 20.9 14.9
1 Apr 2016 TermometroPolitico 14.5 37.0 16.5 3.0 14.0 3.0 2.0 9.5 20.5
15 Feb 2016 TermometroPolitico 17.5 35.5 17.0 3.5 15.0 3.5 2.0 6.0 18.0
15 May 2011 Election results 28.7 28.6 9.6 4.7 3.4 N/a N/a 25.0 0.1

Naples

See also: 2016 Naples municipal election

Candidates

First round

Date Polling firm De Magistris Lettieri Valente Brambilla Others Lead
18–19 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 38.0 23.0 20.0 13.0 5.0 15.0
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 35.0 25.0 18.5 16.5 5.0 10.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 37.0 24.0 21.0 13.0 5.0 13.0
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 42.1 19.7 16.4 17.3 4.5 22.4
4–6 May 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 32.0 27.0 22.0 15.0 4.0 5.0
5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 39.0 23.0 20.0 13.0 5.0 16.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 32.0 27.0 19.5 16.5 5.0 5.0
28 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 38.0 23.0 21.0 14.0 4.0 15.0
27–28 April 2016 Euromedia[permanent dead link] 35.5 25.0 21.0 16.0 3.5 10.5
20–23 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 34.0 28.0 20.0 12.0 6.0 6.0
19 April 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 31.0 28.0 21.0 16.0 4.0 6.0
14–15 March 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 32.0 28.0 19.0 19.0 2.0 4.0

Second round

De Magistris vs. Lettieri

Date Polling firm De Magistris Lettieri Lead
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 55.0 45.0 10.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 55.0 45.0 10.0
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 62.9 37.1 25.8
5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 58.0 42.0 16.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 52.5 47.5 5.0
28 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 63.0 37.0 26.0
20–23 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 59.0 41.0 18.0
19 April 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 52.0 48.0 4.0

De Magistris vs. Valente

Date Polling firm De Magistris Valente Lead
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 63.5 36.5 27.0
5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 60.0 40.0 20.0
28 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 58.0 42.0 16.0
20–23 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 56.0 44.0 12.0

De Magistris vs. Brambilla

Date Polling firm De Magistris Brambilla Lead
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 64.9 35.1 29.8
5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 63.0 37.0 26.0
28 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 60.0 40.0 20.0
20–23 April 2016 ScenariPolitici 58.0 42.0 16.0

Rome

See also: 2016 Rome municipal election

Candidates

First round

Date Polling firm Giachetti Bertolaso Raggi Meloni Marchini Fassina Storace Others Lead
19 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 24.0 N/a 29.9 19.0 17.4 5.1 N/a 4.6 5.9
18–19 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 24.0 N/a 29.0 21.0 19.0 4.0 N/a 4.0 5.0
17–19 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 25.0 N/a 27.0 19.0 18.5 7.5 N/a 3.0 2.0
17–18 May 2016 IZI SpA[permanent dead link] 24.3 N/a 26.3 24.1 15.5 6.2 N/a 3.6 2.0
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 24.5 N/a 30.5 23.1 11.4 8.1 N/a 2.4 6.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 24.0 N/a 26.0 21.0 20.0 3.0 N/a 6.0 2.0
12–13 May 2016 Quorum[permanent dead link] 24.7 N/a 30.5 21.1 18.4 4.3 N/a 1.0 5.8
7–12 May 2016 TermometroPolitico[permanent dead link] 30.5 N/a 29.5 14.0 18.5 N/a N/a 7.5 1.0
11 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 27.1 N/a 30.2 19.8 19.0 N/a N/a 3.9 3.1
9 May 2016 Deligo[permanent dead link] 25.3 N/a 31.2 24.1 16.9 N/a N/a 2.5 5.9
6 May 2016 TermometroPolitico 29.5 N/a 28.5 14.5 16.5 6.0 N/a 5.0 1.0
4–6 May 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 22.0 N/a 28.0 20.0 19.0 7.5 N/a 3.5 6.0
3–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 23.5 N/a 26.5 19.5 19.5 6.5 N/a 4.5 3.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 20.5 N/a 28.5 20.0 19.5 7.0 N/a 4.5 8.5
2 May 2016 Index Research 24.5 N/a 26.7 19.5 19.5 7.0 N/a 2.8 2.2
28 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 21.5 N/a 27.6 20.0 20.9 5.6 1.6 2.8 6.1
20–22 Apr 2016 IZI SpA[permanent dead link] 22.4 7.4 28.2 24.0 9.0 6.6 2.4 0.0 4.2
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 20.0 N/a 27.0 21.0 21.0 6.0 2.0 3.0 6.0
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 21.0 11.0 26.0 20.0 10.0 7.0 3.0 2.0 5.0
4–8 Apr 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 24.5 8.1 27.4 17.6 10.4 6.8 3.2 2.0 1.9
22–24 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 26.6 10.5 25.0 17.7 8.9 6.4 4.0 0.9 1.6
14–15 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici[permanent dead link] 24.0 15.0 25.0 14.0 10.0 8.0 2.0 2.0 1.0
14–15 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici[permanent dead link] 24.0 25.0 25.0 N/a 11.0 8.0 5.0 2.0 0.0
10–11 Mar 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 30.0 15.0 33.0 N/a 10.0 5.0 7.0 0.0 3.0

Second round

Giachetti vs. Raggi

Date Polling firm Giachetti Raggi Lead
19 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 42.8 57.2 14.4
17–19 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 40.0 60.0 20.0
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 45.8 54.2 8.4
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 43.0 57.0 14.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 42.0 58.0 16.0
12–13 May 2016 Quorum[permanent dead link] 42.2 57.8 15.6
11 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 40.6 59.4 18.8
3–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 40.0 60.0 20.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 40.0 60.0 20.0
2 May 2016 Index Research 45.0 55.0 10.0
28 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 39.9 60.1 20.2
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 39.0 61.0 22.0
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 41.0 59.0 18.0
17–18 Apr 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 44.0 56.0 12.0

Meloni vs. Raggi

Date Polling firm Meloni Raggi Lead
19 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 45.2 54.8 9.6
17–19 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 50.5 49.5 1.0
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi 43.3 56.7 13.4
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 46.5 53.5 7.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 48.0 52.0 4.0
12–13 May 2016 Quorum[permanent dead link] 42.2 57.8 15.6
11 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 45.6 54.4 8.8
3–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 51.0 49.0 2.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 47.0 53.0 6.0
2 May 2016 Index Research 49.0 51.0 2.0
28 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 47.1 52.9 5.8
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 51.5 48.5 3.0
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 48.0 52.0 4.0

Marchini vs. Raggi

Date Polling firm Marchini Raggi Lead
19 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 45.9 54.1 8.2
17–19 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 48.0 52.0 4.0
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 48.0 52.0 4.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 51.0 49.0 2.0
12–13 May 2016 Quorum[permanent dead link] 34.5 65.5 31.0
11 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 46.6 53.4 6.8
3–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 51.0 49.0 2.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 48.5 51.5 3.0
2 May 2016 Index Research 51.0 49.0 2.0
28 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 49.6 50.4 0.8
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 50.0 50.0 0.0

Parties

Date Polling firm PD FI M5S LM SI FdI LS LcS AP Others Lead
9–18 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 22.3 7.4 32.2 5.4 3.7 8.5 N/a 3.2 N/a 4.3 9.9
7–12 May 2016 TermometroPolitico[permanent dead link] 24.5 6.5 28.5 10.5 N/a 11.0 2.0 1.5 N/a 15.5 4.0
6 May 2016 TermometroPolitico 27.0 6.5 28.0 9.0 6.0 11.0 2.0 2.5 0.5 7.5 1.0
1–3 Mar 2016 ScenariPolitici 28.9 7.9 24.3 6.5 4.7 10.7 5.6 4.9 1.9 4.6 4.6
9–11 Feb 2016 ScenariPolitici[permanent dead link] 28.6 7.7 27.6 7.2 4.4 12.3 3.1 4.1 1.0 2.5 1.0
18–24 Jan 2016 TermometroPolitico[permanent dead link] 26.3 6.9 29.1 8.2 3.9 8.5 N/a 5.2 1.2 10.7 2.8
6 May 2013 Election results 26.3 19.2 12.8 7.5 6.3 5.9 1.3 N/a N/a 20.7 7.1

Turin

See also: 2016 Turin municipal election

Candidates

First round

Date Polling firm Fassino Appendino Morano Napoli Airaudo Rosso Others Lead
18–19 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 41.0 29.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 3.0 3.0 12.0
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 38.5 30.0 9.0 8.0 7.5 1.5 5.0 8.5
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 40.0 29.0 9.0 8.0 6.0 2.0 6.0 11.0
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 42.5 23.1 7.3 9.9 7.3 7.5 2.4 19.4
4–6 May 2016 Index Research[permanent dead link] 39.5 30.0 9.0 8.0 9.0 2.0 2.5 9.5
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 45.0 25.5 11.5 5.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 19.5
2 May 2016 Tencè[permanent dead link] 39.0 31.5 9.5 8.5 7.5 2.0 2.0 7.5
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 47.0 23.0 12.0 5.0 8.0 4.0 1.0 24.0
19 Apr 2016 Tencè[permanent dead link] 41.0 30.0 11.0 9.0 7.0 1.0 1.0 11.0

Second round

Fassino vs. Appendino

Date Polling firm Fassino Appendino Lead
17 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 52.0 48.0 4.0
16–17 May 2016 IPR[permanent dead link] 51.5 48.5 3.0
9–17 May 2016 Demos&Pi[permanent dead link] 56.8 43.2 13.6
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 52.5 47.5 5.0
2 May 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 51.5 48.5 3.0
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 54.0 46.0 8.0
19 Apr 2016 Tecnè[permanent dead link] 52.0 48.0 4.0

Fassino vs. Morano

Date Polling firm Fassino Morano Lead
2–5 May 2016 ScenariPolitici 61.0 39.0 22.0
20–23 Apr 2016 ScenariPolitici 62.0 38.0 24.0
allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2016_Italian_local_elections