2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election

2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Lithuania
← 2024
8 October 2028 (expected)

All 141 seats in the Seimas
71 seats needed for a majority
Party Leader Current seats
LSDP Mindaugas Sinkevičius 52
TS–LKD Laurynas Kasčiūnas 28
PPNA Remigijus Žemaitaitis 18
DSVL Saulius Skvernelis 15
LS Viktorija Čmilytė-Nielsen 12
LVŽS Aurelijus Veryga 8
LLRA–KŠS Waldemar Tomaszewski 3
NS Vytautas Sinica 1
CDS Artūras Zuokas 1
Independents N/a 3
Incumbent Prime Minister
Inga Ruginienė
LSDP

The next parliamentary elections in Lithuania are expected to be held on 8 October 2028, with a second round two weeks thereafter.[1]

Electoral system

The Seimas has 141 members, elected to a four-year term in parallel voting, with 71 members elected in single-seat constituencies using the two-round system and 70 members elected by proportional representation.[2] The voting in the elections is open to all citizens of Lithuania who are at least 18 years old.

Parliament members in the 71 single-seat constituencies are elected in a majority vote, with a run-off held within 15 days, if necessary. The remaining 70 seats are allocated to the participating political parties using the largest remainder method. Parties normally need to receive at least 5% (7% for multi-party electoral lists) of the votes to be eligible for a seat. Candidates take the seats allocated to their parties based on the preference lists submitted before the election and adjusted by preference votes given by the voters.[2]

Opinion polls

LOESS curve of the polling for the 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election.

Parliamentary election poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and its background is shaded in the leading party's colour. The "Lead" column shows the percentage point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. Undecided voters have been excluded and the polls reweighted accordingly.

Polling firm Fieldwork dates Sample
size
LSDP TS–LKD PPNA DSVL LS LVŽS LP LLRA−
KŠS
NS DP LRP LŽP TTS CDS Others Lead
Spinter tyrimai 19–29 January 2026 1,017 11.2 20.4 11.5 10.9 11.2 11.6 6.6 N/a 3.2 3.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.8 8.8
Baltijos tyrimai 8–24 January 2026 1,063 17.7 16.4 13.5 14.0 9.4 14.6 2.8 3.1 N/a 3.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4.7 1.3
Baltijos tyrimai 11–29 December 2025 1,015 17.8 14.9 14.2 17.7 7.8 13.5 2.7 4.3 N/a 2.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4.4 0.1
Vilmorus 12–30 December 2025 1,000 19.1 21.6 16.8 13.7 11.1 12.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.6 2.5
Spinter tyrimai 13–22 December 2025 1,000 13.8 24.6 9.2 9.5 10.9 9.2 7.4 N/a 3.7 1.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a 10.1 10.8
Spinter tyrimai 17–28 November 2025 1,015 14.3 21.7 8.6 13.0 9.0 11.1 6.3 N/a 4.0 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.9 7.4
Baltijos tyrimai 11–29 November 2025 1,019 16.9 16.7 12.1 15.8 7.7 13.6 3.4 4.4 N/a 4.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.0 0.2
Vilmorus 6–16 November 2025 1,000 20.1 22.9 16.7 15.6 8.9 12.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.5 2.8
Baltijos tyrimai 16–28 October 2025 1,019 16.2 15.2 11.6 14.4 9.6 14.4 3.2 4.2 N/a 4.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 6.9 1.0
Spinter tyrimai 17–27 October 2025 1,015 19.1 22.0 8.5 13.5 8.5 9.7 6.0 N/a 3.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 9.1 2.9
Baltijos tyrimai 24 September−9 October 2025 1,004 20.0 18.6 12.3 14.4 7.6 12.7 2.8 3.6 N/a 3.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a 4.6 1.4
Spinter tyrimai 17–27 September 2025 1,017 15.7 21.7 12.7 10.6 9.7 10.3 5.3 2.9 3.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 7.6 6.0
25 Sep 2025 The Ruginienė Cabinet is sworn in
Vilmorus 4–13 September 2025 1,000 24.3 20.7 17.6 13.7 8.7 11.6 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.4 3.6
Baltijos tyrimai 21 August−2 September 2025 1,006 21.9 15.3 11.7 12.2 9.5 12.8 4.5 4.0 1.0 3.7 2.9 N/a N/a N/a 0.5 6.6
6 Aug 2025 Inga Ruginienė nominated for Prime Minister
31 Jul 2025 Gintautas Paluckas resigns as Prime Minister and leader of LSDP
Spinter tyrimai 18–25 July 2025 1,009 15.5 19.7 5.2 14.1 10.5 9.3 6.2 3.8 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15.7 4.2
Spinter tyrimai 19–29 June 2025 1,019 17.0 17.7 7.3 10.8 13.8 7.9 5.6 4.7 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 15.2 0.7
Vilmorus 11–22 June 2025 1,000 23.8 17.0 15.1 17.1 11.7 12.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.2 6.7
Spinter tyrimai 26 April − 18 May 2025 1,015 19.6 18.1 8.0 10.8 9.1 7.8 2.8 3.0 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 20.8 1.5
Vilmorus 2−12 May 2025 1,000 25.3 16.4 12.9 20.0 11.0 10.5 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 3.9 5.3
Spinter tyrimai 18−29 April 2025 1,019 20.7 18.1 9.3 13.3 8.9 10.0 3.9 2.9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.9 2.6
Vilmorus 17−28 April 2025 1,000 24.7 17.7 18.7 16.1 8.1 10.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 4.6 6.0
Baltijos tyrimai 5−19 April 2025 1,015 20.0 13.8 13.8 16.6 6.9 12.1 2.6 4.4 1.4 4.5 3.2 N/a N/a N/a 0.7 3.4
8 Feb 2025 Gintautas Paluckas elected leader of LSDP
Spinter tyrimai 18−28 March 2025 1,012 18.7 18.4 10.4 11.3 9.8 10.3 5.3 N/a 3.2 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 12.6 0.3
Baltijos tyrimai 8−24 March 2025 1,020 22.0 15.3 13.2 15.0 7.3 8.3 2.2 3.0 N/a 4.8 2.1 N/a N/a 2.7 4.1 6.7
1 Mar 2025 Aurelijus Veryga elected leader of LVŽS
Norstat LT[a] 10–28 February 2025 1,500 15.6 27.1 12.7 10.6 11.2 5.9 5.9 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.0 11.5
Vilmorus 14–23 February 2025 1,000 22.1 14.4 21.7 16.2 9.0 11.4 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 5.2 0.4
8 Feb 2025 Laurynas Kasčiūnas elected leader of TS-LKD
Baltijos tyrimai 25 January–8 February 2025 1,019 22.6 11.7 17.4 17.9 5.4 10.6 2.1 2.0 1.4 4.4 2.1 1.8 N/a 2.0 2.9 4.7
Spinter tyrimai 18–29 January 2025 1,009 16.3 15.9 13.0 12.3 11.8 9.1 4.2 N/a 3.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 14.1 0.4
Spinter tyrimai 13–20 December 2024 1,016 18.4 17.3 17.9 11.1 11.5 9.2 3.3 N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a N/a 11.3 0.5
12 Dec 2024 The Paluckas Cabinet is sworn in
Baltijos tyrimai 12 November–1 December 2024 1,018 22.9 13.7 17.1 14.8 4.8 8.5 2.1 3.5 1.0 3.3 3.4 1.2 0.3 2.9 0.5 5.8
Vilmorus 7–16 November 2024[b] 1,000 24.3 11.8 20.7 10.8 13.5 9.6 N/a 2.2 3.1 N/a N/a N/a N/a 1.9 2.1 3.6
Baltijos tyrimai 30 October–12 November 2024 1,019 18.8 13.4 20.3 14.1 6.9 10.2 3.0 2.7 1.1 3.4 2.4 1.5 0.3 1.9 0.1 1.5
30 Oct 2024 Vilija Blinkevičiūtė refuses to become Prime Minister
Gintautas Paluckas nominated for Prime Minister
2024 election 13 October 2024 1,220,570 19.70 18.35 15.26 9.4 7.85 7.16 4.62 3.96 2.93 2.24[c] 1.93 1.72 1.41 0.77 2.7 1.35

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Commissioned by TS-LKD
  2. ^ The survey included only parties with parliamentary representation.
  3. ^ Results of Coalition of Peace

References

  1. ^ "Rinkimų kodekso patvirtinimo, įsigaliojimo ir įgyvendinimo konstitucinio įstatymo projektas + Rinkimų kodeksas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania.
  2. ^ a b "Law on Elections to the Seimas". Seimas of the Republic of Lithuania. 14 May 2015. Retrieved 31 July 2015.