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General elections were held in Ecuador on 9 February 2025.[1] Incumbent president, right-winger Daniel Noboa is seeking re-election after his 2023 victory.[2][3] He will face leftist candidate Luisa González in the runoff, as no candidate secured a majority in the first round.[4][5] The elections also include the selection of members for the National Assembly, Assemblies of the 21 Provinces of Ecuador and representatives for the Andean Parliament which will serve a full four-year term. The National Electoral Council (CNE) released the provisional scrutiny on 18 February, with all votes counted. Final results will be announced by 22 March, after the deadline for candidate appeals. The presidential runoff will be held on 13 April 2025.

Background

This election follows an early election held in 2023 after then-president Guillermo Lasso invoked the muerte cruzada. That constitutional mechanism dissolved the National Assembly and triggered a snap election.[6] In that election, Daniel Noboa was elected to complete Lasso’s unfinished term, which runs until May 2025.[7]

As Noboa’s mandate was only for the remainder of Lasso’s term, Ecuador is now returning to its regular electoral schedule. The 2025 election will determine the president and vice president for a full four-year term and members of the National Assembly.[8]

In May 2024, Noboa formally registered his candidacy for re-election with the National Electoral Council (CNE).[2]

Political and security context

In 2024, Ecuador faced a major security crisis when José Adolfo Macías Villamar, leader of the criminal group Los Choneros, escaped from prison in Guayaquil on the day he was scheduled to be transferred to a maximum-security facility. Authorities reported the escape the following day and filed charges against two prison officers.[9][10] In response, President Noboa declared a 60-day state of emergency.[11] Riots erupted in multiple prisons after Noboa authorized military intervention in penitentiaries.[12] Two days later, coordinated armed attacks took place across the country, including armed groups storming a television station during a live broadcast.[13][14]

Electoral system

The president is elected using a modified two-round system: a candidate who receives over 50% of the vote, or over 40% of the vote with a 10-point advantage over their nearest rival, is elected in the first round.[15] The president is limited to two consecutive four-year terms.[15][16] However, Noboa is currently serving the remaining term of Guillermo Lasso, whose invoking of muerte cruzada resulted in the calling of the 2023 snap general election and the early conclusion of his presidency.[17]

Members of the National Assembly are elected by three methods.[16] Fifteen are elected by closed-list proportional representation in a nationwide constituency.[18] Six are elected by overseas voters (two each from Canada/the United States, Latin America/the Caribbean/Africa, and Europe/Oceania/Asia).[18] The remaining 130 members are elected from multi-member constituencies by closed-list proportional representation, with all seats allocated using the Webster method.[18][19] Members of the National Assembly are limited to two four-year terms, whether consecutive or not.[19] There are gender quotas for the party lists, meaning there is alternation between men and women. There are no quotas for minority representation.[16] The absolute majority, required for the election of the Assembly Directorate and approbation of Laws consists of 76 (half plus one) seats. However, decisions may be made by a simple majority, provided that a minimum quorum is met.The qualified majority necessary for Constitutional changes is defined as 101 seats (two thirds plus one).[20]

Presidential candidates

Advanced to run-off

Name Born Experience Home province Campaign Ref

Luisa González 		22 November 1977
(age 47)
Quito, Pichincha 		Member of the National Assembly
(2021–2023)
Secretary of Public Administration
(2017)
2023 presidential candidate
Manabí 		Nominee of the:
Citizen Revolution
Announced:
29 February 2024
Nominated:
10 August 2024 		[21][22]

Daniel Noboa 		30 November 1987
(age 37)
Miami, Florida, U.S. 		48th President of Ecuador
(2023–present)
Member of the National Assembly
(2021–2023)
Santa Elena 		Nominee of the:
ADN[a]
Announced:
23 May 2024 		[21][23][2]

Eliminated in first round

The following candidates have officially submitted their candidacy through the CNE and were eliminated in the first round of voting:[24][25]

Name Born Experience Home province Campaign Ref

Jimmy Jairala 		26 September 1957
(age 67)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		Leader of the Democratic Center
(2012–present)
Prefect of Guayas Province
(2009–2018)
Member of the National Congress
(2007)
Guayas 		Nominated by:
MCD nomination
Announced:
31 July 2024 		[26][27]

Jorge Escala 		8 January 1970
(age 55)
Ventanas, Los Ríos 		Member of the National Assembly
(2009–2013)
Los Ríos 		Nominated by:
Popular Unity
Announced:
18 May 2024 		[28]

Andrea González Náder 		1 April 1987
(age 37)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		Environmental activist
2023 vice presidential candidate
Guayas 		Nominated by:
PSP
Announced:
10 June 2024 		[29]

Henry Kronfle 		1972
(age 53)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		President of the National Assembly
(2023–present)
Member of the National Assembly
(2017–present)
Pichincha 		Nominated by:
PSC nomination
Announced:
7 August 2024 		[27]

Carlos Rabascall 		3 September 1960
(age 64)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		Businessman
2021 vice presidential candidate
Guayas 		Nominated by:
ID nomination
Announced:
24 July 2024 		[30]

Leonidas Iza 		18 June 1982
(age 42)
Latacunga, Cotopaxi 		President of CONAIE
(2021–present)
Cotopaxi 		Nominated by:
Pachakutik nomination
Announced:
29 February 2024 		[21]

Iván Saquicela 		13 March 1975
(age 49)
Cuenca, Azuay 		President of the National Justice Court
(2021–2024)
Azuay 		Nominated by:
Democracy Yes
Announced:
13 August 2024 		[31]

Francesco Tabacchi

8 June 1971[32]
(age 53)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		Governor of Guayas
(2023)
Guayas 		Nominated by:
CREO
Announced:
17 August 2024 		[33][34]

Henry Cucalón 		8 June 1973
(age 51)
Guayaquil, Guayas 		Minister of the Government
(2023)
Member of the National Assembly
(2013–2021)
Guayas 		Nominated by:
MC25 nomination
Announced:
2 July 2024 		[35]
  1. ^ Alliance is composed of National Democratic Action and Mover

Minor candidates

The following pre-candidates have also been selected in the primaries of the national parties and are eligible for inscription but have not been notable enough due to lack of coverage or not being present in a national opinion poll:

Withdrawn

Name Born Experience Home province Campaign Ref

José Serrano 		19 November 1970
(age 54)
Cuenca, Azuay 		President of the National Assembly
(2017–2018)
Member of the National Assembly
(2017–2021)
Minister of the Interior
(2011–2016)
Pichincha 		Running for:
MCD nomination
Announced:
31 July 2024
Withdrew:
27 August 2024 		[26][44]

Paola Pabón 		28 January 1978
(age 47)
Ibarra, Imbabura 		Prefect of Pichincha Province
(2019–present)
Member of the National Assembly
(2009–2015)
Pichincha 		Ran for:
RC nomination
Announced:
6 June 2024
Withdrew:
7 August 2024
(endorsed González) 		[45][27]

Declined

The following notable individuals have been the subject of speculation about their possible candidacy but have publicly denied interest in running or were rejected as pre-candidates and declined to pursue their candidacies.

Opinion polling

Run-off

Date Polling source Sample size Margin
of error (+/-) 		Luisa González
(RC) 		Daniel Noboa
(ADN) 		Null Blank Undecided
14–22 Feb 2025 MR Analítica [61][62][63] 10,005 1.5% 52.56% 47.44% _ _
47.91% 43.24% 8.85%
11–13 Feb 2025 TresPuntoZero [64] [65] 1,000 3.2% 51.2% 47% _ 1.2%
50.6% 46.5% 1.7%

First round

Opinion polls conducted since the 2023 election are listed below. Results for candidates in first place are in bold and have their party color as a background. Results for candidates who would make it to a second round (if the first-placed candidate would not reach either 50% or 40% with a 10-point lead) are also in bold.

Date Polling source Sample size Margin
of error 		Luisa González
(RC) 		Daniel Noboa
(ADN) 		Leonidas Iza
(MUPP) 		Henry Kronfle
(PSC) 		Pedro Granja
(PSE) 		Jimmy Jairala
(MCD) 		Henry Cucalón
(MC25) 		Carlos Rabascall
(ID) 		Victor Araus
(PID) 		Andrea González
(PSP) 		Enrique Gómez
(SUMA) 		Francesco Tabacchi
(CREO) 		Jorge Escala
(UP) 		Luis Tillería
(Avanza [es]) 		Juan Cueva
(AMIGO) 		Iván Saquicela
(DSí [es]) 		Null Blank Undecided
The SECOND ROUND of the election between Luisa González and Daniel Noboa is scheduled for April 13, 2025.
18 Feb 2025 Consejo Nacional Electoral Preliminary Results [66] 11,264,435 Available by 22 March 2025 43.97% 44.17% 5.25% 0.72% 0.53% 0.4% 0.36% 0.22% 0.25% 2.69% 0.18% 0.26% 0.4% 0.32% 0.17% 0.12% 6.8% 2.16 Nill
9 Feb 2025 5 p.m. (ECT) Diego Tello Flores Official Exit Poll "on behalf of Estrategas" [67] 28,220 2.98% 42.21% 50.12% 1.89% 0.70% 0.52% 0.42% 0.18% 0.16% 0.28% 1.98% 0.13% 0.16% 0.66% 0.41% 0.11% 0.06% Nill
30 Jan 2025 Negocios y Estrategias[68] 2,000 2.2% 48.5% 44.9% 6.6% – –
44.9% 41.6% 2.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 2.3% 0.0% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 7.4%
30 Jan 2025 Cedatos 3,650 2.2% 32.2% 48.6%
27.6% 41.4% 1.1% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 0.3% 0.6% 0.8% 6.4% 0.0% 1.0% 0.3% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4% 9.3% 2.4% 2.5%
26 Jan 2025 Informe Confidencial 2,630 3% 29% 37% 2% – 4% – 6% – 12% 5%
34.9% 44.6% 2.4% – 4.8% – 7.2% – –
24 Jan 2025 Ipsos 2,000 2.2% 31.3% 45.3% 2.4% – 1.9% – 5.1% – 6.3% 2.9%
34.6% 50.0% 2.6% – 2.1% – 5.7% – –
24 Jan 2025 Communicaliza 5,217 1.36% 32.0% 38.1% 2.1% 0.2% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 4.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 7.6% 11.5%
39.5% 47.1% 2.5% – 5.3% – –
22 Jan 2025 Communicaliza 2,782 1.86% 32.4% 36.9% 1.8% 0.3% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.6% 0.2% 4.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 7.8% 11.4%
40.1% 45.7% 14.2% –
22 Jan 2025 MR Analitica 2,010 – 42.20% 32.42% 4.88% 1.05% 4.46% 1.57% 0.73% 0.88% 0.07% 4.72% 0.37% 0.14% 3.15% 0.72% 1.15% 0.05% –
39.70% 30.50% 4.10% 0.88% 3.75% 1.32% 0.62% 0.74% 0.06% 3.97% 0.31% 0.12% 2.65% 0.60% 0.97% 0.04% 5.92 –
21 Jan 2025 Negocios y Estrategias 2,000 2.2% 41% 36% 4% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 4% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 9% –
19 Jan 2025 First round debate
18 Jan 2025 Cedatos 3,651 2.2% 29.6% 32.1% 1.7% 0.9% 0.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.4% 0.8% 1.2% 0.2% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 15.9% 3.2% 16.3%
31.9% 49.7% 2.6% 1.4% 1.1% 4.8% 0.9% 0.6% 1.2% 1.9% 0.3% 2.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.5% –
16 Jan 2025 MR Analitica 3,950 2.5% 49.55% 39.52% 2.24% 0.39% 1.14% 1.05% 0.85% 0.17% 0.25% 0.62% 0.07% 0.11% 0.87% 1.05% 1.20% 0.00% –
43.09% 34.37% 1.82% 0.31% 0.92% 0.85% 0.69% 0.14% 0.21% 0.50% 0.06% 0.09% 0.71% 0.85% 0.97% 0.00% 13.04% –
16 Jan 2025 Politiks Studio 1,200 3.1% 44% 38% 0% 2% 2% – 1% 0% 1% 0% 1% 0% – 6% –
14 Jan 2025 Trespuntozero 1,050 3.0% 48.0% 40.4% 1.4% 0.1% 1.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.7% 0.00% – 1.5%
12 Jan 2025 Informe Confidencial 13,000 3.0% 32% 37% 3% 2% – 3% – 13% 7% –
11 Jan 2025 Comunicaliza 5,251 1.4% 33.0% 36.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 9.9% 13.9%
43.3% 47.3% 9.4% –
8 Jan 2025 Negocios y Estrategias 1,300 2.7% 40% 34% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 12% –
29 Dec 2024 Comunicaliza 4,485 1.5% 29.3% 32.9% 2.5% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 1.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.8% 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 8.9% 17.8%
22 Dec 2024 MR Analitica 9,000 2.0% 41.14% 32.32% 4.60% 3.53% 1.96% 3.72% 1.86% 0.98% 0.39% 1.47% 0.20% 0.29% 0.78% 2.55% 4.11% 0.10% –
35.56% 27.24% 3.98% 3.05% 1.69% 3.22% 1.61% 0.85% 0.34% 1.27% 0.17% 0.25% 0.68% 2.20% 3.56% 0.08% 13.55%
20 Dec 2024 Cedatos 3,444 2.4% 32.5% 48.0% 2.3% 1.6% 0.3% 4.8% 0.3% 0.5% 1.5% 2.1% 0.6% 4.2% 0.6% – 0.3% 0.3% –
20.1% 29.7% 1.4% 1.0% 0.2% 3.0% 0.2% 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 0.4% 2.6% 0.4% – 0.2% 0.2% 19.7% 3.7% 14.6%
15 Dec 2024 Comunicaliza 4,486 1.5% 29.9% 32.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.8% 0.4% 0.3% 0.5% 0.2% 10.4% 16.3%
14 Dec 2024 Bitar Consultores 10,269 0.03% 40.28% 38.05% 3.21% 10.38% 0.76% 1.81% 0.59% 0.51% 0.86% 0.64% 0.57% 0.87% 0.38% 0.33% 0.62% 0.12% –
7 Dec 2024 Áltica 1,000 3.1% 45.5% 39.1% 4.2% 0.4% 1.5% 2.2% 1.1% – 0.5% – 4.5% 0.6% 0.4% – –
3 Dec 2024 Tino Electoral 4,000 – 32% 36% 7% – 4% – 13% 8% –
25 Nov 2024 MR Analitica 4,667 2% 43.17% 29.2% 4.70% 1.42% 2.25% 3.53% 2.21% 0.56% 0.60% 1.11% 0.31% 0.32% 0.75% 2.61% 4.05% 0.02% –
37.74% 25.37% 4.11% 1.24% 1.97% 3.08% 1.93% 0.49% 0.53% 0.97% 0.27% 0.28% 0.65% 2.29% 3.64% 0.02% 12.58% –
24 Nov 2024 Informe Confidencial 2,930 3% 32% 34% 2% 1% – 4% – 2% – 15% 6% –
20 Nov 2024 Negocios y Estrategias 1,250 2.8% 45% 36% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% –
39% 31% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 0% 0% 0% 0% 14% –
12 Nov 2024 Comunicaliza 4,196 1.51% 28.8% 28.9% 2.3% 0.6% 0.6% 1.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% – 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 12.6% 20.3%

Pre-candidates

Date Polling source Sample size Margin
of error 		Daniel Noboa
(ADN) 		Luisa González
(RC) 		Gustavo Jalkh
(RC) 		Pedro Granja
(PSE) 		Leonidas Iza
(MUPP) 		Jan Topić
(SUMA) 		Pedro Freile
(SUMA) 		Henry Kronfle
(PSC) 		Carlos Rabascall
(ID) 		Andrea González
(PSP) 		Victor Araus
(PID) 		Jorge Escala
(UP) 		Henry Cucalón
(MC25) 		José Serrano
(MCD) 		Luis Tillería
(Avanza [es]) 		Bolívar Armijos
(AMIGO) 		Cristina Reyes
(Ind.) 		Diana Salazar
(Ind.) 		Others Null Blank Undecided
27 Sep 2024 CID Gallup[69] 1,200 2.8% 31% 26% – – – 15% – 1% – – – – 2% – – – – – 4% 21%
22 Sep 2024 Informe Confidential[70] – – 29% 25% – – 3% 7% – 2% 1% – – – – – – – – – 6% 17% 10%
31 Aug 2024 Maluk Research[71] 4,516 2.5% 31.3% 39.8% – 2.1% 3.2% 6.5% – 1.1% – 1.2% – 1.6% 1.3% 3.2% 3.4% – – – – – – –
24 Aug 2024 Cedatos[72] 3,238 3.1% 48.6% 27.6% – 1.3% 5.3% 7.7% – 1.6% 1,5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.2% 1.1% 0.3% 1.1% – – – 2,0% – – –
20 Aug 2024 Estrategas Infinity[73] 2,879 2.15% 32.48% 26.08% – 0.69% 3.68% 7.61% – 0.59% 0,76% 1.22% 1.22% 0.87% 0.17% 1.18% 0.52% – – – 0.55% 10.00% 1.95% 10.43%
19 Aug 2024 Negocios y Estrategias[74] – – 37% 41% – 1% 2% 8% – 0% 1% – – – 1% 1% – – – – – 9.9% –
18 Aug 2024 Communicaliza[75] 4,971 1.39% 32.4% 25.4% – 1.2% 2.6% 6.3% – 1.4% 0,8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.5% 2.2% 0.4% – – – 0,9% 9.9% 14.3%
5 Aug 2024 Maluk Research[76] 4,052 2.5% 25.27% 39.67% – 3.86% 4.45% – 2.57% – 1,83% 2.50% – 2.81% 2.95% – 6.48% – – 3.16% 4.44% – – –
22.83% – 26.93% 5.75% 5.83% – 3.70% – 4,41% 3.07% – 2.20% 4.72% – 12.60% – – 3.07% 4.88% 7.03% – –
4 Aug 2024 Communicaliza[77] 4,336 1.49% 33.2% 22.4% – 0.9% 3.7% – 0.5% 1.2% 1,1% 1.7% 1.8% 1.1% 0.8% 2.7% – – – – – 12.6% 16.2%
27 Jul 2024 Communicaliza[78] 4,816 1.41% 31.9% – 15.4% 1.2% 4.2% – 0.4% 1.3% 0,8% 1.7% 1.9% 0.6% 0.8% – – – – – 0.4% 12.5% 26.7%
17 Jul 2024 Maluk Research[79] 4,793 2.5% 34.61% 40.11% – 3.90% 4.07% – – 0.48% – 3.10% – 4.65% 1.74% – – – – 1.94% 5.39% – – –
8 Jul 2024 Perfiles de Opinión[80] 621 4.01% 34.08% – 14.66% 1.85% 6.01% – – – – 1.83% – – 1.08% – – – – 1.62% 1.60% 24.61% 12.68% –
4 Jul 2024 Cedatos[81] 3,882 2.4% 35.2% 11.7% – – 3.4% – – 4.0% – 5.9% – – 7.0% – – – – – 2.0% 14.9% 3.6% 12.3%
36.6% – 3.80% – 3.5% – – 4.3% – 5.4% – – 7.6% – – – – – 11.4% 15.1% 4.4% 7.8%
29 Jun 2024 Communicaliza[82] 4,333 1.49% 31.4% 21.7% – 0.9% 3.4% – – 1.5% 0,4% 1.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.3% – – 0.3% – – 0.2% 11.2% 25.3%
32.6% – 17.9% 1.3% 3.4% – – 1.7% 0,9% 0.8% 0.9% 0.4% – 0.6% – 0.4% – – 0.4% 11.9% 26.8%
28 Jun 2024 Maluk Research[83] 4,412 2.5% 32.49% 39.63% – 5.21% 4.89% – – 1.16% – 3.69% – 1.04% – 1.72% – – – 2.73% 7.42% – – –
13 Jun 2024 Maluk Research[84] 4,012 2.5% 32.37% 43.22% – 4.98% 4.85% – – 1.02% – 3.01% – 1.18% 0.92% – – 1.33% – 1.10% 6.03% – – –
30 May 2024 Communicaliza[85] – – 39.8% 21.1% – 1.0% 2.3% – – 2.4% 1.1% – – – – – – 0.5% 0.8% – 0.8% 9.8% 20.5%
14 May 2024 Maluk Research[86] 4,012 2.5% 29.91% 47.75% – 4.60% 1.89% 2.30% – – 2.79% 0.95% – – – – – 0.00% 8.90% 0.37% 0.54% – – –
15 Apr 2024 Maluk Research[87] 3,635 2.5% 30.31% 39.12% – 5.13% 4.20% 3.71% – – 3.69% 1.68% – – – – – 0.26% 8.93% 1.02% 1.96% – – –

Conduct

A three-day ban on alcohol was imposed beginning on 7 February,[88] with 20 people subsequently being arrested for violating it. On election day, the government deployed soldiers to secure polling booths while the country's land borders were closed.[89] In Guayaquil, one person died inside a voting centre after suffering a heart attack before he could vote.[90] Daniel Noboa's behavior during the official campaign period has been widely regarded as reckless conduct, raising serious questions about the legitimacy of his candidacy, which some even claim may be unconstitutional.[91] [92] He faces accusations of misusing public funds, engaging in Lawfare against his detractors and exploiting various government institutions for populist purposes to bolster his campaign.[93][94]

There has been significant criticism regarding his overwhelming and aggressive social media advertising, which allegedly utilized bots and fake accounts funded by public resources.[95][96][97] One of the most notable and unprecedented violations of Constitutional principles was Noboa's refusal to relinquish his office during the official electoral period, which was intended for his vice president, Verónica Abad Rojas. In practice, he removed Abad from her position and enacted an unconstitutional decree that temporarily appointed his private secretary, Cynthia Gellibert [es], as vice president.[98]

Noboa went as far as to send peculiar memorandums to Congress stating, "Today, I will be President of Ecuador until 5 p.m. and will resume office at 11:59 p.m." while he attended political rallies.[99][100] On other occasions, he had his secretary inform Congress that she was temporarily assuming the presidency.[101]

Another significant concern is the inaction or apparent acquiescence of the CNE, the Constitutional Tribunal (Corte Constitutional del Ecuador [es]) and the Electoral Disputes Court (TCE) regarding blatant violations of the electoral law.[102][103] During the presidential dispute, Noboa continued his tactics without judicial obstruction.[104] However, on 19 February, the TCE fined Abad $9,400 for 'precocious political proselytism' as a mayoral candidate in Cuenca in 2023.[105] Many legal experts suggest that if a genuine formal judgment is rendered about these campaign irregularities, Luisa Gonzalez could potentially be declared the winner in the first round, having secured over 40% of the total vote, with more than 10% separating her from the next highest candidate, Leonidas Iza from the Pachakutik party.[106][107]

Results

Preliminary results in the first round showed no candidate in the presidential election had won an outright majority.[108] Daniel Noboa received 44.17% of the vote, followed by Luisa González at 43.97%. Turnout was estimated at around 82%.[109][110]

After the results, ADN cancelled a planned party celebration in a hotel in northern Quito, and Noboa did not make public declarations.[111] The next day, he posted a written statement on Twitter thanking his voters.[112] González, in a party meeting in Quito, said she would have dialogues with the other candidates.[113] In the context of historically unprecedented polarization in the National Assembly between left- and right-wing political factions, the nine elected Pachakutik deputies play a crucial role. The Citizen's Movement can only achieve an absolute majority of 76 seats by forming a formal alliance with the Pachakutik Party. On the other hand, Noboa can secure a majority if he obtains support from at least one dissident deputy from the radical opposition.[114][115] On 12 February, Leonidas Iza categorically rejected any negotiations with Noboa's party, the ADN. He announced that several meetings would take place within CONAIE (Confederation of Indigenous Nationalities of Ecuador) and its political arm, the Pachakutik Party, to determine their stance on a potential alliance with the Citizens’ Revolution for the second presidential round and beyond.[116][117] On 13 February, Diego Borja, the vice-presidential candidate for Citizens Revolution, expressed a desire to initiate a joint program with Pachakutik. The primary objective is to establish a National Constituent Assembly that includes the proposal to redefine Ecuador as a Plurinational State, akin to Bolivia.[118] At 5 p.m. on election day, Diego Tello Flores, a senior high-ranking official and a candidate for the position of judge, announced the results of a post-electoral voter poll. He claimed to be the only one of the four pollsters authorized by his former employer, the CNE, to conduct this poll. According to his findings, Daniel Noboa was leading Luisa González by nearly 8 points, securing 50.12% of the votes and winning the election in the first round. This announcement led to significant controversy, with officials from the Citizen Revolution Movement accusing him of fraud, as such polls typically have a minimal margin of error.[119][120]

Tello reiterated in a live interview on Teleamazon that he had been compensated by the firm Estrategas and acted independently from the government. However, Estrategas quickly released a statement denying the company had paid him and that it had any participation in that particular poll.[121][122]

In the aftermath of the Tello Flores poll, Rafael Correa and Andrés Arauz expressed concerns about a potential coup attempt by Noboa who appeared to be receiving behind-the-scenes support from like-minded figures within the CNE, TCE, and CC, as well as from the police, military, and media.[123][124][125]

On 11 February, in his first interview after the elections, Noboa claimed he had evidence of fraud, which he alleged was confirmed by an Organization of American States report. However, officials from the OAS dismissed this claim, clarifying that no abnormalities had been detected at that time.[126][127]

Noboa also alleged that armed groups associated with drug trafficking were intentionally released from prisons to intimidate voters into supporting the Citizens' Revolution. This claim was dismissed by National Assembly President Viviana Veloz, as well as by Luisa Gonzalez and Rafael Correa.[128] On 14 February, Correa shared a video on his X account regarding the October 2023 seizure of 610 kilograms of cocaine in Turkey, which had been concealed inside 'Bonita Banana' fruit boxes from an export business owned by Noboa's family.[129][130] He also emphasized that January 2025 set a new record for criminal activity, surpassing all previous highs. On 17 February, Andrés Arauz filed a formal demand with the Electoral Disputes Tribunal (TCE; Tribunal Contencioso Electoral [es]) to contest the results of 700 polling station minutes from Esmeraldas Province, as well as hundreds from Sucumbíos Province, saying that it would be sufficient to secure the election of two National Deputies, increasing the number of NA seats for the Citizens Revolution party from 67 to a total of 69.[131] The CNE must resolve all appeals and announce the final results of the 9 February elections by 22 March 2025.[132] On 19 February, Leonidas Iza announced the convocation of an Expanded Grand Council for 7 March 2025, where indigenous peoples will make the final decision on currently debated proposals for a programmatic political alliance with the Citizens' Revolution Movement.[133]

On 24 February 2025, the Plenary of the CNE approved the numerical results of the 2025 general elections. After approval, three days have been given for political organizations to file appeals with the CNE or the TCE if they consider it necessary.[134][135][136]

President

CandidateRunning matePartyVotes%
Daniel NoboaMaría José PintoNational Democratic Action4,527,42844.17
Luisa GonzálezDiego BorjaCitizen Revolution Movement–RETO4,507,67243.97
Leonidas IzaKatiuska MolinaPachakutik538,4445.25
Andrea GonzálezGalo MoncayoPatriotic Society Party275,7042.69
Henry KronfleDallyana PassailaigueSocial Christian Party73,7220.72
Pedro Granja [es]Verónica SilvaSocialist Party – Broad Front of Ecuador53,9450.53
Jorge EscalaPacha TeránPopular Unity40,4950.40
Jimmy JairalaLucía VallecillaDemocratic Center40,5620.40
Henry CucalónCarla LarreaMovimiento Construye37,3070.36
Luis Felipe TilleríaKarla RoseroAvanza [es]33,2400.32
Francesco TabacchiBlanca SacancelaCreating Opportunities26,7660.26
Víctor ArausCristina CarreraPeople, Equality and Democracy25,2450.25
Carlos RabascallAlejandra RivasDemocratic Left22,2690.22
Enrique GómezInés DíazSUMA Party18,8120.18
Juan CuevaCristina ReyesAMIGO Movement17,5470.17
Iván Saquicela [es]María Luisa CoelloDemocracy Yes [es]11,9840.12
Total10,251,142100.00
Valid votes10,251,14291.04
Invalid votes765,6666.80
Blank votes243,5922.16
Total votes11,260,400100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,732,19482.00
Source: CNE, CNE

National Assembly

PartyNationalProvincialOverseasTotal
seats		+/–
Votes%SeatsVotes%SeatsVotes%Seats
National Democratic Action3,948,53243.34756366+52
Citizen Revolution Movement–RETO[a]3,764,23041.32757367+15
Social Christian Party288,5453.171405–9
Patriotic Society Party210,0832.310000–3
AMIGO Movement162,7211.790000–1
Popular Unity156,8021.720101+1
SUMA Party149,4041.640000–4
Creating Opportunities119,4801.3100000
Ecuadorian Socialist Party91,7781.0100000
Democratic Left90,3830.9900000
People, Equality and Democracy67,3670.7400000
Democratic Center61,5590.680000–1
Pachakutik909+5
Movimiento Construye101–27
Avanza [es]000–3
Democracy Yes [es]0000
Provincial movements202–4
Total9,110,884100.00151306151–
Valid votes9,110,88480.91
Invalid votes1,040,6959.24
Blank votes1,109,5479.85
Total votes11,261,126100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,732,19482.01
Source: CNE
  1. ^ 66 seats won by RC, one won by RETO.

Andean Parliament

PartyVotes%Seats
National Democratic Action3,908,34042.583
Citizen Revolution Movement/RETO Movement3,878,97642.262
Social Christian Party418,5104.560
SUMA Party201,3092.190
Popular Unity160,4671.750
Movimiento Construye125,3501.370
Creating Opportunities124,6531.360
AMIGO Movement102,4611.120
Ecuadorian Socialist Party100,2751.090
Democratic Center82,3700.900
People, Equality and Democracy75,9900.830
Total9,178,701100.005
Valid votes9,178,70181.50
Invalid votes1,188,09710.55
Blank votes894,7397.95
Total votes11,261,537100.00
Registered voters/turnout13,732,19482.01
Source: CNE

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Allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_Ecuadorian_general_election
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