2028 Queensland state election

For the local government elections scheduled to be held in March, see 2028 Queensland local elections.

2028 Queensland state election
← 2024
28 October 2028[1]
2032 →
All 93 seats in the Legislative Assembly
47 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
 
Leader David Crisafulli Steven Miles
Party Liberal National Labor
Leader since 12 November 2020 15 December 2023
Leader's seat Broadwater Murrumba
Last election 52 seats, 41.52% 36 seats, 32.56%
Current seats 53[a] 35
Seats needed Steady Increase 12
 
Leader Robbie Katter No leader
Party Katter's Australian Greens
Leader since 2 February 2015
Leader's seat Traeger
Last election 3 seats, 2.44% 1 seat, 9.89%
Current seats 2[a] 1
Seats needed Increase 45 Increase 46
Incumbent Premier

David Crisafulli
Liberal National



The 2028 Queensland state election will be held on or before 28 October 2028 to elect the 59th Parliament of Queensland and its 93 seats. The Electoral Commission of Queensland (ECQ) will conduct the election.

The incumbent Liberal National majority government, led by Premier David Crisafulli, will seek a second four-year term in government. They will be challenged by the Queensland Labor Party, led by Leader of the Opposition and former Premier Steven Miles. It is expected that the Queensland Greens, Pauline Hanson's One Nation, Katter's Australian Party, and other minor parties and independents will contest the election.

Queensland has compulsory voting, with preferential instant runoff voting in single-member seats. However, premier David Crisafulli has pledged to reinstate optional preferential voting after Labor reinstated full compulsory preferential voting in 2016, returning the system to the recommendations from the Fitzgerald Inquiry.[2]

Background

At the 2024 Queensland state election, the Liberal National Party of Queensland (LNP), led by David Crisafulli, ended nine years in Opposition by securing a decisive victory. The LNP won 52 seats, compared to Labor's 36. The Greens, who previously held two seats, lost South Brisbane but managed to retain Maiwar. Katter's Australian Party (KAP), led by Robbie Katter, held onto its three seats, while Pauline Hanson's One Nation lost Mirani following the defection of Stephen Andrew to the KAP. Andrew, however, was defeated by the LNP in Mirani during the election.[3][4]

The KAP lost a further seat in 2025, in a by-election for the seat of Hinchinbrook, following the resignation of Nick Dametto in order to contest the 2025 Townsville mayoral by-election,[5] which he won.[6] It is the first time a sitting Queensland government has gained a seat in a by-election since Mulgrave in 1998.

Date

The parliament has fixed four-year terms with the election held on the fourth Saturday in October, though the Governor may dissolve the house sooner on the advice of the Premier. Additionally, Section 19B, Paragraph 3 of the Constitution of Queensland 2001 states that “The Governor may at any time, by proclamation, order the polling day for an ordinary general election to be postponed to a Saturday not more than 35 days after the normal polling day (the postponed polling day)" if there are exceptional circumstances and if both the premier, and the Leader of the Opposition agrees to its postponement. Examples of exceptional circumstances listed in the constitution includes "An election for members of the House of Representatives or the Senate of the Commonwealth Parliament is to be held on the normal polling day or "A natural disaster has affected such a wide area of the State that the conduct of an election on the normal polling day would be impracticable.[1]

Opinion polling

Main article: Opinion polling for the 2028 Queensland state election
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling for the 2028 Queensland state election § Voting intention.[]

Graphical summary

Primary vote

A graph Showing the opinion polling in the leadup to the 2028 Queensland state election.

Two-Party preferred

A graph showing the two-party-preferred opinion polling in the leadup to the 2028 Queensland state election.
Date Firm Sample
size 		Primary vote 2PP vote
LNP ALP GRN ONP KAP IND OTH LNP ALP
10 – 20 Feb 2026 DemosAU[7] 1,044 34% 28% 10% 21% N/a N/a 7% 56% 44%
Jan – Feb 2026 Resolve[8][b] 868 34% 26% 10% 16% 1% 9% 4% 54.6% 45.4%
24 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 RedBridge/Accent[9] 818 40% 27% 12% 16% N/a N/a 5% 56% 44%
Nov – Dec 2025 Resolve[10][11][b] 803 33% 30% 11% 9% 2% 8% 8% 51.1% 48.9%
29 Nov 2025 The LNP defeats the KAP in the Hinchinbrook by-election
13 – 20 Oct 2025 DemosAU[12][13][14] 1,006 37% 29% 12% 14% N/a N/a 8% 54% 46%
Sep – Oct 2025 Resolve[15][16][b] 868 33% 32% 10% 9% 1% 7% 7% 49.3% 50.7%
Jul – Aug 2025 Resolve[17][18][b] 869 34% 32% 10% 8% 1% 8% 6% 49.5% 50.5%
4 – 9 Jul 2025 DemosAU[19][20] 1,027 40% 28% 13% 12% N/a N/a 7% 55% 45%
17 – 25 Mar 2025 RedBridge/Accent[21] 1,507 44% 27% 12% 10% N/a N/a 7% 56.5% 43.5%
Jan – Apr 2025 Resolve[22] 934 45% 22% 12% 8% 1% 7% 5% 60% 40%
10 – 14 Feb 2025 DemosAU[23][24] 1,004 40% 30% 12% 10% N/a N/a 8% 56% 44%
26 Oct 2024 2024 election 41.5% 32.6% 9.9% 8.0% 2.4% 1.7% 3.9% 53.8% 46.2%

See also

Notes

  1. ^ a b The Liberal National Party gained the seat of Hinchinbrook from Katter's Australian Party in a by-election in 2025.
  2. ^ a b c d Two-party preferred result estimated by Kevin Bonham.

References

  1. ^ a b "Constitution of Queensland 2001". www.legislation.qld.gov.au. Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  2. ^ Atfield, Cameron (24 August 2024). "Compulsory preferential voting to be scrapped if LNP takes power". Brisbane Times. Retrieved 15 September 2025.
  3. ^ Smee, Ben (26 October 2024). "David Crisafulli has narrowly won the Queensland election but the real fight has only just begun". The Guardian. ISSN 0261-3077. Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  4. ^ "David Crisafulli sworn in as Queensland premier — as it happened". ABC News. 27 October 2024. Retrieved 9 January 2025.
  5. ^ Bates, Cameron; McGuire, Nikita; Charles, Caitlan (29 November 2025). "LNP's Wayde Chiesa on track to win Hinchinbrook by-election for Premier". Townsville Bulletin. Retrieved 29 November 2025.
  6. ^ Hinchliffe, Joe (16 November 2025). "Former MP from Katter's Australian party claims victory in Townsville mayoral race after swing against former leader". Guardian Australia. ISSN 1440-3765. Retrieved 29 November 2025.
  7. ^ "DemosAU/Premier National Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 23 February 2026. Archived from the original (PDF) on 23 February 2026. Retrieved 23 February 2026.
  8. ^ "One Nation and Crisafulli climb in Queensland as Labor Support Wanes". The Age. Archived from the original on 18 February 2026. Retrieved 18 February 2026.
  9. ^ "RedBridge Group and Accent Research Queensland state poll" (PDF). RedBridge Group/Accent Research. 10 December 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 27 December 2025. Retrieved 27 December 2025.
  10. ^ Dennien, Matt (9 December 2025). "Voters warming to Miles as Crisafulli's popularity continues to slip". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 9 December 2025. Retrieved 9 December 2025.
  11. ^ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (9 December 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 30 Grn 11 ON 9 KAP 2 IND 8* other 8 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 9 December 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  12. ^ "Queensland Poll" (PDF). DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 6 November 2025. Retrieved 6 November 2025.
  13. ^ "LNP maintains clear lead over Labor in Queensland – new poll". DemosAU. 27 October 2025. Archived from the original on 29 October 2025. Retrieved 29 October 2025.
  14. ^ Johnson, Hayden (27 October 2025). "Qld voters deliver verdict on Crisafulli government". The Courier Mail. Retrieved 27 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  15. ^ Dennien, Matt (15 October 2025). "Miles sheds support but major parties neck and neck". Brisbane Times. Retrieved 15 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  16. ^ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (16 October 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 33 ALP 32 Grn 10 ON 9 IND 7* KAP 1 other 7 (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 27 October 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  17. ^ Dennien, Matt (21 August 2025). "'Serious hit': LNP support falls from post-election high". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 21 August 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  18. ^ Bonham, Kevin [@kevinbonham] (21 August 2025). "ResolvePM Qld (state) LNP 34 (-11) ALP 32 (+10) Grn 10 (-2) ON 8 (-) IND 8* (+1) KAP 1 (-) other 6 (+1) (*likely overstated)" (Tweet). Retrieved 27 October 2025 – via X (formerly Twitter).{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  19. ^ "Queensland State and Federal Voting Intention July 04-09 2025". DemosAU. 10 July 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  20. ^ "Crisafulli and Albanese enjoy honeymoon periods". DemosAU. 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  21. ^ Johnson, Hayden (31 March 2025). "King David: Premier Crisafulli now the most popular leader in Australia". The Courier Mail. Retrieved 19 October 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
  22. ^ Atfield, Cameron (21 April 2025). "Crisafulli flies high, while Miles – and Dutton – lag". Brisbane Times. Archived from the original on 23 July 2025. Retrieved 21 August 2025.
  23. ^ "Queensland State Voting Intention Poll". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Archived from the original (PDF) on 14 July 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.
  24. ^ "New Queensland poll shows modest improvement for Federal Labor". DemosAU. 19 February 2025. Retrieved 14 July 2025.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: deprecated archival service (link)
allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2028_Queensland_state_election