Opinion polling for the next Polish parliamentary election

In the run up to the next Polish parliamentary election in 2027, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Poland. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 15 October 2023, to the day of the next election.

To be represented in parliament, electoral committees which are registered as political parties must reach an electoral threshold of 5%, and those registered as coalitions must reach 8%.[1]

Polling aggregations

The following tables display the most recent aggregations of poll results and equivalent projected seat shares in the Sejm from different polling organisations.

Vote share

Poll Aggregator/Link Last
Update 		PiS KO Polska 2050 Centrum PSL Lewica Razem Konfederacja KKP Lead
WahlenWeltWeit 9 March 25.1 34.1 1.9 0.1 3.5 7.3 4.1 14.1 9.3 7.7
Politico 1 March 25 34 – – – 8 3 13 10 9
ewybory.eu 23 February 23.8 31.9 3.0 – 3.0 6.7 3.7 12.6 8.9 8.1
Europe Elects 15 February 27 34 2 – 4 7 3 13 9 7
DawidStats 23 February 25.1 32.7 2.2 – 3.7 7.2 3.2 12.6 8.7 7.6

Seat share

Poll Aggregator/Link Last
Update 		PiS KO Polska 2050 Centrum PSL Lewica Razem Konfederacja KKP Majority
WahlenWeltWeit 9 March 129 174 0 0 0 37 0 72 48 Hung (KO 57 short)
ewybory.eu 8 March 142 184 0 – 0 18 0 72 44 Hung (KO 47 short)
DawidStats 23 February 144 187 0 – 0 26 0 60 43 Hung (KO 44 short)

Graphical summary

Poll results

Poll results are listed in the tables below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first, and using the date the survey's fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. If such date is unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's colour. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded. The lead column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. When a specific poll does not show a data figure for a party, the party's cell corresponding to that poll is shown empty.

2026

For events during the year, see 2026 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		PiS KO Polska 2050 Centre PSL Lewica Razem Konfederacja KKP Others Don't know Lead
Opinia24 2–4 Mar 1,001 22.0 34.2 1.6 3.0 6.1 4.1 14.5 7.2 0.6 6.8 12.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 27 Feb – 1 Mar 1,000 23.5 30.6 1.1 3.8 7.7 4.2 12.2 8.4 8.5 7.1
IBRiS / Rz 27–28 Feb 1,073 22.1 30.1 1.5 4.2 6.8 3.4 13.8 9.2 8.9 8.0
Pollster / SE.pl 25–26 Feb 988 28.45 34.25 2.61 3.22 7.69 5.01 11.06 7.32 0.39 5.80
CBOS 23–26 Feb 1,000 18.3 29.6 2.0 1.7 4.6 3.7 13.4 9.9 0.1 15.1 11.3
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–21 Feb 1,000 21.5 30.7 1.0 0.6 5.0 7.5 2.5 13.2 10.0 8.0 9.2
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 19–20 Feb 1,000 26 29 2 2 6 5 14 7 1 8 3
18 Feb Fifteen MPs leave Poland 2050 to form Centre
Social Changes / wPolsce24 6–17 Feb 1,098 28 33 2 2 9 3 11 10 2[b] 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 Feb 1,000 22.7 32.5 2.0 4.8 8.0 3.1 13.0 9.9 4.0 9.8
OGB 9–14 Feb 1,000 27.81 34.50 2.84 2.55 5.86 3.07 14.38 8.99 6.69
Social Changes / wPolsce24 Feb – 27.5 33.8 1.4 4.6 6.8 3.3 12.8 6.5 3.3 6.3
Opinia24 2–4 Feb 1,000 24.5 32.0 4.1 1.7 6.3 3.7 12.6 7.7 0.5 6.9 7.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Jan – 1 Feb 1,000 23.5 32.3 2.1 4.9 6.6 3.7 11.2 7.7 8.0 8.8
31 Jan Katarzyna Pełczyńska-Nałęcz is elected as leader of Poland 2050
IBRiS / Rz 30–31 Jan 1,067 23.3 31.4 1.7 5.4 8.1 3.6 12.6 9.0 4.9 8.1
CBOS 26–28 Jan 1,000 20.4 29.3 1.3 1.4 5.8 4.9 11.2 9.8 0.6 12.8 8.9
IBRiS / Onet 20–21 Jan 1,100 27.3 31.2 1.4 4.9 6.8 2.8 12.8 6.6 6.2 3.9
OGB 12–19 Jan 1,000 28.47 39.04 1.23 1.53 4.51 3.33 12.25 9.64 10.57
United Surveys / WP.pl 16–18 Jan 1,000 26.2 31.8 2.3 4.8 5.9 2.7 14.0 7.1 5.2 5.6
Opinia24 12–14 Jan 1,001 25.8 30.9 4.0 3.3 7.1 2.7 12.8 7.4 0.8 5.2 5.1
United Surveys / WP.pl 2–4 Jan 1,000 25.9 30.9 2.0 3.2 8.2 4.4 11.2 9.7 4.5 5.0
IBRiS / Rz 2–3 Jan 1,068 26.7 31.6 1.1 3.7 7.5 3.6 12.0 8.8 5.0 4.9
Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Dec – 1 Jan 1,002 29.88 34.20 3.21 1.11 7.37 4.58 10.15 7.22 2.18 4.32
2023 parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][c] 35.39 30.70 14.41 8.61 7.17 3.72[d] 4.69

2025

For events during the year, see 2025 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		PiS KO Polska 2050 PSL Lewica Razem Konfederacja KKP Others Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 19–21 Dec 1,000 25.1 31.5 1.0 4.9 7.2 2.4 12.1 8.1 7.7 6.4
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 Dec 1,000 25.4 32.8 2.1 2.6 4.9 3.5 10.7 8.6 1.3 5.6 7.4
Social Changes / wPolsce24 Dec 1,000 29 31 4 4 8 5 9 6 4 2
OGB 9–15 Dec 1,000 31.21 35.29 1.66 1.71 4.95 3.33 10.67 11.18 4.08
Ipsos / Radio ZET 5–9 Dec 1,000 25 30 3 3 7 6 13 7 7 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 5–8 Dec 1,000 26.7 32.8 1.0 3.1 7.1 2.8 13.1 8.4 5.0 6.1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 6–7 Dec 1,008 30.94 34.64 2.98 2.02 6.97 4.65 10.85 6.67 0.28 3.70
Opinia24 / "GW" 4–7 Dec 1,001 24.6 32.9 1.8 2.4 4.7 2.5 13.2 9.6 3.0 5.5 8.3
IBRiS / Polsat News 4–6 Dec 1,000 25.5 30.9 1.5 4.0 8.2 3.6 13.6 7.1 5.7 5.4
CBOS 1–3 Dec 1,000 20.7 30.3 2.0 1.4 5.2 3.8 12.5 7.0 0.4 14.3 9.6
Opinia24 1–3 Dec 1,000 25.1 31.7 2.8 1.2 6.6 4.6 14.6 6.2 1.0 6.2 6.6
OGB 22–25 Nov 1,000 27.97 38.01 1.44 2.68 4.24 2.75 13.97 8.94 10.04
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Nov 1,000 26.4 30.9 1.5 3.0 7.9 3.1 15.6 6.4 5.2 4.5
IBRiS / Rz 21–23 Nov 1,075 27.1 30.4 1.7 3.2 7.2 3.9 16.1 5.1 5.2 3.3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 15–17 Nov 1,003 28.86 33.55 4.55 2.48 6.91 4.84 11.45 5.92 1.39 4.69
IBRiS / Onet 14–15 Nov 1,100 27.6 31.5 0.7 3.9 7.0 3.6 14.1 7.3 4.3 3.9
CBOS 3–5 Nov 1,000 20.7 28.8 1.8 1.4 3.5 3.3 13.2 8.5 0.1 16.1 8.1
Opinia24 3–5 Nov 1,000 27.4 33.0 1.7 1.4 6.3 3.1 12.6 5.9 0.5 8.1 5.6
Research Partner 31 Oct – 3 Nov 1,090 27.6 29.0 3.0 1.1 7.1 2.9 11.6 6.4 1.5 9.8 1.4
Social Changes / wPolsce24 Oct – 33 34 3 4 8 5 7 6 1
OGB 23–27 Oct 1,000 28.07 39.00 2.89 2.17 4.48 2.25 14.26 6.88 10.93
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Oct 1,000 26.7 30.8 1.5 4.8 6.9 3.4 11.9 6.4 6.6 4.1
25 Oct The Civic Coalition's largest components unite into a single party
IBRiS / Rz 24–25 Oct 1,067 27.6 30.4 1.3 4.1 6.7 4.0 15.0 5.5 0.0 5.4 2.8
OGB 15–22 Oct 1,000 29.81 38.12 1.61 2.78 4.13 2.03 15.50 6.02 8.31
CBOS 15–17 Oct 1,000 23.6 28.4 2.3 2.1 4.8 4.2 10.9 9.4 0.9 10.2 4.8
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 13–14 Oct 1,001 28.5 29.5 1.7 2.3 5.4 5.2 14.4 6.4 0.7 4.7 1.0
OGB 8–13 Oct 1,000 27.91 34.05 2.37 3.67 4.18 4.29 16.43 7.10 6.14
Pollster / "SE.pl" 11–12 Oct 1,002 29.91 32.53 3.61 1.37 7.34 5.46 13.23 6.16 2.62
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Oct 1,000 28.9 29.8 1.6 3.9 7.3 2.4 13.9 6.2 6.0 0.9
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 Oct 1,100 27.3 30.5 1.6 4.6 7.1 2.9 14.1 6.1 5.9 3.2
Opinia24 6–8 Oct 1,000 28.4 30.8 3.0 1.3 5.4 4.5 15.0 5.3 0.4 6.1 2.4
Research Partner 26–29 Sep 1,070 32.4 29.9 3.1 1.2 7.4 3.6 12.8 6.3 3.3[e] 2.5
Pollster / "SE.pl" 27–28 Sep 1,026 32.87 31.12 4.14 1.60 6.68 4.52 11.81 6.66 0.60 1.75
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Sep 1,000 28.5 30.0 2.0 4.7 7.0 2.2 14.7 4.1 6.8 1.5
IBRiS / Rz 26–27 Sep 1,073 28.1 28.7 1.0 4.1 7.6 2.6 13.4 5.7 0.0 8.8 0.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 Sep 1,000 30.7 32.3 1.0 3.8 6.8 1.2 13.8 4.5 5.9 1.6
Social Changes / wPolsce24 12–15 Sep 1,120 29 26 4 6 6 2 9 5 1 12 3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Sep 1,020 33.53 31.94 5.31 1.35 6.71 4.20 12.46 4.17 0.33 1.59
OGB 2–9 Sep 1,000 30.82 34.52 2.22 1.72 4.74 2.64 16.86 6.48 3.70
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 29 Aug – 5 Sep 1,000 35.2 30.3 2.7 5.0 6.3 3.3 11.4 3.7 2.1 4.9
CBOS 1–3 Sep 1,000 30 28 3 2 5 6 11 4 0 11 2
Opinia24 1–3 Sep 1,003 28.6 28.6 2.9 1.5 5.6 3.9 15.0 6.7 0.2 7.0 Tie
Pollster / "SE.pl" 30 Aug – 1 Sep 1,000 31.63 32.60 3.45 1.48 7.32 5.49 12.55 5.11 0.37 0.97
United Surveys / WP.pl 28 Aug – 1 Sep 1,000 29.0 27.1 3.4 3.9 7.4 3.2 13.2 3.1 9.7 1.8
IBRiS / Rz 29–30 Aug 1,069 30.6 29.9 2.1 3.6 8.0 3.7 15.1 2.8 4.2 0.7
IBRiS / Onet 29–30 Aug 1,100 28.3 28.5 2.3 4.1 8.1 4.2 14.4 3.4 6.7 0.2
Research Partner 22–25 Aug 1,040 31.4 27.0 2.9 1.9 6.3 2.9 11.3 3.5 0.5 12.3 4.4
CBOS 18–21 Aug 1,000 30 30 2 1 7 5 12 3 0 9 Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–16 Aug 1,000 27.4 28.1 2.6 3.6 5.5 3.1 17.3 3.1 9.3 0.7
OGB 6–13 Aug 1,000 30.59 33.37 3.55 3.44 5.03 3.30 15.38 5.34 2.78
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–9 Aug 1,006 30.88 32.04 5.18 2.40 6.98 4.67 12.84 4.91 0.20 1.16
Opinia24 4–6 Aug 1,003 29.0 28.2 3.4 1.4 5.9 4.1 14.2 6.0 0.7 7.1 0.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–28 Jul 1,047 31.94 32.14 4.90 3.18 6.20 4.35 11.98 4.79 0.52 0.20
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Jul 1,000 28.3 25.8 4.1 3.7 6.7 3.6 17.4 5.4 5.1 2.5
IBRiS / Rz 25–26 Jul 1,067 28.7 30.1 2.8 3.6 7.1 3.1 14.6 4.6 1.1 4.3 1.4
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 24–25 Jul 1,000 28 24 5 4 6 6 14 5 1 7 4
Research Partner 18–21 Jul 1,080 30.7 28.9 4.2 0.9 5.8 2.5 12.4 3.8 1.4[f] 9.5 1.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Jul 1,000 29.2 28.2 2.8 3.5 6.8 3.0 12.5 4.2 9.8 1.0
OGB 4–11 Jul 1,000 26.85 31.66 3.38 3.13 6.62 4.39 16.70 7.27 4.81
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–9 Jul 1,085 33.55 31.17 3.78 1.58 7.25 4.95 12.83 4.79 0.10 2.38
CBOS 7–9 Jul 1,000 27 28 3 1 6 6 12 8 10 1
Opinia24 7–9 Jul 1,003 29.2 29.3 4.7 1.8 5.0 3.9 14.9 5.6 0.4 5.2 0.1
United Surveys / WP.pl 27–29 Jun 1,000 28.3 25.6 4.4 4.1 6.6 5.0 15.0 3.9 7.1 2.7
IBRiS / Rz 26–27 Jun 1,067 28.9 26.5 3.8 3.2 5.6 4.8 16.8 4.0 6.4 2.4
IBRiS / Onet 23–24 Jun 1,100 30.5 25.8 4.6 4.0 6.1 3.9 16.8 5.1 3.2 4.7
17 June The Third Way is dissolved as an electoral alliance[3]
IBRiS / Polsat News 12–14 Jun 1,000 27.9 28.8 6.9 5.6 3.1 14.7 6.0 7.0 0.9
Opinia24 9–12 Jun 1,003 28.8 28.8 5.1 6.1 4.6 13.8 6.9 0.9 5.0 Tie
CBOS 9–10 Jun 1,000 25 30 4 8 6 14 1 1 10 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Jun 1,000 30.0 33.0 5.5 6.0 5.2 16.0 0.1 4.2 3.0
IBRiS / Rz 6–7 Jun 1,069 28.3 32.3 5.1 6.3 3.1 20.7 0.2 4 4
Pollster / NCZAS 5–6 Jun 1,029 33.3 30.5 5.1 5.1 5.5 13.5 6.9 0.1 2.8
Presidential election II round 1 June 20,844,163 50.89 49.11 Endorsed Civic Coalition No endorsement Endorsed Law and Justice 1.78
Social Changes / Radio Wnet 28–29 May 1,060 28 27 6 8 3 11 4 2 11 1
Research Partner 27–28 May 1,060 29.6 29.2 4.2 6.3 4.0 9.5 5.2 0.6 11.3 0.4
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 May 1,070 32.2 33.4 6.0 5.0 2.5 17.1 0.9 2.7 1.2
Opinia24 / RMF FM 25–27 May 1,000 27.2 31.1 4.1 5.9 5.5 16.0 2.5 7.7 3.9
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 23–26 May 1,021 30 32 6 6 4 16 1 5 2
Pollster / Super Express 25 May 1,011 33.61 32.04 6.68 6.01 4.43 16.43 0.80 1.57
Presidential election I round 18 May 19,603,784 29.54 31.36 4.99 4.23 4.86 14.81 6.34 3.87 1.82
Opinia24 / RMF FM 12–14 May 1,003 27.3 29.2 10.7 6.3 4.9 15.2 0.3 6.1 1.9
IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 1,072 31.2 31.8 8.0 7.5 3.6 11.2 6.7 0.6
CBOS 12–13 May 1,001 28 29 5 6 6 16 2 7 1
Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–8 May 1,077 32.26 31.11 9.51 5.91 5.35 15.13 0.73 1.15
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 May 1,000 27.5 31.2 7.4 7.6 3.9 13.1 0.5 8.8 3.7
Opinia24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 6–7 May 1,012 28 33 7 8 4 15 1 2 5
Opinia24 / "Newsweek" 5–7 May 1,001 29 33 5 9 5 15 4
Pollster / "SE.pl" 28–29 Apr 1,007 31.05 31.28 9.60 5.90 4.91 16.66 0.23
United Surveys / WP.pl 28–29 Apr 1,000 27.3 30.4 8.8 6.8 3.9 14.4 1.0 7.4 3.1
OGB 23–25 Apr 1,000 33.80 33.31 7.96 5.42 2.89 16.62 0.49
Opinia 24 / "Fakty" TVN, TVN24 24 Apr – 26 30 8 6 5 18 3 3 4
CBOS 22–24 Apr 1,001 32 32 6 5 4 15 0 7 Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 1,000 29.6 28.6 8.1 7.9 3.5 13.9 8.4 1.0
Pollster / "SE.pl" 15–16 Apr 1,003 31.36 32.92 9.11 5.88 3.17 15.39 2.17 1.56
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 14–16 Apr 1,000 26 28 8 5 4 17 2 10 2
Opinia24 14–16 Apr 1,002 27.3 34.0 8.2 6.9 3.8 13.8 0.2 5.8 6.7
OGB 9–14 Apr 1,001 31.46 33.95 6.72 2.90 2.43 21.74 2.49
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Apr 1,000 28.3 33.3 7.5 5.6 3.2 16.4 0.9 4.8 5.0
CBOS 7–9 Apr 1,000 26 33 5 6 4 16 2 9 7
United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 1,000 28.8 34.9 6.9 5.0 0.5 16.4 7.5 6.1
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 2–6 Apr 1,000 28 30 8 7 4 17 1 5 2
Pollster / Republika 3–4 Apr 1,003 31 33 9 5 17 2
Pollster / "SE.pl" 31 Mar – 1 Apr 1,007 31.76 32.35 8.06 5.02 3.48 18.08 1.25 0.59
Research Partner 21–24 Mar 1,060 29.1 31.3 6.9 7.4 14.3 1.9 9.1 2.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 1,000 26.5 31.0 6.7 4.7 0.8 16.4 13.9 4.5
Opinia24 17–21 Mar 1,000 27.0 34.8 7.1 4.6 2.4 18.5 0.7 4.9 7.8
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 11–13 Mar 1,000 28 31 8 6 3 16 0 7 3
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Mar 1,000 26.3 34.0 6.7 4.8 2.4 21.4 0.2 4.3 7.7
10 Mar Confederation of the Polish Crown MPs leave the Confederation parliamentary group[4]
Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–9 Mar 1,015 31.82 33.02 9.25 5.72 1.65 17.17 1.37 1.20
United Surveys / WP.pl 7–9 Mar 1,000 28.6 31.1 5.8 4.9 1.1 17.2 11.3 2.5
IBRiS / Rz 7–8 Mar 1,068 27.5 31.1 5.8 4.5 1.9 17.1 12.1 3.6
CBOS 3–6 Mar 1,000 26 34 4 4 2 18 0 11 8
OGB 19–26 Feb 1,000 32.70 36.52 5.18 5.33 1.24 19.03 3.82
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–24 Feb 1,000 28.1 32.3 8.0 7.6 1.1 16.1 1.2 5.6 4.2
Research Partner 21–24 Feb 1,050 29.4 29.1 8.8 8.3 14.2 2.0 7.9 0.3
Ipsos / Liberté! 19–21 Feb 1,000 29 29 10 5 2 16 9 Tie
Opinia24 17–21 Feb 1,001 30.4 31.3 8.9 5.3 3.1 16.6 0.6 3.8 0.9
CBOS 17–20 Feb 1,002 29 34 4 6 2 17 0 8 5
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 17–18 Feb 621 30 29 10 6 2 16 1 5 1
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–13 Feb 1,002 27.9 31.8 8.0 5.5 2.9 18.7 0.7 4.6 3.9
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–10 Feb 1,077 33.21 31.37 8.90 6.85 1.68 15.71 2.28 1.84
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–9 Feb 1,000 30.0 32.1 8.3 7.1 1.0 12.8 8.7 2.1
IBRiS / Rz 7–8 Feb 1,067 29.3 33.5 10.1 8.3 1.5 11.6 1.0 4.7 4.2
CBOS 3–5 Feb 1,000 30 30 6 6 2 13 1 13 Tie
IBRiS / Onet 31 Jan – 2 Feb 1,068 27.4 29.3 9.6 7.7 0.9 10.9 0.4 13.9 1.9
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 23–29 Jan 1,000 29 32 7 6 1 16 1 7 3
Research Partner 24–27 Jan 1,060 31.0 29.3 8.9 7.1 13.3 2.6 7.8 1.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Jan 1,000 30.3 32.0 8.4 8.2 0.5 12.8 7.8 1.7
Opinia24 20–24 Jan 1,001 31.1 31.3 9.7 7.0 2.2 14.0 0.7 4.0 0.2
OGB 21–23 Jan 1,000 34.46 33.07 7.24 5.78 0.44 17.95 1.06 1.39
Pollster / "SE.pl" 17–18 Jan 1,004 33.63 31.63 8.65 6.05 1.59 14.24 4.21 2
IPSOS / "19:30" TVP Info 14–16 Jan 1,000 29 29 10 7 3 12 2 8 Tie
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Jan 1,000 32.4 29.2 9.0 7.2 2.2 13.5 0.9 5.4 3.2
IBRiS / Rz 10–11 Jan 1,068 33.2 30.5 9.0 6.3 1.3 12.4 0.4 7.0 2.7
Opinia24 / RMF FM 7–9 Jan 1,000 30.7 31.9 8.6 5.6 2.0 13.5 0.5 7.3 1.2
CBOS 7–8 Jan 1,000 33 33 7 6 2 13 1 5 Tie
2023 parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][c] 35.39 30.70 14.41 8.61 7.17 3.72[d] 4.69

2024

For events during the year, see 2024 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		PiS KO TD Lewica Razem Konfederacja PJJ BS Others Don't know Lead
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Dec 1,000 27.4 31.3 10.4 9.0 0.3 9.9 0.7 11.0 3.9
IPSOS / TVP Info 17–18 Dec – 29 29 10 6 3 15 1 7 Tie
Opinia24 / RMF FM 10–12 Dec 1,000 28.9 31.9 9.5 5.9 0.7 14.2 1.3 7.5 3.0
Pollster / "SE.pl" 10–11 Dec 1,005 32.38 33.19 8.11 7.34 1.47 13.18 4.33 0.81
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Dec 1,000 32.3 33.2 9.9 8.0 10.3 0.0 6.3 0.9
IBRiS / Rz 6–7 Dec 1,071 34.8 34.5 8.6 7.4 0.8 7.3 6.6 0.3
Opinia24 3–6 Dec 1,001 29.2 32.1 9.9 6.7 2.5 13.7 1.5 4.4 2.9
CBOS 2–4 Dec 1,000 30 33 8 6 2 11 2 8 3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25–26 Nov 1,015 30.45 32.86 9.11 8.21 1.12 13.06 1.60 2.39 1.20 2.41
Opinia24 / TVN24 24 Nov 1,000 32 35 7 7 13 2 4 3
United Surveys / WP.pl 22–24 Nov 1,000 29.9 32.5 9.7 8.5 10.5 0.0 8.9 2.6
CBOS 18–20 Nov 1,000 31 32 7 6 2 13 1 9 1
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 15–18 Nov 1,000 32 33 8 10 13 4 1
Opinia24 12–15 Nov 1,001 30.0 34.0 7.8 8.2 13.0 1.4 5.6 4.0
Pollster / "SE.pl" 12–13 Nov 1,044 34.30 32.32 7.68 5.82 1.53 13.51 0.97 3.00 0.87 1.98
Research Partner 8–11 Nov 1,080 29.4 32.1 9.4 7.2 10.2 2.7 9.1 2.7
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Nov 1,000 31.7 34.0 8.8 7.1 10.8 0.5 7.1 2.3
United Surveys / DGP, RMF 8–10 Nov 1,000 29.4 32.4 10.8[g] 7.6 0.5 10.4 9.1 3.0
CBOS 4–6 Nov 1,000 25 34 5 7 3 12 1 14 9
27 Oct Left Together leaves The Left alliance and joins the opposition
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 1,000 28.9 33.6 10.4 8.8 10.7 7.6 4.7
IBRiS / Rz 25–26 Oct 1,069 29.6 31.3 9.8 8.6 9.4 11.2 1.7
CBOS 21–24 Oct 1,000 29 33 8 7 11 1 11 4
Opinia24 / TVN24 15–18 Oct 1,001 32.4 33.3 7.9 8.8 12.2 0.4 5.0 0.9
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 11–14 Oct 1,000 31.3 30.7 9.3 7.3 9.8 11.5 0.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Oct 1,000 33.3 33.5 10.1 7.8 9.5 0.0 5.8 0.2
CBOS 7–10 Oct 1,000 28 29 8 8 13 1 14 1
Opinia24 / "GW" 7–9 Oct 1,000 33.5 35.3 7.1 5.9 12.5 3.7 1.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 5–6 Oct 1,007 31.40 31.94 10.69 8.72 13.69 3.56 0.54
Pollster / "19:30" 29–30 Sep 1,047 31.90 33.99 10.51 9.92 12.44 1.24 2.09
United Surveys / WP.pl 27–29 Sep 1,000 29.5 34.1 11.1 8.7 10.5 0.6 5.5 4.6
IBRiS / Rz 27–28 Sep 1,067 32.9 33.1 10.1 7.4 9.1 1.0 6.4 0.2
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–21 Sep 1,000 31.0 34.2 10.5 8.7 8.4 0.0 7.2 3.2
Research Partner 13–16 Sep 1,040 30.0 30.0 9.1 8.8 10.7 2.6 8.8 Tie
CBOS 9–12 Sep 1,000 29 32 9 8 11 1 10 3
IBRiS / "Wydarzenia" Polsat 9–10 Sep 1,000 32.1 32.9 10.8 8.4 9.3 6.5 0.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" 7–8 Sep 1,061 31.64 32.24 8.82 10.21 12.61 4.48 0.60
Pollster / "SE.pl" 25.65 30.86 8.59 10.13 11.65 13.12[h] 5.21
Opinia24 3–5 Sep 1,000 30.8 31.3 10.5 9.1 12.3 0.7 5.3 0.5
Social Changes / wPolsce24 30 Aug – 2 Sep 1,190 33 34 11 9 11 1
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Aug – 1 Sep 1,000 32.4 34.6 9.7 8.0 8.6 1.3 5.4 2.2
IBRiS / Rz 30–31 Aug 1,067 31.9 33.5 11.0 7.7 8.1 7.8 1.6
CBOS 26–29 Aug 1,000 28 32 6 9 16 1 9 4
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8 Aug 1,001 31.62 31.48 10.06 9.13 13.95 3.76 0.14
30.41 31.16 10.47[i] 9.03 14.43 4.50 0.75
Opinia24 5–8 Aug 1,000 27.8 33.9 11.4 8.2 12.4 1.4 4.9 6.1
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jul 1,100 28.3 33.0 10.9 9.9 9.6 1.9 6.4 4.7
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Jul 1,100 29.0 32.1 10.5 8.7 11.9 0.4 7.4 3.1
Research Partner 19–22 Jul 1,040 28.9 30.7 8.6 8.3 12.0 2.5 1.2 7.8 1.8
CBOS 8–11 Jul 1,000 28 31 9 11 12 0 9 3
Opinia24 8–11 Jul 1,000 27.1 31.4 11.6 9.0 13.8 2.4 4.6 4.3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 8–9 Jul 1,028 33.31 35.06 9.21 9.0 13.30 0.21 1.75
United Surveys / WP.pl 5–8 Jul 1,000 27.2 31.2 9.0 7.7 11.0 0.0 13.9 4.0
CBOS 1–3 Jul 1,000 28 31 10 8 14 0 10 3
CBOS 24–27 Jun 1,000 30 32 11 9 11 1 6 2
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Jun 1,000 33.7 34.4 10.8 6.2 11.9 0.5 2.5 0.7
IBRiS / Rz 21–22 Jun 1,067 32.7 34.0 9.2 6.3 10.8 0.4 6.6 1.3
IBRiS / Onet 18–19 Jun 1,100 32.1 33.8 8.7 6.9 9.0 0.3 9.2 1.7
Opinia24 10–11 Jun 1,001 28.8 33.2 7.6 8.1 11.5 0.6 3.5 0.7 6.2 4.4
European Parliament election 9 Jun 11,761,994 36.16 37.06 6.91 6.30 12.08 0.93 0.56 0.90
IBRiS 3 Jun 1,067 31.3 33.1 11.6 8.2 9.0 0.2 6.6 1.8
Opinia24 27–28 May 1,001 29.8 29.7 11.2 8.3 11.6 1.0 3.6 0.5 4.3 0.1
IBRiS / Rz 23–24 May 1,068 30.3 31.8 12.7 8.9 7.0 0 9.3 1.5
CBOS 20–23 May 1,000 30 30 9 9 9 1 13 Tie
Pollster / "SE.pl" 19 May 1,031 32.49 32.15 10.87 9.33 9.46 3.16 2.54 0.34
Opinia24 13–14 May 1,000 30.1 32.5 13.3 7.0 12.1 1.7 3.3 2.4
Research Partner 10–13 May 1,051 31.5 29.7 11.4 9.1 9.1 1.5 0.5 7.2 1.8
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 May 1,000 33.3 32.0 11.6 9.0 9.8 0.1 4.2 1.3
CBOS 22–26 Apr 1,000 26 28 11 7 14 2 12 2
United Surveys / WP.pl 19–21 Apr 1,000 32.1 32.6 12.1 8.6 7.6 7.0 0.5
IBRiS / Rz 19–20 Apr 1,071 31.4 28.9 13.5 8.8 8.2 3.7 5.7 2.5
Pollster / "SE.pl" 18–19 Apr 1,074 32.77 32.31 11.17 9.23 9.64 1.75 2.89 0.24 0.4
CBOS 8–11 Apr 1,000 23 35 10 5 14 2 11 12
Opinia24 8–9 Apr 1,000 26.4 33.8 11.8 6.6 8.5 2.0 4.5 0.6 5.8 7.4
Local elections 7 Apr 14,417,065 34.27 30.59 14.25 6.32 7.23 3.01 4.33 3.68
OGB 3–5 Apr 1,000 34.75 33.34 13.02 4.47 10.38 1.76 2.28 1.41
IBRiS / Onet 4 Apr 1,068 29.0 30.5 11.8 9.5 8.4 1.9 8.9 1.5
Opinia24 2–3 Apr – 29.1 36.0 14.7 8.3 10.4 1.5 6.9
IBRiS / Rz 22–23 Mar 1,067 30.0 31.9 10.7 9.5 8.6 9.3 1.9
CBOS 18–22 Mar 1,000 24 29 9 8 13 1 17 5
Pollster / "SE.pl" 16–17 Mar 1,072 32.02 30.81 13.57 9.19 9.88 1.34 2.79 0.40 1.21
Research Partner 8–11 Mar 1,088 29.1 30.2 9.0 8.5 8.0 2.4 12.8 1.1
Opinia24 6–7 Mar 1,000 24.6 32.8 14.2 9.3 10.1 1.3 2.3 0.7 4.7 8.2
CBOS 4–7 Mar 1,000 23 29 12 9 11 2 13 6
CBM Indicator / DoRzeczy.pl 1–6 Mar 1,001 27 32 15 10 10 6[j] 5
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 22–26 Feb 1,000 30 29 13 6 12 2 3 1 4 1
United Surveys / WP.pl 23–25 Feb 1,000 28.2 32.6 15.2 8.5 9.1 1.1 5.3 4.4
IBRiS / Rz 23–24 Feb 1,071 30.1 32.6 14.7 8.7 7.6 6.3 2.5
CBOS 19–22 Feb 1,000 22 29 15 7 11 2 14 7
Pollster / TVP 15–16 Feb 1,034 30.85 31.17 17.07 8.20 8.06 2.23 1.74 0.68 0.32
IBSP / Stan Polityki 12–15 Feb 1,000 32.98 34.20 15.25 4.89 9.36 0.79 2.53 1.22
CBOS 12–15 Feb 1,000 24 29 11 8 11 2 15 5
Research Partner 9–12 Feb 1,081 30.1 29.8 13.6 9.3 6.8 1.6 1.1 7.7 0.3
Pollster / "SE.pl" 11 Feb 1,060 30.31 32.32 14.78 9.01 8.77 1.79 1.94 1.08 2.01
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–11 Feb 1,000 29.0 31.7 15.3 10.2 8.0 0.0 5.8 2.7
Opinia24 6–7 Feb 1,001 24.0 31.0 16.8 9.1 8.7 2.2 1.5 1.1 5.7 7.0
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jan 1,000 28.3 28.2 18.9 9.6 7.6 1.0 6.4 0.1
CBOS 22–26 Jan 1,000 24 29 14 9 11 5 9 5
Research Partner 19–22 Jan 1,119 30.3 30.1 13.5 10.1 6.7 2.2 1.1 6.0 0.2
Pollster / "SE.pl" 13–14 Jan 1,048 32.78 31.69 16.79 7.85 7.89 1.50 1.28 0.22 1.09
United Surveys / "WP.pl" 12–14 Jan 1,000 28.4 27.5 16.9 10.4 6.8 1.5 8.5 0.9
IBRiS / Rz 12–13 Jan 1,067 33.9 30.2 16.9 9.3 6.3 0.5 2.9 3.7
CBOS 8–12 Jan 1,000 29 29 10 7 10 4 12 Tie
Opinia24 8–9 Jan 1,002 26.3 24.3 17.3 9.4 10.9 0.9 1.7 0.3 8.9 2.0
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 1,000 34.2 32.0 14.1 8.8 5.0 0.9 5.0 2.2
2023 parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][c] 35.39 30.70 14.41 8.61 7.17 1.63 1.86 0.23 4.69

2023

For events during the year, see 2023 in Poland.
Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		PiS KO TD Lewica Konfederacja BS PJJ Others Don't know Lead
Pollster / “SE.pl” 17 Dec 1,033 33.15 31.28 16.95 8.37 6.73 1.46 1.74 0.32 1.87
United Surveys / WP.pl 15–17 Dec 1,000 33.0 28.4 19.1 8.7 7.7 0.8 2.3 4.6
13 Dec Third Cabinet of Donald Tusk takes office
CBOS 2–8 Dec 1,000 30 25 13 9 9 3 12 5
IPSOS / More in Common Polska 1–8 Dec 1,507 31 26 15 10 7 3 5 5
Opinia24 5–6 Dec 29.2 24.7 17.3 8.0 8.0 1.7 1.2 0.3 9.6 4.5
United Surveys / WP.pl 1–3 Dec 1,000 35.2 28.8 16.0 10.0 7.7 2.3 6.4
IBRiS / Rz 1–2 Dec 1,071 31.5 27.0 17.6[k] 9.3 9.0 1.8 3.8 4.5
CBOS 20–24 Nov 821 29 24 13 8 8 5 13 5
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Nov 1,000 31.3 26.7 14.4 10.4 9.1 2.2 5.9 4.6
Social Changes / wPolityce.pl 10–13 Nov 1,081 33 32 14 9 9 2 1 1
Pollster / “SE.pl” 7–8 Nov 1,014 35.34 30.77 16.68 6.90 7.01 1.36 1.75 0.19 4.57
United Surveys / WP.pl 3–5 Nov 1,000 33.2 30.4 16.1 8.5 6.0 0.3 5.5 2.8
IBRiS / Rz 3–5 Nov 1,071 32.6 29.2 15.4[l] 9.1 7.0 1.1 5.6 3.4
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–22 Oct 1,000 32.8 29.9 18.7 5.4 6.5 3.5 3.2 2.9
Parliamentary election [2] 15 Oct 21,596,674[2][c] 35.39 30.70 14.41 8.61 7.17 1.86 1.63 0.23 4.69

Alternative scenarios

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		KO Polska 2050 PSL Lewica Razem PiS Konfederacja KKP Others Don't know Lead
OGB 12–19 Jan 2026 1,000 40.87
205 		8.05
22 		28.00
137 		12.81
52 		10.27
44 		12.87
68 seats
Opinia24 / "GW" 4–7 Dec 2025 1,001 39.3
217 		3.5
0 		25.1
142 		13.7
64 		8.3
37 		3.9 6.2 14.2
75 seats
OGB 15–22 Oct 2025 1,000 46.73
236 		2.19
0 		28.70
142 		16.54
74 		5.84
8 		18.03
94 seats

Seat projection

231 seats are needed for a Sejm majority, while 276 seats are needed for a three-fifths Sejm supermajority to override presidential vetoes. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period 		Sample Size PiS KO Polska 2050 Centre PSL Lewica Razem Konfederacja KKP MN Majority KO+Lewica+PSL+
Polska 2050
United Surveys / WP.pl 27 Feb – 1 Mar 2026 1,000 140 188 0 0 32 0 63 37 0 Hung –10
IBRiS / Rz 27–28 Feb 2026 1,073 131 186 0 0 26 0 74 43 0 Hung –18
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–21 Feb 2026 1,000 122 183 0 0 13 29 0 67 46 0 Hung –5
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 Feb 2026 1,000 128 192 0 0 32 0 64 44 0 Hung –7
OGB 9–14 Feb 1,000 154 188 0 0 10 0 70 38 0 Hung –32
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 1,000 142 202 0 0 25 0 57 33 1 Hung –4
IBRiS / Rz 30–31 Jan 2026 1,067 131 183 0 15 32 0 61 38 0 Hung –1
IBRiS / Onet 20–21 Jan 2026 1,100 168 184 0 0 23 0 65 20 0 Hung –24
OGB 12–19 Jan 2026 1,000 149 215 0 0 0 0 55 41 0 Hung –16
United Surveys / WP.pl 16–18 Jan 2026 1,000 153 190 0 0 19 0 72 26 0 Hung –21
United Surveys / WP.pl 2–4 Jan 2026 1,000 149 182 0 0 33 0 53 43 0 Hung –15
United Surveys / WP.pl 19–21 Dec 2025 1,000 147 190 0 0 28 0 61 34 0 Hung –12
OGB 9–15 Dec 2025 1,000 178 191 0 0 0 0 43 48 0 Hung –39
United Surveys / WP.pl 5–8 Dec 2025 1,000 150 189 0 0 25 0 63 33 0 Hung –16
Opinia24 / "GW" 4–7 Dec 2025 1,001 149 197 0 0 0 0 68 46 0 Hung –34
OGB 22–25 Nov 2025 1,000 152 210 0 0 0 0 62 36 0 Hung –20
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Nov 2025 1,000 150 179 0 0 30 0 80 21 0 Hung –21
Research Partner 31 Oct – 3 Nov 2025 1,090 178 179 0 0 27 0 56 20 0 Hung –24
OGB 23–27 Oct 2025 1,000 154 218 0 0 0 0 70 18 0 Hung –12
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Oct 2025 1,000 161 189 0 0 26 0 60 24 0 Hung –15
OGB 15–22 Oct 2025 1,000 162 210 0 0 0 0 79 9 0 Hung –20
OGB 8–13 Oct 2025 1,000 162 193 0 0 0 0 81 24 0 Hung –37
United Surveys / WP.pl 10–12 Oct 2025 1,000 168 174 0 0 27 0 70 20 1 Hung –29
IBRiS / Onet 8–9 Oct 2025 1,100 170 176 0 0 23 0 78 13 0 Hung –31
Research Partner 26–29 Sep 2025 1,070 191 171 0 0 24 0 61 13 0 Hung –35
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Sep 2025 1,000 169 179 0 0 31 0 80 0 1 Hung –20
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–15 Sep 2025 1,000 178 189 0 0 24 0 69 0 0 Hung –17
OGB 2–9 Sep 2025 1,000 175 191 0 0 0 0 81 13 0 Hung –39
United Surveys / WP.pl 28 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 1,000 193 165 0 0 29 0 73 0 0 Hung –36
IBRiS / Onet 29–30 Aug 2025 1,100 182 167 0 0 31 0 80 0 0 Hung –32
Research Partner 22–25 Aug 2025 1,040 212 167 0 0 24 0 57 0 0 Hung –39
United Surveys / WP.pl 13–16 Aug 2025 1,000 169 174 0 0 18 0 99 0 0 Hung –38
OGB 6–13 Aug 2025 1,000 179 185 0 0 8 0 80 8 0 Hung –37
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Jul 2025 1,000 170 153 0 0 25 0 96 16 0 Hung –52
United Surveys / WP.pl 11–13 Jul 2025 1,000 186 178 0 0 28 0 68 0 0 Hung –24
OGB 4–11 Jul 2025 1,000 153 175 0 0 20 0 84 28 0 Hung –35
United Surveys / WP.pl 27–29 Jun 2025 1,000 177 158 0 0 26 14 84 0 1 Hung –46
IBRiS / Onet 23–24 Jun 2025 1,100 192 154 0 0 19 0 95 6 0 Hung –57
United Surveys / WP.pl 6–8 Jun 2025 1,000 166 185 0 17 12 79 1 Hung –28
IBRiS / Onet 26–27 May 2025 1,070 188 170 10 6 0 86 0 Hung –44
Opinia24 / Radio ZET 23–26 May 2025 1,021 182 179 0 15 0 84 0 Hung –36
IBRiS / Onet 12–13 May 2025 1,072 186 170 31 22 0 51 0 Hung –7
United Surveys / WP.pl 7 May 2025 1,000 167 192 0 32 0 69 0 Hung –6
United Surveys / WP.pl 28–29 Apr 2025 1,000 154 174 36 23 0 72 1 Hung 3
United Surveys / WP.pl 17–19 Apr 2025 1,000 168 162 31 30 0 68 1 Hung –7
United Surveys / WP.pl 4–6 Apr 2025 1,000 163 202 0 11 0 84 0 Hung –17
Pollster / Republika 3–4 Apr 2025 1,003 152 162 39 24 83 0 Hung –5
Research Partner 21–24 Mar 2025 1,060 182 177 0 26 75 0 Hung –27
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–23 Mar 2025 1,000 167 200 0 0 0 93 0 Hung –30
United Surveys / WP.pl 21–24 Feb 2025 1,000 151 176 28 26 0 78 1 Hung 0
Research Partner 21–24 Feb 2025 1,050 174 156 34 29 67 0 Hung –11
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–9 Feb 2025 1,000 166 179 31 24 0 59 0 Hung 4
Research Partner 24–27 Jan 2025 1,060 180 159 37 22 62 0 Hung –12
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Jan 2025 1,000 165 175 31 30 0 58 1 Hung 6
IBRiS / Rz 10–11 Jan 2025 1,068 184 167 35 18 0 57 0 Hung –10
Research Partner 8–11 Nov 2024 1,080 177 174 42 22 45 0 Hung 8
United Surveys / WP.pl 8–10 Nov 2024 1,000 172 186 33 23 45 1 Hung 12
United Surveys / WP.pl 25–27 Oct 2024 1,000 155 184 43 33 44 1 Hung 30
Opinia24 / "GW" 7–9 Oct 2024 1,000 188 185 23 10 54 0 Hung -12
Research Partner 13–16 Sep 2024 1,040 179 164 36 33 48 0 Hung 3
United Surveys / WP.pl 30 Aug – 1 Sep 2024 1,000 174 188 38 28 31 1 Hung 24
United Surveys / WP.pl 26–28 Jul 2024 1,000 153 183 46 40 38 0 Hung 39
IBRiS / Onet 24–25 Jul 2024 1,100 165 169 45 28 53 0 Hung 12
Research Partner 19–22 Jul 2024 1,040 174 168 34 28 56 0 Hung 0
IBRiS / Onet 18–19 Jun 2024 1,100 186 183 33 20 38 0 Hung 6
IBRiS 3 Jun 2024 1,067 179 174 48 25 34 0 Hung 17
Opinia24 13–14 May 2024 1,000 168 163 60 18 51 0 Hung 11
Research Partner 10–13 May 2024 1,051 180 156 51 33 39 1 Hung 10
United Surveys / WP.pl 19-21 Apr 2024 1,000 173 176 53 32 25 0 Hung 31
OGB 3–5 Apr 2024 1,000 189 175 53 0 42 1 Hung –2
IBRiS / Onet 4 Apr 2024 1,068 165 175 52 38 30 0 Hung 35
Research Partner 8–11 Mar 2024 1,088 180 170 42 35 33 0 Hung 17
IPSOS / OKO.press, TOK FM 22–26 Feb 2024 1,000 176 157 63 12 52 0 Hung 2
Pollster / TVP 15–16 Feb 2024 1,034 169 156 80 26 29 0 Hung 32
IBSP / Stan Polityki 12–15 Feb 2024 1,000 178 173 69 0 39 1 Hung 12
Research Partner 9–12 Feb 2024 1,081 176 159 66 40 19 1 Hung 35
IBRiS / Rz 12–13 Jan 2024 1,000 177 155 78 34 16 0 Hung 37
IBRiS / Onet 5–8 Jan 2024 1,000 194 166 67 29 4 0 Hung 32
Parliamentary election[2] 15 Oct 2023 21,596,674 [2][c] 194 157 65 26 18 0 Hung 18

Senate seats projection

51 seats are needed for a Senate majority, while 374 seats are needed for a two-thirds National Assembly (Senate + Sejm) supermajority to impeach the president. A supermajority for each house is shaded in scarlet red.

Polling Firm/Link Fieldwork
Period 		Sample Size Senate Pact PiS Konfederacja Majority
KO PSL Polska 2050 Lewica SP Ind
Research Partner 19–22 Jul 2024 1,040 70 30 0 20
Research Partner 9–12 Feb 2024 1,081 74 26 0 24
Parliamentary election[2] 15 Oct 2023 21,402,998 [2][m] 66 34 0 16

Government approval ratings

See also: Opinion polling on the Andrzej Duda presidency

President Karol Nawrocki

Main article: Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling on the Karol Nawrocki presidency § Approval rating.[]
Graphical summary of approval polls
Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know/Neutral Net approval
5–16 Feb 2026 CBOS 967 50 39 11 11
9–14 Feb 2026 OGB 1,000 48.82 36.36 14.82 12.46
10–11 Feb 2026 SW Research / Zero.pl 823 44.4 41.6 14.0 2.8
30 Jan – 1 Feb 2026 United Surveys / WP.pl[n] 1,000 51.1 46.1 2.8 5.0
28 Jan 2026 SW Research / Onet[o] 800 41.8 41.4 16.8 0.4
8–20 Jan 2026 CBOS 938 50 39 12 11
12–19 Jan 2026 OGB 1,000 50.6 37.4 12.1 13.2
31 Dec 2025–1 Jan 2026 Pollster / "SE.pl"[p] 1,002 55 45 10
9–15 Dec 2025 OGB 1,000 51.8 34.2 14.0 17.6
5–9 Dec 2025 Ipsos / Radio ZET[q] 1,000 38 38 21 3 Tie
27 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 CBOS 948 51 34 15 17
25–28 Nov 2025 OGB 1,000 49.7 34.8 15.5 14.9
25–26 Nov 2025 UCE Research / Onet 1,021 46.8 30.1 23.1 16.7
15–17 Nov 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,003 49 39 12 10
6–17 Nov 2025 CBOS 992 50 33 17 17
14–16 Nov 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 57.5 35.4 7.1 22.1
13–14 Nov 2025 Ariadna / WP.pl 1,050 50 34 16 16
7–8 Nov 2025 IBRiS / Rz 1,067 55.8 30.8 13.4 25.0
22–24 Oct 2025 Opinia24 / Polityka 1,001 53 26 21 27
8–13 Oct 2025 OGB 1,000 46.3 30.8 22.9 15.5
2–13 Oct 2025 CBOS 901 51 26 23 25
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 54 26 20 28
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 51.6 38.0 10.4 13.6
13–15 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 57.5 32.9 9.6 24.6
2–9 Sep 2025 OGB 1,000 47.5 33.2 19.3 14.3
2–3 Sep 2025 SW Research / Onet 830 42.9 32.2 24.9 10.7
28 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 45.2 44.8 10.0 0.4
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 44 30 26 14
6–13 Aug 2025 OGB 1,000 41.7 32.7 25.6 9.0

Prime Minister Donald Tusk

Main article: Opinion polling on the incumbent Tusk government § Prime Minister Donald Tusk
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling on the incumbent Tusk government § Prime Minister of Poland Donald Tusk.[]
Graphical summary of approval polls
Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know/Neutral Net approval
5–16 Feb 2026 CBOS 967 35 54 12 –19
8–20 Jan 2026 CBOS 938 36 53 11 –17
5–9 Dec 2025 Ipsos / Radio ZET[r] 1,000 27 51 19 –24
27 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 CBOS 948 36 54 10 –18
25–26 Nov 2025 UCE Research / Onet 1,021 33.1 42.6 24.6 –9.5
6–17 Nov 2025 CBOS 992 36 52 12 –16
2–13 Oct 2025 CBOS 901 33 57 10 –24
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 32 55 12 –23
19–20 Sep 2025 IBRiS / Onet 1,100 39.7 53.3 7.1 –13.6
13–15 Sep 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 48.4 47.6 4.0 0.8
21 Aug – 1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 32 58 10 –26
3–13 Jul 2025 CBOS 970 31 58 10 –27
5–15 Jun 2025 CBOS 971 32 58 10 –26
5–14 May 2025 CBOS 1,080 35 53 12 –18
5–8 May 2025 AtlasIntel 5,071 36.4 55.7 7.9 –19.3
3–13 Apr 2025 CBOS 1,030 37 51 12 –14
6–16 Mar 2025 CBOS 1,047 38 50 12 –12
6–16 Feb 2025 CBOS 965 37 51 12 –14
9–19 Jan 2025 CBOS 972 35 52 13 –17
20–22 Dec 2024 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 47.1 48.7 4.2 –1.6
28 Nov–8 Dec 2024 CBOS 915 36 54 10 –18
8–21 Nov 2024 CBOS 981 37 51 12 –14
3–13 Oct 2024 CBOS 1,025 36 50 14 –14
12–22 Sep 2024 CBOS 941 38 50 12 –12
14–25 Aug 2024 CBOS 939 35 53 13 –18
4–14 Jul 2024 CBOS 1,076 37 53 10 –16
10–20 Jun 2024 CBOS 1,055 40 47 13 –7
20 May–2 Jun 2024 CBOS 1,015 40 48 12 –8
8–18 Apr 2024 CBOS 1,079 41 48 11 –7
7–17 Mar 2024 CBOS 1,089 40 49 11 –11
8–18 Feb 2024 CBOS 994 43 47 10 –4
11–21 Jan 2024 CBOS 1,015 41 49 10 –8

Third Tusk government

Main article: Opinion polling on the incumbent Tusk government § Third Tusk government
This section is an excerpt from Opinion polling on the incumbent Tusk government § Third Cabinet of Donald Tusk.[]
Graphical summary of approval polls
Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Approve Disapprove Neither Don't know Net approval Notes
5–16 Feb 2026 CBOS 967 34 41 22 3 –7 Tusk's government
9–14 Feb 2026 OGB 1,000 30.0 47.2 22.8 –17.2 Tusk's government
8–20 Jan 2026 CBOS 938 33 42 22 3 –9 Tusk's government
12–19 Jan 2026 OGB 1,000 32.4 49.0 18.5 –16.6 Tusk's government
Dec 2025 Social Changes / wPolsce24 1,000 33 57 10 –24 The government
9–15 Dec 2025 OGB 1,000 30.37 53.09 16.54 –22.72 Tusk's government
7–11 Dec 2025 IBRiS / Polsat News 1,000 40.9 51.8 7.4 –8.5 Tusk's government
5–8 Dec 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 42.0 50.5 7.5 –8.5 PM and his cabinet
27 Nov – 8 Dec 2025 CBOS 948 33 42 23 2 –9 Tusk's government
25–28 Nov 2025 OGB 1,000 34.2 49.0 16.8 –14.8 Tusk's government
25–26 Nov 2025 SW Research / Wprost 844 27.9 39.2 25.1 7.8 –11.3 Tusk's government
6–17 Nov 2025 CBOS 992 34 41 22 3 –7 Tusk's government
10–13 Oct 2025 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 35.5 52.8 11.7 –17.3 Tusk's government
8–13 Oct 2025 OGB 1,000 24.5 51.8 23.7 –27.3 Tusk's government
2–13 Oct 2025 CBOS 901 31 45 20 3 –14 Tusk's government
11–22 Sep 2025 CBOS 969 29 46 20 4 –17 Tusk's government
2–9 Sep 2025 OGB 1,000 28.2 50.6 21.2 –22.4 Tusk's government
21 Aug–1 Sep 2025 CBOS 917 30 46 22 2 –16 Tusk's government
6–13 Aug 2025 OGB 1,000 23.5 55.6 20.9 –32.1 Tusk's government
3–13 Jul 2025 CBOS 970 32 48 17 3 –16 Tusk's government
4–11 Jul 2025 OGB 1,000 27.0 50.4 22.6 –23.4 Tusk's government
5–15 Jun 2025 CBOS 971 32 47 19 2 –15 Tusk's government
22–24 May 2025 OGB 800 33.18 46.76 20.06 –13.58 Tusk's government
5–14 May 2025 CBOS 1,080 32 44 20 4 –12 Tusk's government
5–8 May 2025 AtlasIntel 5,071 35.9 55.2 8.8 –19.3
3–13 Apr 2025 CBOS 1,030 34 40 22 4 –6 Tusk's government
6–16 Mar 2025 CBOS 1,047 36 38 23 3 –2 Tusk's government
17–21 Feb 2025 Opinia24 / RMF FM 972 31 57 12 –26 Tusk's government
6–16 Feb 2025 CBOS 965 36 39 21 3 –3 Tusk's government
9–19 Jan 2025 CBOS 972 31 43 23 3 –12 Tusk's government
6–8 Dec 2024 United Surveys / DGP, RMF 1,000 34.6 51.4 8.9 –16.8 Tusk's government
28 Nov–8 Dec 2024 CBOS 915 32 40 24 4 –8 Tusk's government
8–21 Nov 2024 CBOS 981 34 40 24 2 –6 Tusk's government
Oct 2024 United Surveys / DGP, RMF – 38.1 32.5 27.6 1.8 5.6 Tusk's government
3–13 Oct 2024 CBOS 1,025 34 39 24 3 –5 Tusk's government
11–12 Oct 2024 IBRiS / Onet 1,071 42.8 53.4 3.8 –10.6 The government
12–22 Sep 2024 CBOS 941 35 38 23 4 –3 Tusk's government
10–20 Sep 2024 IPSOS / More in Common Polska 1,504 27 39 34 –12 Government of KO, TD and The Left
14–25 Aug 2024 CBOS 939 32 40 25 3 –8 Tusk's government
4–14 Jul 2024 CBOS 1,076 33 40 24 3 –7 Tusk's government
10–20 Jun 2024 CBOS 1,055 36 36 26 3 Tie Tusk's government
7–9 Jun 2024 United Surveys / DGP, RMF 1,000 34.5 32.5 32.2 0.9 2.0 Tusk's government
20 May–2 Jun 2024 CBOS 1,015 37 37 24 2 Tie Tusk's government
10–12 May 2024 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 50.1 46.2 3.7 3.9 Tusk's government
8–18 Apr 2024 CBOS 1,079 35 37 25 3 –2 Tusk's government
7–17 Mar 2024 CBOS 1,089 37 38 22 3 –1 Tusk's government
8–18 Feb 2024 CBOS 994 41 34 22 3 7 Tusk's government
11–21 Jan 2024 CBOS 1,015 39 39 19 3 Tie Tusk's government
12–14 Jan 2024 United Surveys / WP.pl 1,000 54.5 40.3 5.2 14.2 Tusk's government
12–13 Jan 2024 IBRiS / Rz 1,067 56.3 36.9 6.8 19.4 Tusk's government

School grade scale rankings

In Poland, school grades range from 1 (worst) to 6 (best).

Date(s)
conducted 		Polling firm/Link Sample size Subject 1 2 3 4 5 6 Don't know/Neutral Mean
10–11 Feb 2026 SW Research / Rz 800 Marshal Włodzimierz Czarzasty 15.8 11.3 14.7 18.2 11.8 7.8 20.3 3.28
5–9 Dec 2025 Ipsos / Radio ZET 1,000 Third Tusk Government 24 17 22 19 7 3 9 2.75
11–12 Oct 2025 Pollster / "SE.pl" 1,002 PM Donald Tusk 33 15 16 17 11 5 3 2.72
2–3 Sep 2025 SW Research / Rz 800 President Karol Nawrocki 21.9 13.3 9.3 16.4 15.5 13.1 10.5 3.33
10–11 Jun 2025 SW Research / Rz 800 Marshal Szymon Hołownia 18.4 25.3 19.7 21.2 7.0 1.0 7.4 2.74

Leadership polling

Law and Justice prime ministerial candidate preference

Polling firm/Link Fieldwork
date 		Sample
size 		Sample Mariusz
Błaszczak 		Tobiasz
Bocheński 		Zbigniew
Bogucki 		Przemysław
Czarnek 		Andrzej
Duda 		Patryk
Jaki 		Jarosław
Kaczyński 		Mateusz
Morawiecki 		Kacper
Płażyński 		Paweł
Szefernaker 		Beata
Szydło 		Others None of the above Don't know
SW Research / Wprost 3–4 Mar 2026 833 All voters 5.2 8.2 12.0 28.0[s] 37.8
Pollster / "SE.pl" PiS voters 11 11 19 11 41 7[t]
United Surveys / WP.pl 20–21 Feb 2026 1,000 All voters 1.8 1.4 4.5 5.6 9 13 31 2 0.4 19.1 12.3
PiS voters 1 3 11 10 11 25 26 3 1 8 1
SW Research / Rz 20–21 Jan 2026 800 All voters 5.0 6.9 14.0 4.1 5.4 41.3 23.3
SW Research / Onet 14 Jan 2026 820 All voters 7.5 9.1 7.9 14.9 60.6
United Surveys / WP.pl 24–26 Oct 2025 1,000 All voters 1.8 16.0 8.8 22.7 3.3 20.2[u] 27.2
IBRiS / Onet[v] 8–9 Oct 2025 1,100 All voters 1.0 4.3 3.7 1.5 27.5 29.4[w] 32.6

Notes

  1. ^ Sum of individual polling results of the following parties:
      Coalition
      PiS+KWiN
      Razem
      Confederation of the Polish Crown
      Coalition+Razem
      Right opposition
      Parliamentary opposition
  2. ^ Free Republicans – 1
  3. ^ a b c d e Turnout: 74.38%
  4. ^ a b Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy: 1.86%
    There is One Poland: 1.63%
    German Minority Electoral Committee: 0.12%
    Prosperity and Peace Movement: 0.12%
    Normal Country: 0.02%
    Anti-party: 0.01%
    Repair Poland Movement: 0.003%
  5. ^ New Wave – 1.6, Nonpartisans – 0.4
  6. ^ Bezpartyjni Samorządowcy – 0.5
  7. ^ Poland 2050 – 6.7, Polish People's Party – 4.1
  8. ^ hypothetical party of Andrzej Duda – 9.20
  9. ^ Poland 2050 – 8.80, Polish People's Party – 1.67
  10. ^ Sovereign Poland – 4
  11. ^ Poland 2050 – 10.3, Polish People's Party – 7.3
  12. ^ Polish People's Party – 7.8, Poland 2050 – 7.6
  13. ^ Turnout: 74.31%
  14. ^ Question wording: "How do you rate Karol Nawrocki after half a year as president of Poland?"
  15. ^ Question wording: "Does Karol Nawrocki fulfill your expectations as president of Poland?"
  16. ^ Question wording: "How do you rate half a year of Karol Nawrocki as president?"
  17. ^ Question wording: "How do you rate Karol Nawrocki as a politician?"
  18. ^ Question wording: "How do you rate ... as a politician?"
  19. ^ Others — 22.6, Anna Krupka — 5.4
  20. ^ Others — 4, Tomasz Szatkowski — 3
  21. ^ Others — 19.1, Joachim Brudziński — 0.9, Elżbieta Witek — 0.2
  22. ^ Question wording: "If in two years PiS and Confederation form a new government after a parliamentary election, who should become the Prime Minister?"
  23. ^ Others — 2.5, Krzysztof Bosak (KWiN) — 14.3, Sławomir Mentzen (KWiN) — 11.6, Przemysław Wipler (KWiN) — 1.0

References

  1. ^ "Sejm of the Republic of Poland". www.sejm.gov.pl. Retrieved 2023-10-25.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l "Wybory do Sejmu i Senatu Rzeczypospolitej Polskiej w 2023 r." wybory.gov.pl (in Polish). Retrieved 2023-10-25.
  3. ^ "Koniec Trzeciej Drogi. Szef PSL: miało być trochę inaczej". tvn24.pl (in Polish). 2025-06-17. Retrieved 2025-06-18.
  4. ^ "Dwóch posłów opuszcza klub parlamentarny Konfederacji. To ludzie Grzegorza Brauna". wp.pl (in Polish). 10 March 2025. Retrieved 29 May 2025.
allikas: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_next_Polish_parliamentary_election