A spring budget statement was delivered to the House of Commons by Rachel Reeves, the chancellor of the exchequer, on 26 March 2025.[1]

Background

The 2024 general election resulted in a Labour landslide.[2] Rachel Reeves presented her first budget as Chancellor in October 2024.[3][4] Subsequently, economic growth was less than expected and government bond yields and inflation rose.[5]

The spring statement was expected to focus on public finances, economic growth and the cost of living crisis.[6] The proposed spending cuts were presented to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) on 5 March.[7] On 8 March, ITV News reported that large cuts would be in the statement.[8] Keir Starmer said that he would be "ruthless" in cutting benefits on a visit to Ukraine.[9] These cuts are intended to allow increased defence spending.[10] The Chancellor ruled out further tax rises.[11] Ministers have made the "moral case" for reform.[12] Billions of pounds in welfare cuts were predicted.[13][14] The government had described this as "reducing the welfare bill by getting people off benefits and into work".[15] There were fears from his own MPs of a return to austerity.[16]

There was speculation that Reeves might extend the freeze on tax thresholds beyond 2028.[17] Changes to inheritance tax and Individual Savings Accounts were also expected.[18][19] Expanding of VAT on private school fees for nurseries or university education or private healthcare have been suggested.[20] Spending cuts to government departments is a suggested way of stabilising public finances according to the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR).[21] Proposed cuts have been supported by the opposition Conservatives.[22] Cuts to Personal Independence Payment have been controversial among Labour MPs.[23][24] Also criticised were David Lammy's cuts to foreign aid.[25] Rachael Maskell warned ministers against "draconian cuts".[26] Former Shadow Chancellor John McDonnell vocally opposes cuts to the Department for Work and Pensions.[27] Secretary of State for Work and Pensions Liz Kendall has pledged large scale reform.[28] She will present a green paper on welfare reform, the largest changes in over a decade.[29][30][31]

Charities including The Trussell Trust, Scope, and Mind wrote a letter to the government opposing the cuts.[32] Many of the new Labour MPs elected at the 2024 general election had campaigned in opposition to Conservative austerity and welfare cuts.[33] 80 MPs were reported as possible rebels on the vote,[34] which would be the biggest rebellion of the Starmer premiership so far.[35] These rebels had been previously critical of the cuts to the winter fuel allowance and the retention of the two-child benefit cap.[36]

On 12 March, the anticipation of welfare changes the issue was raised in Prime Minister's Questions by Ed Davey and Richard Burgon.[37] The same day, all 404 Labour MPs were summoned to Downing Street for a briefing on the spring statement.[38] This vote is considered a significant test of loyalty.[39] The welfare reform is supported by the "Get Britain Working Group" set up by David Pinto-Duschinsky.[40] A letter in support of Liz Kendall's proposals was signed by 36 Labour MPs.[41] Stoke-on-Trent South MP Allison Gardner said her name was added erroneously to the letter.[42] Scottish Labour signatories included Graeme Downie, Blair McDougall, Frank McNally, Gregor Poynton and Joani Reid.[43]

On 17 March, Reeves met with industry regulators.[44] She is expected to announce more plans for cutting regulations, including environmental measures, and abolishing quangos.[44] Starmer and Reeves are under pressure from MPs and charities over benefit changes.[45] Diane Abbott said a wealth tax would be better as cutting disability benefits is "not a Labour thing to do".[46] Treasury minister Emma Reynolds said "there will always be a safety net for the most vulnerable".[47] The proposed cuts will amount to £5–6 billion.[48]

An Institute for Fiscal Studies report showed that the number of people claiming health-related benefits has grown since the COVID-19 pandemic.[49] Between 2002 and 2024, the number of 16–64-year-olds claiming disability benefits increased from 360,000 to 1.28 million.[50] On 21 March, Reeves pledged no return to "tax and spend".[51] This was amid potential cuts to Universal Credit and the Personal Independence Payment.[52]

On 25 March 2025, BBC News Online reported that unannounced cuts to benefits and government departments would be made.[53]

The statement

The spring statement was made at 12:30pm in the House of Commons.[54][failed verification] There was emphasis on increasing defence spending.[53] Major welfare announcements included restrictions on universal credit and its health-related element in particular, and eligibility for personal independence payments. The health-related element of universal credit will no longer be available to young people aged under 22.[55] 10,000 Civil Service jobs are set to be cut.[56] Late payment penalties related to VAT and self-assessed income tax liabilities will be increased from 6 April 2025: the new rates will be 3% of the tax outstanding where tax is overdue by 15 days, a further 3% where either tax is overdue by 30 days, and an additional 10% per annum where either tax is overdue by 31 days or more.[57]

References

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  2. ^ "General election 2024 results in maps and charts". www.bbc.com. 6 July 2024. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
  3. ^ "Spring Statement: What will be in chancellor Rachel Reeves plan?". BBC News. 9 March 2025. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
  4. ^ "Reeves's tax hikes 'triggering redundancies and record low in business confidence'". The Independent. 17 February 2025. Retrieved 13 March 2025.
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  6. ^ "What to Expect from the Chancellor's Spring Statement 2025". Charlton Baker. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
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  10. ^ "Labour MPs Raise Alarm Over Benefit Cuts". Politics Home. 6 March 2025. Retrieved 11 March 2025.
  11. ^ Vaughan, Richard; Merrick, Jane; Singh, Arj; Gye, Hugo (8 March 2025). "'We can't f**k around with benefits': Labour splits over how to pay defence bill". The i Paper. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
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  15. ^ Vaughan, Richard; Hazell, Will (23 February 2025). "Benefits and foreign aid cuts needed to fund extra defence spending, Labour MPs say". The i Paper. Retrieved 17 March 2025.
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