2025 Ontario general election

2025 Ontario general election
← 2022 February 27, 2025 Next →
← outgoing members elected members →
124 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario; 63 seats needed for a majority
	Opinion polls
Turnout	45.40% (1.34 pp)
	Popular vote by riding. As this is an FPTP election, seat totals are not determined by popular vote, but instead by the result in each riding.
	Composition of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario after the election
Premier before election; Doug Ford; Progressive Conservative	Premier after election ; Doug Ford; Progressive Conservative

General elections were held on February 27, 2025, to elect the 124 members of the 44th Parliament of Ontario.^[2] Premier Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives were re-elected to a third consecutive majority government, the first time a party has done so since 1959.^[3] The PCs increased their vote share to 43%, however lost three seats compared to 2022.^[4] The New Democratic Party led by Marit Stiles retained its status as the Official Opposition,^[5] albeit with four fewer seats than in 2022 and while finishing a distant third in the popular vote. The Ontario Liberal Party finished second in the popular vote but won just fourteen seats, remaining in third place in terms of seat count since 2018, although this five-seat increase was enough for the Liberals to regain official party status in the legislature for the first time since 2018. Liberal leader Bonnie Crombie however failed to win her seat in Mississauga East—Cooksville, losing to the PC candidate.

The Greens held their two seats, including leader Mike Schreiner, although suffering a slight drop in popularity. Incumbent independent MPP Bobbi Ann Brady held her seat in Haldimand-Norfolk, winning the second-largest margin in the province.^[6]

Background

Under the Ontario Elections Act, general elections must be held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election.^[7] As the previous election was held on June 2, 2022, this election was anticipated to be held on June 4, 2026. However, it had been speculated since early 2024 that Premier Doug Ford would call a snap election to take advantage of a lead in the polls and fundraising, as well as a desire to hold the election before the next federal election, which, at that time, the federal Conservative Party under Pierre Poilievre was considered extremely likely to win.^[8]^[9] This speculation was fueled in May 2024, when Ford refused to commit to the June 2026 date when asked by reporters at multiple press conferences for confirmation.^[10]^[11]^[12]^[8]

On January 23, 2025, multiple news outlets reported that Ford would visit Edith Dumont, the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario, on January 29 to ask for the 43rd Provincial Parliament to be dissolved, triggering an election to be held on February 27.^[13]^[14]^[15] This speculation was confirmed by Ford at a press conference on January 24.^[16] On January 28, he met with Dumont; the Provincial Parliament was formally dissolved, with a writ of election issued the next day.^[17]^[2]^[18] The election cost approximately $189 million.^[19]^[20]

Electoral districts

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015^[21] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,^[22] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.^[23]^[24] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.^[25]

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario was allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons. On August 1, 2024, Premier Ford announced that Ontario would break with recent tradition and not adopt the federal electoral boundary changes for the next provincial election.^[26] As Northern Ontario lost a seat in the federal process, further adjustments would have been needed to maintain their extra provincial representation, which would have resulted in an extra additional riding.^[27]

Timeline

2022

June 2: The Progressive Conservative Party of Ontario under Doug Ford won a second majority government in the 43rd Ontario general election. New Democratic Party leader Andrea Horwath and Liberal leader Steven Del Duca both announced their resignation on election night.^[28]
June 28: Toronto—Danforth MPP Peter Tabuns was named interim leader of the NDP, becoming Leader of the Official Opposition.^[29]
August 3: Ottawa South MPP John Fraser was named interim leader of the Liberals.^[30]^[31]

2023

February 4: Marit Stiles was declared leader of the NDP, and became Leader of the Official Opposition.^[32]^[33]^[34]
December 2: Bonnie Crombie was elected leader of the Liberals.^[35]

2025

January 28: The lieutenant governor dissolves the Legislature.
January 29: Writs of election are issued, officially starting the campaign.
February 13: Nominations close.
February 14: First leaders' debate, organized by Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities.^[36]
February 17: Second leaders' debate, organized by Broadcast Consortium.
February 27: Election day.

Seat changes

43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario - Movement in seats held up to the election (2022–2025)
Party		2022	Gain/(loss) due to					2025
Party		2022	Resignation as MPP	Resignation from caucus	Expulsion	Byelection gain	Byelection hold	2025
	Progressive Conservative	83	(4)	(2)	(1)		3	79
	New Democratic	31	(2)		(2)		1	28
	Liberal	8	(1)			1	1	9
	Green	1				1		2
	Independent	1		2	3			6
Total		124	(7)	–	–	2	5	124

Changes in seats held since June 2, 2022
Seat	Before				Change
Seat	Date	Member	Party	Reason	Date	Member	Party
Hamilton Centre	August 15, 2022	Andrea Horwath^[37]^[38]	█ New Democratic	Resignation from legislature.^{[a 1]}	March 16, 2023	Sarah Jama^[39]	█ New Democratic
Don Valley North	March 10, 2023	Vincent Ke^[40]	█ PC	Resignation from caucus.^{[a 2]}			█ Independent
Kanata—Carleton	March 24, 2023	Merrilee Fullerton^[41]	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.	July 27, 2023	Karen McCrimmon^[42]	█ Liberal
Algoma—Manitoulin	March 31, 2023	Michael Mantha^[43]	█ New Democratic	Expelled from caucus.^{[a 3]}			█ Independent
Scarborough—Guildwood	May 10, 2023	Mitzie Hunter^[44]	█ Liberal	Resignation from legislature.^{[a 4]}	July 27, 2023	Andrea Hazell^[45]	█ Liberal
Kitchener Centre	July 13, 2023	Laura Mae Lindo^[46]^[47]	█ New Democratic	Resignation from legislature.^{[a 5]}	November 30, 2023	Aislinn Clancy^[48]	█ Green
Mississauga East—Cooksville	September 20, 2023	Kaleed Rasheed^[49]	█ PC	Resignation from caucus.^{[a 6]}			█ Independent
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	September 22, 2023	Monte McNaughton^[50]	█ PC	Resignation from legislature^{[a 7]}	May 2, 2024	Steve Pinsonneault	█ PC
Hamilton Centre	October 23, 2023	Sarah Jama^[51]	█ New Democratic	Expelled from caucus.^{[a 8]}			█ Independent
Milton	January 25, 2024	Parm Gill^[52]	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.^{[a 9]}	May 2, 2024	Zee Hamid	█ PC
Carleton	June 28, 2024	Goldie Ghamari^[53]	█ PC	Expelled from caucus.^{[a 10]}			█ Independent
Bay of Quinte	August 16, 2024	Todd Smith^[54]	█ PC	Resignation from legislature.^{[a 7]}	September 19, 2024	Tyler Allsopp	█ PC

^ to run for Mayor of Hamilton.
^ due to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.
^ over workplace misconduct allegations.
^ to run for Mayor of Toronto.
^ to accept position at the University of Waterloo
^ after contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.
^ ^a ^b to accept position in the private sector
^ over comments made regarding the Gaza war
^ to run in the next federal election
^ after meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

By-election results

Analysis of byelections by turnout and vote share for winning candidate (vs 2022)
Riding and winning party			Turnout		Vote share for winning candidate
Riding and winning party			%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)
Hamilton Centre	█ New Democratic	Hold	21.97	−15.97	54.28	−2.98
Kanata—Carleton	█ Liberal	Gain	35.14	−16.24	34.53	20.44
Scarborough—Guildwood	█ Liberal	Hold	21.84	−19.79	36.55	−9.75
Kitchener Centre	█ Green	Gain	27.28	−18.94	47.99	35.19
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	30.25	−17.08	56.85	−1.96
Milton	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	27.72	−14.99	47.04	3.97
Bay of Quinte	█ Progressive Conservative	Hold	38.45	−7.46	38.69	−10.61

Candidates

Incumbents not standing for re-election

As of the candidate nomination deadline, 12 incumbent MPPs chose not to run in the 2025 Ontario election:

Electoral district		Date announced
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	Rick Byers^[55]	September 10, 2024
Carleton	Goldie Ghamari^{[a 1]}^[56]	January 31, 2025
Eglinton—Lawrence	Robin Martin^[57]	November 1, 2024
Hamilton Mountain	Monique Taylor^[58]	September 9, 2024
Mississauga East—Cooksville	Kaleed Rasheed^{[a 1]}^[59]	October 11, 2024
Nepean	Lisa MacLeod^[60]	September 13, 2024
Ottawa Centre	Joel Harden^[58]	March 15, 2024
Parkdale—High Park	Bhutila Karpoche^[58]	September 29, 2024
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke	John Yakabuski^[61]	November 20, 2024
Sault Ste. Marie	Ross Romano^[62]	December 12, 2024
Wellington—Halton Hills	Ted Arnott^[63]	October 15, 2024
York South—Weston	Michael Ford^[64]	January 24, 2025

^ ^a ^b Previously elected as Progressive Conservative

Campaign

Ford's PCs launched their campaign in Windsor, in front of the Ambassador Bridge. Stiles' NDP launched their campaign in Toronto, while Crombie's Liberals launched their campaign in Barrie. Schreiner's Greens launched their campaign with a speech in Queen's Park.^[65]

Contests

Candidate contests in the ridings
Candidates nominated	Ridings	Party
Candidates nominated	Ridings	PC	Green	NDP	Lib	NB	Ont	Ind	Ltn	NOTA	Mod	Oth	Totals
3	1	1	1		1								3
4	5	5	5	5	5								20
5	30	30	30	30	30	24		1		1	1	3	150
6	44	44	44	44	43	40	17	9	5	4	4	10	264
7	24	24	24	24	24	24	13	18	2	4	3	8	168
8	17	17	17	17	17	17	11	9	8	4	3	16	136
9	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	4	2		1	2	27
Total	124	124	124	123	123	108	44	41	17	13	12	39	768

Issues

In January 2025, Ford began to state that he would need a "clear mandate" from voters to respond to the tariffs on Canadian imports to the United States threatened by the newly re-elected President Donald Trump.^[66]^[67] A video taken on the day of the 2024 US presidential election was later released showing Ford stating that he was "100% happy" that Trump won, until Trump threatened tariffs on Canada.^[68]

2025 Ontario election – issues and respective party platforms
Issue	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green
Education		Invest an additional $830 million a year to clear the repair backlog within 10 years while keeping up with school maintenance needs.^[69] Create a universal School Food Program and use fresh food prepared and grown in Ontario. End the practice of streaming. Invest in Francophone education in French school boards and French immersion programs in the English system. More school transportation funding.		Clearing the backlog in school repairs, supporting students with special needs, and extending OHIP to cover mental health care.^[70]
Energy and Environment	Permanently cutting the provincial tax on gas by 5.7 cents per litre and on diesel by 5.3 cents.			Working with Indigenous communities to conserve 30% of natural areas by 2030. End reliance on fossil fuels, invest in low-cost renewables and build climate-friendly transit options.^[71]
Healthcare	Investing $1.8 billion more to connect everyone in Ontario to a family doctor and primary care.	Hiring of at least 15,000 nurses over the next three years to ensure safe staffing ratios and end the reliance on private agencies.^[72] Expand healthcare in Northern Ontario by hiring 350 doctors, including 200 family physicians and 150 specialists. Establish a Northern Command Centre to manage capacity across the North. Fast-track solutions in the first 100 days—more family health teams, shorter specialist wait times, and flexible care options. Clear the path for 13,000 internationally trained doctors and increase residency spots province-wide.^[73]	Guarantee a Family Doctor for all Ontarians by 2029.^[74]	Two new hospitals in Huntsville and Bracebridge.
Housing		Create 60,000 new supportive housing units.^[75] Double the supply of permanently affordable homes, legalize fourplexes and increase density around transit, and provide funding for non-profit and co-op housing providers. Reintroduce rent control, stopping unethical evictions. Upload shelter funding to the provincial government.^[76]	Eliminating the provincial Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers, seniors downsizing, and non-profit home builders.^[77] Scrapping Development Charges on new middle-class housing, which can add up to $170,000 on the price of a new home, and replacing them with a Better Communities Fund to ensure that the province invests in and benefits from sustainable municipal growth.^[78] Introducing fair, phased-in rent control similar to Manitoba, resolving Landlord-Tenant Board disputes within two months, and establishing the Rental Emergency Support for Tenants (REST) Fund to help vulnerable renters avoid eviction during financial emergencies.^[79]	Allowing for the construction of fourplexes and four-storey buildings as of right across the province and sixplexes in cities over 500,000, and midrise buildings of up to 6-11 storeys on transit corridors and main streets. Removing development charges on homes, condos and apartment units under 2,000 square feet that are built within urban boundaries, and creating an Affordable Communities Fund to cover municipalities’ housing infrastructure costs. Removing the Land Transfer Tax for first-time homebuyers.^[80]
Agriculture				Immediately increasing funding to expand business risk management programs by $150 million annually. Prioritizing Ontario-grown food by developing local procurement guidelines for public sector purchases, and establishing a fund to increase local processing capacity. Creating an AgTech Innovation Fund. Introducing a provincial program to pay farmers for environmental goods and services by working with organizations such as ALUS (Alternative Land Use Services). Establish an Ontario Foodbelt to protect farmland.^[81]
Infrastructure	Investing up to $15 billion more over three years to speed up key capital projects, including widening the QEW between Burlington and St. Catharines.^[82] Providing another $5 billion for the Building Ontario Fund, for a total of $8 billion, to invest in housing, long-term care, energy, transportation and municipal infrastructure projects. Increasing the Community Sport and Recreation Fund by $300 million to help build more rinks, arenas, sports centres and other community infrastructure. $56 million to upgrade and repair Highway 174 prior to it being uploaded to the province.^[83] $50 million to upgrade rural roads and highways outside the downtown core.
Social assistance		Double ODSP payments.^[84] Overhaul WSIB. Expand workers’ health care benefits so they can receive the treatments they need, including mental health care.^[85] Create a Monthly Grocery Rebate Forcing large retailers to publicly post when they raise prices more than two per cent in a week. New watchdog to enforce competition laws and keep food prices fair.^[86]	Double ODSP payments.^[87]
Taxation			Cut the income tax rate for the middle-class.^[88] Eliminate sales tax (HST) on home heating and hydro bills.
Transportation	Investing more than $200 billion to build roads, highways, transit and other infrastructure projects while investing over $2.5 billion to train more than one million people for better jobs and bigger paycheques in the skilled trades. Upload the upload Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government. More than $50 million to design and build a new interchange at Highway 416 and Barnsdale Road. $80 million to support the Kanata North Transitway. Taking tolls off Highway 407 East, which runs between Brock Road in Pickering and Highway 115 in Clarington. Legislation to ban use of congestion pricing on all provincial and municipal roadways.^[89]		Upload the Ottawa LRT system to the provincial government.^[90]
Tariff response	$10 billion in cash-flow support for Ontario employers.^[91] $3 billion in payroll tax and premium relief. $120 million to support approximately 18,000 bars and restaurants. $40 million for a new Trade-Impacted Communities Program. $300 million to expand the Ontario Made Manufacturing Investment Tax Credit. $600 million for the Invest Ontario Fund.	Create a Premier's Task Force on the Economy with business, labour and civil society.^[92] Invest in retraining opportunities in post-secondary and the skilled trades. Removing the cap from the Risk Management Program. Promote interprovincial cooperation and break down trade barriers. Launch a Buy Ontario campaign to promote Ontario goods. Direct Ontario government-funded agencies to procure locally. Negotiate a joint federal-provincial income assistance program to support people whose livelihoods are impacted by tariffs. Support Canada's national tariff response.	Offer a bonus to nurses and doctors who return to Canada from the U.S. Remove the hidden tax on home building and introduce phased-in rent control. Cut the small business tax rate in half, 3.2% to 1.6%, and increase the eligible income threshold. End the Starlink contract with the provincial government.^[93]	Immediately create a ‘tariff taskforce’ that works across party, jurisdictional and sectoral lines to defend Ontario workers, jobs and companies in trade negotiations. Create an investment tax credit. Create a Protect Ontario Fund for businesses disproportionately impacted by tariffs.^[94]

Party slogans

Party	English	French (translation)
█ PC	"Protect Ontario"	Unofficial: "Protéger l'Ontario"^[95]
█ New Democratic	"On Your Side"	"À vos côtés"^[95]
█ Liberal	"More For You"^[96]	"Plus Pour Vous"
█ Green	"People Before Profits"^[97]

Endorsements

Endorsements received by each party
Type	PC	NDP	Liberal
Media		Toronto Star^[98] endorsed the NDP, Liberals, and Greens, and encouraged Ontarians to vote strategically to prevent a PC majority
Politicians and public figures	Kevin Ashe, Mayor of Pickering (2022–present)^[99] Dave Barton, Mayor of Uxbridge (2022–present)^[100] Rob Burton, Mayor of Oakville (2006–present)^[101] Patrick Brown, Mayor of Brampton (2018–present)^[102] Frank Campion, Mayor of Welland (2014–present)^[103] Dan Carter, Mayor of Oshawa (2018–present)^[104] Drew Dilkens, Mayor of Windsor (2014–present)^[105] Jim Diodati, Mayor of Niagara Falls (2010–present)^[103] Adrian Foster, Mayor of Clarington (2010–present)^[106] Bill Gordon, Mayor of Midland (2022–present)^[107] Tim Houston, Premier of Nova Scotia (2021–present)^[108] Gordon Krantz, Mayor of Milton (1980–present)^[109] James Leduc, Mayor of Bradford West Gwillimbury (2022–present)^[110] Don McIsaac, Mayor of Orillia (2022–present)^[111] Peter McCallion, son of Hazel McCallion, former candidate for mayor of Mississauga (2023)^[112] Alex Nuttall, Mayor of Barrie (2022–present)^[113] Mat Siscoe, Mayor of St. Catharines (2022–present)^[103]	Jim Dinn, Leader of the Newfoundland and Labrador New Democratic Party (2023–present)^[114] Peter Julian, Member of Parliament for New Westminster—Burnaby (2004–present)^[115] Jean Yoon, actress^[116]	Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of Canada (2008–2013), candidate for leader of the Liberal Party of Canada (2025)^[117] Chrystia Freeland, Deputy Prime Minister of Canada (2019–2024), Member of Parliament for University—Rosedale (2013–present), candidate for leader of the Liberal Party of Canada (2025)^[118] Marc Serre, Member of Parliament for Nickel Belt (2015–present)^[119] Viviane Lapointe, Member of Parliament for Sudbury (2021–present)^[119]
Unions and business associations	Brick and Allied Craft Union of Canada^[120] Carpenters' Regional Council^[121] Grain Farmers of Ontario^[122] Greater Toronto Sewer & Watermain Contractors Association (GTSWCA)^[123] International Brotherhood of Boilermakers (IBB)^[124] International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Construction Council of Ontario (IBEW CCO)^[125] International Association of Heat and Frost Insulators and Allied Workers^[126] International Union of Operating Engineers Local 793 (IUOE)^[127] International Union of Painters and Allied Trades, DC46^[128] Laborers' International Union of North America (LiUNA)^[129] Ontario General Contractors Association (OGCA)^[130] Ontario Pipe Trades Council (OPTC)^[131] Ontario Professional Firefighters Association (OPFFA)^[132] Ontario Provincial Police Association (OPPA)^[133] Ontario Road Builders' Association (ORBA)^[134] Ontario Sheet Metal Workers' & Roofers' Conference (OSMWRC)^[135] Operative Plasterers' and Cement Masons' International Association Local 598 (OPCMIA)^[136] Police Association of Ontario (PAO)^[133] Residential and Civil Construction Alliance of Ontario (RCCAO)^[137] Toronto Police Association (TPA)^[133] United Association Local 787, HVACR Workers of Ontario^[138] Unifor Local 1285^[139] Unifor Local 29-X^[140] Unifor Local 47^[141] Unite Here! Local 75^[142]	Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now Ontario (ACORN)^[143] Amalgamated Transit Union Canada (ATU)^[144] Brantford and District Labour Council (BDLC)^[145] Canadian Labour Congress (CLC)^[146] Canadian Office and Professional Employees Union (COPE) Canadian Union of Public Employees Ontario (CUPE)^[147] International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers (IAMAW)^[148] London and District Labour Council (LDLC)^[149] Niagara Regional Labour Council (NRLC) Ontario Federation of Labour (OFL)^[150] Ontario Secondary School Teachers' Federation (OSSTF)^[151] Ontario Nurses' Association (ONA)^[72]^[152] Ontario Public Service Employees Union (OPSEU)^[153] Sarnia and District Labour Council (SDLC)^[154] Sudbury and District Labour Council (SDLC)^[155] United Steelworkers^[156] ETFO Thames Valley Teacher Local (TVOT)^[157] Thunder Bay and District Labour Council (TBDLC)^[158] Toronto Elementary Catholic Teachers (TECT)^[159] Windsor and District Labour Council (WDLC)^[160]

Debates

Date	Time (EST)	Organiser(s)	Moderator	Location	Language	Participants
						PC	NDP	Lib.	Green

February 14, 2025	1:00 p.m.	Federation of Northern Ontario Municipalities^[161]	Markus Schwabe^[162]	North Bay	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 17, 2025	6:30 p.m.	Broadcast Consortium	David Common^[163]	Toronto	English	Present Ford	Present Stiles	Present Crombie	Present Schreiner
February 19, 2025	8:00 p.m.	TFO and Radio-Canada^[164]	Sandra Padovani and Sébastien St-François	Ottawa	French	Present Mulroney	Present Gélinas	Present Collard	Present Petersen

Results

Choropleth map of results
Cartogram view of results

Elections to the 44th Parliament of Ontario (2025)^[165]
Party		Leader	Candidates	Votes				Seats
Party		Leader	Candidates	#	±	%	Change (pp)	2022	2025	±
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Ford	124	2,159,060	239,155	42.99	2.16	83	80 / 124	3
	Liberal	Bonnie Crombie	123	1,505,093	381,028	29.97	6.06	8	14 / 124	6
	New Democratic	Marit Stiles	123	931,016	185,367	18.54	-5.20	31	27 / 124	4
	Green	Mike Schreiner	124	242,320	37,686	4.83	-1.13	1	2 / 124	1
	New Blue	Jim Karahalios	108	80,033	47,429	1.59	-1.12
	Independent		41	53,926	28,594	1.07	0.53	1	1 / 124
	Ontario Party	Derek Sloan	44	26,007	57,611	0.52	-1.26
	Libertarian	Mark Snow	17	7,672	2,430	0.15	0.04
	None of the Above	Greg Vezina	13	4,724	1,478	0.09	-0.04
	Communist	Drew Garvie	7	2,294	194	0.05	0.01
	Moderate	Yuri Duboisky	12	1,857	239	0.04	0.01
	Centrist	Mansoor Qureshi	5	1,601	1,306	0.03	0.02
	Freedom	Paul McKeever	5	1,376	727	0.03	-0.01
	Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda	John Kanary	2	1,353	1,013	0.03	0.02
	Populist	Jim Torma	4	709	1,929	0.01	-0.05
	Northern Ontario	Jacques Ouellette	3	656	373	0.01	–
	Ontario Alliance	Joshua E. Eriksen	5	623	515	0.01	0.01
	Progress Party Ontario	Sana Ahmad	2	602	602	0.01	New
	Canadians' Choice Party	Bahman Yazdanfar	2	586	18	0.01	–
	Special Needs	Lionel Wayne Poizner	2	392	102	0.01	–
	Electoral Reform Party	Peter House	2	242	60	–	–
	Consensus Ontario		did not campaign
	Confederation of Regions
	Freedom of Choice, Peace & Justice Party
	People's Political Party
	People's Progressive Common Front
	Public Benefit Party
Total			768	5,022,142		100.00%
Rejected ballots				34,791	4,274
Turnout				5,056,933	324,457	45.22%	1.16
Registered electors				11,183,586	443,160

Vote and seat summaries

Ternary plots of election results

2022
2025

Synopsis of results

Results by riding - 2025 Ontario general election^[165]
Riding^{[a 1]}	Winning party												Votes^{[a 2]}
	2022		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place		3rd place		PC	Lib	NDP	Green	NB	Ont	SNSA	Ind	Other	Total
	2022		1st place		Votes	Share	Margin #	Margin %	2nd place		3rd place											Total

Ajax		PC		Lib	18,499	44.96%	331	0.80%		PC		NDP	18,168	18,499	2,884	866	413	–	–	–	312	41,142
Algoma—Manitoulin		NDP		PC	11,263	41.33%	3,854	14.14%		NDP		Lib	11,263	3,948	7,409	677	718	–	–	3,238	–	27,253
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill		PC		PC	19,670	57.19%	8,025	23.33%		Lib		NDP	19,670	11,645	1,929	610	540	–	–	–	–	34,394
Barrie—Innisfil		PC		PC	22,048	54.11%	11,435	28.06%		Lib		NDP	22,048	10,613	5,442	1,655	814	–	–	–	174	40,746
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte		PC		PC	20,073	49.88%	5,741	14.27%		Lib		NDP	20,073	14,332	2,710	1,637	856	–	–	–	637	40,245
Bay of Quinte		PC		PC	20,606	44.14%	5,954	12.75%		Lib		NDP	20,606	14,652	8,793	1,618	518	501	–	–	–	46,688
Beaches—East York		Lib		Lib	21,545	51.17%	11,885	28.23%		NDP		PC	9,001	21,545	9,660	1,298	246	125	–	122	107	42,104
Brampton Centre		PC		PC	12,776	51.85%	4,419	17.94%		Lib		NDP	12,776	8,357	2,161	910	434	–	–	–	–	24,638
Brampton East		PC		PC	14,759	51.77%	6,248	21.92%		Lib		NDP	14,759	8,511	3,104	757	–	–	–	1,376	–	28,507
Brampton North		PC		PC	17,597	57.52%	8,327	27.22%		Lib		NDP	17,597	9,270	2,479	746	499	–	–	–	–	30,591
Brampton South		PC		PC	15,379	52.53%	5,849	19.98%		Lib		NDP	15,379	9,530	2,413	911	1,042	–	–	–	–	29,275
Brampton West		PC		PC	19,028	56.58%	8,095	24.07%		Lib		NDP	19,028	10,933	1,981	877	554	–	–	260	–	33,633
Brantford—Brant		PC		PC	24,169	47.23%	12,164	23.77%		NDP		Lib	24,169	10,364	12,005	2,597	1,138	–	–	–	899	51,172
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound		PC		PC	20,158	44.14%	6,713	14.70%		Lib		Green	20,158	13,445	3,611	5,693	930	–	1,006	–	829	45,672
Burlington		PC		PC	24,118	43.14%	39	0.07%		Lib		NDP	24,118	24,079	4,487	1,913	727	–	–	–	582	55,906
Cambridge		PC		PC	19,210	43.66%	4,079	9.27%		Lib		NDP	19,210	15,131	5,074	2,519	2,067	–	–	–	–	44,001
Carleton		PC		PC	26,158	49.61%	5,823	11.04%		Lib		NDP	26,158	20,335	3,763	956	699	346	–	202	263	52,722
Chatham-Kent—Leamington		PC		PC	22,255	52.03%	14,399	33.66%		Lib		NDP	22,255	7,856	7,333	1,241	3,387	704	–	–	–	42,776
Davenport		NDP		NDP	22,143	57.07%	14,160	36.49%		Lib		PC	6,937	7,983	22,143	1,184	–	–	–	–	556	38,803
Don Valley East		Lib		Lib	15,465	56.65%	6,681	24.47%		PC		NDP	8,784	15,465	2,094	778	–	–	–	–	180	27,301
Don Valley North		PC		Lib	13,375	43.77%	1,891	6.19%		PC		Ind	11,484	13,375	1,562	784	346	–	–	3,005	–	30,556
Don Valley West		Lib		Lib	18,350	57.21%	7,480	23.32%		PC		NDP	10,870	18,350	1,268	1,052	287	–	–	247	–	32,074
Dufferin—Caledon		PC		PC	26,072	52.49%	13,466	27.11%		Lib		Green	26,072	12,606	3,184	6,157	1,074	–	–	384	197	49,674
Durham		PC		PC	26,967	50.48%	11,266	21.09%		Lib		NDP	26,967	15,701	7,635	1,280	666	409	–	130	635	53,423
Eglinton—Lawrence		PC		PC	19,556	48.48%	167	0.41%		Lib		Green	19,556	19,389	–	1,390	–	–	–	–	–	40,335
Elgin—Middlesex—London		PC		PC	28,720	55.78%	16,122	31.31%		Lib		NDP	28,720	12,598	4,738	2,933	1,418	610	–	–	469	51,486
Essex		PC		PC	30,790	55.61%	18,743	33.85%		NDP		Lib	30,790	8,707	12,047	1,282	940	931	–	200	469	55,366
Etobicoke Centre		PC		PC	22,261	48.10%	2,903	6.27%		Lib		NDP	22,261	19,358	2,151	1,000	658	–	–	–	851	46,279
Etobicoke—Lakeshore		PC		Lib	25,195	48.52%	4,145	7.98%		PC		NDP	21,050	25,195	3,640	1,218	452	–	–	–	369	51,924
Etobicoke North		PC		PC	15,426	59.40%	8,057	31.02%		Lib		NDP	15,426	7,369	2,067	526	177	405	–	–	–	25,970
Flamborough—Glanbrook		PC		PC	23,790	49.38%	8,655	17.97%		Lib		NDP	23,790	15,135	6,095	1,923	1,233	–	–	–	–	48,176
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell		PC		PC	24,618	51.36%	6,866	14.32%		Lib		NDP	24,618	17,752	2,384	1,089	971	800	–	321	–	47,935
Guelph		Green		Green	34,238	56.94%	19,852	33.01%		PC		Lib	14,386	6,874	3,497	34,238	1,137	–	–	–	–	60,132
Haldimand—Norfolk		Ind		Ind	33,669	63.65%	20,720	39.17%		PC		Lib	12,949	2,918	2,147	821	392	–	–	33,669	–	52,896
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock		PC		PC	26,446	52.03%	14,770	29.06%		Lib		NDP	26,446	11,676	6,980	2,593	1,221	969	–	287	659	50,831
Hamilton Centre		NDP		NDP	12,839	38.36%	5,707	17.05%		Lib		PC	6,331	7,132	12,839	1,642	441	–	–	5,084^{[a 3]}	–	33,469
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek		PC		PC	16,401	42.07%	4,078	10.46%		Lib		NDP	16,401	12,323	6,862	2,049	530	595	–	–	223	38,983
Hamilton Mountain		NDP		PC	13,948	36.16%	2,015	5.22%		Lib		NDP	13,948	11,933	10,037	1,544	392	178	–	267	278	38,577
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas		NDP		NDP	19,684	38.87%	2,918	5.76%		PC		Lib	16,766	11,543	19,684	1,747	587	–	–	–	310	50,637
Hastings—Lennox and Addington		PC		PC	20,249	48.58%	7,851	18.84%		Lib		NDP	20,249	12,398	4,810	1,376	528	2,318	–	–	–	41,679
Humber River—Black Creek		NDP		NDP	8,788	35.33%	193	0.78%		PC		Lib	8,595	6,811	8,788	402	–	–	–	–	280	24,876
Huron—Bruce		PC		PC	24,461	50.02%	10,758	22.00%		Lib		NDP	24,461	13,703	5,739	2,727	2,065	–	–	–	206	48,901
Kanata—Carleton		PC		Lib	22,811	47.91%	3,458	7.26%		PC		NDP	19,353	22,811	3,419	1,199	503	323	–	–	–	47,608
Kenora—Rainy River		PC		PC	10,541	59.93%	7,233	41.12%		NDP		Lib	10,541	3,072	3,308	336	333	–	–	–	–	17,590
King—Vaughan		PC		PC	28,527	64.17%	16,074	36.16%		Lib		NDP	28,527	12,453	1,714	934	569	256	–	–	–	44,453
Kingston and the Islands		Lib		Lib	33,288	61.57%	21,266	39.33%		PC		NDP	12,022	33,288	6,663	1,195	–	565	–	–	331	54,064
Kitchener Centre		NDP		Green	21,200	51.39%	11,209	27.17%		PC		Lib	9,991	5,892	2,821	21,200	804	398	–	144	–	41,250
Kitchener—Conestoga		PC		PC	16,946	41.54%	4,915	12.05%		Lib		NDP	16,946	12,031	7,551	2,227	1,152	890	–	–	–	40,797
Kitchener South—Hespeler		PC		PC	17,363	45.42%	7,533	19.71%		Lib		NDP	17,363	9,830	6,841	3,345	846	–	–	–	–	38,225
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex		PC		PC	25,297	53.55%	12,900	27.31%		Lib		NDP	25,297	12,397	5,775	1,677	2,093	–	–	–	–	47,239
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston		PC		PC	23,396	49.10%	7,769	16.30%		Lib		NDP	23,396	15,627	5,030	1,595	695	982	–	328	–	47,653
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes		PC		PC	25,118	55.12%	12,726	27.93%		Lib		NDP	25,118	12,392	4,489	1,926	743	561	–	–	342	45,571
London—Fanshawe		NDP		NDP	18,749	47.59%	5,269	13.37%		PC		Lib	13,480	4,884	18,749	1,045	654	–	–	205	381	39,398
London North Centre		NDP		NDP	22,587	46.71%	6,804	14.07%		PC		Lib	15,783	7,557	22,587	1,605	512	–	–	–	312	48,356
London West		NDP		NDP	26,589	49.21%	7,697	14.24%		PC		Lib	18,892	5,991	26,589	1,021	636	–	–	153	751	54,033
Markham—Stouffville		PC		PC	22,757	50.64%	4,133	9.20%		Lib		NDP	22,757	18,624	2,051	1,018	491	–	–	–	–	44,941
Markham—Thornhill		PC		PC	14,287	53.58%	3,707	13.90%		Lib		NDP	14,287	10,580	1,176	623	–	–	–	–	–	26,666
Markham—Unionville		PC		PC	20,113	61.16%	9,955	30.27%		Lib		NDP	20,113	10,158	1,298	772	545	–	–	–	–	32,886
Milton		PC		PC	20,091	47.43%	2,540	6.00%		Lib		NDP	20,091	17,551	2,403	1,130	866	–	–	–	316	42,357
Mississauga Centre		PC		PC	16,592	46.79%	2,031	5.73%		Lib		NDP	16,592	14,561	2,310	1,028	443	–	–	195	334	35,463
Mississauga East—Cooksville		PC		PC	16,764	46.43%	1,210	3.35%		Lib		NDP	16,764	15,554	1,879	744	429	192	–	428	118	36,108
Mississauga—Erin Mills		PC		PC	16,694	44.26%	23	0.06%		Lib		NDP	16,694	16,671	2,090	1,080	751	–	–	431	–	37,717
Mississauga—Lakeshore		PC		PC	20,586	47.54%	1,671	3.86%		Lib		NDP	20,586	18,915	1,974	1,041	549	–	–	123	113	43,301
Mississauga—Malton		PC		PC	15,117	50.94%	3,618	12.19%		Lib		NDP	15,117	11,499	2,000	561	498	–	–	–	–	29,675
Mississauga—Streetsville		PC		PC	19,118	47.71%	1,821	4.54%		Lib		NDP	19,118	17,297	2,012	1,012	630	–	–	–	–	40,069
Nepean		PC		Lib	22,683	48.53%	4,721	10.10%		PC		NDP	17,962	22,683	4,116	885	485	385	–	223	–	46,739
Newmarket—Aurora		PC		PC	20,260	47.56%	2,537	5.96%		Lib		NDP	20,260	17,723	2,709	1,088	536	–	–	–	286	42,602
Niagara Centre		NDP		NDP	20,408	42.18%	2,335	4.83%		PC		Lib	18,073	7,143	20,408	1,261	857	513	–	–	130	48,385
Niagara Falls		NDP		NDP	29,549	54.95%	10,980	20.42%		PC		Lib	18,569	3,398	29,549	837	870	285	–	263	–	53,771
Niagara West		PC		PC	22,916	51.13%	11,825	26.39%		Lib		NDP	22,916	11,091	7,312	1,794	676	629	–	–	399	44,817
Nickel Belt		NDP		NDP	17,123	48.37%	4,494	12.69%		PC		Lib	12,629	3,874	17,123	631	676	–	–	–	470	35,403
Nipissing		PC		PC	17,356	54.83%	9,376	29.62%		NDP		Lib	17,356	3,996	7,980	1,292	–	496	–	–	536	31,656
Northumberland—Peterborough South		PC		PC	28,502	52.11%	10,797	19.74%		Lib		NDP	28,502	17,705	5,097	1,998	717	673	–	–	–	54,692
Oakville		PC		PC	22,754	48.01%	1,848	3.90%		Lib		NDP	22,754	20,906	1,851	1,235	556	–	–	–	93	47,395
Oakville North—Burlington		PC		PC	25,580	49.70%	4,527	8.80%		Lib		NDP	25,580	21,053	2,769	1,411	659	–	–	–	–	51,472
Orléans		Lib		Lib	30,482	54.18%	10,614	18.87%		PC		NDP	19,868	30,482	3,378	1,398	636	–	–	267	233	56,262
Oshawa		NDP		NDP	20,367	45.87%	1,925	4.34%		PC		Lib	18,442	3,891	20,367	916	644	–	–	142	–	44,402
Ottawa Centre		NDP		NDP	32,483	55.70%	18,892	32.39%		Lib		PC	9,573	13,591	32,483	1,550	468	321	–	102	232	58,320
Ottawa South		Lib		Lib	22,326	53.24%	12,011	28.64%		PC		NDP	10,315	22,326	7,447	1,206	638	–	–	–	–	41,932
Ottawa—Vanier		Lib		Lib	20,721	51.45%	11,636	28.89%		PC		NDP	9,085	20,721	7,350	2,083	511	–	–	–	525	40,275
Ottawa West—Nepean		NDP		NDP	20,087	49.33%	8,390	20.60%		PC		Lib	11,697	7,229	20,087	976	733	–	–	–	–	40,722
Oxford		PC		PC	27,061	55.26%	15,713	32.09%		Lib		NDP	27,061	11,348	5,374	2,182	1,317	1,414	–	–	274	48,970
Parkdale—High Park		NDP		NDP	20,508	45.35%	6,567	14.52%		Lib		PC	8,058	13,941	20,508	1,968	462	–	–	–	283	45,220
Parry Sound—Muskoka		PC		PC	21,731	46.80%	2,371	5.11%		Green		Lib	21,731	2,828	1,329	19,360	785	403	–	–	–	46,436
Perth—Wellington		PC		PC	21,285	47.40%	8,766	19.52%		Lib		NDP	21,285	12,519	5,666	3,381	1,354	475	–	–	229	44,909
Peterborough—Kawartha		PC		PC	22,417	40.68%	2,200	3.99%		Lib		NDP	22,417	20,217	9,290	1,745	859	581	–	–	–	55,109
Pickering—Uxbridge		PC		PC	21,975	48.06%	3,903	8.54%		Lib		NDP	21,975	18,072	3,381	1,300	411	384	–	–	200	45,723
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke		PC		PC	24,297	54.83%	14,493	32.71%		Lib		NDP	24,297	9,804	6,607	1,123	893	1,587	–	–	–	44,311
Richmond Hill		PC		PC	17,061	55.43%	6,515	21.17%		Lib		NDP	17,061	10,546	1,771	883	519	–	–	–	–	30,780
St. Catharines		NDP		NDP	19,688	42.12%	3,266	6.99%		PC		Lib	16,422	8,092	19,688	1,033	807	300	347	–	56	46,745
Sarnia—Lambton		PC		PC	22,726	51.32%	14,010	31.64%		NDP		Lib	22,726	8,134	8,716	840	1,876	359	–	890	742	44,283
Sault Ste. Marie		PC		PC	13,071	43.07%	114	0.38%		NDP		Lib	13,071	3,036	12,957	421	564	301	–	–	–	30,350
Scarborough—Agincourt		PC		PC	13,468	49.39%	2,038	7.47%		Lib		NDP	13,468	11,430	1,368	556	249	200	–	–	–	27,271
Scarborough Centre		PC		PC	13,363	44.05%	524	1.73%		Lib		NDP	13,363	12,839	2,628	918	379	–	–	–	211	30,338
Scarborough—Guildwood		Lib		Lib	13,813	51.02%	3,589	13.26%		PC		NDP	10,224	13,813	1,811	661	298	–	–	267	–	27,074
Scarborough North		PC		PC	13,031	52.98%	4,483	18.23%		Lib		NDP	13,031	8,548	2,554	465	–	–	–	–	–	24,598
Scarborough—Rouge Park		PC		PC	16,357	49.17%	2,972	8.93%		Lib		NDP	16,357	13,385	2,360	727	–	–	–	–	440	33,269
Scarborough Southwest		NDP		NDP	14,557	42.89%	4,157	12.25%		PC		Lib	10,400	7,786	14,557	1,194	–	–	–	–	–	33,937
Simcoe—Grey		PC		PC	30,572	53.59%	12,065	21.15%		Lib		NDP	30,572	18,507	3,264	3,154	1,554	–	–	–	–	57,051
Simcoe North		PC		PC	24,849	51.38%	11,521	23.82%		Lib		NDP	24,849	13,328	4,813	3,214	1,582	–	–	–	579	48,365
Spadina—Fort York		NDP		NDP	20,441	45.00%	6,110	13.45%		Lib		PC	9,139	14,331	20,441	1,220	–	–	–	–	293	45,424
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry		PC		PC	23,221	61.57%	15,967	42.34%		Lib		NDP	23,221	7,254	4,726	980	818	715	–	–	–	37,714
Sudbury		NDP		NDP	14,760	46.74%	2,566	8.13%		PC		Lib	12,194	3,352	14,760	748	421	–	–	106	–	31,581
Thornhill		PC		PC	22,829	63.99%	12,724	35.66%		Lib		NDP	22,829	10,105	1,282	768	523	–	–	–	170	35,677
Thunder Bay—Atikokan		PC		PC	13,727	45.71%	5,961	19.85%		NDP		Lib	13,727	7,398	7,766	457	497	–	–	–	184	30,029
Thunder Bay—Superior North		NDP		NDP	11,137	40.57%	1,789	6.52%		PC		Lib	9,348	5,846	11,137	437	265	–	–	82	336	27,451
Timiskaming—Cochrane		NDP		NDP	11,085	43.96%	1,536	6.09%		PC		Lib	9,549	2,446	11,085	1,359	777	–	–	–	–	25,216
Timmins		PC		PC	9,371	68.41%	6,639	48.47%		NDP		Lib	9,371	1,127	2,732	248	220	–	–	–	–	13,698
Toronto Centre		NDP		NDP	17,415	44.50%	3,263	8.34%		Lib		PC	5,692	14,152	17,415	1,054	290	–	–	151	381	39,135
Toronto—Danforth		NDP		NDP	25,607	60.40%	16,610	39.18%		Lib		PC	6,172	8,997	25,607	1,199	424	–	–	–	–	42,399
Toronto—St. Paul's		NDP		Lib	17,451	40.87%	3,898	9.13%		NDP		PC	10,822	17,451	13,553	873	–	–	–	–	–	42,699
University—Rosedale		NDP		NDP	17,912	45.50%	5,814	14.77%		Lib		PC	7,829	12,098	17,912	1,227	299	–	–	–	–	39,365
Vaughan—Woodbridge		PC		PC	23,243	65.13%	13,761	38.56%		Lib		NDP	23,243	9,482	1,479	628	509	–	–	–	345	35,686
Waterloo		NDP		NDP	25,055	50.23%	11,385	22.82%		PC		Lib	13,670	7,839	25,055	1,814	543	477	–	–	486	49,884
Wellington—Halton Hills		PC		PC	24,637	45.65%	9,763	18.09%		Lib		Green	24,637	14,874	3,980	8,464	1,417	398	–	199	–	53,969
Whitby		PC		PC	24,803	48.11%	4,363	8.46%		Lib		NDP	24,803	20,440	4,097	1,376	844	–	–	–	–	51,560
Willowdale		PC		PC	14,476	46.29%	605	1.93%		Lib		NDP	14,476	13,871	1,705	778	–	–	–	222	221	31,273
Windsor—Tecumseh		PC		PC	21,285	48.15%	7,564	17.11%		NDP		Lib	21,285	6,337	13,721	830	707	717	–	–	606	44,203
Windsor West		NDP		NDP	19,392	52.12%	4,727	12.70%		PC		Ont	14,665	–	19,392	868	523	1,019	–	–	740	37,207
York Centre		PC		PC	16,416	54.06%	5,593	18.42%		Lib		NDP	16,416	10,823	1,700	658	309	–	–	–	463	30,369
York—Simcoe		PC		PC	24,705	59.40%	14,764	35.50%		Lib		NDP	24,705	9,941	3,206	2,006	841	317	–	–	572	41,588
York South—Weston		PC		PC	11,142	35.22%	202	0.64%		Lib		NDP	11,142	10,940	8,101	844	396	–	–	213	–	31,636
Kiiwetinoong		NDP		NDP	3,512	62.19%	2,074	36.73%		PC		Lib	1,438	409	3,512	152	–	–	–	–	136	5,647
Mushkegowuk—James Bay		NDP		NDP	3,626	45.44%	9	0.11%		PC		Lib	3,617	621	3,626	116	–	–	–	–	–	7,980

^ In order given by Elections Ontario
^ In order of total votes received. Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote and with no candidate winning at least 1,000 votes are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately.
^ The incumbent Sarah Jama was ousted as the NDP candidate. She ran as an Independent, receiving 4,977 votes and coming in at 4th place.

= open seat

= winning candidate was in previous Legislature

= incumbent had switched allegiance

= not incumbent; was previously elected to the Legislature

= incumbency arose from byelection gain

= previously incumbent in another riding

= other incumbents renominated

= previously an MP in the House of Commons of Canada

= multiple candidates

Turnout, winning shares and swings

Summary of riding results by turnout, vote share for winning candidate, and swing (vs 2022)^[165]
Riding and winning party			Turnout		Vote share^{[a 1]}		Swing^{[a 2]}
Riding and winning party			%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)	To	Change (pp)

Ajax	Lib	Gain	41.56	1.60	44.96	8.98	Lib	-2.76
Algoma—Manitoulin	PC	Gain	48.93	6.46	41.33	5.85	PC	-12.30
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill	PC	Hold	38.30	0.11	57.19	3.93	PC	0.39
Barrie—Innisfil	PC	Hold	41.30	1.68	54.11	3.87	PC	4.82
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte	PC	Hold	45.90	-0.84	49.88	7.77	PC	6.76
Bay of Quinte	PC	Hold	48.25	2.34	44.14	-5.17	NDP	-1.54
Beaches—East York	Lib	Hold	49.97	0.39	51.17	15.75	Lib	13.01
Brampton Centre	PC	Hold	36.71	0.04	51.85	10.49	PC	14.19
Brampton East	PC	Hold	34.81	-1.54	51.77	7.45	PC	13.81
Brampton North	PC	Hold	38.48	0.02	57.52	12.53	PC	5.50
Brampton South	PC	Hold	36.10	0.30	52.53	7.15	PC	1.21
Brampton West	PC	Hold	34.77	0.58	56.58	8.74	PC	1.23
Brantford—Brant	PC	Hold	43.41	1.35	47.23	3.06	PC	3.95
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	PC	Hold	49.97	2.95	44.14	-4.42	Lib	-6.77
Burlington	PC	Hold	53.59	1.96	43.14	0.59	Lib	-6.53
Cambridge	PC	Hold	45.82	2.60	43.66	6.63	PC	8.65
Carleton	PC	Hold	47.10	-1.69	49.61	1.47	Lib	-5.11
Chatham-Kent—Leamington	PC	Hold	48.33	3.46	52.03	4.50	PC	8.82
Davenport	NDP	Hold	46.18	2.87	57.07	0.00	Lib	-0.68
Don Valley East	Lib	Hold	40.08	-2.29	56.65	12.79	Lib	6.40
Don Valley North	Lib	Gain	38.04	-2.72	43.77	6.94	Lib	-8.38
Don Valley West	Lib	Hold	42.43	-6.93	57.21	13.20	Lib	8.98
Dufferin—Caledon	PC	Hold	42.79	0.72	52.49	2.82	Lib	-1.87
Durham	PC	Hold	44.09	0.38	50.48	4.63	PC	0.06
Eglinton—Lawrence	PC	Hold	46.73	0.00	48.48	6.19	Lib	-0.46
Elgin—Middlesex—London	PC	Hold	49.32	4.54	55.78	4.70	PC	6.85
Essex	PC	Hold	50.34	3.13	55.61	4.51	PC	5.52
Etobicoke Centre	PC	Hold	48.11	-0.43	48.10	-0.49	Lib	-4.13
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	Lib	Gain	46.75	1.47	48.52	12.80	Lib	-4.87
Etobicoke North	PC	Hold	34.12	0.14	59.40	3.89	Lib	-0.52
Flamborough—Glanbrook	PC	Hold	47.96	1.05	49.38	3.18	PC	6.63
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	PC	Hold	47.38	1.82	51.36	9.31	PC	5.89
Guelph	Green	Hold	51.12	1.73	56.94	2.49	PC	-0.52
Haldimand—Norfolk	Ind	Hold	54.19	5.31	63.65	28.60	Ind	17.31
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock	PC	Hold	48.18	0.05	52.03	-0.28	PC	0.85
Hamilton Centre	NDP	Hold	42.29	4.36	38.36	-18.90	PC	-10.67
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	PC	Hold	43.82	2.87	42.07	7.48	PC	8.61
Hamilton Mountain	PC	Gain	46.02	4.54	36.16	6.15	PC	-12.47
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	NDP	Hold	52.47	4.02	38.87	-1.55	PC	-0.83
Hastings—Lennox and Addington	PC	Hold	49.00	1.88	48.58	1.03	PC	4.25
Humber River—Black Creek	NDP	Hold	34.65	1.50	35.33	0.84	NDP	2.06
Huron—Bruce	PC	Hold	54.86	0.70	50.02	-1.95	Lib	-5.63
Kanata—Carleton	Lib	Gain	50.40	-0.98	47.91	24.49	PC	7.05
Kenora—Rainy River	PC	Hold	47.18	6.97	59.93	0.35	PC	0.73
King—Vaughan	PC	Hold	39.89	0.09	64.17	6.86	PC	3.68
Kingston and the Islands	Lib	Hold	49.74	2.90	61.57	23.91	Lib	21.37
Kitchener Centre	Green	Gain	46.97	0.75	51.39	38.59	PC	-15.65
Kitchener—Conestoga	PC	Hold	51.06	2.18	41.54	1.51	PC	5.94
Kitchener South—Hespeler	PC	Hold	43.96	1.80	45.42	5.51	PC	7.02
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	PC	Hold	51.03	3.75	53.55	-5.25	PC	0.68
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston	PC	Hold	51.33	1.31	49.10	-1.02	PC	4.56
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes	PC	Hold	51.25	2.07	55.12	-2.57	Lib	-5.82
London—Fanshawe	NDP	Hold	41.27	4.71	47.59	0.53	PC	-0.46
London North Centre	NDP	Hold	46.48	4.35	46.71	7.06	NDP	2.36
London West	NDP	Hold	49.97	1.35	49.21	4.08	NDP	1.49
Markham—Stouffville	PC	Hold	43.39	-1.12	50.64	2.21	Lib	-1.88
Markham—Thornhill	PC	Hold	37.20	-2.48	53.58	4.76	PC	1.29
Markham—Unionville	PC	Hold	35.88	-3.25	61.16	4.74	Lib	-0.24
Milton	PC	Hold	41.98	-0.72	47.43	4.36	Lib	-1.34
Mississauga Centre	PC	Hold	38.15	0.01	46.79	3.19	Lib	-2.37
Mississauga East—Cooksville	PC	Hold	41.45	1.87	46.43	5.51	Lib	-2.86
Mississauga—Erin Mills	PC	Hold	41.03	-0.67	44.26	2.12	Lib	-3.36
Mississauga—Lakeshore	PC	Hold	46.17	-0.77	47.54	2.45	Lib	-3.46
Mississauga—Malton	PC	Hold	36.70	0.18	50.94	6.05	Lib	-4.15
Mississauga—Streetsville	PC	Hold	44.31	1.64	47.71	2.13	Lib	-3.84
Nepean	Lib	Gain	45.28	-0.60	48.53	14.07	Lib	-7.04
Newmarket—Aurora	PC	Hold	43.79	-0.62	47.56	2.59	Lib	-5.06
Niagara Centre	NDP	Hold	48.38	5.01	42.18	2.48	NDP	0.14
Niagara Falls	NDP	Hold	45.01	1.41	54.95	6.87	NDP	0.95
Niagara West	PC	Hold	54.90	1.73	51.13	6.20	PC	2.20
Nickel Belt	NDP	Hold	50.51	4.99	48.37	-2.41	PC	-2.91
Nipissing	PC	Hold	48.93	0.65	54.83	4.62	PC	1.53
Northumberland—Peterborough South	PC	Hold	52.30	0.58	52.11	1.18	Lib	-3.72
Oakville	PC	Hold	49.29	-1.00	48.01	2.57	Lib	-3.21
Oakville North—Burlington	PC	Hold	46.55	-0.34	49.70	2.51	Lib	-2.79
Orléans	Lib	Hold	47.70	1.11	54.18	7.92	PC	-1.33
Oshawa	NDP	Hold	41.63	2.15	45.87	3.80	PC	-0.65
Ottawa Centre	NDP	Hold	49.09	-1.65	55.70	1.36	Lib	-0.36
Ottawa South	Lib	Hold	42.49	0.01	53.24	8.10	Lib	3.00
Ottawa—Vanier	Lib	Hold	38.82	-0.60	51.45	9.73	Lib	3.84
Ottawa West—Nepean	NDP	Hold	45.16	-2.27	49.33	11.79	NDP	3.11
Oxford	PC	Hold	48.62	2.17	55.26	5.25	PC	5.23
Parkdale—High Park	NDP	Hold	51.82	1.56	45.35	-8.61	Lib	-4.23
Parry Sound—Muskoka	PC	Hold	53.71	0.62	46.80	1.43	Green	-0.53
Perth—Wellington	PC	Hold	52.68	2.59	47.40	0.59	PC	4.71
Peterborough—Kawartha	PC	Hold	52.18	0.72	40.68	2.10	Lib	-3.07
Pickering—Uxbridge	PC	Hold	45.64	0.35	48.06	3.63	Lib	-5.48
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke	PC	Hold	48.95	2.66	54.83	-6.29	PC	1.09
Richmond Hill	PC	Hold	35.56	-0.58	55.43	3.19	Lib	-1.18
St. Catharines	NDP	Hold	49.88	3.22	42.12	2.41	PC	-0.35
Sarnia—Lambton	PC	Hold	50.52	3.83	51.32	-1.40	PC	1.97
Sault Ste. Marie	PC	Hold	49.92	5.43	43.07	-3.82	NDP	-2.69
Scarborough—Agincourt	PC	Hold	37.34	-2.08	49.39	0.36	Lib	-2.32
Scarborough Centre	PC	Hold	38.65	-2.60	44.05	8.05	Lib	-5.98
Scarborough—Guildwood	Lib	Hold	38.63	-3.00	51.02	4.71	PC	-3.12
Scarborough North	PC	Hold	37.00	-2.26	52.98	4.67	Lib	-2.57
Scarborough—Rouge Park	PC	Hold	42.43	-2.68	49.17	3.89	Lib	-6.26
Scarborough Southwest	NDP	Hold	41.73	-2.61	42.89	-4.78	PC	-1.52
Simcoe—Grey	PC	Hold	44.18	0.66	53.59	2.41	Lib	-5.17
Simcoe North	PC	Hold	46.11	-0.13	51.38	1.58	PC	3.89
Spadina—Fort York	NDP	Hold	41.95	7.60	45.00	-1.06	Lib	-1.80
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry	PC	Hold	42.98	1.34	61.57	4.07	Lib	-0.68
Sudbury	NDP	Hold	47.41	2.81	46.74	5.89	PC	-4.82
Thornhill	PC	Hold	39.93	0.05	63.99	10.70	PC	0.68
Thunder Bay—Atikokan	PC	Hold	49.28	6.19	45.71	9.41	PC	3.53
Thunder Bay—Superior North	NDP	Hold	48.91	5.67	40.57	6.46	PC	-1.59
Timiskaming—Cochrane	NDP	Hold	48.43	5.82	43.96	1.22	PC	-1.32
Timmins	PC	Hold	41.91	-1.62	68.41	3.61	PC	4.82
Toronto Centre	NDP	Hold	42.59	2.77	44.50	0.73	NDP	0.27
Toronto—Danforth	NDP	Hold	49.76	0.32	60.40	5.00	NDP	0.57
Toronto—St. Paul's	Lib	Gain	46.91	-1.17	40.87	7.20	Lib	-3.60
University—Rosedale	NDP	Hold	44.45	1.25	45.50	7.95	Lib	-1.69
Vaughan—Woodbridge	PC	Hold	42.56	-1.47	65.13	11.35	PC	4.26
Waterloo	NDP	Hold	51.58	3.17	50.23	4.34	NDP	0.96
Wellington—Halton Hills	PC	Hold	50.69	2.32	45.65	-4.96	PC	4.12
Whitby	PC	Hold	46.12	1.24	48.11	0.73	PC	7.44
Willowdale	PC	Hold	37.53	-2.31	46.29	1.63	Lib	-3.20
Windsor—Tecumseh	PC	Hold	45.18	4.57	48.15	2.26	NDP	-0.54
Windsor West	NDP	Hold	38.71	5.09	52.12	9.93	PC	-2.05
York Centre	PC	Hold	39.94	0.99	54.06	8.03	Lib	-1.85
York—Simcoe	PC	Hold	40.29	1.29	59.40	2.65	Lib	-3.33
York South—Weston	PC	Hold	38.60	0.49	35.22	-1.38	PC	4.19
Kiiwetinoong	NDP	Hold	27.00	-3.40	62.19	4.62	NDP	2.24
Mushkegowuk—James Bay	NDP	Hold	41.40	1.99	45.44	-1.74	PC	-4.79

^ Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2022.
^ Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2022; negative points to 2022's second-place party being swung to.

Changes in party vote shares

Share change analysis by party and riding (2025 vs 2022)^[165]
Riding	Green		Liberal		NDP		PC

	%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)	%	Change (pp)

Ajax	2.10	-1.36	44.96	8.98	7.01	-9.68	44.16	3.47
Algoma—Manitoulin	2.48	-0.63	14.49	5.78	27.19	-18.74	41.33	5.85
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill	1.77	-2.12	33.86	3.14	5.61	-2.07	57.19	3.93
Barrie—Innisfil	4.06	-2.25	26.05	7.95	13.36	-5.78	54.11	3.87
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte	4.07	-0.23	35.61	-5.74	6.73	-1.10	49.88	7.77
Bay of Quinte	3.47	-2.80	31.38	12.93	18.83	-2.09	44.14	-5.17
Beaches—East York	3.08	-7.14	51.17	15.75	22.94	-10.27	21.38	2.84
Brampton Centre	3.69	0.09	33.92	8.91	8.77	-17.89	51.85	10.49
Brampton East	2.66	0.74	29.86	8.74	10.89	-20.17	51.77	7.45
Brampton North	2.44	-0.54	30.30	1.53	8.10	-11.71	57.52	12.53
Brampton South	3.11	-0.48	32.55	4.73	8.24	-10.90	52.53	7.15
Brampton West	2.61	-0.16	32.51	6.27	5.89	-14.86	56.58	8.74
Brantford—Brant	5.08	-1.68	20.25	7.30	23.46	-4.83	47.23	3.06
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	12.46	3.61	29.44	9.11	7.91	-6.01	44.14	-4.42
Burlington	3.42	-3.27	43.07	13.65	8.03	-9.61	43.14	0.59
Cambridge	5.72	-3.25	34.39	13.69	11.53	-10.66	43.66	6.63
Carleton	1.81	-3.67	38.57	11.68	7.14	-8.53	49.61	1.47
Chatham-Kent—Leamington	2.90	-0.47	18.37	18.37	17.14	-13.13	52.03	4.50
Davenport	3.05	-1.77	20.57	1.36	57.07	0.00	17.88	3.80
Don Valley East	2.85	-1.21	56.65	12.79	7.67	-7.84	32.17	-0.02
Don Valley North	2.57	-1.15	43.77	6.94	5.11	-4.76	37.58	-9.82
Don Valley West	3.28	-2.23	57.21	13.20	3.95	-5.27	33.89	-4.76
Dufferin—Caledon	12.39	-1.74	25.38	6.56	6.41	-4.36	52.49	2.82
Durham	2.40	-1.62	29.39	4.50	14.29	-4.30	50.48	4.63
Eglinton—Lawrence	3.45	-0.41	48.07	7.11	–	-9.68	48.48	6.19
Elgin—Middlesex—London	5.70	1.03	24.47	7.07	9.20	-9.00	55.78	4.70
Essex	2.32	0.29	15.73	7.14	21.76	-6.52	55.61	4.51
Etobicoke Centre	2.16	-2.33	41.83	7.78	4.65	-3.96	48.10	-0.49
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	2.35	-2.40	48.52	12.80	7.01	-10.91	40.54	3.06
Etobicoke North	2.03	-0.72	28.38	4.94	7.96	-5.15	59.40	3.89
Flamborough—Glanbrook	3.99	-1.45	31.42	11.01	12.65	-10.09	49.38	3.18
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	2.27	-1.49	37.03	-2.46	4.97	-3.56	51.36	9.31
Guelph	56.94	2.49	11.43	-1.86	5.82	-2.24	23.92	3.52
Haldimand—Norfolk	1.55	-2.50	5.52	-1.81	4.06	-9.83	24.48	-6.01
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock	5.10	-2.45	22.97	9.50	13.73	-1.99	52.03	-0.28
Hamilton Centre	4.91	-3.86	21.31	8.28	38.36	-18.90	18.92	2.45
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	5.26	0.31	31.61	10.54	17.60	-9.74	42.07	7.48
Hamilton Mountain	4.00	-1.62	30.93	15.36	26.02	-18.79	36.16	6.15
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	3.45	-1.92	22.80	4.62	38.87	-1.55	33.11	0.12
Hastings—Lennox and Addington	3.30	-1.23	29.75	11.15	11.54	-7.47	48.58	1.03
Humber River—Black Creek	1.62	-0.25	27.38	-3.28	35.33	0.84	34.55	4.80
Huron—Bruce	5.58	1.48	28.02	9.31	11.74	-4.64	50.02	-1.95
Kanata—Carleton	2.52	-2.97	47.91	24.49	7.18	-17.06	40.65	-2.96
Kenora—Rainy River	1.91	-1.88	17.46	6.11	18.81	-1.11	59.93	0.35
King—Vaughan	2.10	-0.60	28.01	-0.49	3.86	-3.09	64.17	6.86
Kingston and the Islands	2.21	-1.07	61.57	23.91	12.32	-18.83	22.24	-2.32
Kitchener Centre	51.39	38.59	14.28	-0.44	6.84	-33.75	24.22	-2.45
Kitchener—Conestoga	5.46	-0.70	29.49	11.96	18.51	-10.36	41.54	1.51
Kitchener South—Hespeler	8.75	-2.82	25.72	9.40	17.90	-8.54	45.42	5.51
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	3.55	-0.43	26.24	16.66	12.23	-6.61	53.55	-5.25
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston	3.35	-3.40	32.79	17.04	10.56	-10.14	49.10	-1.02
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes	4.23	-1.82	27.19	9.07	9.85	-3.72	55.12	-2.57
London—Fanshawe	2.65	-0.85	12.40	2.03	47.59	0.53	34.21	1.45
London North Centre	3.32	-1.47	15.63	-5.29	46.71	7.06	32.64	2.35
London West	1.89	-1.54	11.09	-1.10	49.21	4.08	34.96	1.11
Markham—Stouffville	2.27	-1.68	41.44	5.96	4.56	-4.90	50.64	2.21
Markham—Thornhill	2.34	-0.22	39.68	2.17	4.41	-4.64	53.58	4.76
Markham—Unionville	2.35	-1.32	30.89	0.47	3.95	-3.33	61.16	4.74
Milton	2.67	-1.47	41.44	2.68	5.67	-4.03	47.43	4.36
Mississauga Centre	2.90	-0.62	41.06	4.74	6.51	-5.77	46.79	3.19
Mississauga East—Cooksville	2.06	-1.92	43.08	5.73	5.20	-5.63	46.43	5.51
Mississauga—Erin Mills	2.86	-1.42	44.20	6.72	5.54	-6.60	44.26	2.12
Mississauga—Lakeshore	2.40	-2.63	43.68	6.92	4.56	-3.94	47.54	2.45
Mississauga—Malton	1.89	-2.15	38.75	8.30	6.74	-10.97	50.94	6.05
Mississauga—Streetsville	2.53	-0.47	43.17	7.69	5.02	-6.97	47.71	2.13
Nepean	1.89	-1.99	48.53	14.07	8.81	-10.53	38.43	-0.83
Newmarket—Aurora	2.55	-3.06	41.60	10.13	6.36	-6.36	47.56	2.59
Niagara Centre	2.61	-1.92	14.76	1.44	42.18	2.48	37.35	-0.28
Niagara Falls	1.56	-1.14	6.32	-2.10	54.95	6.87	34.53	-1.90
Niagara West	4.00	-2.46	24.75	5.58	16.32	-4.40	51.13	6.20
Nickel Belt	1.78	-1.21	10.94	1.05	48.37	-2.41	35.67	5.81
Nipissing	4.08	0.74	12.62	-0.91	25.21	-3.05	54.83	4.62
Northumberland—Peterborough South	3.65	-2.02	32.37	7.43	9.32	-3.80	52.11	1.18
Oakville	2.61	-2.58	44.11	6.42	3.91	-2.87	48.01	2.57
Oakville North—Burlington	2.74	-1.56	40.90	5.59	5.38	-4.54	49.70	2.51
Orléans	2.48	-2.07	54.18	7.92	6.00	-7.79	35.31	2.66
Oshawa	2.06	-1.96	8.76	-0.37	45.87	3.80	41.53	1.29
Ottawa Centre	2.66	-2.21	23.30	0.72	55.70	1.36	16.41	0.69
Ottawa South	2.88	-1.78	53.24	8.10	17.76	-5.99	24.60	1.41
Ottawa—Vanier	5.17	-2.63	51.45	9.73	18.25	-7.68	22.56	2.39
Ottawa West—Nepean	2.40	-1.13	17.75	-4.69	49.33	11.79	28.72	-6.22
Oxford	4.46	-0.28	23.17	10.86	10.97	-10.47	55.26	5.25
Parkdale—High Park	4.35	-1.71	30.83	8.45	45.35	-8.61	17.82	3.12
Parry Sound—Muskoka	41.69	1.07	6.09	6.09	2.86	-4.83	46.80	1.43
Perth—Wellington	7.53	1.21	27.88	11.75	12.62	-9.43	47.40	0.59
Peterborough—Kawartha	3.17	-0.49	36.69	6.14	16.86	-4.52	40.68	2.10
Pickering—Uxbridge	2.84	-2.40	39.52	10.97	7.39	-8.64	48.06	3.63
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke	2.53	-1.12	22.13	12.35	14.91	-2.19	54.83	-6.29
Richmond Hill	2.87	-0.11	34.26	2.36	5.75	-3.35	55.43	3.19
St. Catharines	2.21	-1.88	17.31	0.68	42.12	2.41	35.13	0.70
Sarnia—Lambton	1.90	-1.25	18.37	7.92	19.68	-3.93	51.32	-1.40
Sault Ste. Marie	1.39	-1.12	10.00	4.01	42.69	5.39	43.07	-3.82
Scarborough—Agincourt	2.04	-0.15	41.91	4.64	5.02	-3.76	49.39	0.36
Scarborough Centre	3.03	0.23	42.32	11.95	8.66	-17.56	44.05	8.05
Scarborough—Guildwood	2.44	-0.38	51.02	4.71	6.69	-9.97	37.76	6.25
Scarborough North	1.89	0.06	34.75	5.14	10.38	-8.03	52.98	4.67
Scarborough—Rouge Park	2.19	-0.22	40.23	12.53	7.09	-14.83	49.17	3.89
Scarborough Southwest	3.52	-0.02	22.94	4.38	42.89	-4.78	30.65	3.04
Simcoe—Grey	5.53	-3.44	32.44	10.34	5.72	-5.34	53.59	2.41
Simcoe North	6.65	-2.15	27.56	10.11	9.95	-7.79	51.38	1.58
Spadina—Fort York	2.69	-2.93	31.55	3.60	45.00	-1.06	20.12	1.74
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry	2.60	-1.49	19.23	1.35	12.53	-1.26	61.57	4.07
Sudbury	2.37	-2.66	10.61	-8.86	46.74	5.89	38.61	9.65
Thornhill	2.15	-1.19	28.32	-1.36	3.59	-4.22	63.99	10.70
Thunder Bay—Atikokan	1.52	-1.41	24.64	0.25	25.86	-7.07	45.71	9.41
Thunder Bay—Superior North	1.59	-1.40	21.30	-6.98	40.57	6.46	34.05	3.19
Timiskaming—Cochrane	5.39	-1.13	9.70	2.68	43.96	1.22	37.87	2.64
Timmins	1.81	-0.43	8.23	8.23	19.94	-9.64	68.41	3.61
Toronto Centre	2.69	-2.42	36.16	-0.55	44.50	0.73	14.54	2.39
Toronto—Danforth	2.83	-3.25	21.22	-1.14	60.40	5.00	14.56	1.11
Toronto—St. Paul's	2.04	-3.41	40.87	7.20	31.74	-4.51	25.34	2.95
University—Rosedale	3.12	-12.76	30.73	3.37	45.50	7.95	19.89	2.31
Vaughan—Woodbridge	1.76	-0.17	26.57	-8.51	4.14	-1.21	65.13	11.35
Waterloo	3.64	-3.29	15.71	1.80	50.23	4.34	27.40	-1.93
Wellington—Halton Hills	15.68	1.54	27.56	13.58	7.37	-8.23	45.65	-4.96
Whitby	2.67	-2.53	39.64	18.92	7.95	-14.88	48.11	0.73
Willowdale	2.49	-1.13	44.35	6.39	5.45	-4.85	46.29	1.63
Windsor—Tecumseh	1.88	-0.72	14.34	-0.18	31.04	1.08	48.15	2.26
Windsor West	2.33	-0.44	–	-13.10	52.12	9.93	39.41	4.11
York Centre	2.17	-0.67	35.64	3.70	5.60	-8.39	54.06	8.03
York—Simcoe	4.82	-2.52	23.90	6.65	7.71	-3.44	59.40	2.65
York South—Weston	2.67	0.14	34.58	10.34	25.61	-8.38	35.22	-1.38
Kiiwetinoong	2.69	-0.63	7.24	1.34	62.19	4.62	25.46	-4.47
Mushkegowuk—James Bay	1.45	-0.49	7.78	-3.96	45.44	-1.74	45.33	9.57

= did not field a candidate in 2022

Relative party strengths (measured by swing)

Party on party swings by riding (PC/Liberal/NDP, 2025 vs 2022)^[165]^{[a 1]}
Riding	↔ Liberal/PC	↔ Liberal/NDP	↔ PC/NDP

Ajax	-2.76	-9.33	-6.57
Algoma—Manitoulin	0.03	-12.26	-12.30
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill	0.39	-2.61	-3.00
Barrie—Innisfil	-2.04	-6.87	-4.82
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte	6.76	2.32	-4.43
Bay of Quinte	-9.05	-7.51	1.54
Beaches—East York	-6.46	-13.01	-6.55
Brampton Centre	0.79	-13.40	-14.19
Brampton East	-0.64	-14.45	-13.81
Brampton North	5.50	-6.62	-12.12
Brampton South	1.21	-7.82	-9.03
Brampton West	1.23	-10.57	-11.80
Brantford—Brant	-2.12	-6.06	-3.95
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	-6.77	-7.56	-0.79
Burlington	-6.53	-11.63	-5.10
Cambridge	-3.53	-12.18	-8.65
Carleton	-5.11	-10.11	-5.00
Chatham-Kent—Leamington	N/A^{[a 2]}		-8.82
Davenport	1.22	-0.68	-1.90
Don Valley East	-6.40	-10.32	-3.91
Don Valley North	-8.38	-5.85	2.53
Don Valley West	-8.98	-9.24	-0.26
Dufferin—Caledon	-1.87	-5.46	-3.59
Durham	0.06	-4.40	-4.46
Eglinton—Lawrence	-0.46	N/A^{[a 3]}
Elgin—Middlesex—London	-1.19	-8.04	-6.85
Essex	-1.32	-6.83	-5.52
Etobicoke Centre	-4.13	-5.87	-1.74
Etobicoke—Lakeshore	-4.87	-11.85	-6.98
Etobicoke North	-0.52	-5.04	-4.52
Flamborough—Glanbrook	-3.91	-10.55	-6.63
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell	5.89	-0.55	-6.44
Guelph	2.69	-0.19	-2.88
Haldimand—Norfolk	-2.10	-4.01	-1.91
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock	-4.89	-5.75	-0.85
Hamilton Centre	-2.91	-13.59	-10.67
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek	-1.53	-10.14	-8.61
Hamilton Mountain	-4.60	-17.08	-12.47
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas	-2.25	-3.08	-0.83
Hastings—Lennox and Addington	-5.06	-9.31	-4.25
Humber River—Black Creek	4.04	2.06	-1.98
Huron—Bruce	-5.63	-6.97	-1.35
Kanata—Carleton	-13.73	-20.78	-7.05
Kenora—Rainy River	-2.88	-3.61	-0.73
King—Vaughan	3.68	-1.30	-4.97
Kingston and the Islands	-13.12	-21.37	-8.25
Kitchener Centre	-1.01	-16.65	-15.65
Kitchener—Conestoga	-5.22	-11.16	-5.94
Kitchener South—Hespeler	-1.94	-8.97	-7.02
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex	-10.96	-11.64	-0.68
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston	-9.03	-13.59	-4.56
Leeds—Grenville—Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes	-5.82	-6.39	-0.57
London—Fanshawe	-0.29	-0.75	-0.46
London North Centre	3.82	6.18	2.36
London West	1.10	2.59	1.49
Markham—Stouffville	-1.88	-5.43	-3.55
Markham—Thornhill	1.29	-3.41	-4.70
Markham—Unionville	2.13	-1.90	-4.04
Milton	0.84	-3.36	-4.20
Mississauga Centre	-0.78	-5.26	-4.48
Mississauga East—Cooksville	-0.11	-5.68	-5.57
Mississauga—Erin Mills	-2.30	-6.66	-4.36
Mississauga—Lakeshore	-2.24	-5.43	-3.20
Mississauga—Malton	-1.12	-9.63	-8.51
Mississauga—Streetsville	-2.78	-7.33	-4.55
Nepean	-7.45	-12.30	-4.85
Newmarket—Aurora	-3.77	-8.24	-4.48
Niagara Centre	-0.86	0.52	1.38
Niagara Falls	0.10	4.49	4.39
Niagara West	0.31	-4.99	-5.30
Nickel Belt	2.38	-1.73	-4.11
Nipissing	2.77	-1.07	-3.84
Northumberland—Peterborough South	-3.13	-5.62	-2.49
Oakville	-1.92	-4.64	-2.72
Oakville North—Burlington	-1.54	-5.07	-3.53
Orléans	-2.63	-7.85	-5.23
Oshawa	0.83	2.08	1.25
Ottawa Centre	-0.02	0.32	0.34
Ottawa South	-3.34	-7.05	-3.70
Ottawa—Vanier	-3.67	-8.71	-5.03
Ottawa West—Nepean	-0.76	8.24	9.00
Oxford	-2.81	-10.67	-7.86
Parkdale—High Park	-2.66	-8.53	-5.87
Parry Sound—Muskoka	N/A^{[a 2]}		-3.13
Perth—Wellington	-5.58	-10.59	-5.01
Peterborough—Kawartha	-2.02	-5.33	-3.31
Pickering—Uxbridge	-3.67	-9.81	-6.14
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke	-9.32	-7.27	2.05
Richmond Hill	0.41	-2.86	-3.27
St. Catharines	0.01	0.87	0.85
Sarnia—Lambton	-4.66	-5.92	-1.27
Sault Ste. Marie	-3.92	0.69	4.61
Scarborough—Agincourt	-2.14	-4.20	-2.06
Scarborough Centre	-1.95	-14.76	-12.81
Scarborough—Guildwood	0.77	-7.34	-8.11
Scarborough North	-0.24	-6.59	-6.35
Scarborough—Rouge Park	-4.32	-13.68	-9.36
Scarborough Southwest	-0.67	-4.58	-3.91
Simcoe—Grey	-3.97	-7.84	-3.87
Simcoe North	-4.27	-8.95	-4.68
Spadina—Fort York	-0.93	-2.33	-1.40
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry	1.36	-1.31	-2.67
Sudbury	9.25	7.37	-1.88
Thornhill	6.03	-1.43	-7.46
Thunder Bay—Atikokan	4.58	-3.66	-8.24
Thunder Bay—Superior North	5.08	6.72	1.63
Timiskaming—Cochrane	-0.02	-0.73	-0.71
Timmins	N/A^{[a 2]}		-6.62
Toronto Centre	1.47	0.64	-0.83
Toronto—Danforth	1.13	3.07	1.95
Toronto—St. Paul's	-2.13	-5.86	-3.73
University—Rosedale	-0.53	2.29	2.82
Vaughan—Woodbridge	9.93	3.65	-6.28
Waterloo	-1.86	1.27	3.13
Wellington—Halton Hills	-9.27	-10.91	-1.64
Whitby	-9.09	-16.90	-7.81
Willowdale	-2.38	-5.62	-3.24
Windsor—Tecumseh	1.22	0.63	-0.59
Windsor West	N/A^{[a 4]}		2.91
York Centre	2.16	-6.05	-8.21
York—Simcoe	-2.00	-5.04	-3.04
York South—Weston	-5.86	-9.36	-3.50
Kiiwetinoong	-2.91	1.64	4.55
Mushkegowuk—James Bay	6.77	1.11	-5.66

^ Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.
^ ^a ^b ^c Liberals did not field a candidate in 2022.
^ NDP did not field a candidate in 2025.
^ Liberals did not field a candidate in 2025.

Party on party swings (Ridings with significant Green presence, 2025 vs 2022)^[165]^{[a 1]}^{[a 2]}
Riding	↔ Liberal/PC	↔ Liberal/Green	↔ PC/Green	↔ NDP/Green

Beaches—East York	-6.46	-11.44	-4.99	1.57
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound	-6.77	-2.75	4.02	4.81
Dufferin—Caledon	-1.87	-4.15	-2.28	1.31
Eglinton—Lawrence	-0.46	-3.76	-3.30	N/A
Guelph	2.69	2.17	-0.52	2.36
Kitchener Centre	-1.01	19.52	20.52	36.17
Kitchener South—Hespeler	-1.94	-6.11	-4.17	2.86
Parry Sound—Muskoka	N/A		-0.18	2.95
University—Rosedale	-0.53	-8.07	-7.54	-10.36
Wellington—Halton Hills	-9.27	-6.02	3.25	4.88

^ Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.
^ Restricted to ridings where the Greens finished in the top three, or otherwise received a share greater than 10%, in either election.

= Greens met threshold in 2022 only

= Greens met threshold in 2025 only

Analysis

Analytical charts

2025 vs 2022
2025 (by winning party)

2025 vs 2022
2025 (by party finishing second)

2025 vs 2022
2025

2025 vs 2022
2025 (by winning party)

Summary

Party candidates in 2nd place^[165]
Party in 1st place		Party in 2nd place				Total
Party in 1st place		PC	NDP	Liberal	Grn	Total
	Progressive Conservative		10	69	1	80
	New Democratic	19		8		27
	Liberal	12	2			14
	Green	2				2
	Independent	1				1
Total		34	12	77	1	124

Principal races, according to 1st and 2nd-place results^[165]
Parties		Seats
█ Progressive Conservative	█ Liberal	81
█ New Democratic	█ Progressive Conservative	29
█ New Democratic	█ Liberal	10
█ Green	█ Progressive Conservative	3
█ Independent	█ Progressive Conservative	1
Total		124

Candidates ranked 1st to 5th place, by party^[165]
Parties	1st	2nd	3rd	4th	5th
█ Progressive Conservative	80	34	10
█ New Democratic	27	12	76	8
█ Liberal	14	77	32
█ Green	2	1	4	102	13
█ Independent	1		1	3	2
█ Ontario Party			1	2	6
█ New Blue				8	85
█ None of the Above					3
█ Communist					2
█ Libertarian					2
█ Northern Ontario					2
█ Moderate					1
█ Progress Party Ontario					1
█ Stop the New Sex-Ed Agenda					1

Seats changing hands

Of the 124 seats, 13 were open because of MPPs who chose not to stand for reelection, and voters in only 9 seats changed allegiance from the previous election in 2022. Three incumbents ousted from their parties opted to stand as Independents, but none were re-elected.

Elections to the 43rd Legislative Assembly of Ontario – seats won/lost by party, 2022–2025^[165]
Party		2022	Gain from (loss to)								2025
Party		2022	PC		NDP		Lib		Grn		2025
	Progressive Conservative	83			2			(5)			80
	New Democratic	31		(2)				(1)		(1)	27
	Liberal	8	5		1						14
	Green	1			1						2
	Independent	1									1
Total		124	5	(2)	4	–	–	(6)	–	(1)	124

There were 9 seats that changed allegiance in the election:

PC to Liberal

NDP to PC

NDP to Liberal

Toronto—St. Paul's

NDP to Green

Kitchener Centre

Of the 9 seats that changed hands:

two were open seats where the MPPs chose to retire,
two had already switched over in by-elections,
two had parties that ousted their incumbents, but still failed to hold onto the seat, and
three others saw their incumbents defeated.

Resulting composition of the 44th Legislative Assembly of Ontario^[165]
Source		Party
Source		PC	NDP	Lib	Grn	Ind	Total
Seats retained	Incumbents returned	69	24	8	1	1	103
	Open seats held	9	2				11
	Ouster of incumbents changing affiliation		1				1
Seats changing hands	Incumbents defeated			3			4
	Open seats gained	1		1			2
	Byelection gains held			1	1		2
	Ouster of incumbents standing as Independents	1		1			2
Total		80	27	14	2	1	124

Student Vote results

Student Vote elections are mock elections that run parallel to real elections, in which students not of voting age participate. They are administered by CIVIX Canada, in partnership with Elections Ontario. Student Vote elections are for educational purposes and do not count towards the actual results.

Summary of the 2025 Ontario Student Vote
Party		Leader	Seats			Votes
Party		Leader	Elected	2022	±	#	%	Change
	Progressive Conservative	Doug Ford	51	17	34	58,189	24.14%	5.45
	New Democratic	Marit Stiles	41	75	34	56,570	23.47%	5.09
	Liberal	Bonnie Crombie	28	28		57,228	23.74%	1.68
	Green	Mike Schreiner	3	4	1	37,489	15.55%	0.44
	Independent		1	0	1	5,362	2.22%	1.32
	New Blue	Jim Karahalios	0	0	0	13,643	5.66%	0.07
	Ontario Party	Derek Sloan	0	0	0	5,221	2.17%	1.78
	Others		0	0	0	7,341	3.03%	2.11
Valid votes						234,807	N/a	N/a
Rejected ballots						7,600	N/a	N/a
Total votes cast			124	124		242,407	N/a	N/a
Source: Student Vote Ontario 2025 Archived 2025-02-28 at the Wayback Machine

Opinion polls

Opinion polls conducted during period
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Source	PC	NDP	Liberal	Green	Other	Margin of error	Sample size	Polling type	Lead
Polling firm	Last date of polling	Source						Margin of error	Sample size	Polling type	Lead
2025 election	February 27, 2025	N/a	42.97	18.55	29.95	4.83	3.70	N/a	N/a	N/a	13.02
Mainstreet Research	February 26, 2025	^{[p 1]}	44	17	30	6	4	±2.7%	1270 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Nanos Research	February 26, 2025	^{[p 2]}	48	15	26	6	4	±3.9%	630	telephone (rolling)/online	22
Forum Research	February 26, 2025	^{[p 3]}	41	20	32	5	3	±4%	1013	IVR	9
Pallas Data	February 26, 2025	^{[p 4]}	46	17	29	5	2	±3.1%	989	IVR	17
Research Co.	February 26, 2025	^{[p 5]}	46	17	30	5	2	±3.9%	701	online	16
Ipsos	February 25, 2025	^{[p 6]}	48	16	28	6	2	± 3.1%	1501	Online	20
Relay Strategies	February 25, 2025	^{[p 7]}	48	16	28	8	N/a	±3%	756 (1/3)	Online	20
Abacus Data	February 25, 2025	^{[p 8]}	45	16	29	5	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 25, 2025	^{[p 9]}	42	18	31	5	4	±2.5%	1516 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Innovative Research	February 24, 2025	^{[p 10]}	42	18	32	6	2	±4%	917	Online	10
Mainstreet Research	February 24, 2025	^{[p 11]}	42	19	31	5	4	±2.6%	1414 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Leger	February 23, 2025	^{[p 12]}	47	17	28	6	2	±3.09%	1,005	Online	19
Liaison Strategies	February 23, 2025	^{[p 13]}	42	18	32	5	3	±3.45%	805	IVR	10
Mainstreet Research	February 23, 2025	^{[p 14]}	42	19	32	4	4	±2.7%	1335 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Mainstreet Research	February 22, 2025	^{[p 15]}	43	17	30	5	4	±2.8%	1238 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Nanos Research	February 22, 2025	^{[p 16]}	44	20	29	5	3	±3.3%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	15
Mainstreet Research	February 21, 2025	^{[p 17]}	42	17	31	6	4	±2.8%	1245 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Nanos Research	February 21, 2025	^{[p 18]}	43	19	31	6	2	±3.3%	918	telephone (rolling)/online	12
Ipsos	February 20, 2025	^{[p 19]}	46	21	25	4	4	± 4.2%	800	Online	21
Relay Strategies	February 20, 2025	^{[p 20]}	47	18	26	8	N/a	±3%	975 (1/3)	Online	21
Nanos Research	February 20, 2025	^{[p 21]}	45	17	31	5	2	±3.2%	931	telephone (rolling)/online	14
Mainstreet Research	February 20, 2025	^{[p 22]}	40	19	29	7	5	±2.8%	1243 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Nanos Research	February 19, 2025	^{[p 23]}	44	17	31	7	2	±3.2%	936	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 19, 2025	^{[p 24]}	38	21	29	6	6	±2.7%	1291 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	9
Relay Strategies	February 18, 2025	^{[p 25]}	47	17	27	9	N/a	±4%	822 (1/3)	Online	20
Nanos Research	February 18, 2025	^{[p 26]}	46	16	30	7	2	±3.2%	929	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 18, 2025	^{[p 27]}	39	21	28	5	6	±2.7%	1281 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Leger	February 17, 2025	^{[p 28]}	48	16	28	5	3	±3.09%	1,002	Online	20
Mainstreet Research	February 17, 2025	^{[p 29]}	41	18	30	5	6	±2.7%	1278 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Probe Research	February 16, 2025	^{[p 30]}	47	17	27	8	1	2.8%	1200	Online	20
Innovative Research	February 16, 2025	^{[p 31]}	45	18	28	7	2	4%	963	Online	17
Relay Strategies	February 16, 2025	^{[p 32]}	47	20	26	8	N/a	±4%	704 (1/3)	Online	21
Nanos Research	February 16, 2025	^{[p 33]}	46	18	27	7	2	±3.3%	912	telephone (rolling)/online	19
Mainstreet Research	February 16, 2025	^{[p 34]}	41	18	31	6	5	±2.8%	1229 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Abacus Data	February 15, 2025	^{[p 35]}	41	21	28	6	3	±2.8%	1,500	Online	13
Nanos Research	February 15, 2025	^{[p 36]}	45	18	30	5	2	±3.3%	915	telephone (rolling)/online	15
Mainstreet Research	February 15, 2025	^{[p 37]}	43	17	30	6	3	±2.8%	1228 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Mainstreet Research	February 14, 2025	^{[p 38]}	43	19	29	6	3	2.7%	1272 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Nanos Research	February 13, 2025	^{[p 39]}	44	17	31	6	2	±3.2%	900	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 13, 2025	^{[p 40]}	44	17	29	6	4	±2.7%	1294 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	15
Research Co.	February 13, 2025	^{[p 41]}	45	15	31	4	4	±3.9%	702	online	14
Pallas Data	February 12, 2025	^{[p 42]}	44.1	18.9	27.7	4.7	4.6	±2.1%	2,193	IVR	16.4
Nanos Research	February 12, 2025	^{[p 43]}	45	17	29	6	2	±3.2%	938	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 12, 2025	^{[p 44]}	42	17	31	6	4	±2.7%	1314 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Relay Strategies	February 11, 2025	^{[p 45]}	49	19	24	9	N/a	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	25
Mainstreet Research	February 11, 2025	^{[p 46]}	41	16	32	7	4	±2.7%	1,301 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	9
Relay Strategies	February 10, 2025	^{[p 47]}	50	19	22	9	N/a	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	28
Mainstreet Research	February 10, 2025	^{[p 48]}	40	19	30	6	4	±2.7%	1,303 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Nanos Research	February 10, 2025	^{[p 49]}	44	17	32	5	2	±3.2%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	12
Relay Strategies	February 9, 2025	^{[p 50]}	51	18	23	8	N/a	±4%	656 (1/3)	Online	28
Leger	February 9, 2025	^{[p 51]}	47	17	26	6	4^[a]	±3.09%	1,004	Online	21
Liaison Strategies	February 9, 2025	^{[p 52]}	41	18	31	6	4	±2.82%	1,201	IVR	10
Nanos Research	February 9, 2025	^{[p 53]}	44	19	31	4	2	±3.2%	920	telephone (rolling)/online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 9, 2025	^{[p 54]}	44	18	26	7	4	±2.7%	1,347 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	18
Nanos Research	February 8, 2025	^{[p 55]}	44	20	28	5	3	±3.3%	913	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 8, 2025	^{[p 56]}	41	21	25	7	5	±2.8%	1,187 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	16
Mainstreet Research	February 7, 2025	^{[p 57]}	39	20	28	7	5	±2.5%	1,262 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	11
Abacus Data	February 6, 2025	^{[p 58]}	46	21	24	5	4	±3.1%	2,000	Online	22
Mainstreet Research	February 6, 2025	^{[p 59]}	39	22	29	5	6	±2.5%	1,236 (1/4)	Smart IVR (rolling)	10
Nanos Research	February 6, 2025	^{[p 60]}	46	16	30	7	2	±3.3%	904	telephone (rolling)/online	16
Mainstreet Research	February 5, 2025	^{[p 61]}	42	19	29	5	5	±2.8%	1,236 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2025	^{[p 62]}	45	16	29	5	5	±2.9%	1,162 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	16
Mainstreet Research	February 3, 2025	^{[p 63]}	44	15	30	5	7	±3.0%	1,080 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Angus Reid	February 3, 2025	^{[p 64]}	43	21	26	5	5	±2%	1,760	Online	17
Pallas Data	February 2, 2025	^{[p 65]}	45	21	28	5	2	±3.1%	1,014	IVR	17
Mainstreet Research	February 2, 2025	^{[p 66]}	43	17	29	5	6	N/a	1,374 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Leger	February 2, 2025	^{[p 67]}	47	17	23	8	4^[b]	±3.09%	1,004	Online	24
Mainstreet Research	February 1, 2025	^{[p 68]}	42	17	29	6	5	N/a	1,124 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	13
Liaison Strategies	February 1, 2025	^{[p 69]}	43	16	31	5	5	±2.74%	1,274	IVR	12
Mainstreet Research	January 31, 2025	^{[p 70]}	43	19	29	5	4	N/a	1,247 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	14
Innovative Research	January 31, 2025	^{[p 71]}	49	19	22	9	1	N/a	857	Online	27
Mainstreet Research	January 30, 2025	^{[p 72]}	38	20	30	6	5	±2.4%	1,644 (1/3)	Smart IVR (rolling)	8
Ipsos	January 30, 2025	^{[p 73]}	50	20	24	3	3	± 4.2%	800	Online	26
Mainstreet Research	January 29, 2025	^{[p 74]}	38	22	29	5	6	N/a	1,460	Smart IVR	9
	January 29, 2025	Election campaign begins
Innovative Research	January 27, 2025	^{[p 75]}	51	18	23	6	2	N/a	1,286	Online	28
Mainstreet Research	January 26, 2025	^{[p 76]}	36	23	29	6	6	±3.2%	936	Smart IVR	7
Abacus Data	January 26, 2025	^{[p 77]}	47	19	24	7	3	±3.1%	1,021	Online	23
Campaign Research	January 26, 2025	^{[p 78]}	47	18	23	7	5	N/a	1,611	Online	24
Liaison Strategies	January 23, 2025	^{[p 79]}	39	18	33	5	5	±2.71%	1,307	IVR	6
Yorkville Strategies	January 23, 2025	^{[p 80]}	48	15	25	7	5	±4.0%	600	Online	23
Leger	January 19, 2025	^{[p 81]}	46	19	22	7	6	±3.08%	1,007	Online	24
Liaison Strategies	January 16, 2025	^{[p 82]}	41	19	32	5	4	±2.83%	1,197	IVR	9
Campaign Research	January 15, 2025	^{[p 83]}	47	19	23	7	4	N/a	1,789	Online	24
Mainstreet Research	January 15, 2025	^{[p 84]}	40	21	30	5	4	±3.2%	943	Smart IVR	10
Liaison Strategies	January 9, 2025	^{[p 85]}	40	21	30	4	5	±2.82%	1,202	IVR	10
Abacus Data	December 4, 2024	^{[p 86]}	43	21	25	6	5	±2.6%	1,500	Online	18
Mainstreet Research	December 2, 2024	^{[p 87]}	42	22	27	6	3	±3.6%	742	Smart IVR	15
Abacus Data	November 5, 2024	^{[p 88]}	42	22	26	7	4	±3.1%	998	Online	16
Pallas Data	October 15, 2024	^{[p 89]}	41.5	21.6	27.7	7.1	2.1	±3.1%	996	IVR	13.8
Abacus Data	October 10, 2024	^{[p 90]}	44	22	24	7	4	±3.1%	997	Online	20
Angus Reid	September 18, 2024	^{[p 91]}	40	25	23	7	4	±3.0%	858	Online	15
Mainstreet Research	September 17, 2024	^{[p 92]}	41	18	30	5	6	±3.5%	764	Smart IVR	11
Abacus Data	August 17, 2024	^{[p 93]}	42	21	26	8	4	±3.057%	1,028	Online	16
Liaison Strategies	August 20, 2024	^{[p 94]}	40	21	27	6	6	±2.71%	1,300	IVR	13
Abacus Data	July 21, 2024	^{[p 95]}	44	19	26	7	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	18
Liaison Strategies	June 27, 2024	^{[p 96]}	39	21	28	7	5	±2.77%	1,245	IVR	11
Abacus Data	June 25, 2024	^{[p 97]}	41	22	25	8	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	16
Pallas Data	June 4, 2024	^{[p 98]}	39.4	22.6	26.5	8.3	3.2	±2.9%	1,136	IVR	12.9
Abacus Data	May 15, 2024	^{[p 99]}	39	22	26	9	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	13
Abacus Data	April 16, 2024	^{[p 100]}	41	21	25	7	5	±3.1%	995	Online	16
Liaison Strategies	April 7, 2024	^{[p 101]}	40	18	30	5	6	±2.74%	1,280	IVR	10
Abacus Data	March 21, 2024	^{[p 102]}	41	21	27	7	5	±2.5%	1,500	Online	14
Liaison Strategies	March 9, 2024	^{[p 103]}	39	21	29	5	6	±2.74%	1,283	IVR	10
Angus Reid	March 6, 2024	^{[p 104]}	37	25	27	6	4	±3.0%	777	Online	10
Abacus Data	February 21, 2024	^{[p 105]}	41	19	27	8	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	14
Pallas Data	February 11, 2024	^{[p 106]}	34.5	21.6	31.6	7.3	5.0	±2.9%	1,121	IVR	2.9
Liaison Strategies	February 3, 2024	^{[p 107]}^{[p 108]}	38	22	30	5	5	±2.8%	1,236	IVR	8
Abacus Data	January 23, 2024	^{[p 109]}	38	23	27	5	6	±3.1%	995	Online	11
Abacus Data	December 12, 2023	^{[p 110]}	39	24	27	6	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	12
Mainstreet Research	December 4, 2023	^{[p 111]}	36	19	34	6	5	±3.3%	872	Smart IVR	2
	December 2, 2023	Bonnie Crombie is elected leader of the Ontario Liberal Party
Abacus Data	November 28, 2023	^{[p 112]}	42	24	23	7	4	±2.6%	1,500	Online	18
Innovative Research	October 30, 2023	^{[p 113]}	41	26	25	7	2	N/a	925	Online	15
Abacus Data	October 15, 2023	^{[p 114]}	40	24	24	7	5	±3.7%	700	Online	16
Pallas Data	September 27, 2023	^{[p 115]}^{[p 116]}	33.4	27.4	26.7	6.7	5.8	±3.2%	964	IVR	6
Angus Reid	September 6, 2023	^{[p 117]}	38	28	22	7	5	N/a	656	Online	10
Abacus Data	September 4, 2023	^{[p 118]}	34	26	28	7	5	±2.2%	2,003	Online	6
Pallas Data	August 29, 2023	^{[p 119]}	37.3	25.8	26.9	5.2	4.9	±3.2%	940	IVR	10.4
Abacus Data	August 23, 2023	^{[p 120]}	38	24	25	7	6	±3.1%	1,040	Online	13
Abacus Data	July 25, 2023	^{[p 121]}	41	23	24	7	5	±3.1%	1,000	Online	17
Mainstreet Research	June 30, 2023	^{[p 122]}^{[p 123]}	34.7	24.7	25.0	10.7	4.9	±3.1%	993	Smart IVR	9.7
Abacus Data	June 11, 2023	^{[p 124]}^{[p 125]}	36	26	27	6	4	±3.1%	1,000	Online	9
Counsel Public Affairs	June 8, 2023	^{[p 126]}	39	23	27	7	4	N/a	1,323	Online	12
Angus Reid	June 3, 2023	^{[p 127]}	36	27	25	6	6	N/a	653	Online	9
Angus Reid	March 13, 2023	^{[p 128]}	38	30	20	6	6	±3%	861	Online	8
Abacus Data	March 4, 2023	^{[p 129]}	41	22	28	5	4^[c]	±3.1%	1,000	Online	13
Mainstreet Research	February 4, 2023	^{[p 130]}	36.8	19.4	23.3	11.2	9.4	±2.9%	1,166	Smart IVR	13.5
	February 4, 2023	Marit Stiles is declared leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party
Angus Reid	December 3, 2022	^{[p 131]}	37	27	25	6	5	±3%	1,058	Online	10
Mainstreet Research	December 2, 2022	^{[p 132]}	37.3	25.9	24.4	6.6	5.8	±2.9%	1,162	Smart IVR	11.4
Abacus Data	November 5, 2022	^{[p 133]}	38	26	27	5	5^[d]	±3.1%	1,000	Online	11
	August 3, 2022	Steven Del Duca resigns as leader of the Ontario Liberal Party; John Fraser becomes interim leader
	June 28, 2022	Andrea Horwath resigns as leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party; Peter Tabuns becomes interim leader
EKOS	June 20, 2022	^{[p 134]}^{[p 135]}	37.5	23.3	19.2	9.8	10.2^[e]	±2.7%	1,357	Online/Telephone	14.2

2022 election	June 2, 2022	N/a	40.82	23.74	23.85	5.96	5.62	N/a	N/a	N/a	16.97

Footnotes

References

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^ "Star Editorial Board: Doug Ford has fallen short. Vote for change". Toronto Star. February 26, 2025. Retrieved December 25, 2025.
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^ Callan, Isaac; D'Mello, Colin. "Municipal mayors are entering the Ontario election race with endorsements. It's not the norm". Global News. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
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^ ^a ^b ^c "Exclusive: Niagara mayors endorse Ontario PC Leader Doug Ford". CHCH. January 31, 2025. Retrieved February 7, 2025.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 5, 2025). "As Premier Ford campaigns on a plan to protect Ontario, he has my full endorsement and support" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (January 29, 2025). "We are pleased to receive the endorsement of @drewdilkens who believes in our plan to protect Ontario" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 5, 2025). "Doug Ford is a proven, capable leader" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 18, 2025). "At a time when Ontario and Canada are facing dire threats to our economy and sovereignty, it's never been more important to give this provincial government a clear and unified mandate to protect Ontario" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ "Doug Ford Ready to Build the True North, Strong and Free". Ontario PC. February 20, 2025. Retrieved December 25, 2025.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 20, 2025). "He led Ontario through some tough times and I am confident in his ability to continue to lead us through another period of turbulence with the threat of tariffs and trade uncertainty on the horizon" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 18, 2025). "They're the only ones with a real plan to protect Ontario in the face of President Trump's tariff threats" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
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^ "x.com". X (formerly Twitter).^{[dead link]}
^ "Peter Julian 🇨🇦 (@MPJulian) on X". X (formerly Twitter).^{[dead link]}
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^ ^a ^b "Facebook". Facebook.
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^ https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1893014075912687993 ^{[dead link]}
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^ https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1888961298957848824 ^{[dead link]}
^ https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1894061070626517345 ^{[dead link]}
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^ https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1887910012623753705 ^{[dead link]}
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^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 1, 2025). "We are pleased to receive the endorsement of @UniforLocal1285 who believes in our plan to protect Ontario" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Ontario PC Party [@OntarioPCParty] (February 4, 2025). "We're proud to receive our first-ever endorsement from Unifor Local 29-X, our second Unifor endorsement" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ https://x.com/OntarioPCParty/status/1889744528485110244 ^{[dead link]}
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^ Ontario NDP [@ontariondp]; (February 20, 2025). "Our team is proud to be endorsed by (and work alongside) labour councils all across the province that combine the strength of local unions representing hundreds of thousands of workers in every sector of the economy". Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Instagram.
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^ "Early election is workers' chance to fire Ford". CUPE Ontario. January 29, 2025. Retrieved December 25, 2025.
^ Ontario NDP Press Office [@ONDPPressOffice] (February 11, 2025). "IAMAW endorses Marit Stiles and the Ontario NDP" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ Kernaghan, Terence [@kernaghant] (February 15, 2025). "What an amazing time hosting the wonderful @MaritStiles for a rally and community canvass in Lorne Ave this past week!" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ OFL [@OFLabour] (February 1, 2025). "Trump's Tariff Threat Puts Ontario Jobs at Risk" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ OSSTF Communications [@osstf] (February 21, 2025). "Last week, OSSTF members from District 24 (Kitchener-Waterloo area) had the opportunity to connect with ONDP Candidate & Leader of the Official Opposition, @MaritStiles as well as ONDP Candidate for Kitchener-South Hespeler, @jjdonkersgoed" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ "Ontario needs nursing ratios now, says the Ontario Nurses' Association at event with Ontario NDP Leader and Ontario Federation of Labour President". Ontario Nurses' Association. February 10, 2025. Retrieved December 25, 2025.
^ "On February 27, support these NDP candidates in your riding". OPSEU. February 22, 2025. Retrieved December 25, 2025.
^ https://x.com/TaraJeffrey/status/1892982496251232762 ^{[dead link]}
^ West, Jamie [@jamiewestndp] (January 23, 2025). "I am proud to have the endorsement of the Sudbury District Labour Council!" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ "Steelworkers endorse Ontario NDP in untimely election". usw.ca. Toronto: United Steelworkers. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 31, 2025.
^ "Weekly Update 21 – Political Action Update 4 | Thames Valley Teacher Local". www.etfothamesvalley.com.^{[dead link]}
^ Ontario NDP [@ontariondp]; (February 19, 2025). "We're proud to receive so many endorsements from unions representing thousands of workers all across the province who know it's time for an NDP government on your side". Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Instagram.
^ TECT [@TECT951] (February 9, 2025). "Members of the TECT Executive (Deborah Karam, Julie Altomare Di Nunzio, Rob Bauer and Nino Scalzo) and other OECTA Members canvassed today for Marit Stiles" (Tweet). Retrieved December 25, 2025 – via Twitter.
^ "Windsor & District Labour Council Endorses All 4 Windsor-Essex Region NDP Candidates". Orangeville.com. February 12, 2025.
^ "FONOM to host Northern Ontario Leaders' Debate in North Bay". North Bay Nugget. February 3, 2025. Retrieved February 12, 2025.
^ Migneault, Jonathan (February 5, 2025). "Northern issues debate among Ontario party leaders set for Feb. 14 in North Bay". CBC News. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
^ "Ontario Leaders' Debate to be broadcast live". CHCH. February 11, 2025. Retrieved February 13, 2025.
^ ICI.Radio-Canada.ca, Zone Politique- (February 10, 2025). "Élections en Ontario : un débat en français sera diffusé le 19 février". Radio-Canada (in Canadian French). Retrieved February 13, 2025.
^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved October 24, 2025.

^ Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
^ Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
^ Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.
^ Includes 3% for the New Blue Party.
^ Includes 5.2% for the New Blue Party.

Opinion poll sources

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External links

Elections Ontario

[rdp-we-cite_note-39] to run for Mayor of Hamilton.

[rdp-we-cite_note-42] ue to allegations that he was involved in the 2019 Canadian Parliament infiltration plot.

[rdp-we-cite_note-46] ver workplace misconduct allegations.

[rdp-we-cite_note-48] to run for Mayor of Toronto.

[rdp-we-cite_note-52] to accept position at the University of Waterloo

[rdp-we-cite_note-55] ter contradictory claims were made regarding a Las Vegas business trip.

[rdp-we-cite_note-auto-57] to accept position in the private sector

[rdp-we-cite_note-59] ver comments made regarding the Gaza war

[rdp-we-cite_note-61] to run in the next federal election

[rdp-we-cite_note-63] ter meeting with far-right activist Tommy Robinson

[rdp-we-cite_note-PC-66] Previously elected as Progressive Conservative

[rdp-we-cite_note-177] In order given by Elections Ontario

[rdp-we-cite_note-178] In order of total votes received. Minor political parties receiving less than 1% of the popular vote and with no candidate winning at least 1,000 votes are aggregated under "Other"; independent candidates are aggregated separately.

[rdp-we-cite_note-179] The incumbent Sarah Jama was ousted as the NDP candidate. She ran as an Independent, receiving 4,977 votes and coming in at 4th place.

[rdp-we-cite_note-180] Share won by winning candidate, with difference noted from share achieved by the same party in 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-181] Positive indicates improvement to standing of party winning in 2022; negative points to 2022's second-place party being swung to.

[rdp-we-cite_note-182] Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.

[rdp-we-cite_note-Lib2022"-183] Liberals did not field a candidate in 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-184] NDP did not field a candidate in 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-185] Liberals did not field a candidate in 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-186] Positive swings are for the second party of the pair; negatives are towards the first party shown.

[rdp-we-cite_note-187] Restricted to ridings where the Greens finished in the top three, or otherwise received a share greater than 10%, in either election.

[rdp-we-cite_note-1] Rodrigues, Gabby (February 28, 2025). "Ontario election: Voter turnout higher than expected in 2025, early data shows". Global News. Retrieved December 25, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-Jan24earlyvote-2] Talbot, Michae (January 24, 2025). "Premier Doug Ford to call provincial election on Wednesday". CityNews. Archived from the original on January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-3] Benzie, Robert (February 27, 2025). "Doug Ford wins third majority after gambling on winter election". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on February 28, 2025. Retrieved February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-4] "Here's how the PCs' win in Ontario's snap vote stacks up against elections past". Toronto CityNews. Retrieved February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-5] "RECAP: PCs win as Crombie fails to earn seat in Mississauga but vows to remain leader". CTV News. Retrieved February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-6] "Independent Ontario candidate wins rare and resounding second election victory". St. Albert Gazette. February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-torstar_elxn_set_jun_2018-7] Ferguson, Rob (October 19, 2016). "Ontario moves election date to June 7, 2018". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on May 7, 2021. Retrieved October 31, 2016.

[rdp-we-cite_note-auto1-8] Benzie, Robert (May 27, 2024). "Tory insiders say fear of a Pierre Poilievre victory has Doug Ford considering an early election call". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on January 26, 2025. Retrieved May 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-9] Paikin, Steve (April 15, 2024). "Keep your eyes open for signs of an early election call in Ontario". TVO. Archived from the original on January 20, 2025. Retrieved May 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-10] D'Mello, Colin (May 27, 2024). "Ontario opposition parties ready for early election call after premier fuels speculation". Global News. Archived from the original on October 9, 2024. Retrieved May 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-11] "Premier declines to commit to June 2026 Ontario election". CBC News. The Canadian Press. May 24, 2024. Archived from the original on December 15, 2024. Retrieved May 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-12] Benzie, Robert (May 28, 2024). "Doug Ford was asked about calling on early election. 'Stay tuned,' he says". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on November 12, 2024. Retrieved May 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-13] D'Mello, Colin; ca, Isaac (January 23, 2025). "Doug Ford plans to call snap Ontario election next week, sources confirm". Global News. Retrieved January 24, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-14] Stone, Laura; Gray, Jeff (January 23, 2025). "Doug Ford set to call snap election for Feb. 27". The Globe and Mail. Archived from the original on January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-15] Casey, Liam; Jones, Allison (January 23, 2025). "Premier to call snap election with Ontarians headed to polls in February". Toronto Sun. The Canadian Press. Archived from the original on January 24, 2025. Retrieved January 24, 2025.

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[rdp-we-cite_note-17] "LIVE UPDATES: Ford's request to dissolve provincial parliament approved ahead of early election call". CP24. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-18] "Ontario Election to be Held on February 27". Ontario Newsroom. January 28, 2025. Retrieved January 29, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-19] Rieti, John (January 29, 2025). "How much will this election cost?". CBC News. Retrieved February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-20] Callan, Isaac; D'Mello, Colin (February 28, 2025). "After a 4-week election campaign almost nothing changed in Ontario. Which seats flipped?". Global News. Retrieved February 28, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-21] Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015, S.O. 2015, c. 31

[rdp-we-cite_note-22] s a result of the Election Statute Law Amendment Act, 2016, S.O. 2016, c. 33, s. 36

[rdp-we-cite_note-23] "Report: Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission". August 8, 2017. Archived from the original on March 19, 2018. Retrieved May 1, 2018.

[rdp-we-cite_note-24] Benzie, Robert (August 8, 2017). "Ontario to get 17 new ridings, including a constituency that is largely Indigenous". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on December 6, 2017. Retrieved December 10, 2017.

[rdp-we-cite_note-25] Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017, S.O. 2017, c. 18

[rdp-we-cite_note-26] Benzie, Robert (August 1, 2024). "Ford government to break with tradition and not adopt federal boundary changes for next election". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on September 16, 2024. Retrieved September 16, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-27] "If new electoral map is approved, northern Ontario will lose a seat in next federal election". CBC News. February 10, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-28] Benzie, Robert (June 2, 2022). "Doug Ford trounces the competition as Steven Del Duca and Andrea Horwath resign as party leaders". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on June 7, 2022. Retrieved June 6, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-29] "Ontario NDP names Peter Tabuns interim leader". CBC News. The Canadian Press. June 28, 2022. Archived from the original on June 30, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-30] Jackson, Hannah (July 25, 2022). "Ontario Liberal caucus selects John Fraser to serve as party's interim leader". Global News. Archived from the original on July 28, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-31] "Ontario Liberals Announce New Critic Roles". www.ontarioliberal.ca. Archived from the original on August 10, 2022. Retrieved August 10, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-32] "It's a done deal: Marit Stiles will win the NDP leadership uncontested | TVO.org". www.tvo.org. Archived from the original on December 6, 2022. Retrieved December 6, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-33] "CityNews". toronto.citynews.ca. January 6, 2023. Archived from the original on January 6, 2023. Retrieved January 6, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-34] Griffin, Tyler (February 4, 2023). "Ontario NDP officially confirms Marit Stiles as leader by majority vote". CBC News. The Canadian Press. Retrieved February 8, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-35] "Bonnie Crombie takes aim at Doug Ford after winning Ontario Liberal leadership". The Globe and Mail. December 2, 2023. Retrieved December 3, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-36] Migneault, Jonathan (February 5, 2025). "Northern issues debate among Ontario party leaders set for Feb. 14 in North Bay". Canadian Broadcasting Corporation. p. 1. Retrieved February 8, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-37] Moro, Teviah (July 26, 2022). "'I love this city': Former Ontario NDP leader Andrea Horwath enters Hamilton mayoral race". Hamilton Spectator. Archived from the original on July 26, 2022. Retrieved July 26, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-38] Werner, Kevin (August 15, 2022). "Hamilton mayoral candidate Andrea Horwath officially resigns her Hamilton Centre seat Aug. 15". Hamilton Spectator. Retrieved August 18, 2022.

[rdp-we-cite_note-40] Hristova, Bobby (March 16, 2023). "NDP's Sarah Jama elected as next MPP for Hamilton Centre". CBC News. Archived from the original on April 12, 2023. Retrieved April 12, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-41] Stone, Laura (March 10, 2023). "Progressive Conservative MPP Vincent Ke leaves caucus after allegations of election interference". The Globe and Mail. Retrieved March 13, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-43] "Ontario PC cabinet minister Merrilee Fullerton resigns". CP24. The Canadian Press. March 24, 2023. Archived from the original on March 24, 2023. Retrieved March 24, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-44] Holder, Gord (July 27, 2023). "Karen McCrimmon wins Kanata-Carleton byelection for Ontario Liberals". Ottawa Citizen. Postmedia. Archived from the original on July 28, 2023. Retrieved December 1, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-CP01Apr23-45] "Michael Mantha removed from Ontario NDP caucus amid workplace investigation". CBC News. The Canadian Press. April 1, 2023. Archived from the original on April 1, 2023. Retrieved April 1, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-47] "Toronto mayoral candidate Mitzie Hunter reveals date she'll resign as MPP". thestar.com. May 2, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-49] Nakhavoly, Melissa (July 27, 2023). "Liberal victory in Scarborough-Guildwood byelection". CityNews. Archived from the original on December 3, 2023. Retrieved December 1, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-50] Maher, Brandon (July 11, 2023). "Lindo steps down as MPP, citing cost of childcare". CityNews 570. Archived from the original on July 13, 2023. Retrieved July 13, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-51] Bueckert, Kate (January 18, 2023). "Kitchener Centre MPP Laura Mae Lindo stepping down to take Ontario university job". CBC News. Archived from the original on July 16, 2023. Retrieved July 13, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-53] Bholla, Cheyenne (November 30, 2023). "Aislinn Clancy wins Kitchener Centre". Waterloo Region Record. Retrieved December 1, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-54] "Ontario MPP Kaleed Rasheed resigns from Ford's cabinet following Greenbelt probe". CBC. September 21, 2023. Archived from the original on February 10, 2024. Retrieved February 11, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-56] Richmond, Randy (September 22, 2023). "'Rising star' Monte McNaughton, region's top-ranking MPP, quits amid tumult". London Free Press. Archived from the original on October 18, 2023. Retrieved December 1, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-JamaRemoved-58] DeClerq, Katherine (October 23, 2023). "Ontario MPP Sarah Jama censured and removed from NDP caucus over Israel-Gaza comments". CP24. Archived from the original on October 23, 2023. Retrieved October 23, 2023.

[rdp-we-cite_note-60] Crawley, Mike (January 25, 2024). "Ontario PCs' Parm Gill resigns from cabinet to run for Poilievre's Conservatives". CBC News. Archived from the original on January 26, 2024. Retrieved February 2, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-62] Rushowy, Kristin (June 28, 2024). "Doug Ford removes MPP Goldie Ghamari from caucus after she met with British far-right figure". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on June 28, 2024. Retrieved June 28, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-64] Baldwin, Derek (August 16, 2024). "Bay of Quinte MPP Smith resigns, taking job in private sector". The Intelligencer. Archived from the original on August 16, 2024. Retrieved August 17, 2024.

[rdp-we-cite_note-65] Gowan, Rob (September 10, 2024). "Bruce-Grey-Owen Sound MPP Byers won't seek re-election". Owen Sound Sun Times. Archived from the original on September 10, 2024. Retrieved September 16, 2024.

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[rdp-we-cite_note-68] "MPP Robin Martin Announces She Will Not Be Running For Re-Election". Robin Martin, MPP. November 1, 2024. Retrieved January 23, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-3rdNDP-69] Patel, Raisa (September 29, 2024). "Third NDP MPP hopes to swap Queen's Park for Ottawa in the next federal election". Toronto Star. Archived from the original on September 30, 2024. Retrieved September 30, 2024.

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[rdp-we-cite_note-EO2025-176] ^ ^a ^b ^c ^d ^e ^f ^g ^h ⁱ ^j ^k Summarized from "Data Explorer". Elections Ontario. Retrieved October 24, 2025.

[rdp-we-cite_note-239] Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.

[rdp-we-cite_note-256] Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.

[rdp-we-cite_note-319] Includes 2% for the New Blue Party.

[rdp-we-cite_note-324] Includes 3% for the New Blue Party.

[rdp-we-cite_note-327] Includes 5.2% for the New Blue Party.

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